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Brazil pledges carbon neutrality, seeks compensation

  • Market: Crude oil, Emissions
  • 10/12/20

Brazil reaffirmed its commitment to climate neutrality by 2060 amid rising international pressure to check growing Amazon deforestation, but it is demanding financial compensation from developed nations to preserve the environment.

The country could adopt a more ambitious emissions target in the future, but this would depend on the "proper functioning of market mechanisms provided for in the Paris Agreement," Brazil said in its updated nationally determined commitment (NDC) on 8 December, a requirement under the Paris Agreement.

Specifically, the Brazilian government said it could reach net-zero emissions ahead of schedule, but would need to receive an annual payment of $10bn for environmental preservation from developed countries starting in 2021.

These payments could eventually be made through carbon-trading mechanisms which are stipulated as part of the agreement, environment minister Ricardo Salles said after a meeting of the inter-ministerial climate change committee, which issued the updated NDC.

Brazil also reaffirmed its pledge to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 37pc from 2005 levels by 2025 and by 43pc in 2030.

Brazil saw a 9.6pc increase in GHG emissions in 2019 from a year earlier, according to the emissions-monitoring system (SEEG) developed by local environmental NGO Observatorio do Clima. According to SEEG estimates, deforestation accounted for 44pc of total GHG emissions in 2019. Emissions from deforestation increased by 23pc from 2018.

The agriculture sector accounted for 28pc of total emissions in 2019, down from 30pc in 2018.

The energy sector produced 19pc of total emissions, down from 20pc in 2018. This is largely because of the large share of renewable power in Brazil's power mix.

The country passed sweeping biofuels legislation in 2017, known as Renovabio, which aimed to reduce emission by 10pc by 2028 through an increase in biofuels use.

Despite its sweeping biofuels program, the country remains committed to pre-salt oil production, although state-controlled Petrobras recently announced its goal of reducing emissions by 25pc from 2015 levels by 2030.

Emissions are likely to continue to rise in 2020 after deforestation in Brazil's Amazon basin reached the highest level in over a decade in the 12-month period ending in July, marking the second consecutive year of increasing environmental devastation. Brazil lost 11,088km2 of rainforest in the 2019-20 season, which runs from August to July, up 9.5pc from the 10,129km2 in the previous period.

The steady increase in deforestation is a growing risk for Brazil, especially after US president-elect Joe Biden takes office in January. Biden is expected to join European leaders to pressure Brazil to make concrete progress towards reducing deforestation.

With the 2019-20 number, Brazil is far from reaching the goal of reducing 2020 deforestation to a maximum of 3,925km2, which was established as part of its 2009 national climate change policy (PNMC).


