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German oil product transport improves as Rhine rises

  • Market: Freight, Oil products
  • 02/06/25

Conditions for transporting oil products in Germany are improving, as rising Rhine water levels ease barge restrictions and rail disruptions subside.

Water levels on the Rhine continued to rise over the past week, reaching just below 1.80m at the key bottleneck near Kaub on 2 June. The federal waterways and shipping administration expects levels to exceed 2m on 5 June for the first time since early March.

Once that threshold is crossed, barges travelling from the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub to destinations along the Main and Upper Rhine will be able to load up to 96pc of capacity.

Rising water levels have allowed barge operators to continue lowering freight rates along these routes. Rates for shipments from ARA to Frankfurt have nearly halved since peaking in mid-April at €60/t for diesel and €61/t for gasoline.

Increased supply and cheaper transport have led to lower product prices at tank farms along the Rhine. The price gap between Germany's most and least expensive regions for heating oil and road fuels is narrowing.

Meanwhile, train operator Deutsche Bahn has completed scheduled construction work on the rail line between Schwedt and Berlin, traders said. Since 11 April, trains from the 230,000 b/d Schwedt refinery had been rerouted via Rostock — a 400km detour — causing delays and temporary supply tightness in Berlin and southeastern Germany, while oversupply built up at the refinery.

Output at the Bayernoil joint venture's 215,000 b/d Vohburg-Neustadt refinery remains restricted into June. Several stakeholders plan to reduce or halt heating oil production this month in favour of increasing diesel output, traders said.


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23/06/25

Russia condemns US strikes, offers Iran support

Russia condemns US strikes, offers Iran support

London, 23 June (Argus) — Russia has condemned US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities but said they will not affect Moscow's dialogue with Washington. "This is an absolutely unprovoked aggression against Iran. It has no basis or justification," state news agency Tass quoted President Vladimir Putin as saying during a meeting in Moscow with Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araqchi. Earlier today, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov also criticised the strikes and expressed "deep regret" over the escalating conflict in the Middle East. "There has been an increase in the number of participants in this conflict, a new round of escalation of tensions in the region. And of course, we condemn this and express deep regret in this regard," Peskov said, according to Tass. Despite the tensions, Peskov said the US strikes would not affect Russia's bilateral dialogue with Washington, describing the two processes as "independent". He also raised concerns about potential radiation risks from the attacks. "We need to find out what happened to these nuclear facilities and whether there is a radiation hazard," he said, while noting that the UN nuclear watchdog, the IAEA, had reported no signs of contamination so far. Peskov said Russia is ready to support Iran, depending on Tehran's needs. "We have offered our mediation efforts. This is specific," he said. "Everything depends on what Iran needs." Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Iran raises Hormuz closure threat after US strikes


23/06/25
News
23/06/25

Iran raises Hormuz closure threat after US strikes

Dubai, 23 June (Argus) — A senior Iranian lawmaker says parliament has concluded that the strait of Hormuz "should be closed" in response to US airstrikes on three nuclear sites early Sunday — a move that would severely disrupt global oil flows. Esmaeil Kowsari — a member of the national security and foreign policy commission, and a former high-ranking commander in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) — told state-owned Press TV that lawmakers had reached a consensus that closure would be the appropriate response. Argus understands that while members of parliament were all in agreement, the issue was not formally put to a vote. Kowsari said the final decision lies with the Supreme National Security Council, Iran's top security body. His comments have drawn global attention as markets await Iran's response to the strikes, which US president Donald Trump ordered against nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The Fordow site is heavily fortified and located underground. The Natanz facility had already been targeted by Israeli strikes, prompting a series of retaliatory missile and drone exchanges between Iran and Israel. Iranian officials, including supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had repeatedly warned Washington that any direct military action would trigger a response causing "irreparable" harm to the US. . Variety of options The strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil transit route, with around 17mn b/d of crude and refined products — roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil trade — passing through it. Iran has repeatedly threatened to close the strait in past confrontations but has never followed through. It has, however, previously targeted or seized vessels transiting the waterway, prompting some shipowners to consider alternative routes. Closure of the strait is one of several retaliatory options regularly floated by Iranian political and military leaders. Others include military strikes on US bases across the Mideast Gulf. The US maintains installations in Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Iraq. Asked whether closing the strait was under consideration, Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araqchi declined to confirm, saying only that "there are a variety of options available to us". Araqchi travelled to Moscow late on Sunday and is expected to meet Russian president Vladimir Putin on Monday. Moscow has condemned the US strikes. Ali Akbar Velayati, a long-time adviser to Khamenei, also issued a veiled threat to Washington, saying: "West Asia is not Greenland, and the strait of Hormuz is fundamentally different from the Panama Canal." The comment referenced earlier threats by Trump to assert US control over Greenland and the Panama Canal during the early days of his second term. US secretary of state Marco Rubio warned that any attempt by Iran to close the strait would be "a terrible mistake." "It's economic suicide for them if they do it, and we retain options to deal with that," he said. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Iran’s refineries at risk in escalating conflict


