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Indonesia may tighten POME oil export rules: Ministry

  • Market: Agriculture, Biofuels, Electricity, Emissions
  • 21/08/24

Indonesian exports of palm oil wastes and residues including palm oil mill effluent (Pome) oil may soon be subjected to stricter export regulations, according to a draft document from its trade ministry.

The ministry released the draft after a meeting with biofuel feedstock exporters on 20 August. The timeline for a decision on finalising the regulation is still unclear, although some market participants said it could be made by this month.

Exports of Pome oil, high acid palm oil residue (Hapor) and empty fruit bunches (EFB) oil under the HS code 2306.60.90 are expected to require export permits, a change from the previous requirement of only export rights. While more details were not disclosed, meeting domestic market obligations (DMO) is usually a prerequisite to get export permits, suppliers said. This means that companies will need to sell a certain amount of cooking oil within Indonesia — or buy export quotas or credits from palm oil refineries around $15-$20/t — before they are able to export these products. This has led to expectations of potentially tightened feedstock exports.

Refineries who sell cooking oil volumes to remote areas of Indonesia will also receive higher export quotas. As of January 2023, only crude palm oil (CPO), refined, bleached and deodorised (RBD) palm oil, RBD palm olein and used cooking oil (UCO) were subject to the DMO requirements.

The previously-set domestic Highest Retail Price (Harga Eceran Tertinggi or HET) for cooking oil sold to consumers at 14,000 rupiah/l is now Rp15,700/l. This is likely because of higher CPO prices and packaging costs, a Indonesia-based supplier said. But market participants said they were also anticipating this increase previously.

The higher HET implies that companies' cost of acquiring export permits in the medium to long term could fall, having sold cooking oil at higher prices domestically, market participants said.

DMO for cooking oil

Indonesia's Ministry of Trade also issued a regulation on 16 August stating that the DMO scheme for cooking oil will move fully from bulk to packaged palm olein – in 500ml, 1 litre (l), 2l and 5l volumes. This is likely to help maintain stable cooking oil prices and control inflation, as packaged olein is easier to monitor than bulk, a supplier said. The deadline for moving from bulk to packaged volumes is 12 November.

Refineries under the DMO must also supply cooking oil volumes domestically of around 250,000 t/month, compared with approximately 300,000 t/month previously. But actual volumes will also depend on factors like how much palm oil wastes and residues exporters want to ship in a particular month too, a supplier said.

The draft document did not include updates to long-awaited changes to export duties and levies to POME oil, UCO and other products, market participants said. They were expecting these changes in September or October when the new government is sworn in, although the actual timeline is difficult to determine. Current combined export duties and levies on POME for August is only $10/t, considering a CPO reference price of $820.11/t. UCO is not subject to duties, but have levies of $35/t.


