Ample LNG stocks at Japan power utilities offer relief
Ample LNG inventories at Japan's main power utilities will bring some relief to the country's power sector as the peak winter demand season approaches, especially as spot LNG prices remain firm.
Utility LNG stocks were at the highest level in five years as of 15 October at 2.3mn t, although this was down slightly from around 2.5mn t at the end of September, according to a survey by the country's trade and industry ministry (Meti). But this was higher by 44pc from a year earlier and by 28pc from the four-year average for that time of year.
Meti expects a low likelihood of Japan facing a power shortage this winter given current LNG stock levels. The power sector could avoid a repeat of the power shortages it experienced earlier this year even in the event of a cold snap if each utility continues to import LNG, the majority of which is procured under long-term contracts, as planned, Meti said.
Japan's power agency the Organization for Cross-Regional Coordination of Transmission Operators estimates that Japan will have around a 4pc surplus in electricity supplies of 9,668GWh, which can meet demand for about 3.5 days, at the end of February 2022 even if the coldest weather in the past decade hits the country. This was based on utilities' current fuel procurement plans and an unspecified ratio of unscheduled shutdown of power plants.
At the same time Meti has warned that there remains a risk of Japan experiencing a power shortage if demand increases by more than expected and there is a large-scale disruption to power supplies. The government has called for cooperation among LNG importers on effective and flexible procurements in the event of an emergency.
Japanese utility Kyushu Electric Power recently agreed to partner up with domestic upstream firm Inpex and Thailand's state-controlled trading firm PTT on LNG optimisation to prepare for emergencies such as supply tightness.
LNG inventories at Japanese gas utilities, another major LNG consumer, also built up during the off-peak summer gas demand season. LNG stocks for city gas production stood at around 1.97mn t at the end of August, up by 2pc from about 1.93mn t a year earlier and by 9.4pc from around 1.8mn t, an average for the same period during 2015-19, according to a preliminary data from Meti.
Gas utilities did not suffer from any shortage of LNG and city gas supplies in January, unlike the power sector. Gas retailers instead helped supply LNG to power utilities upon request from the government.
Related news posts
TotalEnergies to fully own Malaysian gas firm SapuraOMV
TotalEnergies to fully own Malaysian gas firm SapuraOMV
Singapore, 23 April (Argus) — TotalEnergies has signed an agreement to acquire Sapura Upstream Assets' 50pc stake in Malaysian private gas producer and operator SapuraOMV, which will take TotalEnergies' total stake to 100pc. The acquisition will cost $530mn, subject to closing adjustments, with closing expected to take place in the second half of this year, said TotalEnergies. This latest deal follows a previous agreement that TotalEnergies signed in January with Austrian firm OMV to acquire its 50pc interest in SapuraOMV. This means TotalEnergies will own 100pc of SapuraOMV once both transactions are completed. "Following the transaction with OMV announced two months ago and this new transaction with Sapura Upstream Assets, TotalEnergies will have full ownership of SapuraOMV and become a significant gas operator in Malaysia," said TotalEnergies' chairman and chief executive officer Patrick Pouyanné. "The SapuraOMV assets are fully in line with our strategy to grow our gas production to meet demand growth, focusing our portfolio on low-cost and low-emission assets," he added. SapuraOMV in 2023 produced 500mn ft³ of gas, which was used to feed the Bintulu LNG plant operated by state-controlled Petronas, as well as 7,000 b/d of condensates. SapuraOMV holds 40pc and 30pc operating interests, respectively, in blocks SK408 and SK310, which are offshore Sarawak, Malaysia. Block SK408's Jerun gas field, which could hold up to 84.9bn m³, is on track to start up in the second half of this year. SapuraOMV also has interests in exploration licences in Malaysia, Australia, New Zealand, and Mexico, where there was a discovery on block 30 last year, with estimated resources of 200mn-300mn bl of oil equivalent. TotalEnergies holds interests in two production sharing contracts in Malaysia. It in June last year signed an agreement with Petronas and Japanese trading firm Mitsui to jointly develop a carbon capture and storage project in Malaysia as well as assess maturing depleted fields and saline aquifers for storage. The firms hope to develop a CO2 merchant storage service to help industrial customers in Asia decarbonise. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Japan’s Higashidori No.1 reactor faces further delays
Japan’s Higashidori No.1 reactor faces further delays
