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California advisory speakers push to delay LCFS vote

  • Market: Biofuels, Emissions, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 09/02/24

California regulators should delay long-awaited changes to the state's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) until at least July, members of an advisory committee said yesterday.

Staff-proposed revisions the California Air Resources Board (CARB) could consider at a March meeting would allow too much biofuel and biogas to remain in the state's transportation supply for too long, members of the board's Environmental Justice Advisory Committee (EJAC) and public commenters said during a meeting to discuss the plan.

Speakers on Thursday specifically warned against incentives for renewable diesel production and dairy methane capture, and worried the program as proposed would heap costs on residents who could not afford zero-emissions vehicles. Opposition could further extend dramatic surplus conditions that last month helped drop LCFS spot prices to their lowest level in nearly nine years.

The comments did not constitute a formal recommendation by the full committee. The advisory panel has no voting power on CARB decisions, instead offering the board perspective on rulemakings and policies from historically disadvantaged and under-represented communities.

The committee's reaction and hours of public comment show that LCFS program revisions proposed in December have not satisfied critics who are adamant that the state more quickly transition away from combustion fuels and agricultural feedstocks.

"We hope the board listens to the community and tothe EJAC and postpones this decision because we need to be serious here about the kind of transformation that we need so that our communities do not continue to be the sacrifice zones," co-chairwoman Martha Dina Arguello said.

LCFS requires yearly reductions to transportation fuel carbon intensity. Higher-carbon fuels that exceed the annual limit incur deficits that suppliers must offset with credits generated from the distribution in California of approved, lower-carbon alternatives.

The combination of LCFS, other state carbon incentives and federal tax and renewable fuel mandate programs have made California a leading destination for growing production of renewable diesel and biogas. Renewable diesel last year began to fill more than half of the state's liquid diesel pool and generated roughly 40pc of all new LCFS credits. Biogas, much of it credited through book-and-claim from out-of-state dairies and attributed to compressed natural gas vehicles, generated another 17pc of all new credits in the third quarter of 2023.

Supporters point to these fuels as valuable alternatives that cut the carbon intensity of current vehicles while zero-emissions technologies, especially for medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, catch up. Environmental justice speakers have repeatedly warned that these fuels extend polluted conditions for communities along the fence lines of dairies and converted renewable diesel plants.

The committee in September urged CARB to limit credits for crop-based biofuels and for captured dairy methane. CARB's proposed rulemaking requires new certification for forestry- and crop-based feedstocks by 2028, and limits the credits generated by biogas projects — if they break ground after 2029.

CARB's proposals have failed to address the committee's concerns, and the speed of the rulemaking seemed to allow little time for change, speakers said. Public comment began 5 January and will continue to 20 February. CARB has scheduled a hearing on the rulemaking for its 21 March meeting, which would be the first opportunity for the board to consider voting on the proposal.

"This is a really important rule program, and unfortunately, I think, on both process and substance we have progressed from bad to worse," EJAC co-chair Catherine Garoupa White said.

A delay could also push back the higher-profile elements of the proposed changes, including tougher targets and automatic mechanisms to respond to rising credit supplies. Ten consecutive quarters of new credits exceeding new deficits has amassed more than 20mn t of unexpiring credits available for future compliance. Available credits are likely to continue to grow as long as the status quo remains.