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04/10/24

Sheinbaum targets $40bn energy transition plan

Sheinbaum targets $40bn energy transition plan

New York, 4 October (Argus) — The ambition of Mexico's new President Claudia Sheunbaum to reach 45pc of renewable generation in the electricity mix by 2030 will include an investment plan of $35bn-40bn, sources familiar with the matter said. Sheinbaum announced a more ambitious goal for renewables and promised to launch an energy transition plan in coming days during her inaugural address on 1 October. The awaited document will include specific strategies and projects to be developed in the first days of her term, Alonso Romero, deputy director of commercial strategy at state utility CFE and one of Sheinbaum's energy advisors during her campaign, told Argus . There will be around $6bn/yr in new investments under Sheinbaum's six-year term to develop a pipeline of 60GW in new capacity, mostly renewable, he added. The new administration will propose several types of contracts to developers that guarantee CFE holds the largest participation in the sector, said Romero. There have been meetings between Sheinbaum's representatives and banks to show the plan's potential, said a source familiar with the topic. But potential investors are still waiting to see if congress passes the bill to reform the energy sector sent by former president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. That energy bill is crucial in Sheinbaum's plan, as it will lay the groundwork for further legal modifications, said Romero. It will be easier to attract the private sector into investing in projects if a long-term contract with CFE provides support as the final source of payment in case of a default, said Romero. Under current law, CFE cannot directly buy electricity from a new power plant unless it comes from a long-term auction. Congress would need to approve the bill and then modify the electricity law to lift that prohibition, so lenders would have certainty that CFE can sign long-term contracts with new renewable or thermal power plants without holding a tender, said Romero. The Sheinbaum administration is considering signing Build, Lease and Transfer (BLT) contracts for some projects, said Romero. This way, CFE will have the opportunity to acquire the asset after 10-15 years of being operated by another company. Hopes and fears Sheinbaum's bet on the energy transition could be seen as a hopeful message for the renewables sector, but investors still need clarity on the rules in the electricity market. Market players have been worried that Sheinbaum will continue her predecessor's energy policy that for years openly attacked private-sector renewable companies. "It is clear that Sheinbaum is trying to make the energy transition her own mark," said Jesus Carrillo, energy expert at Mexican think tank Instituto Mexicano para la Competitividad. "However, it is risking her credibility by setting such ambitious goals." In 2023, Mexico generated just 24.3pc of its electricity from clean sources, despite that category holding 32pc of installed capacity, according to energy ministry (Sener) data. Reaching the new target could be possible if Sheinbaum's administration pulled off a clear path to speed up investments in renewable generation, the sector said. "The energy transition path goes much faster when the government leads it," said Romero. Private-sector renewable companies are willing to finally put an end to the impasse during Lopez Obrador's term. But the legislative electricity proposal along with modifications that will overhaul the judicial power in upcoming months create a worrisome business environment in Mexico, sources said. The Sheinbaum administration needs to provide not only a clear but also attractive legal framework so the private sector can provide the funds and capabilities to aid in this energy transition plan, sources said. Mexico's electricity system requires around $130bn in new investments to meet the country's growing demand from 2024-2030, according to a recent analysis from business trade group Coparmex. By Edgar Sigler Mexico’s share of clean electricity % Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Global bio-bunker demand to pick up, US left behind


04/10/24
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04/10/24

Global bio-bunker demand to pick up, US left behind

New York, 4 October (Argus) — Tightening vessel carbon intensity indicator (CII) scores and looming 2025 FuelEU marine regulation are expected to raise biodiesel demand for bunkering, but non-competitive US prices should continue to weigh down on US bio-bunker demand. Houston B30, a blend of used cooking methyl ester (Ucome) and very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO), in September averaged at $821/t, a $45/t premium to B30 sold in Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp, and a $55/t premium to B24 sold in the west Mediterranean hub of Gibraltar and Algeciras (see chart) . Houston B30 was also priced at $115/t and $61/t premium to B24 sold in Singapore and Guangzhou, China, respectively. The price premium would continue to incentivize ship owners with global, ocean-going fleets to pick Asia first for their biodiesel bunker purchases, followed by northwest Europe and western Mediterranean. US demand for biodiesel for bunkering would continue to stagnate unless the US passes a legislation allowing Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credit under the US Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) program be used by ocean-going vessels fueling with biodiesel in US ports. The legislation could level US' price playing field. Two bipartisan bills were put forward in support of renewable fuel for ocean-going vessels, one in the US Senate this year and one in the US House of Representatives last year, but they are currently dead in the water. Conventional marine fuels are priced cheaper than biodiesel and green varieties of LNG, ammonia, methanol, and hydrogen. But tightening International Maritime Organization (IMO) and EU regulations are forcing the hand of ship operators to consider green fuels to avoid hefty penalties and having their vessels suspended from trading. Ship owners whose vessels are outfitted with LNG-burning engines, are poised to have the lowest marine fuel expense heading into 2025, as fossil LNG is currently ship owners' cheapest low-carbon fuel option. But retrofitting a vessel to burn LNG could range from $5-$35mn, depending on the size of the vessel. Biodiesel, a plug-and-play fuel that does not require a vessel retrofit, is the second cheapest low-carbon fuel option after fossil LNG. IMO's CII regulation came into force in January 2023 and requires vessels over 5,000 gt to report their carbon intensity, which is then scored from A to E. The scoring levels are lowered yearly by about 2pc, so even a vessel with no change in CII could drop from C to D in one year. If a vessel receives a D score three years in a row or E score in the previous year, the vessel owner must submit a corrective actions plan. E scoring vessels could be prohibited from entering some ports' territorial waters, but this penalty is yet to be imposed on any E vessels. In 2023, the IMO reported that 40pc of the vessels scored A or B, 27pc scored C, 19pc scored D or E and 14pc were unresponsive. The EU's FuelEU maritime regulation will require ship operators traveling in, out and within EU territorial waters to gradually reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity on a lifecycle basis, starting with a 2pc reduction in 2025, 6pc in 2030 and so on until getting to an 80pc drop, compared with 2020 base year levels. It imposes a penalty of €2,400/t ($2,629/t) of VLSFO equivalent energy for vessel fleets exceeding its GHG limits. By Stefka Wechsler Biodiesel blends* Houston less global ports $/t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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France's wind sector weighs impact of new government


