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Global Li-ion battery shipments rise in 2024: EV Tank

  • Market: Battery materials, Chemicals, Metals
  • 06/01/25

Global shipments of electric vehicle (EV) power batteries and energy storage batteries surged in 2024, and could continue growing until 2030, according to Chinese research institution EV Tank.

Global EV power battery shipments increased by 22pc on the year to 1,051GWh in 2024. This was mainly driven by continued rises in China's EV sales, which were supported by government incentives such as old vehicle trade-in subsidies, outpacing a slowdown in European and US markets caused by weakening economies and rising inflation.

Global shipments of energy storage batteries rose by 65pc over the same period to 370GWh, supported by China's government-led promotion of energy storage systems in wind and solar industries, falling manufacturing costs, as well as firm physical demand in the US and effects from its investment tax credit. GWh-level orders from some emerging markets such as UK, Saudi Arabia and Australian also grew over 2024.

Global total shipments of lithium-ion batteries increased by 29pc from a year earlier to 1,545GWh in 2024, including 1,215GWh in China that rose by 37pc on the year and accounting for 79pc of the total. Continued demand growth in China and the country's elevated investment in overseas production boosted global shipments.

EV Tank forecasts global lithium-ion battery shipments will rise to 1,899GWh in 2025 and 5,127GWh in 2030. It also estimates China's shipments of sodium-ion battery shipments to more than double to 2GWh in 2024 from 0.7GWh in 2023. But this was far below earlier expectations of 3 GWh/yr, because of higher manufacturing costs for sodium-ion batteries compared with ternary and lithium iron phosphate lithium-ion batteries and lead-acid batteries.

Consecutive falls in lithium carbonate feedstock prices in the past couple of years, mainly caused by rapid supply expansions, have reduced manufacturing costs for lithium-ion batteries. Current average manufacturing costs for lithium-ion batteries fell to 0.50 yuan/Wh as of June 2024, lower than Yn0.60/Wh for the sodium-ion battery, according to EV Tank.


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14/11/25

Sigma paused mine in 3Q, will sell Li tailings

Sigma paused mine in 3Q, will sell Li tailings

Sao Paulo, 14 November (Argus) — Sigma Lithium confirmed it froze production at its flagship project in Brazil between late September and for the entirety of October in order to upgrade mining equipment, which curtailed output in the period. Sigma on 6 October said that it would be enhancing its mining efficiency by switching feedstock providers and upgrading equipment at its Grota do Cirilo mine, in Brazil. The plant began to phase down in September and was shutdown in October, which led to a "significant production decrease," the company's chief executive Ana Cabral said during an earnings call. Third quarter output fell to 44,000 metric tonnes (t) of spodumene, a 27pc decrease over the year and a 36pc sequential drop from the previous quarter. Sigma also failed to export any material in October because of the mining halt. The mine was restarted earlier this week and will ramp up back to normal production levels in the next 2-3 weeks, Cabral said. Sigma declined to share its fourth quarter production guidance, saying it would do so after production resumed. Given the upgrades, however, the company expects to produce 73,000t in the first quarter of 2026, which would be a 6.8pc increased compared to the same period this year. The miner also revised the delivery timeline for its first expansion, now scheduled for completion by the end of 2026, which will lift Grota do Cirilo's total capacity to 520,000t/yr from 245,000t/yr today. It sold 48,600t of spodumene for a total net revenue of $28.5mn in the third quarter. Li tailings will be sold to China Sigma will also begin to sell chemically unaffected dry lithium tailings to Chinese buyers in order to maximize profits and monetize "all lithium we have", Cabral said. The company plans on offloading 950,000t of dry, solid mining byproducts with 1-1.3pc lithium concentration to buyers in China. The company quoted the tailings — which it calls "lithium middlings" — at $120/t at current market prices, which would bring $33mn of additional revenue in the fourth quarter, according to Cabral. There are 100,000t of "middlings" stocked at the port of Vitoria and another 850,000t at the mine, with shipping to China priced at $40/t and $85/t, respectively. Sigma commits first Li batches The company said it secured two offtake agreements with different clients and is negotiating a third to be sealed by year's end. Sigma has, for the first time, committed 100,000t of spodumene to two different customers through long-term offtake agreements. The first agreement covers 80,000t and is structured as a three-month rolling contract at market prices. Under this arrangement, the customer prepays for upcoming production, with payments extending until 30 March 2026. Sigma plans to use the funds as working capital. In the second offtake, the customer has paid $25mn up front in exchange for 20,000t of production over the next three years. Sigma intends to use this funding to support its recent mining upgrade. The company is also negotiating a third offtake with a European-based trading company to partly fund its expansion plans. It expects to close a three-year contract for 40,000t, valued at $51mn upfront, by year-end —bringing total committed production to 140,000t. Additionally, Sigma is in talks for two more offtakes totaling 260,000t, scheduled to close in 2026: one for 80,000t over three years at $100mn, and another for 40,000 t over three years at $51mn. The proceeds from these agreements will be used to repay shareholder debt and fund growth initiatives, respectively. Overall, the miner is set to commit 400,000t of spodumene by the end of 2029. By Pedro Consoli Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU states to vote on TRQ, variable duty alloy safeguard


