Drought shuts Venezuela petrochemical plants

Market: Electricity, LPG, Petrochemicals
21/08/14

A severe drought in the western Venezuelan state of Zulia forced state-owned petrochemicals firm Pequiven to shut down all polymers production since early August at its Ana Maria Campos complex, also called El Tablazo.

Zulia's critical drought conditions, the worst in the state for 60 years, caused Pequiven to shut down El Tablazo's olefins cracker, which this year has been consuming about 18,000 b/d of imported propane, energy ministry figures show.

Other El Tablazo units shut down because of the drought include the 190,000 t/yr linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) unit, 160,000 t/yr high density polyethylene (HDPE) unit, 144,000 t/yr polypropylene (PP) unit, 120,000 t/yr PVC plant, and a 70,000 t/yr low density polyethylene (LDPE) unit, company officials at the complex said.

Pequiven officials declined to say when polymers production at El Tablazo will return to normal.

But Pequiven officials said "several possible alternatives" are being considered to ensure sufficient water supplies for El Tablazo, including the use of tankers to transport and store water from other parts of the country.

Environment minister Miguel Leonardo Rodriguez, who is overseeing the emergency installation of 150m of 36-inch pipeline with several pumps to transport water from the Manuelote reservoir near Maracaibo to the depleted Tule reservoir that normally supplies the city's residents, said the government has prioritized water supplies for human consumption and thermal power generation.

Rodriguez said the emergency water transport system should start to move up to 5,000 cubic liters of water per second as of 25 August from the Manuelote reservoir to the Tule reservoir.

"The system will be tested over 23-24 August and will be operational on 25 August if the tests are successful," Rodriguez said. But none of the water transported from Manuelote to Tule will be allocated to El Tablazo's plants, he added.

The Manuelote reservoir currently holds about 40mn m3 of water, of which up to 30mn m3 likely will be moved to the Tule reservoir to meet Maracaibo's municipal water needs and safeguard against power disruptions that could leave up to 50pc of the city in the dark "for days or even weeks," Rodriguez added.

Maracaibo's water supplies and state-owned utility Corpoelec's water needs in Zulia are "guaranteed through November of this year when combined with "rigorous" water rationing, he said.

The environment ministry is also working with Corpoelec on a plan to transport water from the La Ceiba reservoir in the Andean state of Trujillo to Corpoelec's Ramon Laguna thermal power generation complex in Zulia, the minister said.

Ramon Laguna's water system is tied into Maracaibo's potable water aqueduct, making it difficult for the state-owned Hidrolago water authority to ration the city's water supplies while the drought lasts without also disrupting thermal power generation.

Corpoelec initially studied the possibility of drawing water for Ramon Laguna from nearby Lake Maracaibo, but the lake's brackish waters are "too polluted with oil contamination from poorly maintained underwater pipelines and production platforms operated by (state-owned oil firm) PdV," a Maracaibo-based Corpoelec official said.

Lake Maracaibo's contaminated waters also have been deemed unsuitable for El Tablazo's processes, Pequiven said.

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19/12/25

Australia needs electricity carbon policy: Commission

Sydney, 19 December (Argus) — The Australian government should introduce a national market-based policy to drive electricity sector decarbonisation, potentially modelled on the existing safeguard mechanism, economic research and advisory body the Productivity Commission (PC) said in a final report today. The PC had previously recommended applying the safeguard mechanism to electricity generators at the facility level, but it may be better to consider this issue separately, it noted in a final inquiry report into "investing in cheaper, cleaner energy and the net zero transformation". "Multiple policy options will need to be considered for the electricity sector, and even if a baseline-and-credit scheme is preferred, it may be better to keep this separate from the safeguard mechanism, at least at first, to avoid risks of uncertainty and disruption in the carbon credit markets that support that policy," the PC said. Currently there is little relationship between the emissions intensity of Australia's remaining coal-fired power plants and their announced retirement dates, according to the commission. Recognising the value of emissions reduction would pave the way for more emissions-intensive plants to retire earlier, it argued. Electricity excluded from safeguard mechanism Under the safeguard mechanism, facilities emitting more than 100,000t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) in a compliance year across several sectors earn safeguard mechanism credits (SMCs) if they report scope 1 emissions below their baselines, and must surrender SMCs or Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) if their emissions are above the threshold. The electricity sector, Australia's largest emitter, is effectively excluded from the mechanism because the emissions reduction policy for the segment has been focused on renewable electricity targets. The mechanism applies a single sectoral baseline of 198mn t CO2e/yr across all electricity generators connected to Australia's main electricity grids, which is way above recent data — emissions from the electricity generation sector reached a combined 138.9mn t CO2e in the 2023-24 compliance year. A decision on whether to expand the mechanism to electricity may be considered in the upcoming safeguard mechanism review in 2026-27 . NEM review But any new policy will need to complement reforms arising from the National Electricity Market (NEM) review, which also received a final report this week . The decision will also need to be consistent with several policies and agreements already in place to support new investment or manage the exit of coal plants across Australia, the PC noted. While the existing Capacity Investment Scheme (CIS) and the proposed Electricity Services Entry Mechanism (ESEM) scheme mainly target renewable output or capacity, a least-cost emissions-reduction policy would help companies deciding when to retire coal and gas plants, according to the commission. This will be even more important if the Australian government prioritises firming auctions, which may support new gas-fired plants. Emissions policy uncertainty has been a major barrier to investment in gas-powered generation, the PC said. "Firming auctions will be more effective if project proponents know in advance how their emissions will be treated," it noted. Apart from a policy to drive electricity sector decarbonisation, the PC's final report urges the government to expand the safeguard mechanism , phase out fuel tax credits for on-road heavy vehicle operators, and reduce barriers to adopting low-emissions technology for heavy vehicles. And it also calls the government to phase out the fringe benefits tax exemption for electric vehicles (EVs), a recommendation that was criticised by industry body EV Council . By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US House passes bill to expedite permitting

