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Air traffic to near 2019 levels this year: Eurocontrol

  • Market: Oil products
  • 04/01/22

European air traffic will recover to 70-90pc of pre-pandemic levels this year, according to European air traffic management firm Eurocontrol, despite rising Covid-19 cases in the continent.

European arrivals and departures saw a "partial but sustained traffic recovery" in 2021, starting the year with a 64pc lag on 2019 levels in January and ending the year trailing pre-Covid levels by 22pc. Air traffic remained stable over the summer at around 77pc of pre-pandemic activity.

The year total averaged 44pc of 2019 levels, equating to nearly 5mn fewer flights. The Omicron variant of the virus triggered travel restrictions that stifled flights in the first half of December, to 75pc of pre-Covid levels, but this recovered towards the end of the month to 81pc of 2019 levels. Eurocontrol said the situation for January "is less clear."

It said the recovery pace looks to be slower in terms of passenger numbers, with low load factors and smaller aircraft "still a reality." This is likely to continue, with ACI Europe predicting passenger levels will recover no earlier than 2025, around two years after Eurocontrol predicts flight numbers to have mostly fully recovered. Load factors averaged at around 50-60pc in 2021, Eurocontrol said.

Airlines lost €18.5bn in 2021, with 1.4bn-1.5bn fewer passengers, a slightly softer loss than the €22.2bn losses and 1.7bn fewer passengers in 2020, Eurocontrol said. It attributes the 2021 recovery in air traffic to mass vaccination roll-outs and to the EU digital travel certificate that offered smoother passage at airports.


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