14/11/25
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14/11/25

EU states to vote on TRQ, variable duty alloy safeguard

London, 14 November (Argus) — The European Commission has proposed safeguard measures that combine tariff-rate quotas (TRQ) and out-of-quota variable duties on ferro-manganese, ferro-silicon, ferro-silico-manganese and ferro-silico-magnesium, in order to support EU ferro-alloy production and market share. EU member states are set to vote on the measures on 17 November. The commission's proposed measures were circulated by the World Trade Organisation at the request of the EU on 12 November. The EU declined to comment on the document. The vote was postponed from today and is the culmination of a safeguard investigation initiated in December 2024. The measures seek to protect seven ferro-alloy producers that have lost significant market share to lower-priced third-country imports. The commission acknowledged that buyers benefit from low prices but argued that protective measures are in the economic and strategic interest of the EU because they ensure a viable domestic industry and steady ferro-alloy supply for EU end-markets. Safeguards to combine TRQ, out-of-quota variable duty The proposed measures set a tariff-rate quota for duty free entry into the EU for each product. Imports in excess of the quota are subject to an out-of-quota variable duty that is the difference between an established price threshold for each product ( see table ) and the actual import price. The quota quantities are equivalent to 75pc of the EU's average imports of each product in 2022-24. This aims to give a 30-40pc "sustainable" market share to European producers, while still maintaining "adequate" supply for downstream users. The annual quota is divided into four three-month segments, starting on 18 November. If excess imports are made at the level of the price threshold or above, no duty needs to be paid. If imports are made at a lower price, the duty paid would be equal to the difference between the net free-at-EU frontier (cif) price and the respective price threshold. The thresholds are set at a "non-injurious price for ferro-alloy imports" determined by the cost of domestic sales for each product type, with added compliance costs, investments and a target profit. But some market participants view the price thresholds as detached from reality. The threshold proposed by the commission is €2,408/t ($2,800/t) cif Europe, which is almost double the actual market price today. Argus assessed ferro-silicon prices at €1,180-1,235/t ddp Europe on 13 November. The excessive size of the threshold means end-users will substitute the alloy with silicon metal or other alternative products, which makes it unlikely the ferro-silicon quota will be met and therefore the threshold will not be a factor, a ferro-silicon producer told Argus . Norway, Iceland subject to measures The proposed measures would apply to imports from European Economic Area (EEA) member states Norway and Iceland, affecting major producers such as Elkem and Finnfjord. The ferro-alloy industry association that was the driving force behind the safeguard investigation, Euroalliages, called for the exclusion of Norway and Iceland from the measures, in a recent interview with Argus . The measures should not apply to either country for reasons of economic integration with the EU economy and business ties, secretary-general Bob Lambrechts said. But Norway and Iceland have inflicted sustained economic injury on EU ferro-alloy producers and the proposed measures satisfy the requirements of Articles 112 and 113, which set out conditions and procedures for safeguards, the commission said. Norway and Iceland supplied 47.4pc of total EU imports last year. Those imports were priced below EU producers' but were noticeably higher than imports from third countries such as India. Silicon excluded Silicon metal imports into the EU did not increase between 2019-24, according to the commission's analysis. Silicon metal was consequently excluded from further investigations and the resulting safeguards. The EU imported 334,861t of silicon in 2024, near flat against 2019 imports of 335,415t, Eurostat data show. Imports decreased to 326,372t in the most recent reported 12-month period, 1 July 2024-30 June 2025. The commission analysed imports relative to production and consumption of ferro-alloys, but it is not clear whether this analysis was done for silicon. Absolute import volumes have not increased, but EU silicon production and consumption have decreased sharply in recent years due to lower demand from aluminium alloy and silicone producers. And EU producers are not able to compete against lower-priced imports from third countries. All EU silicon metal production is currently off line due to untenable market conditions, with shutdowns executed in France, Spain, Germany