Reliance, Aramco deal delayed further

  • Market: Crude oil, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 15/07/20

State-controlled Saudi Aramco's planned purchase of a 20pc stake in Indian private-sector conglomerate Reliance Industries' (RIL) refining and petrochemical assets is facing further delays.

"Due to unforeseen circumstances in the energy market and the Covid-19 situation, the deal has not progressed according to the original timeline," RIL chairman Mukesh Ambani said today, without giving more details. "Our equity requirements have already been met."

RIL had planned to offload a stake in its oil-to-chemical (O2C) business to reduce its overall debt, which was incurred to expand its oil business, and after investing in retail and telecom ventures.

It is not clear if the deal will still go ahead. "RIL values our over two-decade relationship with Saudi Aramco and is committed to a long-term partnership," Ambani said. RIL's capital needs were met by 14 investors led by Facebook and Google, which together invested 1.52 trillion rupees ($20bn).

RIL will approach the government for permission to spin off its O2C business into a separate subsidiary to help facilitate any partnership opportunities. Other investors besides Aramco are interested in the O2C business, a company official said, without giving details.

RIL expects to complete the spin-off by early 2021. The O2C business will also own the fuel retail joint venture established between RIL and BP this month.

BP paid $1bn to RIL for a 49pc stake in the joint venture, with RIL holding 51pc. The venture, RBML,will expand its fuel retail network to 5,500 over the next five years from more than 1,400 retail sites now and aims to increase its presence from 30 to 45 airports.

RIL said in August last year that the deal with Aramco, which values RIL's oil and chemical divisions at $75bn including debt, would be concluded by 31 March 2020. It later said the deal would be delayed beyond March.

The Aramco investment covers all of RIL's refineries and petrochemical assets, including its 51pc stake in the retail joint venture with BP. Aramco will supply 500,000 b/d of crude to RIL's 1.36mn b/d Jamnagar refining complex as part of the arrangement.

Ownership in India's downstream sector is poised for further change, with the government planning to sell a 54pc controlling stake in state-controlled refiner Bharat Petroleum (BPCL). Saudi Arabia's participation has been sought in the proposed sale. It is unclear if RIL will bid for BPCL.

There is also uncertainty over the planned 1.2mn b/d refinery and petrochemicals project in Maharashtra state, which is expected to cost over $55bn. Aramco and Abu Dhabi's state-owned Adnoc have a 50pc share in the project, the agreement for which expires this year.

RIL's gross refining margins rose to $8.90/bl in the January-March quarter from $8.20/bl a year earlier but fell from $9.20/bl in the preceding quarter. The company's 1.36mn b/d Jamnagar refinery processed 1.47mn b/d in January-March from 1.29mn b/d a year earlier.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
02/05/24

Canadian rail workers vote to launch strike: Correction

Canadian rail workers vote to launch strike: Correction

Corrects movement of grain loadings from a year earlier in final paragraph. Washington, 2 May (Argus) — Workers at the two major Canadian railroads could go on strike as soon as 22 May now that members of the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) have authorized a strike, potentially causing widespread disruption to shipments of commodities such as crude, coal and grain. A strike could disrupt rail traffic not only in Canada but also in the US and Mexico because trains would not be able to leave, nor could shipments enter into Canada. This labor action could be far more impactful than recent strikes because it would affect Canadian National (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) at the same time. Union members at Canadian railroads have gone on strike individually in the past, which has left one of the two carriers to continue operating and handle some of their competitor's freight. But TCRC members completed a vote yesterday about whether to initiate a strike action at each carrier. The union represents about 9,300 workers employed at the two railroads. Roughly 98pc of union members that participated voted in favor of a strike beginning as early as 22 May, the union said. The union said talks are at an impasse. "After six months of negotiations with both companies, we are no closer to reaching a settlement than when we first began, TCRC president Paul Boucher said. Boucher warned that "a simultaneous work stoppage at both CN and CPKC would disrupt supply chains on a scale Canada has likely never experienced." He added that the union does not want to provoke a rail crisis and wants to avoid a work stoppage. The union has argued that the railroads' proposals would harm safety practices. It has also sought an improved work-life balance. But CN and CPKC said the union continues to reject their proposals. CPKC "is committed to negotiating in good faith and responding to our employees' desire for higher pay and improved work-life balance, while respecting the best interests of all our railroaders, their families, our customers, and the North American economy." CN said it wants a contract that addresses the work life balance and productivity, benefiting the company and employees. But even when CN "proposed a solution that would not touch duty-rest rules, the union has rejected it," the railroad said. Canadian commodity volume has fallen this year with only rail shipments of chemicals, petroleum and petroleum products, and non-metallic minerals rising, Association of American Railroads (AAR) data show. Volume data includes cars loaded in the US by Canadian carriers. Coal traffic dropped by 11pc during the 17 weeks ended on 27 April compared with a year earlier, AAR data show. Loadings of motor vehicles and parts have fallen by 5.2pc. CN and CPKC grain loadings fell by 4.3pc from a year earlier, while shipment of farm products and food fell by 9.3pc. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Abu Dhabi’s Adnoc puts crude capacity at 4.85mn b/d