18/12/25

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18/12/25

US House passes bill to expedite permitting

Washington, 18 December (Argus) — The US House of Representatives on Thursday approved a bill designed to fast-track permitting for energy projects and reduce related litigation risks. But a last-minute change Republicans made to exclude some offshore wind and solar projects led some Democrats and a major clean energy group to withdraw support, complicating the bill's chances of passage in the Senate. The Republican-controlled House voted 221-196 to pass the SPEED Act, with 11 Democrats crossing the aisle to vote for what would be the most significant changes to federal permitting in years. The bill will now advance to the US Senate, where proponents will likely need to agree to make significant changes if they hope to pick up the votes of at least seven Democrats to avoid a filibuster. The bill "finally brings common sense by cutting red tape that dramatically increases the cost and, in some cases, just makes it economically unfeasible to do projects", House Republican majority leader Steve Scalise (R-Louisiana) said. The SPEED Act focuses on revising project reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), which is a source of delay and litigation risk for pipelines and renewable projects alike. The bill would require federal agencies to narrow those reviews and uphold those decisions even if federal courts find them to be inadequate. The bill would also provide permit "certainty" by limiting the government's ability to rescind prior approvals, averting a repeat of events like the cancellation of the Keystone XL pipeline. "We applaud the House for advancing the SPEED Act, a bipartisan, commonsense step toward fixing a federal permitting system that's long been broken," oil industry group the American Petroleum Institute said. Republican leaders were hoping 30-40 Democrats would join them to support the SPEED Act. The bill had broad bipartisan support when it was drafted because of provisions meant to prevent permitting delays that have plagued both oil and gas pipelines and renewable energy development. But Republican leaders, to satisfy far-right conservatives, made a change to the bill earlier this week that would prevent its expedited permitting procedures from benefiting any project that Trump's administration has blocked or revisited since 20 January. The Trump administration has targeted multiple offshore wind and solar projects this year and has ordered the developer of the nearly complete 704MW Revolution Wind project off the coast of Rhode Island to stop construction. That change fractured a bipartisan coalition that had spent months working on technology-neutral permitting language. The American Clean Power Association, the largest industry group for US renewable energy, on Wednesday withdrew its support of the bill , arguing the "poison pill amendment" that Republicans made eviscerated bipartisan language that gave expedited permitting treatment for all types of energy resources. A number of House Democrats who had backed the bill also withdrew their support. American Clean Power plans to work with both parties in the Senate to make changes. "This is not the final draft," representative Scott Peters (D-California) said during floor debate Thursday, vowing to work with his colleagues in the Senate to address House Democrats' concerns. By Chris Knight and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Viewpoint: French power in slump

