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Chinese cars gain market share in Mexico

  • Market: E-fuels, Electricity, Oil products
  • 16/08/23

Cars made in China have rapidly gained market share in Mexico this year, with Chinese brands particularly gaining ground because of competitive prices, longer warranties and availability.

"Just two years earlier, vehicles made in China did not even reach 5pc of domestic sales and today they represent more than 25pc of imports and 19.1pc of total sales in Mexico," Guillermo Rosales, president of Mexico's auto retailers association (AMDA) recently said.

From January-July of this year, 142,090 of the total 743,930 light vehicles sold in the Mexican market were made in China, under both Chinese and other brands, according to AMDA.

Nearly half of that total, 69,464 autos, were from Chinese car manufacturers Chirey, JAC, MG and BAIC, among others, while 72,626 were manufactured in China by other foreign carmakers such as General Motors (GM), which produces the Onix, Tornado, Captiva and Aveo brands (see table).

Competitive pricing for Chinese brands particularly has supported the growth of made-in-China cars in the Mexican market, despite imported light vehicles from the Asian country having to pay a 20pc import tariff if the car is not electric, said Alejandra Vargas, an economist at Mexican bank Vepormas. Chinese brands also have kept higher inventories than other manufacturers, even in the wake of the pandemic, she added.

Some Chinese SUVs are 17pc cheaper than those from the US and Japan as well.

Warranted growth

Warranties of up to 10 years for some Chinese brands compared with average three-year guarantees for other brands have also increased demand, according to Victor Mendez, executive president of China Chamber Mexico.

Mexico is considered an important market for China because of its geographic location as it provides access to North and South American markets.

Only two Chinese automakers — JAC and BAIC — have assembly plants in Mexico. But other companies such as MG, Great Wall Motors and Geely have expressed plans to build manufacturing facilities in Mexico.

"We are going to have our first plant in Mexico at the end of this year," BYD Mexico's CFO Tobias Zhao told Argus in June.

It will be an assembly plant for light vehicles in the state of Queretaro or Nuevo Leon, he said.

China-based automaker Chirey also expects to build a complete production factory in Monterrey, Nuevo Leon, which will begin operations in 2026, Chirey's executive vice president Brian Wu said in July.

The next stage of Chinese companies competing for business in Mexico will be the electric vehicle (EVs) market.

"Chinese automakers are entering Mexico with internal combustion vehicles, but they all have a greater variety of EVs in their product portfolio," Mendez said.

Mexico's fossil-fuel focused energy policy has hindered development of charging infrastructure for EVs.

Only 4.5pc of Mexico's car sales from January-May were for hybrids or full EVs, even from 4.5pc in the first five months of 2022, despite imports of EVs into Mexico being duty free.

Chinese cars in Mexico
Year (Jan-Jul)Units of Chinese brands sold*Share of sales (%)Mexico's total car sales
20194,1560.6746,598
20202,8590.6509,474
202111,5211.9602,681
202235,9916.0602,022
202369,4649.3743,930
*Chinese brands manufactured in China

