Latest market news

North American OCTG industry remains tight

  • Market: Coking coal, Crude oil, Metals, Natural gas
  • 22/11/22

Tubular demand has remained resilient for the North American steel industry, even as other sectors have either contracted or showed signs of contraction.

Demand for oil country tubular goods (OCTG) products is expected to remain strong going into 2023, as higher crude oil prices pushed the US rig count last week to its highest since March 2020.

Tubular producer Tenaris is planning to increase its US OCTG production after the US government this month imposed antidumping duties of 78.3pc and 44.93pc on OCTG imports from Argentina and Mexico, respectively.

The company operates 11 manufacturing sites and four service centers in the US, and another two manufacturing plants in Canada, according to its 2021 sustainability report.

Demand is expected to remain strong heading into the coming year despite robust imports for the year so far. The US imported just under 3.9mn metric tonnes (t) of pipe and tube products over the first nine months of 2022, compared with just under 2.8mn t in the same year earlier period, according to the latest official statistics from the Department of Commerce. Since then, preliminary data showed imports in October of 387,000t, up from 352,000t a year earlier.

French tubular steelmaker Vallourec expects North American OCTG supplies to remain tight going into 2023.

At the same time, integrated steelmaker US Steel boosted its tubular division output by 48pc to 173,000 short tons (st) in the third quarter from a year earlier, as the division operated at a 76pc utilization rate, up from 52pc a year earlier.

The active drilling rig count in the US was at 782 for the week ended 18 November, up by 39pc from a year earlier, according to data from oil field services firm Baker Hughes.

The Argus West Texas Intermediate fob Houston price has remained above $80/bl for most of 2022, and has been buoyed by supply shocks related to the war between Russia and Ukraine. It has fallen by 37pc since hitting a peak of $127.81/bl in early March, closing at $80.95/bl today.

This mostly contrasts with the wider steel market in which cooling demand has lowered lead times, prompting mills to caution over the near-term price and market outlooks.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
26/07/24

Australia’s Ichthys LNG to restart liquefaction train

Australia’s Ichthys LNG to restart liquefaction train

Singapore, 26 July (Argus) — The second liquefaction train at Australia's 9.3mn t/yr Ichthys LNG export terminal plans to resume partial operations today, after going off line unexpectedly during 18-19 July, according to traders. The export facility is operated by Japanese upstream firm Inpex. Repairs at the affected train could take up to a month before it returns to full production, although the train is expected to restart by this weekend, according to market participants. Attempts to restart train two could take place by 26 July. Some delays to deliveries from the facility are expected, although there are also unconfirmed reports that up to two cargoes may have already been cancelled at the time of writing. The overall impact on the market is likely to be limited for now, with continuing weak spot demand from northeast Asian importers. Some term buyers previously requested for their deliveries to be deferred, traders said, although it is unclear just how many requests for deferment were received. But other participants have pointed out that the winter restocking season could soon start and any further impediments to train two's restart could lift prices. Recent temperatures in Japan have been higher than expected, with at least a 70pc probability of above-normal temperatures over the vast majority of the country until 23 August, according to the latest forecast issued by the Japan Meteorological Agency on 25 July. At least one Japanese utility may be considering spot purchases for August, owing to higher-than-expected power consumption because of warmer temperatures. But at least two other Japanese firms could be looking to sell a September and an October cargo each, traders said, which could indicate that the spot market is still sufficiently well-supplied to cope with additional demand from Japanese utilities. The 174,000m³ Grace Freesia departed from Ichthys on 25 July after loading an LNG cargo, according to ship tracking data from Kpler. The export terminal sold a spot cargo for loading over 2-6 June at around high-$9s/mn Btu through a tender that closed on 10 May, but further details are unclear. The US' 17.3mn t/yr Freeport export terminal also faced issues restarting since it was first taken off line on 7 July as a precautionary measure against Hurricane Beryl. The terminal loaded its first cargo on 21 July . All three trains are likely to be back on line as of 26 July, although production at the facility should still be closely monitored, traders said. By Naomi Ong Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Blast furnace works cut S Korea's Posco 2Q steel output