17/12/25

News

17/12/25

Viewpoint: French power in slump

London, 17 December (Argus) — France enters 2026 with power prices in a slump, as stagnant demand meets strong nuclear availability and ever-increasing renewables output. Forward prices are well below spot delivery in recent years, with the Cal-26 contract assessed at €49.75/MWh on Tuesday, compared with spot delivery of about €60/MWh in 2024 and 2025. Lower gas prices explain some of the low forward prices, as does increased renewables capacity, but French hydro reserves are well below previous years, and EdF expects to produce less nuclear power year on year because of further planned long maintenance shutdowns. If low spot delivery confirms that these forward prices were correct as to how fundamentals would play out, it could limit any potential for upside risk. And the course of any potential demand recovery over the next few years will determine whether the contango shape of the French forward years is justified by fundamentals. The French yearly contracts are unusual with Europe being in contango, rising out to the end of the decade, compared with most other countries which are in backwardation. Fundamentals arguments put forward to explain this include expectations of increased interconnection to more expensive markets, or an uptick in demand, especially from industry and data centres. But demand has remained stubbornly flat over recent years. Industrial, data centre and hydrogen projects with a total demand of 30GW have grid capacity reserved for them. If all of these projects came to light and used their full capacity, demand would leap by 180TWh by 2030, or about 40pc. Not all of these projects will be built, and those that are will not use their full capacity all the time. Grid operator RTE's high estimate is for 60pc of projects to be completed, which will then use only 20-60pc of their grid capacity. But even if only some of them are built, this could push demand growth to 1-3pc/yr. RTE's low estimate for the incremental demand from these projects by 2030, as well as additional electric vehicles, comes to 2.7GW, while its high estimate is for 6.3GW of incremental demand. A rapid increase in demand could outpace supply gains from the several GW/yr of solar capacity likely to come on line in the coming years, mechanically tightening France's balance, if it is met and there is not a fall in demand from other sectors. France may be reaching a crunch point on renewables. The ambition of governments of recent years to advance on renewables and nuclear has hit the buffers, as the lack of any demand growth removes justification for increasing capacity. Low market prices are an indication that France does not particularly need any extra renewables capacity in the short term. Capture rates for solar have fallen year on year, while lower market prices mean the bill for public subsidy for renewables grows ever higher. Some increases are locked in over the next few years, but appetite may be lacking to continue growth beyond that. And political obstacles could make a low-renewables strategy easier. Right-wing parties are firmly opposed to renewables, and the government relies on their tacit support to remain in office. The government intends to publish the PPE3 10-year energy strategy by the end of the year, which in this draft includes cuts to renewables targets, it has said. The other big dossier of French energy is the new nuclear programme. EdF has already started preparatory works to build two 1.6GW reactors at Penly, and plans to build a further four, with eight more on the drawing board. But the experience of the Flamanville 3 reactor — entering service more than a decade late and many billions over budget — could make any government hesitate before offering EdF funding for more reactors. This is all the more true if prices remain low in the coming years, which would cut EdF's ability to fund large investments and require more government support. The mooted €100/MWh price point of the new nuclear, more than twice the current market price, is a further impediment. And the programme is not expected to come into service until the late 2030s at the earliest, meaning a government which holds fire can spare itself large costs without incurring any power shortage during its term in office. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU to amend CBAM rules for power

16/12/25

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16/12/25

EU to amend CBAM rules for power

London, 16 December (Argus) — The European Commission will amend the rules set out for the application of the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) for power imports to the bloc, providing a pathway to declaring actual emissions values for electricity, according to leaked documents seen by Argus on Tuesday. The EU will amend the existing guidance to CBAM regulation based on stakeholder feedback that rules for electricity are overly rigid, and that the framework does not acknowledge progress made by non-EU electricity producers in decarbonising their generation mixes, limiting incentives for third-country producers to reduce emissions. The updates were based on a consultation with market participants held from 1 July-26 August. This regulation means that actual emissions associated with the production of electricity can be declared. Serbia recently announced plans to implement CO2 measurement, reporting and verification standards, ahead of the country's first emissions and carbon tax law. This appears to provide a pathway for output from renewable sources to be exempt from CBAM. Previously, electricity was treated separately from other physical commodities under the legislation, where carbon quantity would have been based on average country-wide emissions rather than on individual plant emissions. The document also addresses physical and indirect power purchase agreements (PPA), and clarifies that CBAM will only be applied to explicit capacity allocation, removing the previous language that required the absence of network congestion in order for CBAM exemption to apply for renewables output sold under a PPA. If actual emissions data are not available, an "average grid emission factor" for exporting countries will be used in order to reflect decarbonisation in the country of origin, which would include countries' current generation mix and be lower than the previous default emissions value, which used an average of IEA emissions over the past five years. Definition of market coupling The document also lays out a novel definition of market coupling, which could provide a pathway to CBAM exemption. The EU proposes that for the purpose of integration of a third country's electricity market with the EU a "memorandum of understanding between the Commission and the third countries that have fully transposed the relevant electricity market acquis" can be agreed, and that this memorandum would then set the "timeline for the application of the exemption foreseen". Market coupling would then be achieved through legislative means, rather than as defined by market coupling through EU power market regulatory body Acer, which requires an 18-month window for technical preparation once a coupling integration plan is approved. Serbia is the frontrunner for market coupling, and has previously said that it can couple with the EU by 2027 at the earliest, which would miss the 1 January 2026 deadline for CBAM exemption, as once its application has been approved it is still subject to the 18-month waiting period. This could indicate that countries with EU regulatory body the Energy Community could receive exemption from CBAM until 2030, as 2022's energy integration package provided a pathway for exemption from CBAM for four years, provided countries coupled with the EU power market. By Annemarie Pettinato Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Viewpoint: European HVO prices unlikely to ease in 2026