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17/11/25

Cop: Commitments fall short of methane cuts needed

Cop: Commitments fall short of methane cuts needed

London, 17 November (Argus) — Commitments made by countries would lead to an 8pc cut in emissions of the greenhouse gas methane by 2030, falling well short of a 30pc reduction target, but current legislation would see methane emissions continue to rise, according to a report from the UN environment programme (UNEP). The global methane pledge (GMP), established in 2021 at the UN Cop 26 summit, commits its 159 signatory countries to cut methane emissions by 30pc from 2020 levels by 2030. Methane emissions have contributed to 30pc of the increase in global temperatures since the industrial revolution, according to energy watchdog the IEA. But pledges made by governments in their nationally determined contribution (NDC) or methane action plan (MAP) roadmaps — documents outlining their efforts to reduce emissions in the context of international climate efforts — would lead to a fall in methane emissions to 310mn t in 2030, down by 8pc from 352mn t in 2020. But this refers only to pledges or plans, rather than actual legislation in force. Under current legislation, methane emissions are set to continue rising, reaching 369mn t in 2030, 5pc above 2020. But this is a fall from expected growth to 383mn/t in 2030 when the GMP was established. Some countries have identified emissions-reducing actions in their NDCs. But specific policies or timelines are often missing, UNEP said. And only "a handful" of countries have adopted comprehensive targets in line with the 2030 GMP goal, UNEP said. That said, the number of countries which included policies targeting methane in their NDC submissions had reached 127 as of June 2025, or 65pc of participants in the UN Cop climate summits, up from 92 countries in the previous round of NDCs in 2020. The fossil fuel sector offers potential for rapid emissions cuts, with 72pc of cuts expected from current legislation out to 2030 concentrated in the sector. And innovative voluntary methane abatement initiatives have proliferated since the establishment of the GMP, UNEP said. But policy development, country participation and implementation all fall short. Delivering the GMP pledge would require a nine-fold increase in financing over 2022 levels, UNEP said. But access to capital is not always the main barrier. Inadequate policy incentives, data availability, and institutional capacity must often be tackled at the same time. The [gap in ambition](https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/27492940 between NDCs and the efforts needed to limit global warming to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, in line with the 2015 Paris Agreement, is one of the themes of the Cop 30 summit currently underway in Belem, Brazil. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target


17/11/25
News
17/11/25

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target

London, 17 November (Argus) — Denmark has committed to a new, "very ambitious" climate target for 2035, to cut emissions by 82pc by 2035, from 1990 levels, the country's climate minister Lars Aagaard said today at the UN Cop 30 climate summit. Denmark was expected to communicate a 2035 target this year. It has a legally-binding target to reduce emissions by 70pc by 2030, from the same 1990 baseline. This new target for 2035 will be "binding", Aagaard said today. Independent advisory body the Danish Council on Climate Change previously found that under the country's current climate policy, projections indicate that Denmark would achieve emissions reductions of 78pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark's new target for 2035 goes beyond the EU's aim for the same timeframe. The bloc earlier this month finally reached agreement on climate goals for 2035 and 2040. It plans to cut emissions by 66.25-72.5pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark holds the rotating EU Council presidency until the end of the year. Aagaard has thus overseen much of the bloc's discussions of and decisions on new climate targets. Signatories to the Paris climate agreement are expected to establish new climate goals and submit plans, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), every five years, under the terms of the accord. Countries and jurisdictions are currently submitting NDCs for 2035, although these lack ambition to hit Paris-aligned targets . By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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German distillates demand rises after Ice gasoil expiry


17/11/25
News
17/11/25

German distillates demand rises after Ice gasoil expiry

Hamburg, 17 November (Argus) — German heating oil and diesel demand rose last week despite sharp price volatility as Ice gasoil futures shifted to a new front-month contract. Nationwide demand was subdued early in the week but picked up in many regions mid-week after the switch, with Ice gasoil futures for the new front month quoted about $60/t lower. German prices fell by around €1.40/100 litres for heating oil and nearly €1.20/100l for diesel. The futures now more accurately reflect physical supply conditions in northwest Europe, traders said. Independent diesel stocks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) region hit an eight-month high last week. Concerns about possible shortages stemming from the latest sanctions on Russia had pushed prices higher the previous week. Spot volumes reported to Argus rose on the week by 5pc for heating oil and 7pc for diesel. Consumer concerns about further price increases prompted stockpiling, traders said. Colder weather expected in some regions is likely to boost demand further, although volatility deterred some buyers from additional purchases. Gasoline demand remained subdued, with term supply covering needs. Spot purchases reported to Argus fell by 27pc nationwide compared with the previous week. Fewer additional spot purchases were necessary than during the holiday season, filling station operators said. Meanwhile, diesel imports through north German ports so far this month are about 50pc below November last year at 70,000 b/d, all into Hamburg. India supplied 49pc, the Netherlands 39pc and 12pc arrived via Togo — the first deliveries from the west African ship-to-ship transfer hub in at least two years, Vortexa data show. Imports were 143,000 b/d in November last year, around a quarter of which came from the US. By Johannes Guhlke Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop: More countries join carbon market coalition