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Iran’s refineries at risk in escalating conflict

Iran would probably have to curtail products exports and turn to the import markets if its refineries are attacked, write Ieva Paldaviciute and Nader Itayim Dubai, 20 June (Argus) — Key oil and gas production and export facilities have stayed out of the firing line a week into the conflict between Tehran and Tel Aviv, bringing a degree of relief to global markets. But the targeting of downstream assets by both sides has raised the spectre of looming domestic fuel shortages if the conflict endures. No Iranian crude refineries have been hit yet in the Israeli strikes that, for the most part, have focused on key military and nuclear-related infrastructure and personnel. But strikes on two gas processing facilities in the south of the country and two products storage facilities on the outskirts of Tehran suggest refineries, or condensate splitters, soon could be affected. Iran retaliated by attacking Israel's 197,000 b/d Haifa refinery on 15 June, damaging is power supply system. The plant initially continued crude processing while shutting some secondary units, but it fully halted operations on 17 June. Iran has nearly 2mn b/d of crude refining capacity spread across nine facilities, which rises to about 2.4mn b/d when including the 360,000 b/d Persian Gulf Star condensate splitter in Bandar Abbas, on the Mideast Gulf coast. This is up from below 1.9mn b/d a decade ago, after capacity additions at the 58,000 b/d Shiraz, 630,000 b/d Abadan and 220,000 b/d Tehran refineries, among others. Iran nevertheless has grappled with a severe products imbalance in recent years, driven primarily by a fast increase in its domestic fuel consumption. Although operations at all refineries remain unimpeded, the conflict has triggered a frenzy of fuel buying by Iranians, particularly in Tehran, with Israel warning residents to leave the city as it intensifies its bombing campaign. If any refining infrastructure is hit, Iran may quickly have to halt products exports to ensure that domestic supply can be met. Iran is a net exporter of fuel oil and naphtha, but its position as a gasoline and gasoil exporter has diminished in recent years owing to its fast-growing domestic demand. The reimposition of US sanctions on Iran by US president Donald Trump during his first term in 2018 and his "maximum pressure" campaign on Tehran at the start of his second term in January have only added pressure to its products trade. Iranian naphtha is shipped mainly to the UAE, where it is used as a gasoline blendstock. Iran exported about 116,000 b/d of naphtha in January-May, data from consultancy FGE show, down by 12pc from its 2024 exports. Transfer news Iranian fuel oil typically makes its way to floating storage hubs in Asia-Pacific, often after multiple ship-to-ship transfers designed to obscure its origin. Some cargoes are then re-exported to China and bought by independent refiners as feedstock fuel. Fuel oil exports stood at 252,000 b/d in the first five months of this year, down from 264,000 b/d last year. Iran has had to turn to imports to bridge the gap between its gasoline production of about 660,000 b/d and average consumption of 780,000 b/d during the Iranian year to 20 March 2025, according to state-owned refiner NIORDC. Iran's diesel production has also been playing catch-up, with heavily subsidised consumption exacerbated by fuel smuggling to neighbouring countries. Iran still exported 42,000 b/d of diesel this year, according to FGE, but this is less than half of the 102,000 b/d it exported last year. The Haifa refinery is a key supplier to Israel's domestic market but it also exported about 12,000 b/d of diesel and gasoil, and 13,000 b/d of fuel oil in January-May, mostly to neighbouring countries in the Mediterranean. A prolonged shutdown could result in Israel turning to products imports, pressuring supply chains in the Mediterranean. Israel aims to restart the plant within weeks. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Egypt’s diesel imports rise as Israeli gas halt bites


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Egypt’s diesel imports rise as Israeli gas halt bites

