Oil groups aim to stymie US electric vehicle push

  • Market: Biofuels, Crude oil, Electricity, Emissions
  • 17/07/23

Oil industry and biofuel groups are campaigning against new regulations that aim to replace most new gasoline-fuelled US cars and trucks with battery-powered electric vehicles (EVs).

The landmark regulations, which President Joe Biden's administration proposed on 12 April, would set increasingly strict tailpipe emission standards for cars, trucks and larger commercial vehicles, beginning in model year 2027.

These standards could bring about a major shift. They are due to accelerate sales of battery-powered EVs so that by 2032 they would account for 67pc of car and light truck sales, and 46pc of medium-duty van and commercial vehicle sales, according to the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). In 2022, battery electric and plug-in EVs together accounted for just 8.4pc of light-duty vehicles.

The proposed standards mean oil producers and refiners would lose nearly 2.75mn b/d of oil demand by 2040. They argue that the EPA is far exceeding its powers under the Clean Air Act by proposing emission standards that could be met only if automakers aggressively phase out internal combustion engines in favour of batteries. "Congress has never come anywhere close to providing EPA with the authority it asserts here," American Fuels and Petrochemical Manufacturers president Chet Thompson says.

Ethanol producers, renewable diesel groups, fuel retailers and others that stand to lose out have joined the campaign against the regulations. Those groups, alongside oil producers, signed a letter on 11 July faulting the rules and urging Biden to consider a "broader range" of alternatives to curtail vehicle emissions, such as greater use of renewable fuels.

The pending EPA regulations are a core part of Biden's non-binding goal for EVs to account for half of US vehicle sales by 2030. To support this goal, the US is rolling out $7.5bn in infrastructure funds to build a national network of chargers. The recent expansion of a tax credit of up to $7,500 per vehicle, alongside subsidies for battery manufacturing, is intended to further accelerate the transition to EVs. The EPA aims to finalise the vehicle standards by March 2024.

US automakers say they support Biden's EV goal but need time to scale their supply chains, acquire critical minerals for batteries and build charging infrastructure. The EPA's draft proposal is "neither reasonable nor achievable" in the intended timeframe, the Alliance for Automotive Innovation says. Oil producers cite similar concerns, as well as scant consumer appetite for EVs. "This proposal is a de facto ban that will eliminate competition," American Petroleum Institute president Mike Sommers says. Even so, automakers are aggressively expanding their EV offerings and their marketing to consumers. And the market for critical minerals has doubled over the past five years, with investment surging by 30pc last year following a 20pc increase in 2021, the IEA says.

Questions for Biden

If the EPA finalises the tailpipe standards without changes, critics are preparing legal claims that could find a receptive audience in federal court. One argument is that phasing out internal combustion engines is a "major question" that was never delegated to the EPA and could have "vast economic and political significance". The US Supreme Court last year cited the newly conceived "major questions doctrine" to throw out an earlier climate rule affecting power plants.

Biden's congressional critics are also looking for options to curtail his EV policies. Republicans in the US House of Representatives last week held a subcommittee vote advancing bills to block the tailpipe standards and curtail California's ability to set its own vehicle rules.

