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Diamondback buys Endeavor for $26bn: Update 2

  • Market: Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 12/02/24

Adds details from call.

Diamondback Energy agreed to buy Endeavor Energy Resources for $26bn to create the largest pure-play Permian producer as the recent wave of consolidation in the shale patch heats up.

The cash-and-stock deal, which includes debt, brings together 838,000 net acres under lease and 816,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) of net output.

The transaction follows on the heels of ExxonMobil's $59.9bn takeover of Pioneer Natural Resources late last year, which was followed by Chevron's $53bn acquisition of Hess. As the shale sector matures, companies are seeking to bulk up through mergers and acquisitions to extend their inventory of future drilling locations.

"We've evaluated every deal in the Permian over the past decade and there has not been another opportunity that has come close to this scale and quality," said Diamondback's chief executive officer Travis Stice. Both companies are based across the street from one another in Midland, Texas, which should help with the transition, he said.

Endeavor, one of the largest private operators in the Permian, has been the subject of repeated takeover speculation in recent years. It is owned by billionaire founder Autry Stephens, who drilled his first in 1979. The company has almost 350,000 net acres in the Midland subsection of the Permian.

Both companies will run about 26 rigs between them this year. That will drop into the 20-22 range over the long term as drilling efficiencies pay off.

Endeavor was able to snap up some of the most valuable Permian acreage well in advance of the shale boom, boosting its appeal to would-be buyers, according to Andrew Dittmar, senior vice president at SVP Enverus Intelligence Research. The "significant overlap" with Diamondback's acreage also offers opportunities for the sort of cost savings investors are clamoring for, he said.

The deal is expected to result in annual savings of $550mn, representing more than $3bn in net value over the next decade, the companies said.

While public independents have exercised capital discipline and reined in growth in the years following the pandemic, private operators have shown little restraint. Overall US production reached a record last year, led by the Permian basin as companies drilled longer laterals and became more efficient. Growth is expected to stall this year and output is unlikely to scale new highs until early 2025, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

Shale oil producers have pressed the need for industry consolidation for years, given the highly-fragmented nature of ownership in the Permian. Recent deals have sent valuations spiraling, and sparked a frantic scramble to snap up what remains of the region's prized acreage.

An increase in private exits has reduced the number of such firms up for grabs. "While there are a handful of potential public company tie-ups, the next wave of Permian dealmaking will likely need to be driven by non-core asset sales from the big buyers," said Dittmar.

The latest deal comprises around 117.3mn shares of Diamondback common stock, and $8bn in cash.

The structure of the transaction will see Diamondback's existing shareholders owning about 60.5pc of the combined company and Endeavor's equity holders the rest. Diamondback's board has unanimously approved the deal, which is expected to close in the fourth quarter.


