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Government support vital for fresh NdPr supply: Panel

  • Market: Metals
  • 17/09/25

Breaking China's stranglehold on the processing of key critical minerals will depend on intervention to support cost-effective manufacturing, delegates at the Sydney International Strategy Forum heard on 17 September.

Beijing's price mechanism strategy to protect its monopoly over heavy rare earth output prevents non-Chinese private firms with no government support from entering the market, speakers at the security-focused forum said.

Intervention by the US and aligned governments is needed to boost the neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide price from $70/kg to about $120/kg before a non-Chinese producer can enter the market, Australian Industry (Ai) Group's director of research and economics Jeffrey Wilson said at the forum.

Such facilities have historically been difficult to develop without government subsidies.

Australia's federal government has pledged billions in loans and grants for its nascent rare earths processing sector, including over A$1bn ($670mn) for Australian miner Arafura Rare Earths' Nolans rare earths project.

A multi-sovereign wealth fund to invest in existing or greenfield mines could also boost diversity in the sector, while research and development and technology alliances should be explored for the processing industry, panellists agreed.

It is incumbent on governments to intervene in the "highly distorted" market, Wilson said, citing the A$200mn investment by Japanese firms into Australian manufacturer Lynas Rare Earths in 2023.

Demand for light rare earths, including neodymium, lanthanum and cerium, led to a boost in China's exports in January-June. The country shipped 32,569t of rare earths, 12pc higher than a year earlier.

This was despite ongoing export controls on seven medium and heavy rare earth elements — dysprosium, terbium, gadolinium, samarium, yttrium, lutetium and scandium.

Beijing on 17 September moved to change its laws on exports of dual-use items that include several critical minerals, including rare earths. Dual-use items refer to goods, technologies and services that can be used as inputs for both civilian and military manufacturing.

China's control of critical minerals exports has led importers, such as Japan, to diversify purchases this year.


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