17/11/25
News
17/11/25

Cop: More countries join carbon market coalition

Belem, 17 November (Argus) — Another seven countries have joined the Open Coalition on Compliance Carbon Markets, according to the UN Cop 30 climate summit's presidency. The coalition was launched by Brazil, China and the EU during the leaders' summit, held a week before Cop 30. It is an initiative to standardise and integrate different national carbon markets. Andorra, Guinea, Monaco, New Zealand, Norway, Rwanda and Singapore have now joined the coalition, following Armenia, Canada, Chile, France, Germany, Mexico, the UK and Zambia. Brazil's ministry of finance is leading the development of the initiative, which will enable countries to work together in defining best practices to monitor, report and verify carbon markets, to establish common accounting standards and ensure the integrity of offset mechanisms, the ministry's deputy executive secretary Rafael Dubeux said. A regulated carbon market is an essential pathway to achieve a "structured, orderly and equitable" transition away from fossil fuels, he added. The topic has emerged as one of Cop 30's key points . The EU's energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen also voiced his support for the initiative. "The coalition can establish a benchmark to fully integrate relevant standards into final national targets and the design of domestic carbon markets," he said. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop: Ministers left with mountain of work at Cop 30


17/11/25
News
17/11/25

Cop: Ministers left with mountain of work at Cop 30

Belem, 17 November (Argus) — Ministers gathering for the second week of the UN Cop 30 climate summit are tasked with piecing together informal negotiations, including on a potential roadmap on transitioning away from fossil fuels, responses to the lack of ambition in new climate plans, and other topics on the official agenda. Ministers will have to wrap up talks held in informal presidency consultations on four key topics — unilateral trade measures, climate finance obligations, emissions reporting and responses to climate plans — even though it remains unclear how a potential deal might look. The Brazilian Cop 30 presidency released a note on 17 November highlighting where parties continue to disagree. Gaps remain on finance, with some countries eyeing a work programme, while developed countries reaffirm that their obligations towards developing countries are covered under the new $300bn/yr finance goal agreed last year in Baku . There are also five options on the response to climate plans. One is to have an "annual consideration" under official negotiations of the report weighing country targets and actions, while another is to have an unnamed roadmap to accelerate implementation, international co-operation and investment to be published before Cop 31. Some negotiating groups, including the alliance of small island states (Aosis) and the Environmental Integrity Group (EIG) are supporting the creation of a fossil fuel phase-out roadmap, while the "EU strongly welcomes the idea for a roadmap being discussed at Cop 30," energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen said. Germany, Spain, Switzerland and the UK have also signalled support. But UK energy minister Ed Miliband pointed out the difficulty for some countries to move away from fossil fuels, including reliance on hydrocarbons for energy and jobs. Brazil and Colombia are also supporting the roadmap. But few other developing oil producers have spoken in favour of it, pointing to their dependence on hydrocarbons, the need for increased finance flows and a just transition. "It's acceptable that Nigeria is ready to transition, but transitioning now has to be consistent with a bunch of economic priorities," the director general of Nigeria's national council on climate change Omotenioye Majekodunmi said. Transitioning away from fossil fuels "must recognise the very strong differences in economic opportunities," she said. The Arab Group, which includes major oil producers Saudi Arabia and the UAE, wants to focus on the climate finance obligations of developed countries. The calls for a fossil fuel roadmap have yet to turn into something more tangible, according to the presidency. Brazilian environment minister Marina Silva said that she does not expect a decision on this at this Cop but welcomes the "beginning of the construction". Even if a roadmap fails to materialise in Belem, the pressure on fossil fuels is likely here to stay at climate summits. Official talks Ministers will also need to agree on official items this week, including adaptation, just transition and the UAE dialogue, which aims to advance the implementation of the global stocktake (GST). The GST agreed two years ago at Cop 28 in Dubai featured the call to transition away from fossil fuels and triple renewable energy capacity by 2030, which has since received some pushback. To help them, the Brazilian presidency asked countries to finish all technical works on the agenda items by 18 November. Cop 30 chief executive Ana Toni struck a positive note about negotiations at the end of the first week, saying several texts have already been approved, but conceded that a lot of work remained to be done. An informal text on the just transition work programme featured options with language on fossil fuels and the phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies, but the paragraphs face opposition. The text recognises the role of transitional fuels — largely natural gas — while transition minerals have been included within the scope of the programme. "To get, you must give, and being honest, we need to be giving more," UN climate body UNFCCC executive secretary Simon Stiell said. "The issues that may not be priorities for you are clearly issues and priorities for other nations," he added. By Lucas Parolin and Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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