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16/01/25

Trump tariffs may move gas prices, not flows

Trump tariffs may move gas prices, not flows

New York, 16 January (Argus) — US president-elect Donald Trump's threat to impose 25pc tariffs on all imports from Canada would likely raise US natural gas prices if enacted, but not by enough to significantly alter flows across the border. As anxiety over US-imposed tariffs mounted over the past week, gas prices for February delivery on the Pacific coast of southern Canada began trading at a steeper discount to their US counterparts. The February price at Westcoast station 2, a key indicator of western Canadian gas prices, on Wednesday was at a $4.38/mmBtu discount to northwest US gas hub Northwest Sumas, compared with a $3.43/mmBtu discount a week earlier. The February price at Canadian benchmark NIT/AECO on Wednesday also moved to a $2.56/mmBtu discount to the US benchmark Henry Hub in Louisiana from a $2.22/mmBtu discount a week earlier. While other factors could be at play, the wider Canadian discounts line up with a shift in sentiment by Canadian oil and gas groups and politicians over the past week, as those groups coordinate to try and halt the threatened tariffs. "They're likely to come in on January 20th," Danielle Smith, premier of Alberta, a major oil and gas-producing Canadian province, said of the tariffs this week. The attitude is starkly different from a month earlier, when Michael Rose, chief executive of Tourmaline Oil, the largest Canadian gas producer, said at a Goldman Sachs energy conference that he thought there was a "low likelihood" that the tariffs would be imposed. "We'd agree with you," replied Goldman Sachs head of gas research Samantha Dart. But while US-Canadian gas price spreads would widen if gas were not exempted from Trump's tariffs, the western US would probably not reduce purchases of Canadian gas, because "there's nowhere else for them to get the supply," FactSet senior energy analyst Connor McLean said. Moreover, even with a 25pc price increase, Canadian gas is still highly competitive against US-sourced gas and alternative power generation sources like coal. This is also the case for the US' upper midcontinent and east coast, though gas buyers in those regions could also source gas from Appalachia, Oklahoma or the Rockies if there were spare pipeline capacity. The effect of tariffs on gas prices would also probably be dwarfed by more humdrum market dynamics, like the weather. Demand-boosting cold weather this month has quickly drawn down US gas inventories, which appear slated in the coming weeks to flip to a deficit to the five-year average for the first time in more than two years. Even colder weather early next week is also likely to trigger freeze-offs, which are production curtailments caused by extreme cold. Given those more pressing concerns, "tariffs do not come up" in meetings with other market participants, Appalachian gas producer Seneca Resources marketing manager Rob Lindroos told Argus . Approximately 99pc of US gas imports are from Canada via pipeline, with flows into the US averaging 8 Bcf/d (227mn m³/d) in 2023, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Those Canadian sales, accounting for nearly half of western Canada's production, provide crucial energy supplies to the US Pacific northwest and midcontinent, parts of which are far from US reservoirs. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Mexico’s oil states led labor market losers in 2024