26/07/24
News
26/07/24

Blast furnace works cut S Korea's Posco 2Q steel output

Singapore, 26 July (Argus) — South Korean steelmaker Posco reported lower crude steel output and sales in the second quarter because of refurbishments at its Pohang blast burnace, but a higher operating profit. Posco's crude steel production dropped to 8mn t over April-June, from 8.66mn t in the first quarter and 8.85mn t a year earlier, the company said in an earnings call on 25 July. Sales volume also dipped to 7.86mn t, from 8.23mn t in the previous quarter and 8.48mn t a year earlier. The firm's utilisation rates fell to 79.1pc in the second quarter, from 85.6pc in the first quarter and 87.3pc a year earlier. Posco began maintenance and modernisation of its No.4 blast furnace at Pohang in late April, which has a capacity of around 5.3mn t/yr. But production resumed at the end of June, raising its scrap consumption as reflected in its resumption of regular weekly purchases of Japanese scrap after a three-month halt. The group's combined steel revenue, including Posco and overseas steel facilities, stood at 15.4 trillion won ($11.1bn) in the second quarter. This was largely steady from the previous quarter but down from W16.5 trillion a year earlier. Combined steel operating profit stood at W497bn in the second quarter, up from W339bn in the first quarter, but less than half of W1 trillion a year earlier. Posco reported higher mill margins as the cost of raw materials dropped and sales price increased. But overseas upstream operations reported losses given an influx of cheap imports into the southeast Asian market and lower sales prices. Battery, other expansion plans Revenue from secondary battery unit Posco Future M fell by 20pc on the quarter and 23pc on the year to W915bn. Operating profit stood at W3bn, down from W38bn a quarter earlier and W52bn a year earlier. Posco, while citing a difficult battery materials industry over April-June, said during the earnings call that it is "closely monitoring demand fluctuations." The firm will pace its investment, but it will "not lose out" on any opportunity to invest in essential resources such as lithium whose prices have "hit rock bottom." Posco flagged the approaching US presidential election and shifting strategies of major automakers as factors that will continue affecting the EV supply chain. This was echoed by South Korean battery maker LG Energy Solution , which expects global EV market growth to come in at slightly over 20pc this year, down from 36pc a year earlier. Posco's first domestic lithium hydroxide plant, located at the Yulchon Industrial Complex in Gwangyang, with a capacity of 21,500 t/yr aims to start full operations in February 2025. It will be operated by Posco-Pilbara Lithium Solution, a joint venture between Posco and Australia's lithium miner Pilbara Minerals. The company also expects to finish building a second plant at the same location with similar capacity in September whose full operations will begin in September 2025. Its Argentinian lithium operations will have a total capacity of 50,000 t/yr in the near term, split between phase 1 and phase 2, which will start full operations in April 2025 and June 2026, respectively. Trading firm Posco International also reported that the final stage 4 expansion of its Myanmar offshore gas field will start in July, with about 4mn t/yr of By Tng Yong Li and Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Australia’s Empire Energy signs deal to sell gas to NT


26/07/24
News
26/07/24

Australia’s Empire Energy signs deal to sell gas to NT

Adelaide, 26 July (Argus) — Australian independent Empire Energy has signed an agreement to supply the Northern Territory (NT) with gas from its Carpentaria project in the onshore Beetaloo subbasin. Empire will supply NT with up to 25 TJ/d (668,000 m³/d) of gas over 10 years, starting from mid-2025. This equates to an estimated total supply of 75PJ (2bn m3) of gas. The deal includes scope for an additional 10 TJ/d for up to 10 years if production level at the Carpentaria plant exceeds 100 TJ/d. The firm bought domestic utility AGL Energy's dormant 42 TJ/d Rosalind Park gas plant late last yearwith plans to reassemble the facility on site at Carpentaria, subject to a final investment decision on the project. Gas will be delivered to the NT government-owned Power and Water (PWC) via the McArthur River gas pipeline on an ex-field take-or-pay basis, Empire said on 26 July. PWC in April signed an agreement to buy 8.6PJ of gas from Australian independent Central Petroleum , to supply gas-fired power generation and private-sector customers. Low production at Italian energy firm Eni's Blacktip field, offshore the NT, has led PWC to court new supply while providing a new outlet for prospective producers operating within Beetaloo. The largest Beetaloo acreage holder, Tamboran Resources, has revealed ambitious plans for a 6.6mn t/yr LNG plant to be located near Darwin Harbour's two existing LNG projects, using the basin's shale gas resources as feedstock. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

