RVO halves US refining margins
The cost to comply with the US Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), as measured by the Renewable Volume Obligation (RVO), has risen to more than half of refinery margins on the US Gulf coast for road fuel producers with maximum exposure.
The Argus-calculated RVO averaged 52pc of Gulf coast 3-2-1 refining margins against WTI Houston crude for the two weeks ending 4 June. Gasoline and diesel producers who are unable to blend biofuels into their finished productand have limited means of export face a worst-case scenario in which margins on paper are cut by more than half, from $17.80/bl to $8.56/bl after paying for the RVO.
The RVO is an aggregate of Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits that obligated parties must pay in lieu of physical blending. Producers have varying degrees of current and past exposure to the credit market depending on their access to biofuels and blending facilities. Demand for RIN credits has outpaced supply because of relatively low production of ethanol RINs last year combined with increased demand after several Trump-era waivers from the RFS program were withdrawn.
The historically high RVO adds a layer of difficult-to-hedge, volatile costs to refiners, and has helped cap Gulf coast refinery throughput even as domestic fuel demand is hitting post-pandemic highs at the onset of peak summer driving season.
The 3-2-1 crack spread has narrowed slightly from mid-May highs, when a five-day shutdown of the Colonial pipeline lifted gasoline and diesel prices. Since then, crude gains have outpaced the corresponding gains in product prices, although Gulf coast cracks remain wide relative to historical margins.
At the same time, RVO continued to to set fresh highs as uncertainty over RFS waivers and volume mandates prompted fears of a credit shortage. A run on biodiesel feedstocks and record high soybean oil futures also contributed to sustained RVO gains.
While it's not uncommon for RVO to cut refining margins by as much as 50pc in low-margin environments for those maximally exposed — as was the case for much of the fourth quarter last year — it is rare when margins are approaching $20/bl.
Crude throughputs at US Gulf coast refineries have held above 8mn b/d since mid-April, high for the pandemic era but largely below pre-pandemic levels, according to US Energy Information Administration data.
This is despite nationwide gasoline demand exceeding 9mn b/d since mid-May, including two consecutive weeks of hitting post-pandemic peaks. Expectations are high for a return to peak summer fuel consumption in the coming months, as vaccinations and re-openings create a path to release pent-up travel demand.
This tension between rising domestic demand and RVO-dented margins has created a shortage of intermediate feedstocks. While refiners limit their RVO exposure by curbing crude throughput, they are also seeking to maximize rates at secondary units that produce gasoline and blending components with the start of summer driving season.
Vacuum gasoil (VGO) has seen a recent rise in demand from US Gulf coast refiners using it as a feedstock for fluid catalytic crackers (FCCs). Refiners have squeezed out fuel oil blenders from the VGO market in recent weeks as FCC rates have climbed. This is a departure from earlier this year, when blenders of low-sulphur fuel oil provided the main source of demand for VGO.
Related news posts
Indonesia's Pertamina to complete gasoline unit in Aug
Indonesia's Pertamina to complete gasoline unit in Aug
Singapore, 25 April (Argus) — Indonesian state-controlled refiner Pertamina aims to finish building its new 90,000 b/d residual fluid catalytic cracker (RFCC) in the Balikpapan refinery in August, the firm said. The RFCC is a gasoline production unit, which typically uses residual fuel as a feedstock. The unit will be able to produce propylene, LPG and 92R gasoline that will meet the Euro V specifications, said Pertamina last week, without disclosing further details such as the start-up date. The newly built RFCC unit will be the largest in Indonesia, with the second-largest being the 83,000 b/d RFCC in Balongan and the third-largest the 54,000 b/d RFCC in Cilacap. The new RFCC will also help reduce Indonesia's reliance on gasoline imports. Indonesia currently imports around 9mn-11mn bl/month of gasoline, making it the largest gasoline buyer in the Asia-Pacific. The new RFCC will increase Pertamina's gasoline production by a conservative estimate of 45,000 b/d or 1.3mn bl, or around 10pc of Pertamina's current import demand, according to estimates from an oil analyst. The installation of the new RFCC is part of Pertamina's Refinery Development Master Plan (RDMP), which will take place in two phases. The first phase includes revamping existing units at the Balikpapan refinery, such as the crude distillation unit, vacuum distillation unit, and hydrocracking unit. It also involves building new units, such as the aforementioned RFCC, a gasoline hydrotreater, diesel hydrotreater, and naphtha hydrotreater. The second phase includes building a new residue desulphurisation unit. The RDMP also includes expanding the capacity of the Balikpapan refinery from 260,000 b/d to 350,000 b/d, said Pertamina's chief executive officer Nicke Widyawati. The Balikpapan expansion is expected to be completed in May. By Aldric Chew Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Cepsa supplies HVO bunker fuel in Algeciras