Osaka, 23 April (Argus) — Japanese utility Tohoku Electric Power has confirmed a further delay in reinforcement works at its 1,100MW Higashidori No.1 nuclear reactor, with its completion date unknown. The postponement in restarting the Higashidori reactor in northern Aomori prefecture would encourage Tohoku to secure replacement thermal fuels — such as LNG and coal — for an extended period, although the company is planning to resume another reactor in September. Tohoku previously aimed to complete the reinforcement work at Higashidori in the April 2024-March 2025 fiscal year. But the company needs more time to clear all the procedures for the assessment of basic earthquake ground motions and tsunamis, and to prepare for the plant inspection. It is still unclear when the company will complete the safety measures. The Higashidori reactor is undergoing inspections by Japan's nuclear regulation authority (NRA), based on stricter safety rules following the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster. The reactor will need to pass the safety checks and secure approval from local governments before restarting. Tohoku has three commercial reactors, including two at Onagawa in Miyagi prefecture and the Higashidori No.1 reactor, of which it applied to restart two. The 825MW Onagawa No.2 reactor has already cleared the NRA's safety inspections and obtained permission from local authorities to restart. The company is now planning to restart the Onagawa No.2 reactor in September . The possible return of the Onagawa No.2 reactor will help Tohoku reduce consumption of thermal fuels. The company used 2.76mn t of LNG in April-December 2023, up by 12pc from a year earlier, in the absence of all its nuclear reactors. But its coal consumption fell by 12pc to 5.68mn t during the period. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Australia’s Tamboran agrees NT gas sales deal
Australia’s Tamboran agrees NT gas sales deal
Sydney, 23 April (Argus) — Australian independent Tamboran Resources has signed a long-term gas sales agreement with the Northern Territory (NT) government for supplies from the Beetaloo joint venture's (BJV) proposed Shenandoah South pilot project. The binding deal for 40 TJ/d (1.07mn m³/d) on a take-or-pay basis from Shenandoah South in the onshore Beetaloo sub-basin of the NT equates to a total 131.4PJ (3.5bn m³) and begins in January-June 2026, running for nine years with an option to extend 6½ further years to 2042, Tamboran said on 23 April. This represent about two-thirds of the NT's present gas requirements and is conditional on the BJV entering a binding transportation agreement with pipeline operator APA for the planned 35km Sturt Plateau Pipeline , as well as reaching a final investment decision (FID) for Shenandoah South. Tamboran has a working interest of 47.5pc in Shenandoah South, which is aiming for a FID mid-year, following Canadian independent Falcon Oil and Gas' decision to reduce its participation from 22.5pc to 5pc in March to reduce its cost exposure to the project. BJV is operated by Tamboran, which holds a 50:50 interest in the Tamboran B2 joint venture with privately-held Daly Waters Energy controlled by US billionaire Bryan Sheffield. The BJV also holds a 10-year, 36.5 PJ offtake deal with Australian utility Origin Energy signed in 2022. The NT is dependent on gas-fired power generation. Continuing supply problems at Italian oil firm Eni's offshore Blacktip field has it currently sourcing gas from Australian independent Santos' depleting Bayu-Undan field in the Timor Sea and the onshore Mereenie joint venture . Tamboran is aiming in the long term to develop its proposed 6.6mn t/yr Northern Territory LNG project , for which it is aiming to complete initial engineering this year. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Colombia's electricity woes add to unrest against Petro
Colombia's electricity woes add to unrest against Petro
Bogota, 22 April (Argus) — Colombians took the streets of major cities and towns across the nation on Sunday to protest mainly against health, pension and labor changes, but potential power outages are also creating discontent. Authorities estimated that about 250,000 Colombians marched in widespread protests, sparked by changes in healthcare. Congress in April had rejected President Gustavo Petro's proposals in the sector, and the government the next day seized the two largest private-sector health insurers. Protesting healthcare workers say the government did this to implement changes through a back channel. "Regulatory noise and risk are likely to remain high amid announcements, proposals, and measures [that do not require congressional approval], aimed at changing the game's rules in strategic sectors," brokerage Credicorp Capital said. Colombians also protested being on the verge of electricity rationing like that in neighboring Ecuador as hydroelectric reservoirs remain at record-low levels. Several unions and other associations have long warned the Petro administration to take measures to offset the effects of the El Nino weather phenomenon. Electricity distributors last year called for allowing bills for energy purchased on the spot market to be deferred and for loosening price index rules, among other proposals. The national business council sent at least three letters to the president on the issue. At least nine separate letters calling for preparation to prevent blackouts were sent to the president and ministers. Several actions were only recently implemented . "There are no risk of electricity rationing in Colombia," former energy minister Irene Velez said in 2023. "We do not understand why some people are interested in generating panic." Government weather forecasts also overestimated rainfall expected for March, leading hydroelectric plants to use more water in the reservoirs than they otherwise would have, said director of the thermoelectric generation association (Andeg) Alejandro Castaneda. Reservoir levels stood at 29.5pc today, rising thanks to rains since 19 April, up from 28.75pc on 18 April. Electricity rationing is set to begin when reservoirs drop below 27pc, according to grid operator XM. By Diana Delgado Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more