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High demand, supply shortage to lift Indian FeCr prices

  • Market: Metals
  • 09/09/20

India ferro-chrome prices are expected to rise in the near term as the market faces a perfect storm of reduced raw material supply, curtailed alloy availability and rising demand from the stainless steel industry.

Prices have responded to the fundamentals, with 60pc grade ferro-chrome soaring to a 14-month high of Rs71,000-72,000/t ($965.32-978.92/t) ex-works India on 8 September, rising by more than 18pc since the start of August. Argus-assessed alloy prices were last at this level on 8 May 2019.

Spot prices are expected to increase further on tight ore supply in the domestic market and rising demand for alloy from stainless steels mills.

Ferro-chrome producers without their own source of chrome ore supply rely on merchant mines, which have limited availability because of heavy rainfall and lockdown measures in India.

State-owned Odisha Mining (OMC) has postponed its monthly chrome ore auction of about 35,000 t/month since June. OMC's output has been affected by heavy rains and limited labour availability owing to lockdown-induced restrictions, while operations at Tata Steel's Sukinda mine have stalled and shipments of chrome ore from MMPL and BMPL mines are expected to start within two months.

Currently, OMC and Tata Steel are the only major merchant miners in India to sell chrome ore in the domestic market.

Former merchant miner Misrilal Mines (MMPL) has nearly sold its existing stock from its previously owned chrome mine in Odisha state. MMPL's merchant mine leases lapsed on 31 March under a 2015 amendment and Tata Steel won MMPL's mine through a mandated auction. Odisha state had allowed former owners of auctioned merchant mines to continue shipments of previously mined minerals for six months from 31 March to prevent supplies from being affected by the country's coronavirus-related lockdown.

Tight ferro-chrome availability

The ore shortfall has resulted in lower ferro-chrome output in India at a time when demand from stainless steel industry began to increase. Stainless steel mills began to gradually ramp up production after lockdown restrictions were eased in the country, resulting in higher demand on the spot market.

A lack of power supply at one of the major alloy producers further exacerbated the supply tightness in India.

Balasore Alloy, a ferro-chrome producer with access to its own chrome ore mines, is not operating its 160,000 t/yr ferro-chrome plant since June because of power supply issues. Its Sukinda-based chrome ore mine is also operating at lower capacity.

Higher stainless steel end-product prices coupled with an expected improvement in stainless steel demand from the retail segment during the festive season are likely to boost demand for alloys, which would support the upside for ferro-chrome in the near term.


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