04/10/24
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04/10/24

France's wind sector weighs impact of new government

London, 4 October (Argus) — Doubts over government policy on onshore wind competed with optimism over offshore wind at the French wind sector's annual conference in Paris on Wednesday. The event took place a day after the first policy announcements of prime minister Michel Barnier , in which he said his government would "better handle the impacts" of wind energy. No more detail is available on what this will mean exactly, although far-right party Rassemblement National (RN), which props up Barnier's minority government, is strongly opposed to wind energy. And of two of the parties in his coalition, president Emmanuel Macron's EPR and Barnier's own Les Republicans (LR), the former is supportive of wind, while the latter is more sceptical without being downright opposed, one developer told Argus . While junior energy minister Olga Givernet told the conference of her intention to reduce the delays developers face, participants Argus spoke to feared Barnier's evocation of "impacts" could mean an expansion of barriers to building new capacity. "We already take the impacts into account," one developer said, noting that firms perform extensive studies and undertake environmental impact assessments (EIAs). And legal challenges are one of the main obstacles slowing down capacity increases, with one developer calling for better-trained judges to reduce the number of "arbitrary" decisions made in these cases. Delays in receiving grid connection and EIAs were other factors developers cited. But the conference was more upbeat on offshore wind. The government will in the coming weeks announce priority zones for offshore wind, which will allow it to launch tenders for 8-10GW of capacity by the end of the year. These will contribute to the country's goal of reaching 18GW of installed capacity by 2035. At the same time, the increasing occurrence of negative price hours threatens the sector, according to industry body France Renouvelables. Negative prices can pose a threat to grid stability, according to grid operator RTE. Large quantities of renewables can be shut down suddenly at the beginning of negative price hours, leading to a sharp output slope, which the grid operator has little visibility of, RTE said. Negative prices are a problem for operators too, even those under contracts for difference (CfDs) which are not directly exposed, according to Jean-Francois Petit of renewables operator Boralex. Operators typically shut down during negative pricing hours, but receive only partial compensation for lost output, he said, while the requirement that production be completely halted can be difficult operationally. And slow progress on repowering could represent another brake to capacity increases. Repowering is not underpinned by primary legislation, but only by ministerial circulars, one developer said, which offers little certainty to firms that want to undertake it. Meanwhile, height limits imposed for aviation constraints and landscape protection reduce the potential to add taller, more powerful turbines. French turbines are typically much smaller than those in neighbouring countries because of these height limits, which reduces access to higher-quality wind resource. And an open question remains over potential local content requirements in future tenders for CfDs. These requirements, enabled by the European Net Zero industry Act (NZIA) and supported by energy regulator the CRE, could prove a fillip for manufacturers of energy-transition materiel such as wind turbines, hobbled by competition from Chinese manufacturers. But incorporation of these requirements would push up costs, requiring higher strike prices at CfDs and more public subsidy. Energy minister Givernet did not appear to give the conference any hints on which way the government would lean, saying that control over both energy prices and security of supply were absolute priorities. Reaching France's goals by 2028 of 33.2-34.7GW of onshore capacity would require an installation rate of 2.3-2.7 GW/yr, roughly twice rates reached in recent years ( see graph ). By Rhys Talbot France onshore capacity and 2028 goals Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK confirms $28.5bn funding for two CCS, H2 clusters


