News
21/05/26
US refiners boost jet fuel to near record levels
Houston, 21 May (Argus) — US refiners are pumping out jet fuel at a near-record
pace as global demand surges because of Iran-war related supply disruptions. US
jet fuel output has reached above 2mn b/d in recent weeks , as refiners have
added capacity and maximized yields, according to Energy Information
Administration (EIA) estimates. The output is nearing the record weekly high of
about 2.1mn bl set in July 2024. Jet fuel production has increased by nearly
290,000 b/d since the start of the US-Israel war on Iran on 28 February, the EIA
data show. The conflict has choked off oil and products supply through the
strait of Hormuz and damaged energy infrastructure, causing soaring fuel prices.
US refiners expect high margins to continue at least through the end of 2026.
Independent refiner Marathon Petroleum increased jet fuel capacity by 30,000 b/d
at its 606,000 b/d Garyville refinery in Louisiana in March and plans to boost
jet fuel capacity at its 253,000 b/d Robinson refinery in Illinois by 10,000 b/d
in the third quarter. US refiner Valero has also maximized jet production in its
system, increasing yields to more than 30pc of total distillates in March, up
from an average of 26pc, chief operating officer Gary Simmons said on a first
quarter earnings call. Valero plans to push two more refineries into "jet
production mode" to increase yields even further, he said. Refiner HF Sinclair
put into service a project that allows it to swing about 7,000 b/d between
diesel and jet fuel at its 145,000 b/d Puget Sound refinery in Anacortes,
Washington. The project is helping to supply the US west coast and Latin
America, HF Sinclair said. The jet fuel production boost is not limited to the
US. Canadian integrated energy company Suncor in December started producing jet
fuel at its 137,000 b/d Montreal refinery in Quebec, with the potential to grow
it up to 16,000 b/d. The original plan was to sell it domestically into airports
in Montreal and Ottawa, but then the company saw the "unique market blowout" in
the first quarter which continued into the second quarter "where jet fuel became
short in certain markets", executive vice president of downstream Dave Oldreive
said in a first quarter earnings call. Suncor earlier this month sold jet fuel
into Rotterdam in the Netherlands, he said. Europe has sought replacement
supplies following the strait of Hormuz disruptions. Jet fuel prices in the US
climbed to record highs in March and early April following the start of the war.
At the US Gulf coast, jet fuel prices reached an all-time high of $4.73/USG on 2
April, the highest price since Argus launched its assessment in 1994. Overall US
jet fuel prices are expected to average $3.33/USG in 2026, the EIA said in its
latest monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) on 12 May. That forecast is up
by 74pc from the EIA's estimate before the war. Airlines pay the price Jet fuel
costs for all US airlines in March averaged $3.13/USG, up by 30pc from the same
month in 2025, according to Bureau of Transportation Statistics data released on
6 May. Some airlines are limiting capacity because of the higher prices. United
Airlines plans to reduce its flight capacity by five percentage points in 2026
as its first quarter jet fuel costs averaged $2.78/USG, up by nearly 10pc from
the first quarter of 2025. Delta Air Lines expects its jet fuel costs to roughly
double in the second quarter and will keep capacity flat year-over-year "until
the fuel environment improves," chief executive Ed Bastian said on a first
quarter earnings call last month. Another large US carrier, American Airlines,
expects its jet fuel costs to increase by $4bn in 2026 compared to previous
plans. One beleaguered US airline said it could not survive the rising prices.
US low-cost carrier Spirit Airlines permanently shuttered its operations on 2
May, citing higher jet fuel costs, after filing for bankruptcy protection twice
since 2024. By Eunice Bridges and Hunter Fite Send comments and request more
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