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13/06/25

Israel, Iran exchange strikes: Update

Israel, Iran exchange strikes: Update

Updates with details throughout Washington, 13 June (Argus) — Israel continued to attack nuclear facilities in Iran and Tehran retaliated with missile strikes against Tel Aviv and elsewhere in Israel on a day that saw sharp escalation across the world's largest oil producing region. Israel's Air Force said today it completed another round of attacks against Iran while prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his country will continue attacking Iran "as long as necessary". The latest Israeli attack, following broader strikes in the early hours Friday, targeted a nuclear facility near Isfahan in Iran's northwest, according to Israel's Air Force post on social media platform X at 8:40pm local time (5:40pm GMT). A barrage of Iranian ballistic missiles landed in Tel Aviv in late evening hours Friday local time, as Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) said it will deliver a "crushing and precise response" to Israeli strikes that decapitated Iran's military leadership, knocked out the country's air defense and caused some damage to the country's nuclear programme facilities. The exchange of air and missile strikes has so far spared oil infrastructure in Iran and elsewhere in the region. Israel has halted production at two of its major natural gas fields and cut pipeline exports to Egypt following the attack on Iran. Crude market participants said they were concerned that Israeli attacks on Iran could extend beyond the existing military targets and nuclear infrastructure, and target the country's oil fields and facilities. The July Nymex WTI contract was trading near $73/bl at 3pm ET, about 8pc above yesterday's settlement price. Israel's military said earlier in the day that it intercepted a barrage of drones launched from Iran and Yemen. The ballistic missiles Iran used later in the evening are faster moving and harder to intercept, said former US assistant secretary of state Barbara Leaf. Iran last used them to attack Israel in October 2024. "We must give a strong response," Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said before the Iranian missile strikes on Israel. "They shouldn't imagine that they've attacked us and that everything is over now." What next? The immediate aftermath of the attack on Iran, launched in the early hours Friday local time, points to a serious toll in leadership ranks, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps commander-in-chief Hossein Salami and Iran's army chief, Mohammad Bagheri. US president Donald Trump convened a national security council meeting at 11am ET today, with no readout yet on any potential measures it could take in response to a hike in oil prices. US forces across the Middle East are on alert and the US administration pledged to help defend Israel from further attacks. The conflict has the potential to spread to neighboring countries and Trump's sidelining or forced retirement of professional diplomats at the State Department and the White House national security council leaves his administration with fewer resources to dial down tensions or to prevent Israel from taking drastic steps, Leaf said during a discussion hosted by think tank the Middle East Institute. "Iraq is in the bull's eye," said Leaf, who left the State Department in January. "The Gulf states are obviously very vulnerable. Egypt and Israel have been acutely threatened by the conflict in Gaza, and this kind of adds a new pile on, but I worry about Iraq." The apparent initial success of Israel's military operation could prompt Netanyahu to press his advantage against Iran and "one of my concerns would be that... the drive to go forward toward regime change will be just too tempting," Leaf said. "This is a country of 83 million people. It's not a non-state actor like Hezbollah" in Lebanon, she said. "As immense an achievement it was for the Israel Defense Forces to take Hezbollah apart, it is not the same thing as really decapitating a country and then seeing how it all works out." By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Opec+ output rises by 360,000 b/d in May


