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Trump takes aim at state climate policies

  • Market: Coal, Electricity, Emissions, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 09/04/25

US president Donald Trump is threatening legal action against state climate and clean energy policies, a move that sent environmental markets sharply lower early Wednesday.

Trump on Tuesday directed the Department of Justice to consider taking action against any states and local laws that hamper the development or use of domestic energy resources, with a specific focus on climate-related policies.

US environmental markets stumbled in response to the president's executive order, with California Carbon Allowances (CCAs) for December 2025 delivery trading as low as $22.51/metric tonne on the Intercontinental Exchange and December 2025 Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) CO2 allowances as low as $16/short ton, after being assessed Tuesday at $29.31/t and $21.52/st, respectively. California Low Carbon Fuel Standard futures on ICE also traded as low as $48/t, after going as high as $65.50/t Tuesday.

Fears about the Trump order also spilled into the renewable energy certificate (REC) markets. Vintage 2026 PJM Class I traded as low as $28/MWh on the exchange to start the session, but last traded at $33/MWh. Argus assessed the vintage at $34.60/MWh on Tuesday.

Trump's order specifically calls out California's cap-and-trade program, as well as "extortion laws" from New York and Vermont that seek to levy fees against fossil fuel companies for responsibility for historical GHG emissions. Such climate "superfund" laws are also being considered by a number of other states. But he also suggests state permitting decisions and other laws could be targeted as well.

His order suggests that many of these policies run afoul of the US Constitution by imposing "significant barriers" to trade and discriminating against out-of-state energy sources, or though "arbitrary or excessive" fines.

"These state laws and policies weaken our national security and devastate Americans by driving up energy costs for families coast-to-coast, despite some of these families not living for voting in states with these crippling policies," Trump said.

The president directed attorney general Pamela Bondi to report within 60 days on actions she has taken against state laws and to recommend any additional action by the White House or US Congress to stop enforcement of objectionable policies.

Trump unsuccessfully attempted to sever the link between the California and Quebec carbon markets during his first term, on the grounds that it violated federal authority to establish trade and other agreements with foreign entities under the US Constitution.

The office of California attorney general Rob Bonta (D) said it is reviewing Trump's order, and others he issued Tuesday that aim to bolster the use of coal-fired electricity.

"But this much is clear: the Trump Administration continues to attempt to gut federal environmental protections and put the country at risk of falling further behind in our fight against climate change and environmental harm," the office said. "The California Department of Justice remains committed to using the full force of the law and tools of this office to address the climate crisis head on and protect public health and welfare."

California earlier this year bolstered funding for its Department of Justice in anticipation of increased legal fights with the Trump administration.

New York officials also said they are considering their next steps. The state participates in RGGI and has a renewable energy mandate, but it is also developing an economy-wide carbon market.

"We are thoroughly reviewing the [executive order] to determine the potential impact to New Yorkers. The governor is committed to ensuring a clean, affordable and reliable energy grid in New York state," the office of governor Kathy Hochul (D) said.


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07/11/25

Cop: Paris goals remain elusive

Cop: Paris goals remain elusive

Belem, 7 November (Argus) — A decade after the birth of the Paris climate agreement, most countries still hail it as a landmark. But they also agree that to meet the agreement's goals, countries still need to implement much of what they committed to do 10 years ago. That seems to be the sentiment, heading into the 10 November start of the Cop 30 UN climate summit in Belem, Brazil. It is one that was raised many times during the leaders' summit held over the past two days in advance of the main conference and re-confirms its status as the "implementation Cop". "The Paris Agreement is rightly celebrated, but it is poorly implemented," said Laurent Fabius, president of Cop 21, where the agreement came together in 2015. Others at the pre-Cop leaders' summit appeared to agree. "What we must ask ourselves today is: are we really doing our best?" Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said. "The answer is: not yet." While the greenhouse gas emissions reduction pledges made over the past decade can be hailed as considerable progress, more needs to be done to reach the Paris goals. The agreement aims to limit the rise in temperature global temperatures to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursues a 1.5°C threshold. At the moment, the world looks to be on a path to 2.3-2.5°C . "What we are expecting from Cop is to implement things that have already been decided," Fabius said, referring to the "circle" of eight past Cop presidents he is leading in Belem. "Implementation. Implementation. Implementation," Turkish vice president Cevdet Yılmaz said. But what implementation means varies from one party to another, usually along the usual global ‘north and south' lines that are common at the UN talks. "Developed countries should take the lead on emissions," Chinese vice premier Ding Xuexiang said. He also called for "true multilateralism" and for countries to "translate commitments into concrete action." "We need to strengthen international collaboration in green technology and industry, remove trade barriers and ensure the free flow of quality green products to better meet the needs of global sustainable development", he said. European leaders reiterated their commitment to Paris goals. "This must be the Cop that keeps 1.5‌°C within reach", European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said. "Europe is staying the course, and we offer our support to our partners to do the same." Finance remains the big obstacle. "Compensation is necessary", Suriname president Jennifer Geerlings-Simons said. Last year's Cop, in Baku, Azerbaijan, resulted in a commitment of at least $300bn/yr for developing countries by 2035, with developed countries "taking the lead." The agreement also calls for public and private sources to scale up to at least $1.3 trillion/yr, also by 2035. But developing countries wanted a significantly higher commitment, and many say they are still waiting for past pledges to be fulfilled to help them transition to cleaner energy and adapt to climate change. "The promises of climate finance have not been met," Lula said. "Today, only a small portion of climate finance reaches the developing world." If that money does not come through, the goals of Paris may be further out of reach. "Without adequate means of implementation, demanding ambition from developing countries is unfair and unrealistic," Lula said. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop: 11 countries join carbon market group: Update


