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NYK bets on ammonia for sustainable bunkering

  • Market: Biofuels, Emissions, Fertilizers, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 22/09/23

Japanese shipping firm Nippon Yusen Kaisha (NYK) expects ammonia to account for about 50pc of its marine fuel demand by 2050.

The company, which has pledged net zero emissions from marine shipping by 2050, will utilize ammonia, biogas, synthetic methane and biofuels, but ammonia will take center stage by 2050, Junya Omoto, president of NYK's US Energy Transport, told the Argus Sustainable Marine Fuels Conference in Houston.

The company operates 814 vessels, with 90pc oil-fueled ships and 10pc LNG fueled-ships. Its LNG fueled ships include LNG carriers. By 2030, the company expects its share of oil-based marine fuel demand will decline to about 60pc, LNG consumption will increase to about 25pc and ammonia will account for the rest. By 2050, ammonia will account for about 50pc of NYK's bunker demand, biofuels and synthetic fuels will account for about 40pc and 10pc for biogas and synthetic methane, Omoto said.

NYK has looked into bio-methanol, but deems it hard to secure sufficient volumes.

In 2024, NYK will modify a tugboat that burns LNG as a marine fuel to run on ammonia. The company will launch of an ammonia-fueled ammonia gas carrier in October 2026. It is developing an ammonia floating storage and regasification barge (A-FSRB), aiming to prompt use of fuel-use ammonia, especially for co-firing at thermal power plants, but it has not announced an implementation date. NYK has also obtained an approval in principle to develop a carrier that can ship both ammonia and liquefied CO2. NYK expects the global CO2 carrier fleet demand to surpass 600 vessels by 2050 from less than 50 carriers currently. Demand for CO2 carriers will hinge on carbon pricing, volume captured and the location of storage sites.


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21/04/25

US PVC demand outlook softens on weak housing

US PVC demand outlook softens on weak housing

Houston, 21 April (Argus) — US polyvinyl chloride (PVC) participants are downgrading initial demand estimates from nominal growth to more stable expectations in the coming months because of downbeat housing variables. Many US PVC participants throughout March and April said early signs from housing data and customer sentiment did not point to a robust housing construction season in the coming months. PVC buyers have been hesitant to build inventory under such conditions, further slowing consumption because many are unsure when or if end-user demand will support initial purchases. Privately-owned housing permits were at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 1.482mn units in March, according to data from the US Census Bureau and the Department for Housing and Urban Development (HUD). While March permits rose by nearly 2pc from February, they fell by less than 1pc from year-ago levels. Single family permits stood at 978,000 units, down by 2pc from the prior month and lower by less than 1pc from the same time last year. Housing starts in March were at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 1.324mn units, about 11pc below February rates but nearly 2pc higher than a year earlier. Single-family starts declined by about 14pc to a 940,000 unit rate from the prior month. The latest builder sentiment survey for April maintained a cautious view for the single-family homes market, reversing nominally weaker sentiment from March, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). Sentiment, though, remains well below the confidence seen at the start of the year, underpinning a weakening market. PVC participants are increasingly concerned that current and future tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump on critical trade partners will re-trigger inflation and thwart any future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates are largely regarded by PVC players as a bullish demand variable, especially in the housing sector. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell did not ease market concerns last week, saying tariffs are likely to contribute to "higher inflation and slower growth" — or stagflation — and added markets were struggling "with a lot of uncertainty." Powell added that tariffs could challenge the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of maintaining price stability while fostering maximum job growth, leaving policymakers to wait for greater clarity on economic impacts before making any adjustments to interest rates. By Aaron May Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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IMO incentive to shape bio-bunker choices: Correction


21/04/25
News
21/04/25

IMO incentive to shape bio-bunker choices: Correction

Corrects B30 pricing in paragraph 5. New York, 21 April (Argus) — An International Maritime Organization (IMO) proposal for ship owners who exceed emissions reduction targets to earn surplus credits will play a key role in biofuel bunkering options going forward. The price of these credits will help determine whether B30 or B100 becomes the preferred bio-bunker fuel for vessels not powered by LNG or methanol. It will also influence whether biofuel adoption is accelerated or delayed beyond 2032. At the conclusion of its meeting earlier this month the IMO proposed a dual-incentive mechanism to curb marine GHG emissions starting in 2028. The system combines penalties for non-compliance with financial incentives for over-compliance, aiming to shift ship owner behavior through both "stick" and "carrot" measures. As the "carrot", ship owners whose emissions fall below the IMO's stricter compliance target will receive surplus credits, which can be traded on the open market. The "stick" will introduce a two-tier penalty system. If emissions fall between the base and direct GHG emissions tiers, vessel operators will pay a fixed penalty of $100/t CO2-equivalent. Ship owners whose emissions exceed the looser, tier 2, base target will incur a penalty of $380/t CO2e. Both tiers tighten annually through 2035. The overcompliance credits will be traded on the open market. It is unlikely that they will exceed the cost of the tier 2 penalty of $380/t CO2e. Argus modeled two surplus credit price scenarios — $70/t and $250/t CO2e — to assess their impact on bunker fuel economics. Assessments from 10-17 April showed Singapore very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) at $481/t, Singapore B30 at $740/t, and Chinese used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome), or B100, at $1,143/t (see charts). If the outright prices remain flat, in both scenarios, VLSFO would incur tier 1 and tier 2 penalties, raising its effective cost to around $563/t in 2028. B30 in both scenarios would receive credits putting its price at $653/t and $715/t respectively. In the high surplus credit scenario, B100 would earn roughly $580/t in credits, bringing its net cost to about $563/t, on par with VLSFO, and more competitive than B30. In the low surplus credit scenario, B100 would earn just $162/t in credits, lowering its cost to approximately $980/t, well above VLSFO. At these spot prices, and $250/t CO2e surplus credit, B100 would remain the cheapest fuel option through 2035. At $70/t CO2e surplus credit, B30 becomes cost-competitive with VLSFO only after 2032. Ultimately, the market value of IMO over-compliance credits will be a major factor in determining the timing and extent of global biofuel adoption in the marine sector. By Stefka Wechsler Scenario 1, $70/t surplus credit $/t Scenario 2, $250/t surplus credit $/t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Calif. refinery resupply rule vote postponed


21/04/25
News
21/04/25

Calif. refinery resupply rule vote postponed

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Japan’s Revo launches SAF, biodiesel plant in Aichi


21/04/25
News
21/04/25

Japan’s Revo launches SAF, biodiesel plant in Aichi

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IMF anticipates lower growth from US tariffs


17/04/25
News
17/04/25

IMF anticipates lower growth from US tariffs

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