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20/06/25

Iran’s refineries at risk in escalating conflict

Iran’s refineries at risk in escalating conflict

Iran would probably have to curtail products exports and turn to the import markets if its refineries are attacked, write Ieva Paldaviciute and Nader Itayim Dubai, 20 June (Argus) — Key oil and gas production and export facilities have stayed out of the firing line a week into the conflict between Tehran and Tel Aviv, bringing a degree of relief to global markets. But the targeting of downstream assets by both sides has raised the spectre of looming domestic fuel shortages if the conflict endures. No Iranian crude refineries have been hit yet in the Israeli strikes that, for the most part, have focused on key military and nuclear-related infrastructure and personnel. But strikes on two gas processing facilities in the south of the country and two products storage facilities on the outskirts of Tehran suggest refineries, or condensate splitters, soon could be affected. Iran retaliated by attacking Israel's 197,000 b/d Haifa refinery on 15 June, damaging is power supply system. The plant initially continued crude processing while shutting some secondary units, but it fully halted operations on 17 June. Iran has nearly 2mn b/d of crude refining capacity spread across nine facilities, which rises to about 2.4mn b/d when including the 360,000 b/d Persian Gulf Star condensate splitter in Bandar Abbas, on the Mideast Gulf coast. This is up from below 1.9mn b/d a decade ago, after capacity additions at the 58,000 b/d Shiraz, 630,000 b/d Abadan and 220,000 b/d Tehran refineries, among others. Iran nevertheless has grappled with a severe products imbalance in recent years, driven primarily by a fast increase in its domestic fuel consumption. Although operations at all refineries remain unimpeded, the conflict has triggered a frenzy of fuel buying by Iranians, particularly in Tehran, with Israel warning residents to leave the city as it intensifies its bombing campaign. If any refining infrastructure is hit, Iran may quickly have to halt products exports to ensure that domestic supply can be met. Iran is a net exporter of fuel oil and naphtha, but its position as a gasoline and gasoil exporter has diminished in recent years owing to its fast-growing domestic demand. The reimposition of US sanctions on Iran by US president Donald Trump during his first term in 2018 and his "maximum pressure" campaign on Tehran at the start of his second term in January have only added pressure to its products trade. Iranian naphtha is shipped mainly to the UAE, where it is used as a gasoline blendstock. Iran exported about 116,000 b/d of naphtha in January-May, data from consultancy FGE show, down by 12pc from its 2024 exports. Transfer news Iranian fuel oil typically makes its way to floating storage hubs in Asia-Pacific, often after multiple ship-to-ship transfers designed to obscure its origin. Some cargoes are then re-exported to China and bought by independent refiners as feedstock fuel. Fuel oil exports stood at 252,000 b/d in the first five months of this year, down from 264,000 b/d last year. Iran has had to turn to imports to bridge the gap between its gasoline production of about 660,000 b/d and average consumption of 780,000 b/d during the Iranian year to 20 March 2025, according to state-owned refiner NIORDC. Iran's diesel production has also been playing catch-up, with heavily subsidised consumption exacerbated by fuel smuggling to neighbouring countries. Iran still exported 42,000 b/d of diesel this year, according to FGE, but this is less than half of the 102,000 b/d it exported last year. The Haifa refinery is a key supplier to Israel's domestic market but it also exported about 12,000 b/d of diesel and gasoil, and 13,000 b/d of fuel oil in January-May, mostly to neighbouring countries in the Mediterranean. A prolonged shutdown could result in Israel turning to products imports, pressuring supply chains in the Mediterranean. Israel aims to restart the plant within weeks. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Pakistan loses EU GSP+ ethanol status


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Pakistan loses EU GSP+ ethanol status

London, 20 June (Argus) — The European Commission today suspended Pakistan's Generalised Scheme of Preferences Plus (GSP+) status for imports of ethanol. The removal is effective from today, 20 June. A request was lodged in May last year by France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Hungary and Poland, who sought to activate Article 30 of the GSP Regulation, arguing that ethanol coming from Pakistan since 2022 has "caused a serious disturbance to the Union ethanol market". Under Article 30, the commission can "adopt an implementing act in order to suspend the preferential arrangement in respect of the products concerned". Pakistan was granted GSP+ status in 2014, and this expired at the end of 2023. The status was temporarily extended until 2027. The GSP+ grants reduced-tariff or tariff-free access to the EU for vulnerable low- and lower- to middle-income countries that, according to the EU, "implement 27 international conventions related to human rights, labour rights, protection of the environment and good governance". It fully removes custom duties on two-thirds of the bloc's tariff lines in Pakistan's case, including ethanol. Pakistan is a major supplier of industrial-grade ethanol to Europe, but it does not export fuel-grade ethanol. According to market participants, this is because production facilities in the country lack sustainability certifications such as the International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) that are required for biofuels to qualify under the EU Renewable Energy Directive (RED) targets. Fuel-grade ethanol was not included in the bloc's measures. Several Pakistani market participants were hopeful the GSP+ status will remain in place, which has continued to support ethanol exports from the country to the EU ( see table ). But uncertainty has weighed on demand from Europe recently, suppliers said. A participant told Argus that Pakistani sellers may look to offer more into Africa to soften the drop in demand. Some European suppliers anticipated this outcome, and have already stopped importing from Pakistan. European renewable ethanol association ePure expressed concern about the decision to exclude fuel ethanol from the scope of the measures, noting this could open the door to unintended loopholes and weaken the overall effect of the safeguard efforts. By Evelina Lungu and Deborah Sun European ethanol imports from Pakistan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Egypt’s diesel imports rise as Israeli gas halt bites