04/10/24
News
04/10/24

UK confirms $28.5bn funding for two CCS, H2 clusters

Hamburg, 4 October (Argus) — The UK government has finalised a commitment to provide £21.7bn ($28.5bn) over the next 25 years to two planned clusters for carbon capture and storage (CCS) and connected projects, including for hydrogen production. The government has reached "commercial agreement with industry" for development of the clusters, it said today. The funding will go to the HyNet cluster in northwest England and the East Coast cluster in England's northeastern Humber and Teesside regions. The two projects were selected as "Track 1" priority clusters in 2021 and could together store some 650mn t of CO2. They could attract £8bn of private investment, the government said today. "The allocation of funding marks the launch of the UK's CCS industry," according to Italy's integrated Eni, which leads the development of HyNet's CO2 transport and storage system. Eni in February gave a start date of 2027 for HyNet. The East Coast cluster is led by the Northern Endurance Partnership, a joint venture between BP, TotalEnergies and Norwegian state-controlled Equinor. A range of projects will connect to the two hubs to transport and permanently sequester the carbon. These will include hydrogen production projects and supporting infrastructure. HyNet will involve projects developed by EET Hydrogen , a subsidiary of Indian conglomerate Essar, which is planning to bring a 350MW plant for hydrogen production from natural gas with CCS online by 2027 and another 700MW facility by 2028. The hydrogen will be partly used at EET Hydrogen's sister company EET Fuels at its 195,000 b/d Stanlow refinery but some will also be delivered to industrial consumers in the area. The HyNet cluster includes plans for 125km of new pipelines to transport hydrogen. The East Coast cluster involves Equinor's [600MW H2H Saltend] project and BP's 160,000 t/yr H2Teesside venture . German utility Uniper's 720MW Humber H2ub (Blue) project, UK-based Kellas Midstream's 1GW H2NorthEast plant and a retrofit facility from BOC , which is part of industrial gas firm Linde, could also connect to the cluster for CO2 storage. All the projects are due to enter into operation before the end of this decade. The funding confirmation for the CCS hubs "is a vital step forward, catapulting hydrogen towards long-term certainty we need in the UK", industry body the Hydrogen Energy Association's chief executive Celia Greaves said. The previous government last year picked two "Track 2" carbon capture clusters that are scheduled to start operations by 2030 — the Acorn facility in Scotland and the Viking project in northeast England. By Stefan Krumpelmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US light vehicle sales surged in September


03/10/24
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03/10/24

US light vehicle sales surged in September

Houston, 3 October (Argus) — Domestic sales of light vehicles rebounded in September, increasing to a seasonally adjusted rate of 15.8mn on the strength of greater truck purchases. Sales of light vehicles — trucks and cars — rose from a seasonally adjusted annual of rate 15.3mn in August, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. Sales have whipsawed the previous four months, but September's rate largely was in line with the 15.7mn unit rate in September 2023. The US Federal Reserve last month cut its target rate for the first time since 2020, bringing it down by 50 basis points from its 23-year highs as inflation has been easing. Lower inflation and Fed easing, which ripples across credit markets, make it more affordable for people to purchase new vehicles. Fed policymakers have penciled in another 150 basis points worth of cuts through 2025, as they hope to head off any weakening in the labor market that could scuttle the wider economy. Higher overall sentiment about the US economy, fueled by a robust 3pc growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter, healthy labor conditions and consumer spending also have encouraged consumers to spend. Sequentially, light truck sales increased by 3.1pc to a 12.8mn unit rate in September, while sales of cars rose by 4.4pc to a 3mn unit rate in the same time period. By Alex Nicoll Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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