and Bosnia-Herzegovina. Silicon metal may be affected indirectly if steel mills substitute silicon metal for ferro-silicon, although this is dependent on adjustment of production processes and ferro-silicon prices. Major producer Ferroglobe expressed concern that silicon was excluded from these measures, but welcomed "the commission's commitment to address this in a second step in the coming months". The EU has not publicly communicated any additional trade defence investigations for silicon metal. By Maeve Flaherty and Samuel Wood Price thresholds for tariff increase €/t Product type HS / CN codes Price threshold Ferro-manganese 7202 11, 7202 19 1,316 Ferro-silicon 7202 21, 7202 29 2,408 Ferro-silico-manganese 7202 30 1,392 Ferro-silico-magnesium 7202 99 30 3,647 — WTO, European Commission Volumes of tariff–rate quotas - Year 1 Product type HS and CN codes Allocation by country (where applicable) Year 1 From 18.11.2025 to 17.2.2026 From 18.2.2026 to 17.5.2026 From 18.5.2026 to 17.8.2026 From 18.8.2026 to 17.11.2026 Volume of tariff quota (net tonnes) Ferro-Manganese 7202 11. 7202 19 Norway 28,972.70 28,027.93 28,972.70 28,972.70 India 17,625.79 17,051.04 17,625.79 17,625.79 South Africa 8,272.87 8,003.10 8,272.87 8,272.87 Malaysia 6,765.92 6,545.29 6,765.92 6,765.92 South Korea 4,832.82 4,675.23 4,832.82 4,832.82 Other countries 5,557.54 5,376.31 5,557.54 5,557.54 Ferro-Silicon 7202 21. 7202 29 Norway 35,136.16 33,990.41 35,136.16 35,136.16 Iceland 13,373.32 12,937.24 13,373.32 13,373.32 Kazakhstan 8,090.25 7,826.44 8,090.25 8,090.25 Brazil 6,316.02 6,110.06 6,316.02 6,316.02 Other countries 24,984.27 24,169.56 24,984.27 24,984.27 Ferro-Silico-Magnesium 7202 99 30 China 468.90 453.61 468.90 468.90 Brazil 99.81 96.55 99.81 99.81 India 78.90 76.33 78.90 78.90 Thailand 76.83 74.32 76.83 76.83 Other countries 18.89 18.28 18.89 18.89 Ferro-Silico-Manganese 7202 30 Norway 37,067.71 35,858.98 37,067.71 37,067.71 India 31,958.61 30,916.48 31,958.61 31,958.61 Zambia 7,882.49 7,625.45 7,882.49 7,882.49 Other countries 18,955.56 18,337.44 18,955.56 18,955.56 - WTO, European Commission Volumes of tariff–rate quotas - Year 2 Product type HS and CN codes Allocation by country (where applicable) Year 2 From 18.11.2026 to 17.2.2027 From 18.11.2026 to 17.2.2027 From 18.11.2026 to 17.2.2027 From 18.11.2026 to 17.2.2027 Volume of tariff quota (net tonnes) Ferro-Manganese 7202 11. 7202 19 Norway 29,001.67 28,055.96 29,001.67 29,001.67 India 17,643.42 17,068.09 17,643.42 17,643.42 South Africa 8,281.14 8,011.10 8,281.14 8,281.14 Malaysia 6,772.68 6,551.83 6,772.68 6,772.68 South Korea 4,837.65 4,679.90 4,837.65 4,837.65 Other countries 5,563.09 5,381.69 5,563.09 5,563.09 Ferro-Silicon 7202 21. 7202 29 Norway 35,171.30 34,024.41 35,171.30 35,171.30 Iceland 13,386.70 12,950.18 13,386.70 13,386.70 Kazakhstan 8,098.34 7,834.27 8,098.34 8,098.34 Brazil 6,322.34 6,116.17 6,322.34 6,322.34 Other countries 25,009.25 24,193.73 25,009.25 25,009.25 Ferro-Silico-Magnesium 7202 99 30 China 469.37 454.07 469.37 469.37 Brazil 99.91 96.65 99.91 99.91 India 78.98 76.40 78.98 78.98 Thailand 76.91 74.40 76.91 76.91 Other countries 18.91 18.30 18.91 18.91 Ferro-Silico-Manganese 7202 30 Norway 37,104.78 35,894.84 37,104.78 37,104.78 India 31,990.57 30,947.40 31,990.57 31,990.57 Zambia 7,890.37 7,633.08 7,890.37 7,890.37 Other countries 18,974.51 18,355.78 18,974.51 18,974.51 — WTO, European Commission Volumes of tariff–rate quotas - Year 3 Product type HS and CN codes Allocation by country (where applicable) Year 3 From 18.11.2027 to 17.2.2028 From 18.11.2027 to 17.2.2028 From 18.11.2027 to 17.2.2028 From 18.11.2027 to 17.2.2028 Volume of tariff quota (net tonnes) Ferro-Manganese 7202 11. 7202 19 Norway 28,951.35 28,321.98 28,951.35 28,951.35 India 17,612.81 17,229.92 17,612.81 17,612.81 South Africa 8,266.77 8,087.06 8,266.77 8,266.77 Malaysia 6,760.93 6,613.95 6,760.93 6,760.93 Korea. Republic of 4,829.26 4,724.28 4,829.26 4,829.26 Other countries 5,553.44 5,432.71 5,553.44 5,553.44 Ferro-Silicon 7202 21. 7202 29 Norway 35,110.27 34,347.01 35,110.27 35,110.27 Iceland 13,363.47 13,072.96 13,363.47 13,363.47 Kazakhstan 8,084.29 7,908.55 8,084.29 8,084.29 Brazil 6,311.37 6,174.16 6,311.37 6,311.37 Other countries 24,965.86 24,423.13 24,965.86 24,965.86 Ferro-Silico-Magnesium 7202 99 30 China 468.56 458.37 468.56 468.56 Brazil 99.73 97.56 99.73 99.73 India 78.84 77.13 78.84 78.84 Thailand 76.77 75.10 76.77 76.77 Other countries 18.88 18.47 18.88 18.88 Ferro-Silico-Manganese 7202 30 Norway 37,040.40 36,235.18 37,040.40 37,040.40 India 31,935.07 31,240.83 31,935.07 31,935.07 Zambia 7,876.68 7,705.45 7,876.68 7,876.68 Other countries 18,941.59 18,529.82 18,941.59 18,941.59 — WTO, European Commission Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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S Korea expands car support, plans trade-in EV policy