07/11/25
News
07/11/25

Cop: 11 countries join carbon market group: Update

Adds details of new endorsements Sao Paulo, 7 November (Argus) — Brazil, China and the EU launched the Open Coalition on Compliance Carbon Markets, an initiative to standardise and integrate different national carbon markets, Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said at a world leaders' summit on 7 November. "Carbon markets can become important sources of public revenue, but they will only gain scale if countries move towards common parameters," Lula said. But "there are still pending tasks", he added. Those include defining better methodologies for accounting for climate finance, the creation of "equitable, collectively decided" environmental rules and increasing the size and efficiency of multilateral banks. Brazil today announced eight new endorsements, from Armenia, the UK, Canada, Chile, France, Germany, Mexico and Zambia. The coalition remains open to new signatories, Brazil added. "Carbon pricing has become a central tool to reduce greenhouse gas emissions with a strong business case for the economy and for the people," European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said. "We want to work closely with Brazil and with many like-minded partners on putting a price on carbon. The key to success is to do it right and to do it together." The coalition will work to implement ambition, effectiveness and fairness of compliance carbon markets as an "important policy tool for achieving nationally determined contributions… while ensuring environmental integrity and supporting a just transition", the European Commission said. It also creates a platform for countries to work together to develop and enhance compliance carbon markets and carbon pricing policies, it added. There are 80 carbon pricing instruments in more than 50 countries, which cover around 30pc of global greenhouse gas emissions, according to the World Bank. Brazil in October launched a secretariat to regulate the country's carbon market. The legislation creating a regulated carbon market in the country passed in December last year . Von der Leyen encouraged other countries to also launch their own domestic compliance carbon markets and join the coalition. The leaders' summit, held on 6-7 November in Belem, northern Brazil, takes place just ahead of the UN Cop 30 climate talks, which begin on 10 November, also in Belem. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop: EU, China join Brazil in carbon market coalition


07/11/25
News
07/11/25

Cop: EU, China join Brazil in carbon market coalition

Sao Paulo, 7 November (Argus) — Brazil, China and the EU launched the Open Coalition on Compliance Carbon Markets, an initiative to standardise and integrate different national carbon markets, Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said at a world leaders' summit on 7 November. "Carbon markets can become important sources of public revenue, but they will only gain scale if countries move towards common parameters," Lula said. But "there are still pending tasks", he added. Those include defining better methodologies for accounting for climate finance, the creation of "equitable, collectively decided" environmental rules and increasing the size and efficiency of multilateral banks. "Carbon pricing has become a central tool to reduce greenhouse gas emissions with a strong business case for the economy and for the people," European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said. "We want to work closely with Brazil and with many like-minded partners on putting a price on carbon. The key to success is to do it right and to do it together." The coalition will work to implement ambition, effectiveness and fairness of compliance carbon markets as an "important policy tool for achieving nationally determined contributions… while ensuring environmental integrity and supporting a just transition", the European Commission said. It also creates a platform for countries to work together to develop and enhance compliance carbon markets and carbon pricing policies, it added. There are 80 carbon pricing instruments in more than 50 countries, which cover around 30pc of global greenhouse gas emissions, according to the World Bank. Brazil in October launched a secretariat to regulate the country's carbon market. The legislation creating a regulated carbon market in the country passed in December last year . Von der Leyen encouraged other countries to also launch their own domestic compliance carbon markets and join the coalition. The leaders' summit, held on 6-7 November in Belem, northern Brazil, takes place just ahead of the UN Cop 30 climate talks, which begin on 10 November, also in Belem. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US EPA grants more waivers from biofuel quotas