13/06/25
News
13/06/25

Opec+ output rises by 360,000 b/d in May

London, 13 June (Argus) — Crude production by Opec+ members with output targets rose by 360,000 b/d last month, driven by Saudi Arabia and South Sudan, Argus estimates. Output rose to 34.33mn b/d in May, the highest in 15 months and 760,000 b/d above six months ago. But it was still 70,000 b/d below the group's collective target for the month. Further increases are on the way. Eight Opec+ members — Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Russia, the UAE, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan — began unwinding 2.2mn b/d of "voluntary" additional cuts in April with an initial increase of 137,000 b/d. They followed this by tripling the scheduled monthly increases to 411,000 b/d for May, June and July . If they continue at this rate, the group could fully unwind its cuts by October, 11 months earlier than planned. The decisions to return more oil to an increasingly uncertain market took observers by surprise, particularly given subdued oil prices and the bleak economic outlook driven by US president Donald Trump's tariff policies. The group says the output rises are based on "healthy market fundamentals" and "low oil inventories". But the eight members have also stressed the actual output increases will be partially offset by members that have pledged to compensate for past overproduction. This is now being borne out. The eight members boosted their combined output by 190,000 b/d in May — less than the 411,000 b/d increase to their collective target for the month. Russia and Iraq are key reasons for the lower output, with both having pledged to compensate for significant past overproduction. Iraq kept its output flat at 3.94mn b/d — 110,000 b/d below its May target. While this was still 30,000 b/d above the country's target under the latest publicly available compensation plan , it marks a big improvement on previous months. Russia's output also remained unchanged at 8.98mn b/d, 100,000 b/d below its target and 20,000 b/d below its compensation-related target. The UAE also made considerable compensation effort. The country's output fell by 10,000 b/d to 2.93mn b/d — 70,000 b/d below its compensation-related target. And while Saudi Arabia increased its output by a hefty 140,000 b/d, this was 50,000 b/d below its target for the month. The country is expected to be the main driver of the alliance's output increases in the coming months, particularly given that it does not have any compensation-related cuts to make. The outlier Kazakhstan continues to stick out like a sore thumb, with its output still at near-record levels. The country's production rose by 10,000 b/d to 1.83mn b/d in May — 340,000 b/d above its target for the month and a whopping 460,000 b/d above its compensation-related target. Kazakhstan is not expected to make any meaningful production cuts in the coming months. A large part of the alliance's wider output increase was driven by South Sudan, which resumed exports of Dar Blend in late April. Production of the grade was shut in for more than a year owing to problems affecting the pipeline that carries the crude to war-torn Sudan's Bashayer terminal on the Red Sea. The resumption of flows boosted output to 150,000 b/d in May, the highest since March 2024. Another notable boost came from Iran which, like Venezuela and Libya, is exempt from output targets. Iran's production rose by 30,000 b/d to 3.42mn b/d — the highest since August 2018, when the country's output began to fall owing to the reimposition of sanctions by Trump during his first term. Venezuela's output fell by 30,000 b/d to 930,000 b/d. Further output falls are around the corner , with the US tightening sanctions on the South American country. By Aydin Calik Opec+ crude production mn b/d May Apr* May target† ± target Opec 9 21.51 21.26 21.64 -0.13 Non-Opec 9 12.82 12.71 12.76 +0.06 Total Opec+ 18 34.33 33.97 34.40 -0.07 *revised †includes additional cuts but excludes compensation cuts Opec wellhead production mn b/d May Apr* May target† ± target Saudi Arabia 9.15 9.01 9.20 -0.05 Iraq 3.94 3.94 4.05 -0.11 Kuwait 2.43 2.40 2.44 -0.01 UAE 2.94 2.95 3.02 -0.08 Algeria 0.92 0.91 0.92 0.00 Nigeria 1.58 1.55 1.50 +0.08 Congo (Brazzaville) 0.27 0.25 0.28 -0.01 Gabon 0.22 0.20 0.17 +0.05 Equatorial Guinea 0.06 0.05 0.07 -0.01 Opec 9 21.51 21.26 21.64 -0.13 Iran 3.42 3.39 na na Libya 1.38 1.34 na na Venezuela 0.93 0.96 na na Total Opec 12^ 27.24 26.95 na na *revised †includes additional cuts but excludes compensation cuts ^Iran, Libya and Venezuela are exempt from production targets Non-Opec crude production mn b/d May Apr* May target† ± target Russia 8.98 8.98 9.08 -0.10 Oman 0.76 0.76 0.77 -0.01 Azerbaijan 0.45 0.45 0.55 -0.10 Kazakhstan 1.83 1.82 1.49 +0.34 Malaysia 0.36 0.35 0.40 -0.04 Bahrain 0.18 0.18 0.20 -0.02 Brunei 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.01 Sudan 0.02 0.02 0.06 -0.04 South Sudan 0.15 0.06 0.12 +0.03 Total non-Opec 12.82 12.71 12.76 0.06 *revised †includes additional cuts but excludes compensation cuts Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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VLCC rates up 25pc after Israeli strike on Iran: Update