US EV penetration

Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
10/05/24

Argus launches US low-carbon methanol pricing

Argus launches US low-carbon methanol pricing

Houston, 10 May (Argus) — Argus Media today launched pricing instruments for the US low-carbon methanol sector. Argus assessed US low-carbon methanol at $990.7/t fob USGC this week, down by $10.05/t from last week amid softening global markets. European bio-methanol prices slipped by $11/t to $1,080/t this week. The price had been as high as $1,100/t on 17 April. The calculated cost of USGC low-carbon methanol production stood at $1464.7/t, down by $16.55/t from last week. Weaker RINs cost offset higher natural gas prices this week. Low-carbon methanol is attracting widespread attention from multiple industrial sectors because it offers a decarbonization route both for the chemical industry's traditional end-uses and for reducing the sulphur content and carbon footprint of shipping, where it can be used as a bunker fuel. Rather than a specific bio-methanol, green methanol, blue methanol or an e-methanol price, the nomenclature of a comprehensive low-carbon methanol price was determined to be the best approach. In discussions with market participants, feedback indicated an initial wide approach was necessary in the emerging USGC low-carbon methanol market space. Developing technologies that are still in a nascent stage, if split, would segment the market and stifle price generation and transparency, said one trader. The all-encompassing approach allows the Argus US Low-Carbon Methanol price to develop as a standard price index. "It's the molecule that matters," the trader said. Moving forward, this would allow the price discovery process to progress as production volumes grow, and then, if necessary, adjust methodology to reflect the developing market. For more information about this new pricing service, please contact US methanol senior reporter Steven McGinn at steven.mcginn@argusmedia.com. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

California refineries required to report turnarounds


10/05/24
News
10/05/24

California refineries required to report turnarounds

Houston, 10 May (Argus) — Refiners in California starting in June must file maintenance schedules with the state's energy commission at least 120 days in advance of planned work, and diagnostic reports within two days of unplanned shutdowns. The new reporting requirements, part of the SB X1-2 bill passed in March 2023, take effect following an 8 May meeting of the California Energy Commission (CEC) where the measures were finalized. The CEC will now be able to gather a broad range of data from refiners and set a maximum gross gasoline refining margin in an effort to avoid price spikes at the pump. If companies identify a need for maintenance less than 120 days before the planned work, a report to the CEC is required within two business days of the discovery, according to the reporting form posted in the SB X1-2 docket. The reporting form includes space for a description of the work, unit level details and information on the expected effect of a turnaround on transportation fuel inventories at the refinery. The same information will be required for unplanned maintenance, with a report to be sent to the CEC within two business days of the initial outage or lowered rates, and within two business days of the completion of work or return to normal throughputs. The additional information will aide the CEC in analyzing refiner margins and determine whether a margin cap and subsequent penalties are warranted, according to the commission. Industry groups think many of the reporting requirements are burdensome and politically motivated , often requesting information unnecessary to determine margins. Marine import reporting on horizon At the same 8 May business meeting, the CEC moved closer to finalizing a requirement for importers of foreign and domestic refined products and renewable fuels to report shipments at least four days before delivery. The reporting form includes information on vessel routes, costs and products shipped. The CEC approved for the marine reporting requirements to be submitted to the state's Office of Administrative Law for a 10-day review before a targeted 20 May start date. By tracking import data, the CEC aims to build a more accurate picture of what drives retail fuel prices and refiner margins in the state. "In many cases these forms request information that has questionable or no relevance at all to the CEC's efforts to minimize or prevent price spikes," said Sophie Ellinghouse, general counsel for trade group the Western States Petroleum Association, during public comments on the marine reporting requirements at the 8 May meeting. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Brazil narrows lower biofuel mix mandate in south


10/05/24
News
10/05/24

Brazil narrows lower biofuel mix mandate in south

Sao Paulo, 10 May (Argus) — Brazil's oil regulator ANP dialed back the reduced biofuels mandatory blend in Rio Grande do Sul state to four cities amid the recent flooding in the region. Low blending areas now apply only to the cities of Canoas, Esteio, Rio Grande and Santa Maria. The measure will still last for 30 days, starting on 4 May. ANP lowered the anhydrous ethanol blend on gasoline to 21pc from the current 27pc in the entire state earlier this week , while pushing the mandatory biodiesel mix for 10ppm (S10) diesel down to 2pc, from the usual 14pc. The agency also temporarily suspended the blending mandate for diesel with 500ppm of sulfur (S500). ANP said it decreased the exemption's coverage as it identified "that the supply situation in the rest of the state had stabilized." Rainfall in Rio Grande do Sul blocked railways and highways where biofuels are transported to retail hubs. Floods in the state have left at least 116 dead and 143 missing, according to the local government. By Laura Guedes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Mexican power outages enter fourth day