16/01/25
News
16/01/25

Mexico’s oil states led labor market losers in 2024

Mexico City, 16 January (Argus) — Mexico's oil and gas-dependent states led state job losses in 2024, driven by a sharp contraction in spending by state-owned Pemex and the completion of the Olmeca refinery, according to energy market sources and state data, even as two-thirds of the country's states posted job growth. Annually, the total employment in Mexico grew by 213,993 jobs in 2024, 67pc fewer than the 651,490 jobs added in 2023, according to the Mexican social security (IMSS) institute's tally of formal jobs, which have full benefits like better access to housing credits and public medical services. The deceleration in the number of jobs created last year adds to signals of a Mexican economy that was cooling as the year progressed, according to economists and energy market sources. "In 2024, the second lowest generation of jobs in the last 15 years was recorded, only after 2020, the year in which the Covid-19 pandemic hit," according to a report from Mexican think tank Mexico Como Vamos. Tabasco state, one of the most important for the energy sector in Mexico, led the reduction in employment among the 11 states that experienced job losses during 2024. Tabasco lost 28,675 jobs over the year, for a 12pc annual decline in employment in the state, according to IMSS data. Twenty-one states, including the capital, posted job growth. Campeche, the state with the second biggest annual percentage of job losses, and Tamaulipas, the other state with a high dependence on the oil sector, also reported significant declines in 2024, with annual formal job losses of 5,952 and 3,120, representing 4pc and 1pc decreases from a year earlier, respectively. These IMSS figures only account for formal jobs registered with the institute, which provide access to medical, pensions, and housing credits, and totaled 22.24mn as of December. The official statistics agency Inegi counts employment nationwide at 59.5mn as of the third quarter last year. Inegi's count of employment includes the informal sector, made up of jobs without social security and other benefits. Inegi's estimates put the informal labor sector at over 54pc of all jobs. According to IMSS, the country lost 405,259 jobs in December compared with November, the largest loss recorded for that month since 2000. Still, December is typically marked by heavy job losses because of seasonal adjustments. But last year the final month's tally was pulled even lower than normal by overall weak hiring over the year, Inegi said, even as total job growth was positive for the full year. While the labor situation in Mexico worsened in 2024 because of the weakening of the national economy, including a sharp depreciation of the peso to the dollar, the decline has hit the states most closely tied to the oil and gas sector and Pemex spending, said Carlos Ramirez, founder of consultancy Integralia. Tabasco hangover "Tabasco benefited greatly from the investment poured into Pemex by the administration of AMLO (former president Juan Manuel Lopez Obrador), Ramirez said. "This is going to change now with the (Claudia) Sheinbaum administration, and the state will suffer a hangover as the new government reduces its support for the oil and gas industry." Still, the national unemployment rate is low, at 2.6pc in November, according to Inegi. And the country added 361,000 jobs in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Inegi's broader base of data. But the economy was slowing in the second half of 2024. Growth in gross domestic product slowed to an annual 1.6pc in the third quarter from 2.1pc in the second quarter, according to Inegi. Inegi's IGAE, an index that tracks the real economy, showed that the Mexican economy contracted 0.73pc in October, as economists lowered growth estimates for the Mexican economy for this year. Pemex chief executive Victor Rodriguez in early October implemented a 20pc cut to the company's upstream budget, aiming to save Ps26.78bn ($1.32bn). This decision, combined with delays in payments for contracts and a halt in new service agreements, severely impacted local companies in Tabasco and Campeche, according to oil services company association Amespac. Some companies announced layoffs as Pemex's financial constraints rippled through the supply chain. Part of Tabasco's workforce reduction could also be tied to the near-completion of the 340,000 b/d Olmeca refinery, said Jesus Carrillo, an analyst at think tank IMCO. While the major construction phases have concluded, the facility remains in a testing phase, contrary to Pemex's previous promises of full operations in 2024. Despite the recent downturn, heavy Pemex spending during the administration of former president Lopez Obrador made Tabasco the leading state in job creation between December 2018 and December 2024, Ramirez said. But with the refinery now completed and Pemex projecting further budget cuts for 2025, analysts expect labor market challenges in oil-reliant states to persist. By Édgar Sígler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU gas stockdraw in first half of Jan at four-year high


