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Lee Jae-Myung wins South Korea’s presidential election

  • Market: Coal, Electricity
  • 04/06/25

Opposition candidate Lee Jae-myung won South Korea's presidential election on 3 June. His win could bring about significant shifts in the country's energy mix away from fossil fuels.

Lee is the leader of the main opposition Democratic Party and was up against Kim Moon-soo of the incumbent People Power Party.

South Korea has faced much political turmoil over the past few months. The country impeached then-president Yoon Suk Yeol on 14 December, after he declared martial law on 3 December and ended it about six hours later. Yoon "committed the crime of internal rebellion by abusing the right" to declare martial law, according to the National Assembly's impeachment motion, which called the martial law declaration an "unconstitutional and illegal act".

Acting president and prime minister Han Duck-soo was also impeached less than two weeks later and subsequently resigned on 1 May.

Lee's appointment as president could accelerate the country's energy transition efforts. He has campaigned to completely phase out coal-fired power plants by 2040. Coal took up 28.4pc of South Korea's energy mix in 2024, and the country is the world's fourth-largest coal importer, taking around 86mn t in 2024, Argus data show.

Under Lee's plan, the share of nuclear energy in South Korea's power generation would rise from 31.4pc in 2024 to 60pc, and renewables would grow from 10pc to 24pc. The share of LNG would fall from 28pc to 15pc, but no specific timeline was provided for these changes.

His proposals also include ramping up renewable energy initiatives, and introducing carbon taxes and incentives for green investment.

Lee will also have to navigate economic uncertainty arising from US tariffs, like many other heads of states. US president Donald Trump has most recently indicated he will double tariffs on imported steel to 50pc, effective from 4 June. South Korea exported 1.55mn t of finished steel to the US in 2024, according to GTT data.


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23/06/25

Russia condemns US strikes, offers Iran support

Russia condemns US strikes, offers Iran support

London, 23 June (Argus) — Russia has condemned US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities but said they will not affect Moscow's dialogue with Washington. "This is an absolutely unprovoked aggression against Iran. It has no basis or justification," state news agency Tass quoted President Vladimir Putin as saying during a meeting in Moscow with Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araqchi. Earlier today, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov also criticised the strikes and expressed "deep regret" over the escalating conflict in the Middle East. "There has been an increase in the number of participants in this conflict, a new round of escalation of tensions in the region. And of course, we condemn this and express deep regret in this regard," Peskov said, according to Tass. Despite the tensions, Peskov said the US strikes would not affect Russia's bilateral dialogue with Washington, describing the two processes as "independent". He also raised concerns about potential radiation risks from the attacks. "We need to find out what happened to these nuclear facilities and whether there is a radiation hazard," he said, while noting that the UN nuclear watchdog, the IAEA, had reported no signs of contamination so far. Peskov said Russia is ready to support Iran, depending on Tehran's needs. "We have offered our mediation efforts. This is specific," he said. "Everything depends on what Iran needs." Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Iran vows payback after US strike on nuclear facilities


23/06/25
News
23/06/25

Iran vows payback after US strike on nuclear facilities

Dubai, 23 June (Argus) — Iran said today that US airstrikes on its nuclear facilities have expanded the range of legitimate military targets for its armed forces, intensifying concerns over supply disruptions in a region that underpins global oil trade. Powerful and targeted operations with "serious consequences" await the US in response to its direct involvement in strikes on Iranian soil, according to Ebrahim Zolfaqari, spokesperson for Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya central military headquarters. "Mr. Trump, the gambler, you may start this war, but we will be the ones to end it," Zolfaqari said. The US strikes on three heavily fortified nuclear facilities in Iran early on 22 June local time marked a clear shift, with Washington now openly joining Israel's military campaign against Tehran's nuclear programme, which Israel views as an existential threat. Israel and Iran have been trading airstrikes and missiles since 13 June. The US has thousands of troops stationed across the Middle East, including in Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Iraq. While Iran has threatened retaliation, it has so far held back from steps often floated by its leadership, such as striking US bases in the region or closing the strait of Hormuz — a vital waterway through which about a quarter of global seaborne oil trade flows. The US bombing and Iran's threats of retaliation caused crude futures to rise sharply in early trading on 23 June , with front-month Ice Brent climbing above $80/bl for the first time in five months, as the US bombing raised fears of wider escalation. But markets later pared gains. The August Ice Brent contract was trading at $76.56/bl as of 08:25 GMT, down by 45¢/bl from its 20 June settlement. Trump warned Iran against retaliating for the strikes and signalled he is open to regime change in Tehran. "If the current Iranian Regime is unable to MAKE IRAN GREAT AGAIN, why wouldn't there be a Regime change??? MIGA!!!" he said on Sunday, as Tehran continued to show defiance. He followed up by claiming the strikes had caused "monumental" damage to Iran's nuclear sites, adding that the "biggest damage took place far below ground level. Bullseye!!!" The full extent of the damage remains unverified. But "even if nuclear sites are destroyed, game isn't over, enriched materials, indigenous knowledge, political will remain", said top Iranian military and nuclear adviser, Ali Shamkhani. The UN's nuclear watchdog, the IAEA, said on 22 June that no increases in off-site radiation levels had been reported following the US strikes. Director general Rafael Grossi, in an address to the UN Security Council, confirmed that Fordow — Iran's main facility for enriching uranium to 60pc — was hit. He also said the Esfahan nuclear site and the Natanz enrichment facility were struck again. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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NZ’s Genesis Energy to maintain coal generators to 2035