14/11/25
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14/11/25

S Korea expands car support, plans trade-in EV policy

Singapore, 14 November (Argus) — The South Korean government has announced a wide range of financing and support for its automobile industry, while raising its electric vehicle (EV) subsidies budget and disclosing plans for a trade-in scheme to spur EV purchases. Over 15 trillion South Korean won ($10.31bn) of policy financing will be earmarked by the country for its car and auto parts makers in 2026, said the country's trade and industry ministry (Motie) on 14 November. It comes as intensifying competition in artificial intelligence autonomous driving technology and impacts on the domestic automobile manufacturing base threatens the country's auto sector that is its manufacturing stronghold, Motie said without providing more details, adding to the potential burden from earlier US-South Korea tariff deal . The country is looking to maintain a domestic car production of 4mn units/yr while improving the production quality. The government will also raise its budget for EV subsidies to around W936bn next year, up from an estimated W715bn this year. It is looking to establish a new purchase financing program for electric and hydrogen buses. It also plans to introduce a trade-in subsidy of up to W1mn for new EV buyers who scrap their old cars starting in 2026, in a similar fashion to China's efforts to spur Chinese EV purchases. "Considering the South Korean government's previous policy trajectory, a gradual reduction in EV subsidies would have been the more expected approach," Beomseok Kim, analyst at South Korean market intelligence firm SNE Research told Argus today. But the government appears to have determined that stronger stimulus is needed to re-energise domestic demand given a slower pace of electrification than initially projected, Kim added. The package expanding incentives beyond the 2025 levels signals the government's commitment to keep the momentum alive. South Korea's battery EV domestic sales hit an all-time-high earlier in September, riding on its current eco-friendly vehicle domestic sales uptrend. The South Korean government is expecting an accelerated eco-friendly vehicle adoption trend and it is planning ahead by supporting internal combustion engine (ICE) car parts makers' transition. Financial and R&D support will be focused on its industrial green transformation strategy, while designating 200 "future vehicle specialised companies" by 2030 and having 70pc of its ICE parts companies transition to future vehicles parts firms. The country is eyeing mass production of autonomous vehicles by 2028, with institutional improvements supporting the ambition to be potentially achieved by the end of 2026. South Korean conglomerate Hyundai Motor earlier in October unveiled its goal of turning India into an export hub through a planned Indian investment of $5.1bn through to 2030. By Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU deforestation law may be delayed further: IPOC


