Brazilian market participants expect beef tallow exports to the US to continue under a duty drawback mechanism, but they could also sell more to the domestic biodiesel industry.
On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order to implement a 50pc tariff on Brazilian imports effective 6 August.
Until now, it was more profitable for US producers to import beef tallow and use it as an input to produce biofuel that would be supplied to the domestic market because of the tax incentives granted to waste-based biofuels in the US. With a 50pc tariff on Brazilian imports, the scenario changes and it becomes unfeasible to use Brazilian beef tallow in the production of fuels that will be used in the US.
But US biofuel producers could claim a "duty drawback" if the fuel produced from Brazilian beef tallow is later exported, meaning they could receive a refund up to 99pc of the duties, taxes and fees paid during the import process. Now, US industries use tallow to produce hydrotreated vegetable oil and sustainable aviation fuel for Europe.
If the feedstock is redirected to Brazil, biodiesel producers believe they can increase the share of beef tallow used in their plants if the product is sold at a discount to soybean oil prices.
Brazil used over 231,000 metric tonnes (t) of beef tallow to produce in the first half, which represents 5.6pc of total biofuel production, according to oil regulator ANP. More than 230,000t of beef tallow were exported to the US in the same period — nearly the same amount that was used in Brazilian production — according to trade and industry ministry MDIC.
If this volume had remained in Brazil, the feedstock with low acidity could have been used by the biodiesel industry. MDIC does not detail the acidity of the exported tallow.
Some market participants believe in an eventual suspension of the tariff. But other sources told Argus that the pressure to lift the tariff will likely be lower than previously expected since the US government exempted around 700 products from the additional tariff, totaling almost 45pc of products exported by Brazil, such as orange juice and pulp, fertilizers, crude, beans and rice.
New markets to explore
Brazilian tallow exporters are looking for new markets to explore, focused mainly on Europe.
But there are challenges. Beef tallow shipped from Brazil to the EU has a higher freight cost and the product does not receive the same tax incentives as it would in the US, meaning prices would have to be significantly lower for this flow to be possible.