16/12/25

News

16/12/25

Viewpoint: European HVO prices unlikely to ease in 2026

London, 16 December (Argus) — Northwest European hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) premiums have firmed on the year in 2025, setting the stage for continued strength as the market braces for higher blending targets in 2026. Premiums strengthen ahead of 2026 targets The Argus HVO Class II fob ARA premium to gasoil averaged $1,075/m³ during January-November, compared with $683/m³ in 2024. The premium firmed to $1,650/m³ on 21 October — a more than three-year high — driven by stronger demand from obligated parties rushing to meet RED targets before the end of the year. Increased consumption against relatively stable production has tightened supplies, and planned maintenance closures at European and Chinese facilities during the fourth quarter may continue to support values into early 2026. Germany's planned legislative changes in 2026 abolishing double-counting of Annex IX feedstocks could significantly boost HVO demand, as higher absolute volumes of biofuel will be needed to meet GHG reduction quotas, which then supports demand for drop-in fuels like HVO. The Netherlands is also planning an end to double counting and a switch to a greenhouse gas savings-based mandate, which could amplify demand in 2026. Trading activity reflects the bullish demand outlook — 888,000t of Class II futures traded on Ice in October, surpassing the previous record of 717,500t in June. Open interest now extends to December 2026, signalling confidence in sustained liquidity. Spot market activity has also picked up in 2025, with Argus Open Markets (AOM) volumes traded for HVO Class II reaching 122,000t in January to November 2025, surpassing the 2024 total of 44,000t. Producers tilt towards HVO over SAF EU sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) targets kicked in at 2pc this year and with this, producers are recalibrating output strategies. Definitive EU anti-dumping duties on Chinese biodiesel and HVO were imposed in February , and EU anti-dumping and anti-subsidy measures already apply to HVO and biodiesel originating from the US and Canada. The China duties do not apply to SAF, but US duties do. HVO and SAF are made from oils and fats via hydrotreatment, but HVO requires fewer processing steps, usually making it the cheaper grade. But HVO Class II has often maintained a premium over SAF throughout 2025 because of different market fundamentals. This encouraged European producers to maximise HVO output over SAF. But tight SAF supply towards year-end — driven by export restrictions from China — pushed SAF premiums above Class II, with the SAF premium over HVO averaging $292/t in November. In October, some additional Chinese producers secured SAF export licences, and with the SAF mandate remaining at 2pc in 2026, European producers are expected to favour HVO production while SAF imports from duty-free China and Singapore fill the gap. The UK Trade Remedies Authority said in late November that it plans to recommend that the government places countervailing duties on US-origin HVO from March. Imports of US HVO into the UK have already declined this year because of the ongoing investigation, and participants expect volumes to fall further. To meet mandates, the UK is expected to lean more heavily on used cooking oil-based biodiesel, while some blenders may also look to secure supply from Nordic producers. By-products soften The Argus bionaphtha fob ARA price averaged $1,541/t in January-November, compared with $1,675/t across 2024. Despite the decline, premiums have recently been supported by stronger HVO and SAF prices, with used cooking oil-based bionaphtha a viable drop-in blending alternative to meet mandates. Looking ahead, participants expect that firm HVO prices will sustain higher bionaphtha premiums in 2026, while voluntary demand, particularly from petrochemical manufacturing, could provide additional support to the market. The biopropane premium to its propane counterpart at the ARA hub fell during 2025, with third quarter levels hitting record lows since Argus began the assessment in October 2023. Argus biopropane fca ARA outright averaged around $1,408/t in January–November, down from $1,597/t in 2024. Although HVO and SAF output have boosted biopropane supply, demand remains constrained without mandated use. Looking ahead, premiums are expected to stay capped unless government incentives accelerate adoption . By Evelina Lungu Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Drought shuts Venezuela petrochemical plants

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