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Quebec carbon market plans advance

  • Market: Emissions
  • 23/01/26

Canadian province Quebec will delay by five years its near-term greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction target, but this will not impact ongoing plans to amend its carbon market, an environment ministry official said.

The province will postpone to 2035 its original target of a 37.5pc reduction of emissions by 2030, compared to 1990 levels, the government said on Thursday. While the province achieved more than half of the goal between 1990 and 2025, keeping the 2030 deadline would require it to achieve the rest in just five years, according to the government.

But the pivot in statutory targets will not change "the content nor the timing" of planned amendments to the province's carbon market, the Quebec Environment Ministry told Argus.

Quebec began work on changes to its cap-and-trade program to drive further emissions reductions in 2023, but has not yet released a formal proposal. Provincial emissions covered by the program have exceeded its annual caps for the past seven years.

Quebec's Environment Ministry has said it is weighing cutting at least 17.5mn metric tonnes of carbon allowances from future program budgets, which would be equal to historical carbon offset use for compliance, according to a 2024 market notice. Additionally, the province plans to gradually limit the use of offsets for future use, potentially phasing out the system for a government-run purchase-and-retire mechanism in 2031.

The province is part of a joint carbon market with California known as the Western Climate Initiative (WCI). One of the key changes would be modifying the WCI's three-year compliance periods to align with statutory targets, primarily 2030 and 2050.

California has proposed switching to alternating two- and three-year compliance periods starting next year. The pivot for both programs would allow for "timely" assessments of climate targets and accounting for the flow of compliance instruments between both jurisdictions, the California Air Resources Board said in the draft amendment package it released earlier this month.

The province still plans to release its draft amendments in winter of this year, with implementation in spring or summer, the ministry said.

Quebec's cap-and-trade program covers major sources of emissions including power plants and transportation fuels.


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