07/11/25
News
07/11/25

US EPA grants more waivers from biofuel quotas

New York, 7 November (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration today granted small refiners even more exemptions from federal biofuel blend mandates, raising the stakes of a debate about whether larger oil companies should shoulder more of the burden. The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) granted two full exemptions from the program's annual blend requirements, halved obligations in response to 12 petitions, and denied two others. The agency requires oil refiners and importers to annually blend biofuels or buy credits from those who do, though small facilities that process 75,000 b/d or less can request program waivers that can save them tens of millions of dollars. The agency used the same methodology as its sweeping August decision , which responded to a historic backlog of petitions and granted most refiners some relief from years of mandates. New petitions poured in afterwards, including from refiners that had not requested waivers in years. And more decisions could come soon, with EPA committing Friday to "address new petitions as quickly as possible" and to try to meet a legal requirement to decide requests within 90 days. Farm and biofuel groups fear that widespread waivers curb demand for their products and have lobbied the Trump administration to follow through on a plan to make oil companies without exemptions blend more biofuels in future years to offset past exemptions for their smaller rivals. Particularly for higher-cost products like renewable diesel and biogas, any dip in demand can prompt biorefineries to slash output. The debate has intensified in recent weeks after a refiner granted generous exemptions in August announced plans to convert a renewable diesel unit back to crude. "The impact on biofuel and agriculture markets will be devastating" without compensating for these exemptions in future biofuel quotas, said Geoff Cooper, president of the ethanol lobby Renewable Fuels Association. EPA already planned on estimating future exemptions from 2026-2027 requirements when finalizing biofuel mandates those years. But the agency has added more work to its plate with a subsequent plan to force large oil refiners to compensate for either all or half of the biofuel volumes lost to actual and expected exemptions from 2023-2025 requirements. The impact of older exemptions is less significant since the credits are expired. The challenge for EPA is that small refiners can submit new or revised petitions at any time, including for years-old mandates. That makes it hard for EPA to accurately forecast future exemptions, and biofuel groups have feared that the agency could muddle the effects of its "reallocation" plan by underestimating volumes ultimately lost to program waivers. Indeed, EPA with its Friday decisions has already waived more requirements than it predicted earlier this year. The agency last forecast that exemptions from 2023 and 2024 mandates would amount to around 1.4bn Renewable Identification Number credits (RINs) of lost demand — but now, the waivers have already reduced obligations those years by 1.92bn RINs, according to program data. If EPA sticks to its plans, that means large refiners will have to blend an even greater share in future years than expected. But if the Trump administration waters down its reallocation idea, biofuel demand could sink more than previously forecast too. There is also the risk that EPA underestimates exemptions for the 2025 compliance year. EPA last forecast that exemptions from those requirements will amount to 780mn RINs of lost demand but has not yet decided any of the 12 pending petitions for that year. Many more requests are likely. Small refiners add to their winnings The August exemptions were a windfall for some oil companies. HF Sinclair, which owns multiple small refineries, last week reported $115mn from lower compliance costs as well as a $56mn indirect benefit from "commercial optimization" of its RIN credit position. And HF Sinclair won more Friday, winning full waivers from 2023 and 2024 biofuel mandates for the "east" section of a larger 125,000 b/d complex in Tulsa, Oklahoma that before September had not previously requested relief in at least three years. The company also won partial relief for two other units from 2021 mandates. Phillips 66 won four years of partial relief for its 66,000 b/d Montana facility, as did Big West Oil for its 35,000 b/d Utah plant. Silver Eagle won exemptions from 2023 blend mandates for two smaller units it owns in Wyoming and Utah. The only Friday denials were for Chevron's 45,000 b/d Utah refinery, which applied for the first time in years just last month. But the increasingly generous relief for small refiners is likely to provoke further backlash from larger oil companies, which argue that making them blend more biofuels is anticompetitive and illegal. EPA is months behind schedule on setting biofuel mandates for 2026 and 2027 and has a deadline Friday to tell a court more about how its reallocation plan affects its timeline. Biofuel groups have asked the court to force the agency to finalize program updates by year-end. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop: 15 nations join sustainable fuels pledge: Update


07/11/25
News
07/11/25

Cop: 15 nations join sustainable fuels pledge: Update

Updates with new membership announcement Belem, 7 November (Argus) — A global effort to quadruple the global output and use of sustainable fuels by 2035 will eventually gain significantly greater international backing and provide a boost to energy transition efforts, Engie chairman Jean-Pierre Clamadieu said on Friday. A total of 15 countries joined the "Belem 4x" pledge during a world leaders' summit held on 6-7 November just ahead of the UN Cop 30 climate talks, the Brazilian government said, bringing the total backing to date to 19 nations. The "Belem 4x" pledge, which Brazil proposed in September , launched with support from three other countries — Italy, Japan and India. Clamadieu said he believes total support could grow to around 25-35 countries, if not more. "I think everyone will wait a bit before signing, because people want to study to make sure that all the aspects have been taken into account. But again, I think this pledge will have a big success," Clamadieu told reporters today on the sidelines of the summit. The Brazilian government has said global collaboration is needed to meet the Belem 4x goal and will help lower existing barriers, such as high costs, the lack of clear demand signals and the need for investment in new infrastructure. The pledge's goal is to use sustainable fuels and other technologies to help reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from electricity generation and from hard-to-abate sectors such as aviation, maritime transport and the cement and steel sectors. "We won't be able to decarbonise if we don't have green molecules that can be used as fuel," Clamadieu. The focus on sustainable fuels is a natural complement to the pledge to triple renewable energy by 2030 that 118 countries signed on to at Cop 28 in Dubai in 2023, according to Clamadieu. "I think it's really it's a bit of a missing piece today, when you look at energy transition," he said. "What was really missing in this Dubai commitment was this issue of green molecules." The countries joining Belem 4x are Armenia, Belarus, Canada, Chile, Guatemala, Guinea, Maldives, Mexico, Mozambique, Myanmar, Netherlands, Panama, South Korea, Sudan, and Zambia. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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