02/05/24
News
02/05/24

Abu Dhabi’s Adnoc puts crude capacity at 4.85mn b/d

Dubai, 2 May (Argus) — Abu Dhabi's state-owned Adnoc has nudged up its self-reported crude production capacity to 4.85mn b/d, from 4.65mn b/d previously. The UAE state energy giant did not formally announce the increase but updated the figure on its website. It did something similar when its capacity reached 4.65mn b/d in late 2023, up from 4.5mn b/d in the middle of last year. This latest hike takes the company a step closer to its long-term 5mn b/d crude capacity target, which it aims to reach by 2027. Adnoc set the 5mn b/d target back in 2018 when its capacity was 3.5mn b/d. At that time, the company said it was aiming to deliver the increase by 2030, but in November 2022 it brought the timeframe forward by three years, citing the "UAE's robust hydrocarbon reserves". The change in timeline had been expected, with sources telling Argus earlier that year that discussions had been taking place in the upper echelons of Adnoc about significantly accelerating its capacity growth plans . Given the speed at which the company has been delivering capacity gains over the past few years, and how close it is to meeting its target already, it is not inconceivable that Adnoc will reach 5mn b/d ahead of schedule. Put your best foot forward The UAE's rising capacity comes as Opec+ producers engage with independent agencies to update their respective crude output capacities for use in production policy decisions from 2025. At their meeting in June last year, all Opec+ members committed to undergo an external assessment of their sustainable capacities in the first half of 2024 by three independent consultancies, IHS, Wood Mackenzie and Rystad. The updated capacity assessment will help address a key criticism of the Opec+ production restraint agreements in their current format, namely that many of the countries involved have been cutting output from a baseline level of production that they can no longer actually deliver, in most cases due to natural decline. The UAE has been one of a handful of countries in the group that has been raising its capacity over the past few years. This means it should, in theory, benefit from the latest assessment, as a higher accepted capacity will afford it a higher production baseline under any Opec+ agreements struck from 2025 onwards. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Shell's 1Q profit supported by LNG and refining


02/05/24
News
02/05/24

Shell's 1Q profit supported by LNG and refining

London, 2 May (Argus) — Shell delivered a better-than-expected profit for the first quarter of 2024, helped by a strong performance from its LNG and oil product businesses. The company reported profit of $7.4bn for January-March, up sharply from an impairment-hit $474mn in the previous three months but down from $8.7bn in the first quarter of 2023. Adjusted for inventory valuation effects and one-off items, Shell's profit came in at $7.7bn, 6pc ahead of the preceding three months and above analysts' estimates of $6.3bn-$6.5bn, although it was 20pc lower than the first quarter of 2023 when gas prices were higher. Shell's oil and gas production increased by 3pc on the quarter in January-March and was broadly flat compared with a year earlier at 2.91mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d). For the current quarter, Shell expects production in a range of 2.55mn-2.81mn boe/d, reflecting the effect of scheduled maintenance across its portfolio. The company's Integrated Gas segment delivered a profit of $2.76bn in the first quarter, up from $1.73bn in the previous three months and $2.41bn a year earlier. The segment benefited from increased LNG volumes — 7.58mn t compared to 7.06mn t in the previous quarter and 7.19mn t a year earlier — as well as favourable deferred tax movements and lower operating expenses. For the current quarter, Shell expects to produce 6.8mn-7.4mn t of LNG. In the downstream, the company's Chemicals and Products segment swung to a profit of $1.16bn during the quarter from an impairment-driven loss of $1.83bn in the previous three months, supported by a strong contribution from oil trading operations and higher refining margins driven by greater utilisation of its refineries and global supply disruptions. Shell's refinery throughput increased to 1.43mn b/d in the first quarter from 1.32mn b/d in fourth quarter of last year and 1.41mn b/d in January-March 2023. Shell has maintained its quarterly dividend at $0.344/share. It also said it has completed the $3.5bn programme of share repurchases that it announced at its previous set of results and plans to buy back another $3.5bn of its shares before the company's next quarterly results announcement. The company said it expects its capital spending for the year to be within a $22bn-$25bn range. By Jon Mainwaring Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