16/01/25
News
16/01/25

EU gas stockdraw in first half of Jan at four-year high

London, 16 January (Argus) — European firms boosted gas withdrawals in the first half of January to meet stronger heating-related demand and compensate for the drop in Russian supply following the end of Ukrainian transit. The European gas stockdraw has accelerated since the turn of this year. Combined EU withdrawals averaged 6.57 TWh/d on 1-15 January, the quickest stockdraw for the period since 8.7 TWh/d in 2021 and up from 4.1 TWh/d in the second half of December, according to GIE transparency platform data. Cold weather has boosted heating demand across much of the continent, particularly in recent days, increasing the call on stocks. Overnight lows in Paris, Milan, Essen and Amsterdam were 2-4°C below the seasonal average on 10-14 January. Quick withdrawals drew combined EU stocks down to 736TWh — 64pc of capacity — on the morning of 15 January. This is down from an average 908TWh and a 80pc fill level on the same date in 2023-24, but still above the 2021-22 average of 620TWh and 56pc of capacity. German withdrawals has been particularly strong over the past week. Withdrawals doubled to 2.4 TWh/d on 8-15 January from 1.2 TWh/d on 1-7 January. The quick stockdraw helped support exports to countries affected by the end of Russian transit gas on 1 January. Inflows of German gas to Austria at Oberkappel and the Czech Republic at VIP Brandov have risen to nearly 300 GWh/d in the first half of this month from a combined 48 GWh/d in December. These countries have also turned to underground reserves to compensate for the lost Russian supply. Austria withdrew 515 GWh/d on 1-15 January, up from 360 GWh/d in December. The stockdraw in the Czech Republic averaged 210 GWh/d on these dates, inching up from 205 GWh/d, as German imports compensated for a larger share of Russian flows . In northwest Europe, high weather-related UK demand pushed UK NBP prompt prices far above the Peg and ZTP, encouraging firms to direct Norwegian supply to the UK instead of France and Belgium. This led to slower Norwegian gas flows to France, which in turn contributed to the higher call on French underground storage. Firms also may have used withdrawn volumes to boost exports to Belgium, as high UK demand weighed on supply from the UK to Belgium on the Interconnector pipeline. The French stockdraw averaged 950 GWh/d on 1-15 January, up from a three-year average of 880 GWh/d for the period. Among countries with the largest storage capacity, the Netherlands has the lowest stocks in percentage terms. Its underground sites stood at 48pc of capacity on the morning of 15 January. Further south, the Italian stockdraw ramped up over the past week to help meet strong consumption and to make up for slower receipts from the Trans Adriatic Pipeline (Tap) after a partial outage at Azerbaijan's Shakh Deniz field. Spain has only 1.2TWh from which it can draw, with another 26TWh in storage that form the state-controlled strategic reserves and can be used only under certain conditions. But quick LNG imports so far this month have rapidly boosted the country's available supply, with LNG stocks having reached 11.2TWh on 15 January after reaching a seven-year low of 6.5TWh on 24 December. The pace of EU withdrawals will continue to largely follow changes in heating-related consumption for the remainder of January. And cold weather today was forecast to persist across much of Europe, with overnight lows in Amsterdam, Paris, Essen, Milan and Madrid anticipated to hover at 1-4°C below seasonal values over much of the next week. While heating-related consumption is likely to remain strong in the coming weeks, wider LNG supply availability could alleviate the call on storage. Several cargoes so far this month have diverted away from Asia towards higher-priced European markets, which may support LNG sendout in the continent later this month. By Isabel Valverde Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Danish Tyra gas field back on line


16/01/25
News
16/01/25

Danish Tyra gas field back on line

London, 16 January (Argus) — The Danish Tyra field came back on line today, following the early completion of maintenance by operator TotalEnergies. The field returned to operation at 01:00 CET (12:00 GMT) today, TotalEnergies said in a Remit message, earlier than the scheduled end date of 18 January. The Tyra field first went off line on 5 January because of issues at a compressor station. The end of the commissioning period for the 8.1mn m³/d hub remains 31 January, having been delayed from 21 January in connection with the works. The firm expects Tyra to reach plateau capacity in the second half of January. Half of the Tyra hub's wells still needed to be brought on line, Tyra stakeholder BlueNord said last week. By Lucas Waelbroeck Boix Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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BP to axe 4,700 staff, cutting 5pc of global workforce


16/01/25
News
16/01/25

BP to axe 4,700 staff, cutting 5pc of global workforce

London, 16 January (Argus) — BP confirmed today that its current cost-cutting programmes are expected to lead to a headcount reduction of around 4,700 roles at the company itself — about 5pc of its global workforce — along with a reduction of some 3,000 contractor roles. The job cuts were outlined in an internal email to employees from chief executive Murray Auchincloss in which he explained that since June last year BP has stopped or paused 30 projects as part of a multi-year plan "to simplify and focus" the company. It is also taking other measures, such as increased digitalisation, to drive efficiency into its organisation, he said. The email detailed the number of staff positions that would be affected and noted that 2,600 of the 3,000 contractors who are leaving BP had already done so. BP launched a cash cost reduction programme last spring aimed at shaving at least $2bn off the company's yearly outgoings by the end of 2026. Around a quater of those cost savings are set to be implemented this year. BP's overall employee numbers have grown to around 90,000, with headcount rising significantly over the past couple of years through acquisitions, including its purchase of service station network TravelCenters of America which brought 20,000 employees with it. The company issued a trading update on 14 January that flagged it would report a weaker fourth quarter when it releases its financial results on 11 February. BP is also scheduled to hold a strategy day in London on 26 February. By Jon Mainwaring Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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