Argus Seaborne Coal Outlook
Monthly thermal and metallurgical coal price forecasts, seaborne supply and demand analysis, and trade flow data for Atlantic and Pacific basin markets.
Overview
Argus Seaborne Coal Outlook is a monthly forecasting service covering global seaborne thermal and metallurgical coal markets. It delivers price forecasts for key benchmarks across the Atlantic and Pacific basins, two-year supply and demand projections for major importers and exporters, and in-depth analysis of market fundamentals, trade flows, and inventories.
At a glance
- Monthly price forecasts for thermal and met coal.
- Two-year seaborne supply and demand projections.
- Atlantic and Pacific basin trade flow data.
- Assess market exposure with regional fundamentals data.
- Price intelligence to support trading and procurement.
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Key features
Thermal coal forecasts
Price forecasts for 6,000 kcal/kg and 5,500 kcal/kg benchmarks, including cif ARA, fob Richards Bay, fob Newcastle, fob Puerto Bolivar, cfr South China, cfr India and Indonesian GAR grades, published monthly.
Metallurgical coal forecasts
Forward price forecasts for premium low-vol, mid-vol and PCI grades fob Australia, high-vol A and B fob USEC, and premium low-vol cfr China, revised each month to reflect current market conditions.
Supply and demand forecasts
Two-year seaborne supply and demand projections for major importing and exporting nations across the Atlantic and Pacific basins, updated monthly to reflect evolving trade dynamics.
Regional fundamentals analysis
Monthly analysis of inventories, domestic consumption and production trends across major coal markets, including China, India, Europe and northeast and southeast Asia.
Export and import data
Up-to-date seaborne export and import data providing visibility into shifting trade patterns and volumes across key producing and consuming regions globally.
Swaps, spreads and in-focus analysis
Monthly swaps and spreads data alongside a dedicated in-focus piece examining a key market theme or structural development, supporting strategic planning and forward positioning.
Downloadable datasets
Extensive Excel datasets covering price forecasts, supply and demand projections, and fundamentals, accessible via the client portal for direct integration into models and planning tools.
Who uses this service
Coal traders
- Reference monthly price forecasts when negotiating seaborne coal trades and contracts.
- Track two-year supply and demand outlooks to anticipate price direction and market shifts.
- Identify spread opportunities across Atlantic and Pacific basin markets.
Mining companies
- Use price and market forecasts to support financing applications and investment planning.
- Assess forward supply and demand conditions when planning production and export volumes.
- Monitor seaborne trade flows to evaluate competitive market positioning.
End-users and power generators
- Use coal price forecasts to manage procurement costs and forward budgeting.
- Track supply and demand projections to plan fuel purchasing strategies.
- Monitor regional fundamentals to assess risk exposure in sourcing markets.