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JG Summit shuts Philippine cracker on technical issues

  • Market: Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 10/05/24

The Philippines' sole cracker operator JG Summit shut its Batangas naphtha cracker on 9 May because of technical issues.

The cracker, which can produce up to 480,000 t/yr of ethylene and 240,000 t/yr of propylene, is expected to restart this coming weekend, sources close to the company told Argus. It also shut associated units — a 70,000 t/yr butadiene extraction unit and an aromatics plant with nameplate capacities of 90,000 t/yr of benzene, 50,000 t/yr of toluene and 30,000 t/yr of mixed xylenes — along with the cracker. These are also expected to return this weekend.

JG Summit is keeping its downstream units running by drawing feedstock from its inventories. The producer has a 320,000 t/yr linear-low density polyethylene/high-density polyethylene (HDPE) swing plant, a 250,000 t/yr HDPE unit and a 300,000 t/yr polypropylene line at the same site.


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07/11/24

Braskem eyes PE, PP gains from tariff hike

Braskem eyes PE, PP gains from tariff hike

Sao Paulo, 7 November (Argus) — Brazilian petrochemical giant Braskem expects to increase its domestic share of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) markets because of higher import tariffs that took effect last month. The Brazilian government's decision to increase import tariffs to 20pc, up from 12.6pc, effective from 15 October and valid for one year, is also expected to boost first-quarter sales by $30mn, the company said Thursday. Additionally, Braskem's operating rates for plastic resins, including polyvinyl chloride (PVC), are expected to rise in the first quarter from 64pc currently, following the seasonally weak fourth quarter. Braskem acknowledged that the higher import tariffs are a temporary government measure. The company is working to boost competitiveness in the petrochemical industry through conversion to renewables, improved technology and greater tax incentives for the industry, among other structural measures, Braskem chief financial officer Pedro Freitas said during the company's earnings call. To bolster the competitiveness of plastic resins made in Brazil, Braskem and fellow PVC producer Unipar Carbocloro have jointly requested the Brazilian government to increase the anti-dumping tariffs already imposed on PVC produced in the US, currently at 8.2pc. Both companies are also monitoring other polymers produced abroad for potential anti-dumping tariff requests. On the investment side, Freitas said Braskem may as much as double capacity at its petrochemical complex in Rio de Janeiro, where the company's cracker operates 100pc on ethane feedstock, and also increase capacity at its petrochemical complex in Bahia, which partially uses ethane. The company is monitoring the regulation of natural gas in Brazil to ensure greater availability of ethane present in the natural gas extracted from Petrobras' offshore operations in the country. The use of this ethane is in the company's plans, according to Freitas. Braskem also stated that it will invest around $60mn in a 30-40 day scheduled maintenance shutdown at its Mexican joint venture Braskem Idesa. The company's cracker in Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro, also is expected to be shut for scheduled maintenance down next year. In the US, Braskem said it is studying potential investments to produce green PP. Looking ahead to next year, Braskem said Donald Trump's victory this week in the US presidential election could lead to greater protectionism in the US, which would be beneficial for Braskem's US operations, or it could lead to weakened domestic demand in Brazil if overseas products that would typically have gone to the US instead shift to Brazil. Freitas said that even with the better outlook for next year coming from the tariff hike on polymers in Brazil, the Trump factor and other global issues such as the currently low petrochemical cycle are causing Braskem to consider possible capacity rationalization, with a possibly decision next year. 3Q production and sales Braskem's domestic resin sales fell by 2pc in the third quarter from a year prior, with volumes also falling in the US, Europe and Mexico. Domestic sales declined mostly because of higher levels of PE and PVC inventories in the transformation chain, Braskem said. Domestic resin sales reached 869,000 metric tonnes (t) in the third quarter, down from 884,000t a year earlier. Compared to the second quarter, the company's Brazil resin sales were up by 6pc on higher volumes of PP after operations at the Rio Grande do Sul petrochemical complex resumed after severe flooding, and greater demand from the hygiene and cleaning sectors. PVC volumes were supported by greater commercial opportunities in the civil construction and sanitation sectors. In Mexico, PE sales through the Braskem Idesa joint venture fell by 3pc on the year to 208,000t because of lower demand. Sales declined by 17pc from the second quarter mainly on inventory management and the expectation of a reduction in PE prices in the international market in the following periods. Third-quarter PP sales were 501,000t, according to consolidated numbers for the US and Europe, down by 8pc from a year earlier and little changed from the previous quarter. The declines were mainly because of lower availability of products for sale in both regions. Braskem narrowed its third-quarter loss to $106mn from a $497mn loss in the same period last year. The loss was largely attributed to a negative exchange rate variation of R$1.2bn ($211mn). By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Mexican peso plummets on Trump win