EU could launch 'other countries' HRC dumping probe


25/07/24
News
25/07/24

EU could launch 'other countries' HRC dumping probe

London, 25 July (Argus) — The European Commission soon could initiate a dumping investigation on some exporters selling into the 'other countries' quota for hot-rolled coil (HRC), according to multiple market sources. The 'other countries' quota in recent quarters has consistently filled rapidly upon resetting, and this pressure has been intensified by rising Chinese exports since August of last year. Some key 'other countries' sellers have seen the volumes they take from China balloon as a result. Vietnam bought more than 4.2mn t from China in the first six months of this year, compared with about 6mn t in the whole of 2023. China's increased exports has sparked talk that both India and Vietnam may start anti-dumping duty investigations. When announcing its 15pc cap on countries selling into the 'other countries' quota, the commission specifically alluded to the increase in Chinese exports affecting trade flows. Vietnam, Egypt, Japan and Taiwan are by far the largest sellers into the 'other countries' quota, and all of the countries initially exceeded their 141,849t cap quickly when the new quotas took force on 1 July. In April, before the cap was implemented, these four countries amounted for more than half of the 1.4mn t imported by the EU. The 'other countries' quota has essentially been reduced from 940,000 t/quarter to less than 600,000 t/quarter given the new cap. Sources suggested duties could be applied retroactively if the commission finds that material has been dumped. They also suggested it could be difficult to show dumping in some countries, such as Vietnam and Egypt, where domestic prices are often below export levels. A leading producer was gathering information on Egyptian cargoes arriving at EU ports in recent months, a trading firm said. The commission refused to comment on any potential investigation. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Yemen warring factions reach UN-mediated financial deal


25/07/24
News
25/07/24

Yemen warring factions reach UN-mediated financial deal

Dubai, 25 July (Argus) — The UAE today welcomed a UN-mediated agreement between Yemen's warring factions that could allay economic woes in the impoverished country. The UAE's ministry of foreign affairs hailed the 23 July announcement of an agreement between the internationally recognised Yemen presidential leadership council (PLC) and the Houthi militant group "with respect to airlines and the banking sector." The UAE, alongside Saudi Arabia, support the PLC. The agreement stipulates "cancelling all the recent decisions and procedures against banks by both sides and refraining in the future from any similar decisions or procedures," and calls for the resumption of Yemenia Airways' flights between Sana'a and Jordan at three a day and operating flights to Cairo and India "daily or as needed." The deal was reached two days after Israeli jets bombed the Houthi-controlled Red Sea port of Hodeidah. The internationally-recognised central bank in Aden in April ordered financial institutions to move their main operations from Houthi-held territory within 60 days or face sanctions. That deadline ran out in June, leading to a ban on dealing with six banks whose headquarters remained in Houthi-held Sana'a. The Houthis retaliated by taking similar measures against banks in PLC-held areas and seized four Yemenia Airways planes at Sana'a airport. The PLC said it hoped the Houthis would also meet a commitment to resume crude exports. Yemen's crude production collapsed soon after the start of the country's civil war, from around 170,000 b/d in 2011-13 to 50,000-60,000 b/d in 2022, according to the BP Statistical Review of World Energy. Data from analytics firm Kpler suggests Yemen has not exported any crude since October 2022. Threats yield results The Iran-backed Houthis earlier in July threatened to attack vital infrastructure such as airports and ports in Saudi Arabia, holding Riyadh responsible for decisions taken by Aden's central bank. The Houthis struck central Tel Aviv on 19 July, inviting an Israeli retaliation that took out a power station that supplies the Red Sea coastal city of Hodeidah and its port and fuel tanks, which are controlled by the Houthis. A breakthrough in the UN-mediated talks between the PLC and the Houthis resulted in the agreement on 22 July, a possible sign that Riyadh might have compromised to avoid a Houthi escalation. The Houthis have been attacking commercial ships in and around the Red Sea since November last year, six weeks after the breakout of the Israel-Hamas war, in what they say is an act of solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more