Dubai, 20 June (Argus) — Egypt is ramping up diesel imports to keep its power plants running after Israel halted pipeline natural gas supply in response to its ongoing conflict with Iran. The country is on track to receive 354,000 b/d of diesel and other gasoil in June, according to preliminary data from Vortexa. Kpler estimates a lower volume of 275,000 b/d. By comparison, Egypt imported an average of 217,000 b/d in 2024, both firms show. More than 60pc of this month's imports are coming from Saudi Arabia, primarily from the Red Sea ports of Yanbu and Jizan. These cargoes benefit from proximity and a freight advantage, as they can reach Egypt while avoiding the security risks in the Bab el-Mandeb strait. The surge in diesel demand follows Israel's suspension of gas exports to Egypt and Jordan on 13 June, after it shut production at the Leviathan and Karish gas fields in response to an escalation in its conflict with Iran. On the same day, Egypt's energy ministry announced it had halted gas supply to some industrial users and instructed power plants to burn diesel in the "maximum available quantity". Egypt is seeking to ensure adequate power generation during the onset of the summer cooling season. Its need to replace lost gas supply with diesel is adding pressure to an already tight European diesel market . Already structurally short of diesel, Europe has faced reduced inflows from the Mideast Gulf and India since April, while US shipments have been limited. Diesel values and refining margins in Europe have shot up in the past week as supply concerns mount and freight rates rise. The Mediterranean market is particularly tight following the introduction of a new International Maritime Organisation emissions control area (ECA) in May. The ECA requires ships to use fuel with a maximum sulphur content of 0.1pc, down from 0.5pc. Marine gasoil (MGO) and ultra-low sulphur fuel oil (ULSFO) meet the new standard. But much of the gasoil used in MGO blending is also suitable for desulphurisation and road fuel use, so its diversion into marine fuels is tightening diesel supply. Egypt could also turn to fuel oil for power generation, which may further increase MGO demand and tighten the Mediterranean diesel market. Meanwhile, repair and maintenance work at Israel's two refineries has placed additional strain on diesel and other gasoil supply in the Mediterranean. The 197,000 b/d Haifa refinery was shut on 16 June after being damaged in an Iranian missile strike, and the Ashdod refinery entered partial scheduled maintenance on the same day. Egypt is due to install two additional floating storage and regasification units (FSRUs) by the end of June. The added LNG import capacity could help offset the loss of Israeli gas and ease diesel demand. By Ieva Paldaviciute and Josh Michalowski Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Mideast Gulf gasoline premiums rally on tight supply


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Mideast Gulf gasoline premiums rally on tight supply

Dubai, 20 June (Argus) — Gasoline premiums in the Mideast Gulf have surged to their highest in more than two years, driven by tightening supply, rising freight costs and growing concerns over potential disruption following the outbreak of conflict between Israel and Iran. The 92R gasoline premium in the Mideast Gulf rose to $5.75/bl on 19 June, the highest since April 2023. Backwardation — when prompt-month cargoes trade at a premium to later months — widened to $1.85/bl, the steepest level in two years. Premiums had already been rising before the Israel-Iran conflict began on 13 June, averaging $5.22/bl earlier in the month. But a surge in freight rates and the potential for higher Additional War Risk Premiums (AWRPs) in the region have since added "logistical challenges", boosting premiums further, traders said. AWRPs cover vessels against war-related physical loss or damage. While the conflict has not directly disrupted supply, traders voiced concern over possible interruptions to Iranian naphtha flows, which are used for gasoline production elsewhere in the region. Iran exported around 157,000 b/d of naphtha to the UAE in 2024, accounting for more than 63pc of the region's total naphtha imports, according to vessel-tracking data from analytics firm Kpler. Actual volumes may be higher, given the difficulty of tracking sanctioned Iranian cargoes. Shipping firms remain cautious about sending vessels to load or discharge refined products in the Mideast Gulf, market participants told Argus. Reports of increased electronic interference and heavier marine traffic in the strait of Hormuz have caused delays and raised safety concerns. Freight rates for Long Range and Medium Range tankers could remain elevated in the near term. The latest tender by Pakistan State Oil (PSO), a major gasoline importer, reflected the bullish sentiment. Trading firms Vitol, BB Energy and Oman's OQ Trading offered gasoline cargoes at premiums of $7–9/bl to the Mideast Gulf 92R spot assessment — up from $5–6/bl in earlier tenders this year. Supply in the Mideast Gulf was already constrained by local refinery outages and maintenance. Saudi Arabia's PetroRabigh completed a planned 60-day full shutdown of its 400,000 b/d refinery in Rabigh in mid-June. This has been exacerbated by tighter supplies to the region from India, partly because of scheduled maintenance at state-owned MRPL's 301,000 b/d Mangalore refinery, which is expected to restart by 25 June. Gasoline arrivals from India into the Mideast Gulf fell to 307,000t during 1–20 June, down from 460,000t in the same period in May, according to oil analytics firm Vortexa. Underscoring the tightness of the regional market, Nigeria's privately-owned 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery may send its first gasoline export cargo to the Mideast Gulf, according to shipping fixtures — an unusual trade flow prompted by constrained supply. By Rithika Krishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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