14/11/25
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14/11/25

EU deforestation law may be delayed further: IPOC

Singapore, 14 November (Argus) — The European Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) will likely face a second delay this year, said Anri Hadi, Indonesian ambassador to the EU at the 21st Indonesian palm oil conference (IPOC) on 13 November. A 12 November EU vote on whether to extend a six-month grace period for penalties and measures to be applied on medium to large firms — initiated last month — was inconclusive without a majority vote on the proposal, said Hadi. For medium and large enterprises, the EUDR will take effect on 30 December 2025, but a six-month grace period would apply on its enforcement, and for micro and small operators, the EUDR would apply from 30 December 2026 if this proposal were to be accepted. If member states do not agree to a grace period by 15 December, the EUDR would take effect on 30 December 2025 for large and medium companies and on 30 June 2026 for micro and small enterprises. Some member states instead voted to delay enforcement of the EUDR altogether by another year, to December 2026 for medium and large firms and June 2027 for small and micro firms. Under this proposal, there would be no grace period for enforcing the regulation after starting in 2026, Hadi said. Palm oil and some byproducts such as glycerol with 95pc or above purity are listed in Annex I of the EUDR, meaning exporters will have to submit traceability data to relevant government authorities under the EUDR to gain access to the EU market. Sustainability and enforcement guidelines still unclear Hadi called for sustainability standards such as the Indonesian sustainable palm oil (ISPO) certification to be recognised under the EUDR and for government-aligned guidance regarding geolocation data sharing requirements. But providing sustainability data to facilitate EUDR compliance is considered illegal under Indonesian law, said Indonesian vice minister of foreign affairs Arif Havas Oegroseno. Citing Forest Law Enforcement, Governance and Trade (FLEGT) licensing within the timber industry as an example, he said Indonesia could set up a similar licensing unit to provide relevant data to government authorities in the EU while retaining sustainability data domestically. Under proposed traceability requirements, smallholder farmers would be unable to comply with the regulations, Oegroseno added. Farmers subsequently selling product to larger mills would also impact the supply chain as these mills may export palm oil into Europe. By Malcolm Goh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EVs to displace 10mn b/d of oil by 2035: IEA


13/11/25
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13/11/25

EVs to displace 10mn b/d of oil by 2035: IEA

Sao Paulo, 13 November (Argus) — Growing EV sales are set to displace 10mn b/d of oil by 2035 under the International Energy Association's (IEA) stated policies scenario (STEPS) in its latest World Energy Outlook report — a hypothetical scenario based on announced but not yet implemented policies. The IEA expects the global sales share of electric vehicles to rise from 25pc in 2025 to over 50pc in 2035, driven by growing sales in emerging markets such as Asia Pacific — Thailand, Indonesia and Vietnam — and Brazil and steady demand in China and Europe. The STEPS scenario accounts for EV sales of all types, including cars, motorbikes, buses and trucks. This will weigh on demand for fossil fuels, which will peak in 2030 . Around 10mn b/d of oil will be displaced globally by 2035. Oil demand will further decrease as hybrid technologies and biofuels should become more prevalent in 2035, saving an additional 4.9mn b/d, the agency said. Global EV demand set to rise six-fold by 2035 The IEA expects that the general auto market will grow to 1.6bn units in 2026 from 1.4bn units in 2025, with electric vehicles accounting for over 840mn — around 52.5pc — within the next 10 years. EVs account for about one in four cars sold nowadays, with total sales expected to reach 20mn units by year's end, according to the IEA. China alone is on track to sell 14mn EVs in 2025, and Chinese automakers are boosting previously declining EV sales in Europe by introducing 10 new affordable models priced under €25,000 ($29,000), the IEA said. The same is happening in emerging markets such as Brazil, Costa Rica, Uruguay and Colombia, where competitively priced Chinese EVs are reshaping the auto market. Chinese EVs accounted for 85pc of all electric vehicles sold in Brazil in 2024 — and the country doubled its EV sales from a year prior. Sales of electric two and three-wheelers, such as motorcycles and rickshaws, are driving EV sales in Asian markets such as India and southeast Asia. In Vietnam, where these vehicles are particularly popular, electric models now account for over 40pc of total auto sales. These trends are offsetting weakening EV demand from the US, led by Donald Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) , which cuts several tax and monetary benefits surrounding EV sales and the production of its feedstocks. Sales of electric vehicles fell by 4pc in the first half of 2025, according to the IEA. The OBBBA prompted the agency to revise its US EV sales forecast, cutting its 2035 demand projections for the region by 60pc compared to its 2024 report. At the time, the IEA forecast that US consumers would purchase 11mn EV units by 2035, meaning it now sees only 4.4mn vehicles sold in the same period. Comparatively, this year's STEPS scenario sees around 20pc more EVs on the road in emerging markets and developing economies outside China in 2035 compared with the 2024 STEPS, reflecting the recent strong sales growth. By Pedro Consoli Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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