10/05/24
News
10/05/24

Mexican power outages enter fourth day

Mexico City, 10 May (Argus) — Mexican power grid operator Cenace issued its fourth consecutive day of operating alerts amid the heatwave gripping the country. Net electricity demand reached 47,321MW early today, with deployed electricity capacity slightly below at 47,233 MW, according to Cenace. Since 7 May, Cenace has declared emergency operating alerts as demand exceeded generation capacity during peak evening hours, prompting the grid operator to preemptively cut electricity supply across different states to maintain grid integrity. Power outages have lasted up to several hours in Mexico City and in major industrial states as power demand has outstripped supply by up to 1,000MW. Peak demand this week hit 49,000MW, just below last year's historic peak of 53,000MW during atypical temperatures in June. "We are very concerned about the unprecedented outages detected across 21 states, a situation that affects the normal functioning of Mexican companies," national business chamber Coparmex said. Peak electricity demand typically rises in June-July but temperatures this week have risen as high as 48°C (118° F) across some states. Mexico City reported a record high of 34.3°C on 9 May and high temperatures are forecast to continue into next week, Mexico's national weather service said. The inability of Mexico's grid to respond to increased demand is because of insufficient power generation capacity, non-profit think-tank the Mexican institute for competitiveness (Imco) said this week. "Despite the energy ministry's forecast that 22,000MW of new power capacity would enter service by 2026, only 1,483MW had entered service as of 2022" since late 2018, Imco said. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's administration pledged to build new generation capacity, including five gas-fired, combined-cycle plants, but recognized this week that delays had contributed to the power outages. "We have an electricity generation deficit because some of the combined-cycle plants were delayed, but we are working on it and it will soon be resolved," Lopez Obrador said on 9 May. Lopez Obrador's government has also curtailed private sector power development during his administration. Mexico needs to upgrade and expand its transmission network, industry associations say. "In order to resolve this problem, we believe that a reopening of the electricity market to the private sector is imperative," Mexico's wind energy association, Amdee, said. Mexico has 87,130MW of installed capacity, with 39.5pc from combined-cycle gas-fired power plants and 31pc in renewable power, including wind, solar, hydroelectric, geothermal and biomass, according to the latest statistics from the energy ministry. By Rebecca Conan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Brazil reports more off-spec biodiesel March-April


10/05/24
News
10/05/24

Brazil reports more off-spec biodiesel March-April

Sao Paulo, 10 May (Argus) — The rate of Brazilian biodiesel falling below required blending limits nearly tripled in March and April after the mandate was increased to 14pc, according to a government analysis. Hydrocarbons regulator ANP's Fuel Quality Monitoring Program (PMQC) found 271 instances of biodiesel below the required level between 1 March — when the blending mandate was increased from 12pc to 14pc — and 30 April. In January and February the PMQC found 97 instances of blends that did not meet the 12pc level. An increase in missed blending targets is common during transitions to higher blending levels, according to the agency, mainly due to difficulties in depleting inventories of the lower-level blend. Several plants claim that a slowdown in biodiesel withdrawals in the first four months of the year also contributed to challenges in complying with the new blending level. Some retailers' loss of market share has also been cited as an aggravating factor. In March, 154 recorded instances of non-compliance covered blending levels between 12.3pc and 13.9pc, according to ANP data. In April, there were 101 occurrences within the 12.3pc and 13.9pc range. Another eight instances of non-compliance were also recorded in each of March and April. The PMQC is a monitoring program and does not have the same effect on market behavior as inspections, according to ANP. "It is used as one of the intelligence vectors for the planning of ANP's inspection actions," the agency said. Only irregularities identified in the context of inspectios can result in fines levied against fuel distributors. By Alexandre Melo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more