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Egypt’s diesel imports rise as Israeli gas halt bites

Dubai, 20 June (Argus) — Egypt is ramping up diesel imports to keep its power plants running after Israel halted pipeline natural gas supply in response to its ongoing conflict with Iran. The country is on track to receive 354,000 b/d of diesel and other gasoil in June, according to preliminary data from Vortexa. Kpler estimates a lower volume of 275,000 b/d. By comparison, Egypt imported an average of 217,000 b/d in 2024, both firms show. More than 60pc of this month's imports are coming from Saudi Arabia, primarily from the Red Sea ports of Yanbu and Jizan. These cargoes benefit from proximity and a freight advantage, as they can reach Egypt while avoiding the security risks in the Bab el-Mandeb strait. The surge in diesel demand follows Israel's suspension of gas exports to Egypt and Jordan on 13 June, after it shut production at the Leviathan and Karish gas fields in response to an escalation in its conflict with Iran. On the same day, Egypt's energy ministry announced it had halted gas supply to some industrial users and instructed power plants to burn diesel in the "maximum available quantity". Egypt is seeking to ensure adequate power generation during the onset of the summer cooling season. Its need to replace lost gas supply with diesel is adding pressure to an already tight European diesel market . Already structurally short of diesel, Europe has faced reduced inflows from the Mideast Gulf and India since April, while US shipments have been limited. Diesel values and refining margins in Europe have shot up in the past week as supply concerns mount and freight rates rise. The Mediterranean market is particularly tight following the introduction of a new International Maritime Organisation emissions control area (ECA) in May. The ECA requires ships to use fuel with a maximum sulphur content of 0.1pc, down from 0.5pc. Marine gasoil (MGO) and ultra-low sulphur fuel oil (ULSFO) meet the new standard. But much of the gasoil used in MGO blending is also suitable for desulphurisation and road fuel use, so its diversion into marine fuels is tightening diesel supply. Egypt could also turn to fuel oil for power generation, which may further increase MGO demand and tighten the Mediterranean diesel market. Meanwhile, repair and maintenance work at Israel's two refineries has placed additional strain on diesel and other gasoil supply in the Mediterranean. The 197,000 b/d Haifa refinery was shut on 16 June after being damaged in an Iranian missile strike, and the Ashdod refinery entered partial scheduled maintenance on the same day. Egypt is due to install two additional floating storage and regasification units (FSRUs) by the end of June. The added LNG import capacity could help offset the loss of Israeli gas and ease diesel demand. By Ieva Paldaviciute and Josh Michalowski Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Germany plans €17,000/t e-SAF penalty


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Germany plans €17,000/t e-SAF penalty

