Japan on track to achieve 2030 renewable power goal
Japan is on track to achieve its target for renewable power capacity installed by 2030, paving the way for its 2050 carbon neutral goal. But cost pressure could grow further as the country's consumer surcharge to fund renewable electricity is set to rise higher than previously predicted.
Japan's renewable power sources will account for 22pc of its power mix in 2030, or the minimum target of 22-24pc for the year, only if half the already-approved capacities including solar, wind and biomass projects under the country's feed-in-tariff (FiT) scheme come on line, according to the trade and industry ministry (Meti). The potential share was based on the country's total power demand of 1,065TWh in 2030.
The share of renewable energy will increase to 24pc in the 75pc start-up case and climb to 25pc when all the approved projects begin operations by 2030, the Meti said. The full operation scenario consists of the share of solar for 9.3pc, wind for 2.2pc, geothermal for 0.3pc, hydropower for 7.8pc and biomass for 5.8pc.
Japan in 2015 set a 2030 target to generate 22-24pc of its power from renewable sources, as well as 20-22pc from nuclear and 56pc from thermal fuels. The policy review in 2018 added a 2050 goal to make renewables the main power source, while maintaining the 2030 power mix target.
But the purchase costs of the FiT-supported renewable electricity are expected to rise to ¥4.9 trillion ($45.8bn) in 2030, which assumes all the approved projects start operations by then. This exceeds the earlier forecast of ¥3.7 trillion-4 trillion for the same year. The further increase would burden power consumers that are obligated to bear a part of the FiT costs. The surcharge fees accounted for 11-15pc of electricity bills, including industry, commercial and residential sectors in the April 2019-March 2020 fiscal year, compared with just 1pc in 2012-13, according to Meti.
The steady increase of renewable capacity contrasts with slower-than-expected restart of the country's nuclear power reactors amid growing concerns over safety features. Japan has 33 reactors, of which only nine units with a combined capacity of 9,130MW are operational. Limited nuclear availability has increased the share of thermal power outputs. Thermal fuels accounted for 76pc of the country's power generation in 2019-20, followed by renewables at 18pc and nuclear at 6pc.
But Meti continues to promote the restart of nuclear reactors while prioritising safety, to realise a carbon neutral society in 2050. The ministry is working to review Japan's energy policies to align with the 2050 target, with the new basic energy policy due for review every 3-4 years, likely to usher in an increased focus on electricity more from renewables and a clearer nuclear policy direction.
Related news posts
Baltimore to temporarily open 4th shipping channel
Baltimore to temporarily open 4th shipping channel
Cheyenne, 24 April (Argus) — The Port of Baltimore is preparing to open another, deeper temporary shipping channel this week so at least some of the vessels that have been stranded at the port can depart. The new 35-ft deep Fort McHenry Limited Access Channel is scheduled to be open to commercially essential vessels from 25 April until 6am ET on 29 April or 30 April "if weather adversely impacts vessel transits," according to a US Coast Guard Marine Safety Information Bulletin. The channel will then be closed again until 10 May. The channel also will have a 300-ft horizontal clearance and 214-ft vertical clearance. This will be the fourth and largest channel opened since the 26 March collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge. The Unified Command has said that the new limited access channel should allow passage of about 75pc of the types of vessels that typically move through the waterway. Vessels that have greater than 60,000 long tons (60,963 metric tonnes) of displacement will likely not be able to move through the channel and those between 50,000-60,000 long tons of displacement "will be closely evaluated" for transit. There were seven vessels blocked from exiting the port as of 27 March, including three dry bulk carriers, one vehicle carrier and one tanker, according to the US Department of Transportation. Two of the bulk carriers at berth in Baltimore are Kamsarmax-sized coal vessels, data from analytics firm Kpler show. The US Army Corps of Engineers still expects to reopen the Port of Baltimore's permanent 700-foot wide, 50-foot deep channel by the end of May. The Key Bridge collapsed into the water late last month when the 116,851dwt container ship Dali lost power and crashed into a bridge support column. Salvage teams have been working to remove debris from the water and containers from the ship in order to clear the main channel. By Courtney Schlisserman Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
EU adopts sustainability due diligence rules
EU adopts sustainability due diligence rules
Brussels, 24 April (Argus) — The European parliament has formally approved a Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), which will require large EU companies to make "best efforts" for climate change mitigation. The law will mean that relevant companies will have to adopt a transition plan to make their business model compatible with the 1.5°C temperature limit set by the Paris climate agreement. It will apply to EU firms with over 1,000 employees and turnover above €450mn ($481mn). It will also apply to some companies with franchising or licensing agreements in the EU. The directive requires transposition into different EU national laws. It obliges member states to ensure relevant firms adopt and put into effect a transition plan for climate change mitigation. Transition plans must aim to "ensure, through best efforts" that business models and company strategies are compatible with transition to a sustainable economy, limiting global warming to 1.5°C and achieving climate neutrality by 2050. Where "relevant", the plans should limit "exposure of the company to coal-, oil- and gas-related activities". Despite a provisional agreement, EU states initially failed to formally approve the provisional agreement reached with parliament in December, after some member states blocked the deal. Parliament's adoption — at its last session before breaking for EU elections — paves the way for entry into force later in the year. Industry has obtained clarification, in the non-legal introduction, that the directive's requirements are an "obligation of means and not of results" with "due account" being given to progress that firms make as well as the "complexity and evolving" nature of climate transitioning. Still, firms' climate transition plans need to contain "time-bound" targets for 2030 and in five-year intervals until 2050 based on "conclusive scientific" evidence and, where appropriate, absolute reduction targets for greenhouse gas (GHG) for direct scope 1 emissions as well as scope 2 and scope 3 emissions. Scope 1 refers to emissions directly stemming from an organisation's activity, while scope 2 refers to indirect emissions from purchased energy. Scope 3 refers to end-use emissions. "It is alarming to see how member states weakened the law in the final negotiations. And the law lacks an effective mechanism to force companies to reduce their climate emissions," said Paul de Clerck, campaigner at non-governmental organisation Friends of the Earth Europe, pointing to "gaping" loopholes in the adopted text. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Oman latest to insist that oil, gas is 'here to stay'