06/11/24
News
06/11/24

Mexican peso plummets on Trump win

Mexico City, 6 November (Argus) — The Mexican peso fell sharply against the US dollar as markets priced in potential retaliation against Mexico following former president's Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. "A Republican Senate majority and potential House win raise the chances of Trump's radical reforms, which could hurt Mexico's economic dynamism," said a financial analyst from Mexican bank Monex in a note today. The peso initially dropped around 3pc to Ps20.71/$1 early today, hitting a two-year low before recovering to Ps20.20/$1 by midday. The peso may weaken further, as Mexico is vulnerable to tariff hikes amid strained relations over issues like immigration and the opioid crisis, according to a desk report from a major Mexican bank. Trump repeatedly threatened tariffs on Mexico during his presidential campaign, most recently pledging a 25pc tariff on all Mexican imports unless President Claudia Sheinbaum's administration launches a severe crackdown on Mexico's drug cartels, which ship fentanyl and other drugs across the border to the US. Recent constitutional amendments in Mexico, including judicial reforms and proposed eliminations of independent regulators, may also add downward pressure on the peso, according to the report. "The government's goal to direct private-sector involvement could limit market forces," it noted. Mexico's state-owned oil company Pemex typically offsets peso depreciation due to its dollar-denominated oil export revenues, which help cover increased import costs. "Pemex's exports and domestic sales are tied to international hydrocarbon prices, providing a natural hedge," the company stated in its most recent report. Still, analysts warn that Pemex's focus on domestic refining over crude exports could erode this hedge, leaving it more exposed to foreign exchange swings on USD-denominated debt. By Édgar Sígler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop 29 finance talks need leadership after Trump win


06/11/24
News
06/11/24

Cop 29 finance talks need leadership after Trump win

Edinburgh, 6 November (Argus) — Donald Trump's US presidential election victory will likely affect finance negotiations during the UN Cop 29 climate summit starting next week, but the US can still play a role while other developed countries step up to the plate, according to observers. Key negotiations at Cop on a new finance goal for developing nations, the so-called NCQG, could be "severely undermined" by Trump's victory, as the prospect of Washington withdrawing from the Paris Agreement may discourage other countries from engaging with US officials, non-profit IISD's policy adviser Natalie Jones told Argus . Trump pulled the US out of the Paris Agreement during his last term in office, calling it "horrendously unfair", and he has signalled he will do so again. "This could potentially weaken ambitions" at Cop 29, but it is unlikely to derail negotiations, Jones said. Observers agree that the US can still play a role in talks on the new finance goal, a key topic at this year's summit. Parties to the Paris deal will seek to agree on a new finance goal for developing nations, following on from the current $100bn/yr target, which is broadly recognised as inadequate. "The Biden administration still has a critical window to support vulnerable nations' calls to mobilise climate finance and deliver a strong climate target," civil society organisation Oil Change International's US campaign manager Collin Rees told Argus . The Biden administration's delegation, which will still take part in Cop 29, will not change position at this stage, according to Jones. And the US could continue to show some leadership, she said, adding that Washington likely intends to release its 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) early. Countries' new climate plans must be submitted to the UN climate body the UNFCCC by February 2025, but the US could release its NDC at Cop 29 before Trump takes power early next year, she said. "President Biden must do everything he can in the final weeks of his term to protect our climate and communities," including on fossil fuels, Rees said. The prospect of Trump pulling the US out of the Paris accord could cause initial anxiety at Cop 29, Climate Action Network executive director Tasneem Essop said. But "the world's majority recognises that climate action does not hinge on who is in power in the US". "As we saw before and will see again, other countries will step up if the US reneges on their responsibilities and stands back," Essop said. Trump's victory might also present the EU with an opportunity to strengthen its leadership among other developed countries, according to Jones. "It is really on the EU and other countries to step up now," she said. This is a view echoed by German Green lawmaker Michael Bloss, a member of the European Parliament's delegation at Cop 29. "Europe needs to become the adult in the room," Bloss told Argus . The EU cannot rely on the US anymore and must become a global climate leader to ensure success at Cop 29, he said. Meanwhile, Oil Change's Rees stressed that the NCQG is a collective goal. "Other major economies must now step forward to fill the gaps, much as they would have needed to in any scenario given how the US has long refused to pay its fair share," he said. By Caroline Varin and Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Iran sounds alarm on gasoline shortage