Hamburg, 20 June (Argus) — Germany is planning to impose penalties of €17,000 for each tonne that fuel suppliers fall short of their hydrogen-based synthetic aviation fuel (e-SAF) obligations, under a draft bill implementing the EU's revised Renewable Energy Directive (RED III). The draft, seen by Argus , allows for the penalty level to be adjusted in future. The EU's ReFuelEU Aviation legislation mandates e-SAF blending from 2030. Fuel suppliers must ensure that e-SAF makes up at least 1.2pc of their overall aviation fuel supply on average in 2030–31, with a minimum of 0.7pc each year. The share rises to 2pc in 2032, 5pc in 2035 and 35pc by 2050. Member states are required to set penalties at least twice the price difference between e-SAF produced from renewable hydrogen and conventional jet fuel. Reference prices published by the European Union Aviation Safety Agency earlier this year implied minimum penalties of €13,922/t. Germany's proposed €17,000/t penalty would significantly exceed that level. E-SAF can be produced using renewable or non-fossil low-carbon hydrogen, such as hydrogen from nuclear-powered electrolysis. The legislation also permits the direct use of hydrogen in aviation, although this is widely seen as a longer-term prospect. Germany had previously proposed its own national e-SAF quotas but scrapped those plans following the introduction of EU-wide mandates. Most planned e-SAF production facilities in Europe and globally remain in early development stages. Industry participants have repeatedly called for greater regulatory clarity — including on penalties — and additional support to unlock final investment decisions. By Stefan Krumpelmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Mideast Gulf gasoline premiums rally on tight supply


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Mideast Gulf gasoline premiums rally on tight supply

Dubai, 20 June (Argus) — Gasoline premiums in the Mideast Gulf have surged to their highest in more than two years, driven by tightening supply, rising freight costs and growing concerns over potential disruption following the outbreak of conflict between Israel and Iran. The 92R gasoline premium in the Mideast Gulf rose to $5.75/bl on 19 June, the highest since April 2023. Backwardation — when prompt-month cargoes trade at a premium to later months — widened to $1.85/bl, the steepest level in two years. Premiums had already been rising before the Israel-Iran conflict began on 13 June, averaging $5.22/bl earlier in the month. But a surge in freight rates and the potential for higher Additional War Risk Premiums (AWRPs) in the region have since added "logistical challenges", boosting premiums further, traders said. AWRPs cover vessels against war-related physical loss or damage. While the conflict has not directly disrupted supply, traders voiced concern over possible interruptions to Iranian naphtha flows, which are used for gasoline production elsewhere in the region. Iran exported around 157,000 b/d of naphtha to the UAE in 2024, accounting for more than 63pc of the region's total naphtha imports, according to vessel-tracking data from analytics firm Kpler. Actual volumes may be higher, given the difficulty of tracking sanctioned Iranian cargoes. Shipping firms remain cautious about sending vessels to load or discharge refined products in the Mideast Gulf, market participants told Argus. Reports of increased electronic interference and heavier marine traffic in the strait of Hormuz have caused delays and raised safety concerns. Freight rates for Long Range and Medium Range tankers could remain elevated in the near term. The latest tender by Pakistan State Oil (PSO), a major gasoline importer, reflected the bullish sentiment. Trading firms Vitol, BB Energy and Oman's OQ Trading offered gasoline cargoes at premiums of $7–9/bl to the Mideast Gulf 92R spot assessment — up from $5–6/bl in earlier tenders this year. Supply in the Mideast Gulf was already constrained by local refinery outages and maintenance. Saudi Arabia's PetroRabigh completed a planned 60-day full shutdown of its 400,000 b/d refinery in Rabigh in mid-June. This has been exacerbated by tighter supplies to the region from India, partly because of scheduled maintenance at state-owned MRPL's 301,000 b/d Mangalore refinery, which is expected to restart by 25 June. Gasoline arrivals from India into the Mideast Gulf fell to 307,000t during 1–20 June, down from 460,000t in the same period in May, according to oil analytics firm Vortexa. Underscoring the tightness of the regional market, Nigeria's privately-owned 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery may send its first gasoline export cargo to the Mideast Gulf, according to shipping fixtures — an unusual trade flow prompted by constrained supply. By Rithika Krishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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