Oman latest to insist that oil, gas is 'here to stay'
Muscat, 24 April (Argus) — Omani and Oman-focused energy officials this week joined a growing chorus of voices to reiterate the pivotal role that hydrocarbons have in the energy mix, even as state-owned companies scramble to increase their share of renewables production. Some producers cite the risk of leaving costly, stranded oil and gas assets as renewable energy alternatives become more favoured. "This is a common concern among producers who are focusing on short-term developments to maximize cash flow — [but] if we continue to do that, with the clean energy transition, will we be left with stranded assets in the long-term", state-controlled PDO's technical director Sami Baqi told the Oman Petroleum and Crude Show conference in Muscat this week. "We need to redefine and revamp our operation model to produce in a sustainable manner." "We are in an era where most of the production does not come from the easy oil but comes from difficult oil," Oman's energy ministry undersecretary Mohsin Al Hadhrami said. "It requires more improved and enhanced oil recovery (EOR) type technologies to extract it." Oman is heavily reliant on tertiary extraction technologies like EOR given its maturing asset base and complicated geology. "We know that most of the oil fields [in the region] are maturing and costs are going to escalate, so we need to be mindful of it while discussing cleaner solutions going forward," Hadhrami said. PDO, Oman's largest hydrocarbon producer, aims for 19pc of its output to come from EOR projects by 2025, and has said it is looking at 'cleaner' ways to implement the technology. PDO in November started a pilot project to inject captured CO2 for EOR at its oil reservoirs. Baqi's concerns were echoed by PDO's carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) manager Nabil Al-Bulushi, who said even solutions like CCUS can be expensive and come with their own challenges. There is a need for a proper ecosystem or regulatory policies to avoid delays in executing such projects, he said. When it comes to challenges associated with commercialising green hydrogen, Saudi state-controlled Aramco's head of upstream Yousef Al-Tahan said higher costs already make hydrogen more expensive than any other energy sources. "Not only should the costs go down, but the market has to be matured to take in the hydrogen," he said. "We also need pipelines and facilities that are able to handle hydrogen, especially when it gets converted to ammonia." Gas here to stay Oman, like many of its neighbors in the Mideast Gulf, insists gas needs to be part of the global journey towards cleaner energies. "Asia-Pacific is still heavily reliant on coal, this is an area where gas can play an important role," Shell Oman's development manager Salim Al Amri said at the event. "I think there is no doubt that gas is here to stay." Oman is a particularly interesting case as it "has moved from a position of gas shortage to surplus", Al Amri said, enabled by key developments in tight gas. "Output from fields like Khazzan and Mabrouk will continue to produce nearly 50pc of output even by 2025, which is indicative of how important tight gas developments are," he said. The Khazzan tight gas field has 10.5 trillion ft³ of recoverable gas reserves. Mabrouk North East is due to reach 500mn ft³/d by mid-2024. But even as natural gas is touted as the transition fuel, executives from major producers like state-owned OQ and PDO warned there are technical risks associated with extracting the fuel, including encountering complex tight reservoirs, water production and difficult geology. By Rithika Krishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Ayala’s South Luzon coal plant eligible for retirement
Ayala’s South Luzon coal plant eligible for retirement
Manila, 24 April (Argus) — Early decommissioning of coal-fired power plants in the Philippines has advanced with utility Ayala Energy's 246MW South Luzon Thermal Energy eligible for the US-based Rockefeller Foundation's coal to clean credit initiative (CCCI). The Rockefeller Foundation is a non-profit philanthropic group that creates and implements programmes in partnership with the private sector across different industries aimed at reversing climate change. Ayala has been working with the foundation to further shorten South Luzon's operating life from an original decommissioning date of 2040 to 2030. Doing so could result in the reduction of up to 19mn t of carbon emissions, Ayala said. An assessment by the Rocky Mountain Institute, the technical partner of the foundation for its energy-related projects, found that an early retirement date of 2030 instead of the original retirement date of 2040 could yield positive financial, social and climate outcomes. But decommissioning by this date will require carbon finance. Carbon financing will need to cover costs associated with the early retirement of the power plant's power supply contract, costs associated with 100pc clean replacement of the plant's power generation, plant decommissioning and transition support for workers affected by the plant's early closure, Ayala said. Ayala's listed arm ACEN welcomed the plant's eligibility for the CCCI programme, as its retirement is part of the company's goal to have its power generation portfolio composed solely of 100pc renewable sources by 2025. The Philippines' Department of Energy (DOE) said if successful, the pilot programme could serve as a basis for the development of other early retirement efforts as part of the country's plan to reduce carbon emissions. The DOE is seeking the early decommissioning of coal-fired power plants older than 20 years with a combined total capacity of 3.8GW by 2050, as part of the Philippines' transition to clean energy. By Antonio delos Reyes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more