US southbound barge demand falls off earlier than usual


01/05/24
News
01/05/24

US southbound barge demand falls off earlier than usual

Houston, 1 May (Argus) — Southbound barge rates in the US have fallen on unseasonably low demand because of increased competition in the international grain market. Rates for voyages down river have deteriorated to "unsustainable" levels, said American Commercial Barge Line. Southbound rates declined in April to an average tariff of 284pc across all rivers this April, according to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), which is below breakeven levels for many barge carriers. Rates typically do not fall below a 300pc tariff until May or June. Southbound freight values for May are expected to hold steady or move lower, said sources this week. Southbound activity has increased recently because of the low rates, but not enough to push prices up. The US has already sold 84pc of its forecast corn exports and 89pc of forecast soybean exports with only five months left until the end of the corn and soybean marketing year, according to the USDA. US corn and soybean prices have come down since the beginning of the year in order to stay competitive with other origins. The USDA lowered its forecast for US soybean exports by 545,000t in its April report as soybeans from Brazil and Argentina were more competitively priced. US farmers are holding onto more of their harvest from last year because of low crop prices, curbing exports. Prompt CBOT corn futures averaged $435/bushel in April, down 34pc from April 2023. Weak southbound demand could last until fall when the US enters harvest season and exports ramp up southbound barge demand. Major agriculture-producing countries such as Argentina and Brazil are expected to export their grain harvest before the US. Brazil has finished planting corn on time . unlike last year. The US may face less competition from Brazil in the fall as a result. Carriers are tying up barges earlier than usual to avoid losses on southbound barge voyages. Carriers that have already parked their barges will take their time re-entering the market unless tariffs become profitable again. The carriers who remain on the river will gain more southbound market share and possibly more northbound spot interest. By Meghan Yoyotte and Eduardo Gonzalez Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

US Fed signals rates likely to stay high for longer


01/05/24
News
01/05/24

US Fed signals rates likely to stay high for longer

Houston, 1 May (Argus) — Federal Reserve policymakers signaled they are likely to hold rates higher for longer until they are confident inflation is slowing "sustainably" towards the 2pc target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds target rate unchanged at a 23-year high of 5.25-5.5pc, for the sixth consecutive meeting. This followed 11 rate increases from March 2022 through July 2023 that amounted to the most aggressive hiking campaign in four decades. "We don't think it would be appropriate to dial back our restrictive policy stance until we've gained greater confidence that inflation is moving down sustainably," Fed chair Jerome Powell told a press conference after the meeting. "It appears it'll take longer to reach the point of confidence that rate cuts will be in scope." In a statement the FOMC cited a lack of further progress towards the committee's 2pc inflation objective in recent months as part of the decision to hold the rate steady. Despite this, the FOMC said the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals "have moved toward better balance over the past year," shifting prior language that said the goals "are moving into better balance." The decision to keep rates steady was widely expected. CME's FedWatch tool, which tracks fed funds futures trading, had assigned a 99pc probability to the Fed holding rates steady today while giving 58pc odds of rate declines beginning at the 7 November meeting. In March, Fed policymakers had signaled they believed three quarter points cuts were likely this year. Inflation has ticked up lately after falling from four-decade highs in mid-2022. The consumer price index inched back up to an annual 3.5pc in March after reaching a recent low of 3pc in June 2023. The employment cost index edged up in the first quarter to the highest in a year. At the same time, job growth, wages and demand have remained resilient. The Fed also said it would begin slowing the pace of reducing its balance sheet of Treasuries and other notes in June, partly to avoid stress in money markets. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more