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EU ministers discuss 2035, 2040 climate target setting

  • Market: Emissions
  • 10/07/25

The EU needs to set its 2040 climate target and derive its 2035 nationally determined contribution (NDC) — climate plan — to the Paris climate agreement from it, European climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra reiterated today. But France and Hungary's environment ministers have suggested focusing on the EU's 2035 climate target first.

European climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra has repeated the need to first have a "conversation" on setting the bloc's 2040 climate target and only then deriving the EU's 2035 NDC. "That is the way we will approach it," Hoekstra said before an informal meeting of environment and climate ministers in Denmark. This comes after members of the European Parliament rejected the idea of a fast-track procedure for the 2040 target on 9 July.

France's environment minister, Agnes Pannier-Runacher, said that the first topic to discuss was the EU's NDC, ahead of the UN Cop 30 climate talks in Belem, Brazil, in November. There is "the question as well of our [2040] objective under the renegotiation of the climate law", she said. Asked about a two-step approach for the setting of the 2040 target and the 2035 goal, Pannier-Runacher said she was "open to all discussions as long as the agenda on competitivity is clear" and goes beyond words. This comes after French president Emmanuel Macron said at the end of last month that setting an EU target for 2040 is not a must for the Belem climate talks.

Pannier-Runnacher said that the 2035 target was between 66.5pc, if derived from current efforts to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and 71.5pc, if taking into account the European Commission's proposal to cut GHG emissions by 90pc by 2040 from 1990 levels, accounting for "flexibilities".

The commission's proposal includes several flexibilities for the 2040 target, including allowing a "limited" contribution of international carbon credits issued under Article 6 of the Paris agreement to count towards the goal from 2036, and the use of domestic permanent carbon removals in the EU emissions trading system.

Hungary's environment state secretary Aniko Raisz said discussions on the NDC and the 2040 climate goal should be separated, because the latter "cannot be rushed" and "the issue won't be finished by the end of September as it needs a "thorough impact assessment". NDCs need to be submitted to the UN by September to be counted in a synthesis report set to ground climate discussions in Belem.

Drawing a line between the EU's 2030 and 2050 targets, the 2035 goal for emissions reductions could be over 66pc, Raisz said, adding that NDCs were non-binding commitments.

German climate action minister Carsten Schneider did not seem phased by a short timeline to reach an agreement on a 2040 goal and an NDC, which is Berlin's preference. "If the time is long, decisions are postponed," he said. "If Europe is not able to manage that nobody will," he said, citing China, Brazil, India and the US.

"We think there's a logic in setting the 2040 target and out of that extracting the 2035 target," Danish climate minister Lars Aagaard Moller said. "That is still the basis for the discussion." Moller chairs meetings of EU climate ministers until the end of December.


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