Cepsa supplies HVO bunker fuel in Algeciras
London, 24 April (Argus) — Spanish refiner and bunker fuel supplier Cepsa has recently delivered 150t of 100pc hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) by truck to the Ramform Hyperion at the port of Algeciras. The supply follows market participants reporting firmer buying interest for HVO as a marine fuel from ferry lines in the Mediterranean in recent sessions. The supplied HVO is said to be of class II, with used cooking oil (UCO) as the feedstock. Cepsa added that the supply was completed in cooperation with Bunker Holding subsidiary Glander International Bunkering, and could bring about a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction of up to 90pc compared with conventional fuel oil. Cepsa will also look to obtain capability to supply marine biodiesel blends exceeding 25pc biodiesel content by the end of the year, delegates heard at the International Bunker Conference (IBC) 2024 in Norway. This also follows plans by Cepsa to build a 500,000 t/yr HVO plant in Huelva , set to start production in the first half of 2026. Argus assessed the price of class II HVO on a fob Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) basis at an average of $1,765.54/t in April so far, a premium of $906.41/t to marine gasoil (MGO) dob Algeciras prices in the same month. By Hussein Al-Khalisy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
New ISO 8217 eyes wider scope for alternative fuels
New ISO 8217 eyes wider scope for alternative fuels
London, 24 April (Argus) — The 7th edition of ISO 8217, to be published in the second quarter of this year, will outline a broader integration of marine biodiesel blending, delegates heard at the International Bunker Conference (IBC) 2024 in Norway. Tim Wilson, principal specialist fuels of Lloyds Register's fuel oil bunkering analysis and advisory service (FOBAS), presented on the upcoming iteration of the ISO 8217 marine fuel specification standard, which will be released at IBC 2024. The new edition will incorporate specification standards for a wide range of fatty acid methyl ester (Fame)-based marine biodiesel blends up to B100, 100pc hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO), as well as synthetic and renewable marine fuels. This will also include additional clauses to cover a wider scope, and briefly touch on biodiesel specifications that do not entirely align with road biodiesel EN-14214 specifications. This follows the emergence of widening price spreads for marine biodiesel blends because of specification differences and the lack of a marine-specific standard for the blends. The new edition of ISO 8217 is also expected to remove the limit of 7pc Fame when blended with distillate marine fuels such as marine gasoil (MGO) which was in place in the previous ISO 8217:2017. Other changes to distillate marine biodiesel blends include changes to the minimum Cetane Index, oxidation stability alignment to be connected to either ISO 15751 for blends comprising 2pc or more of Fame biodiesel and ISO 12205 for blends comprising a Fame component of under 2pc. Cold-filter plugging point (CFPP) properties will be determined by the vessel's fuel storage tanks' heating capabilities and requirements will be set in place to report the CFPP for distillate marine biodiesel grades, according to the new edition of the marine fuel specification standard. Wilson said that a minimum kinematic viscosity at 50°C will be in place for various forms of residual bunker fuel oil along with a viscosity control alerting suppliers to inform buyers of the exact viscosity in the supplied fuel. He said they have seen delivered fuel viscosity come in at much lower levels than ordered by the buyers, which was the reasoning behind the viscosity control monitoring requirement. By Hussein Al-Khalisy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Peninsula eyes B100 marine fuel supply in Barcelona
Peninsula eyes B100 marine fuel supply in Barcelona
London, 24 April (Argus) — Marine fuel supplier and trader Peninsula has added a chemical tanker to its fleet in Barcelona, with a view to supply the port with B100 marine biodiesel. Aalborg meets chemical tanker regulations under the International Maritime Organisation (IMO)'s International Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships (MARPOL) Annex II. This means the tanker can supply marine biodiesel blends containing up to 100pc fatty acid methyl ester (Fame), which conventional oil tankers are unable to do . Oil tankers and barges are limited to up to 25pc Fame. Peninsula added that the Aalborg is also used to supply conventional fossil bunker fuels such as very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and marine gasoil (MGO). It is yet to complete a B100 delivery in Barcelona. Market participants pointed to limited demand for B100 in the Mediterranean, but regulatory changes such as the introduction of FuelEU maritime next year may help to support demand for marine biodiesel blends. By Hussein Al-Khalisy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more