06/11/24
News
06/11/24

Iran sounds alarm on gasoline shortage

Dubai, 6 November (Argus) — The new Iranian government has sounded the alarm on an emerging gasoline shortage that looks set to get worse unless new policies are introduced to clamp down on runaway demand growth. Presenting a draft budget for the Iranian year starting on 20 March 2025, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian criticised the existing gasoline rationing system, calling it one of the major hurdles for the proposed bill. Iran has, since 2007, allowed citizens to buy base levels of gasoline at subsidised prices and any additional at a higher price. But the system failed to cap demand and imports sufficiently. In the proposed budget the government has signalled plans to ease shortages, but increasing prices is not on the agenda. A cut to subsidies in 2019 sparked nation-wide protests . "Today the cost of [producing] gasoline — which includes refining costs, transportation costs, and gas station maintenance costs — is about 8000 tomans (80,000 rials)," Pezeshkian said. But consumers only pay 7.5pc of the actual price of gasoline, according to Iran's oil ministry. Iran's gasoline consumption has reached a record high of around 750,000 b/d in the first seven months of the Iranian year that began on 20 March, according to the ministry. Domestic refinery capacity of 670,000 b/d has been unable to satisfy this. To bridge the gap Iran has turned to imports, which has not been easy for the heavily sanctioned country that buys the fuel at market prices. "Around 90 trillion tomans [$1.3bn at the free market rate] was spent to import gasoline this year, which could be increased to 130 trillion tomans [$1.9bn] next year if the [demand growth] trend continues," Pezeshkian warned. Supply-side response If Tehran is unwilling to raise pump prices it will have to add more supply. Work in underway to bringing online an additional fourth train at the Persian Gulf Star (PGS) condensate splitter, and on a 60,000 b/d splitter that made up just one part of the now shelved Siraf project. Consultancy FGE expects these projects to be commissioned by the end of 2025 or early 2026 and "potentially close the gap." The newly-appointed head of state-owned refining company NIORDC, Mohammad Sadegh Azimifar, said using CNG-powered vehicles could reduce the need for more gasoline production. "There are good legal capacities in the country for the development of CNG, including the approval of the energy optimization fund," he said. But CNG has lower mileage and energy content, and CNG filling stations are beset with long queues. "If you have a CNG car, you can only drive it for a day and one will have to wait in long queues to get it refilled, only for it to last for another day", said FGE's Middle East managing director Iman Nasseri. Iran has sufficient reserves of natural gas and LPG, but both of these failed to emerge as a good alternative fuel, he said. The Pezeshkian administration has repeated calls to increase use of public transport and modernise the country's vehicle fleet. But metros and buses are being utilised at maximum capacity and private vehicles are a favourable option in a country with the second-most discounted fuel prices in the world, Nasseri said. Iran is yet to tackle rampant fuel smuggling, with market sources indicating gasoline continues to be illegally shipped to neighbouring countries like Pakistan, Afghanistan and Kazakhstan. Earlier this week, authorities seized around 220,000l of smuggled fuel in several warehouses in Mashhad. While the administration strongly rebukes subsidies, with new vice president Mohammad Reza Aref calling them "unreasonable", they continue to look at solutions that does not include any increase in retail prices, in fear of a repeat of the 2019 protests. But with a lack of infrastructure to capitalize on CNG and limitations in public transportation system, the government may have no choice but to reconsider. By Rithika Krishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK parliament approves SAF mandate from 2025


06/11/24
News
06/11/24

UK parliament approves SAF mandate from 2025

London, 6 November (Argus) — The UK parliament has approved the proposed sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) mandate that will come into effect on 1 January, 2025. Obligated suppliers will have to deliver a 2pc share of SAF in 2025, increasing to 10pc in 2030, 15pc in 2035 and 22pc in 2040. The obligation will remain at 22pc from 2040 "until there is greater certainty regarding SAF supply". The obligation arises at the point at which a supplier's jet fuel can be supplied only to UK aviation. Hydrotreated esters and fatty acids (HEFA) SAF can be used to meet 100pc of SAF demand in 2025 and 2026, but will be capped at 71pc in 2030 and 35pc in 2040. An obligation for Power-to-Liquid (PtL) SAF will be introduced from 2028 at 0.2pc of total jet fuel demand, rising to 0.5pc in 2030 and 3.5pc in 2040. Buy-out mechanisms will be set at the equivalent of £4.70/l ($6.10/l) and £5.00/l ($6.50/l) for the main and PtL obligations, respectively. "It is projected that, between 2025 and 2040, the SAF mandate could deliver up to 25mn t of SAF, securing a saving of up to 54mn t of carbon dioxide", said transport minister John Hendy. The UK confirmed on 17 July it will introduce the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (Revenue Support Mechanism) bill to support SAF production. The government previously said it aims to introduce the mechanism, which will be industry funded, by the end of 2026 . "Together with the SAF mandate, [the mechanism] will give the investment community confidence to invest in these novel and innovative technologies", Hendy said. By Evelina Lungu Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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