13/06/25
News
13/06/25

VLCC rates up 25pc after Israeli strike on Iran: Update

Adds daily rate change in second paragraph London, 13 June (Argus) — The cost of freight for Mideast Gulf-origin very large crude carrier (VLCC) voyages rose by 25pc today after Israeli air and missile strikes hit Iran in the early hours. The key Mideast Gulf to China route rose to $12.85/t from $10.28/t. The VLCC market is exposed to volatility as around 65pc of all shipments in that class are from the Mideast Gulf. In October 2024, when Iran launched more than 200 missiles against Israel, the Argus- assessed rate for the Mideast Gulf to China route increased by more than 13pc, to $14.10/t, in three days. So far it appears there is no disruption to oil flows through the Mideast Gulf and the strait of Hormuz, and remains unclear as Iran's oil infrastructure was unscathed by the Israeli air and missile strikes according to Iran's state news agency Irna and Argus sources. But some shipowners have become increasingly cautious of the region, with some market participants suggesting more risk-averse owners might avoid the area until the conflict de-escalates. This could encourage some owners to increase their offers as the risk of transiting the area mounts, and discourage some from visiting the region at all. Charterers made multiple cargoes available to the Mideast Gulf market today, but most remained unfixed. But the rise in crude prices today — front month Ice Brent is trading around 5.5pc higher having rise as much as 13pc earlier — could discourage China, the largest importer of Mideast Gulf grades, from purchasing more crude. This could curtail any jump in freight rates and perhaps create a ceiling to cap the increase. By Rhys van Dinther Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Exomad Green starts building Bolivian biochar plant


13/06/25
News
13/06/25

Exomad Green starts building Bolivian biochar plant

London, 13 June (Argus) — Bolivian biochar producer Exomad Green has started building a 128,000 t/yr biochar production plant in the country's Guarayos region, which it expects to achieve 320,000 t/yr of CO2 removal (CDR) once fully operational. The facility will be developed in two phases. Half of the total capacity will be developed in phase one, which is scheduled to be fully operational by mid-2026, with the second phase expected to start in 2026. Exomad did not provide a timeline for the scheduled end of the latter phase. The firm plans to distribute biochar to indigenous communities and farmers to restore degraded soils, enhance food production and improve resilience to climate stress, through its "biochar donation program" it said, without specifying what share of the end product would be allocated for this program. Exomad signed a 10-year biochar CDR agreement with technology giant Microsoft to remove 1.24mn t of CO2 in late May. The contract has embedded digital monitoring, reporting and verification carried by Germany-based Carbonfuture to enable third-party verification and certification under crediting platform Puro.earth's biochar methodology. The parties had previously also signed a deal for 32,000t of biochar CDR credits in December 2023. Exomad estimates it had sequestered over 120,000t of CO2 by April through its biochar operations. The firm already operates two biochar plants in Concepcion and Riberalta, each with 60,000 t/yr of capacity. The company uses hardwood forestry residues as feedstock to produce biochar with up to 86pc fixed carbon content through pyrolysis. Exomad Green is a unit of Exomad, which is the largest wood exporter in Bolivia. By Erisa Senerdem Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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VLCC rates exposed to disruption after Israeli strike


13/06/25
News
13/06/25

VLCC rates exposed to disruption after Israeli strike

London, 13 June (Argus) — The cost of freight for Mideast Gulf-origin very large crude carrier (VLCC) voyages could increase after Israeli air and missile strikes hit Iran in the early hours of today, 13 June. The VLCC market is exposed to volatility as around 65pc of all shipments in that class are from the Mideast Gulf. In October 2024, when Iran launched more than 200 missiles against Israel, the Argus- assessed rate for the Mideast Gulf to China route increased by more than 13pc, to $14.10/t, in three days. So far is appears there is no disruption to oil flows through the Mideast Gulf and the strait of Hormuz, and remains unclear as Iran's oil infrastructure was unscathed by the Israeli air and missile strikes according to Iran's state news agency Irna and Argus sources. But some shipowners have become increasingly cautious of the region, with some market participants suggesting more risk-averse owners might avoid the area until the conflict de-escalates. This could encourage some owners to increase their offers as the risk of transiting the area mounts, and discourage some from visiting the region at all. Charterers made multiple cargoes available to the Mideast Gulf market today, but most remained unfixed. But the rise in crude prices today — front month Ice Brent is trading around 5.5pc higher having rise as much as 13pc earlier — could discourage China, the largest importer of Mideast Gulf grades, from purchasing more crude. This could curtail any jump in freight rates and perhaps create a ceiling to cap the increase. By Rhys van Dinther Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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