23/06/25
News
23/06/25

NZ’s Genesis Energy to maintain coal generators to 2035

Sydney, 23 June (Argus) — Four New Zealand utilities have signed a non-binding agreement to support utility Genesis Energy's coal and gas-fired Rankine generators at its 953MW Huntly power station through to 2035, underpinning New Zealand coal demand for a decade. The company announced the deal on 19 June. It did not reveal the specific support mechanisms in the deal, but likely involves the other utilities making annual payments in exchange for the right to buy electricity from the company's Huntly power station as needed. Genesis will use the support to maintain its Rankine units until 2035 and build a fuel reserve at Huntly. One of the generators was set to retire in 2026, and two others were previously set to shut early in the next decade. Maintenance will be required on the unit set to retire in 2026. Genesis expects to finalise an agreement with the other utilities by the start of 2026, with the aim to have all Rankine units on line by mid-2026 in time for New Zealand's winter period. Genesis' Rankine units at its Huntly power station play a supporting role in New Zealand's power system, firing up when renewable generation from hydroelectric, geothermal and wind sources falls. The company is working on transitioning its Rankine units to biomass generators, but this is dependent on economic viability of black wood pellet prices . Indonesian sub-bituminous coal, which Genesis uses to power Huntly, is currently much cheaper than pellets. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Pakistan loses EU GSP+ ethanol status


20/06/25
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20/06/25

Pakistan loses EU GSP+ ethanol status

London, 20 June (Argus) — The European Commission today suspended Pakistan's Generalised Scheme of Preferences Plus (GSP+) status for imports of ethanol. The removal is effective from today, 20 June. A request was lodged in May last year by France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Hungary and Poland, who sought to activate Article 30 of the GSP Regulation, arguing that ethanol coming from Pakistan since 2022 has "caused a serious disturbance to the Union ethanol market". Under Article 30, the commission can "adopt an implementing act in order to suspend the preferential arrangement in respect of the products concerned". Pakistan was granted GSP+ status in 2014, and this expired at the end of 2023. The status was temporarily extended until 2027. The GSP+ grants reduced-tariff or tariff-free access to the EU for vulnerable low- and lower- to middle-income countries that, according to the EU, "implement 27 international conventions related to human rights, labour rights, protection of the environment and good governance". It fully removes custom duties on two-thirds of the bloc's tariff lines in Pakistan's case, including ethanol. Pakistan is a major supplier of industrial-grade ethanol to Europe, but it does not export fuel-grade ethanol. According to market participants, this is because production facilities in the country lack sustainability certifications such as the International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) that are required for biofuels to qualify under the EU Renewable Energy Directive (RED) targets. Fuel-grade ethanol was not included in the bloc's measures. Several Pakistani market participants were hopeful the GSP+ status will remain in place, which has continued to support ethanol exports from the country to the EU ( see table ). But uncertainty has weighed on demand from Europe recently, suppliers said. A participant told Argus that Pakistani sellers may look to offer more into Africa to soften the drop in demand. Some European suppliers anticipated this outcome, and have already stopped importing from Pakistan. European renewable ethanol association ePure expressed concern about the decision to exclude fuel ethanol from the scope of the measures, noting this could open the door to unintended loopholes and weaken the overall effect of the safeguard efforts. By Evelina Lungu and Deborah Sun European ethanol imports from Pakistan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop 28 outcome must be implemented in full: Cop 30 head


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Cop 28 outcome must be implemented in full: Cop 30 head

London, 20 June (Argus) — The incoming UN Cop 30 summit president Andre Correa do Lago has set out his objectives for the conference in November, placing as a key priority the Cop 28 outcome of trebling renewables capacity and transitioning away from fossil fuels. Correa do Lago today said his plan is to drive "collective action" to tackle climate change, placing a strong emphasis on the global stocktake, the first of which was concluded at Cop 28 in 2023 . That outcome saw almost 200 countries commit to "transition away" from fossil fuels, as well as treble renewables capacity by 2030. The global stocktake, a five-yearly process, sets out progress made towards Paris climate agreement goals. Today's "Action Agenda must drive momentum towards the full implementation of the GST [global stocktake]", Correa do Lago said. The incoming Cop president is focusing on implementing agreements made at previous Cops, and ensuring that countries and all other stakeholders — such as sub-nationals and the private sector — work together to put the decisions into action. Correa do Lago's letter today repeated language from the Cop 28 outcome, and noted his other main themes for Cop 30, which will take place in Belem, in Brazil's Para state, on 10-21 November. As well as shifting energy, industry and transport from fossil fuel-powered to lower- or zero-carbon alternatives, he listed forests, oceans and biodiversity and agriculture and food as key topics. Further topics involved building resilience for cities, infrastructure and water and human and social development. A final priority was enablers and accelerators across the board, including for finance and technology. Correa do Lago said in May that Cop 30 should be a "pivot point" to action on climate change, and "a new era of putting into practice" what has been agreed at previous Cop summits. He has noted a difficult geopolitical situation , which could make talks more challenging. Brazil's Cop 30 presidency is also focused on climate finance at UN climate talks, currently underway in Bonn, Germany. These 'halfway point' discussions serve to cover substantial technical groundwork ahead of political talks at Cop summits each November. Brazil yesterday at Bonn presented a draft of a roadmap to scale up climate finance — from all sources — to $1.3 trillion/year by 2035. The roadmap will not be officially negotiated, although it was a key outcome from Cop 29 in 2024 and is likely to be finalised just ahead of Cop 30 this year. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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