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Diamondback buys Endeavor for $26bn: Update 2

  • Market: Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 12/02/24

Adds details from call.

Diamondback Energy agreed to buy Endeavor Energy Resources for $26bn to create the largest pure-play Permian producer as the recent wave of consolidation in the shale patch heats up.

The cash-and-stock deal, which includes debt, brings together 838,000 net acres under lease and 816,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) of net output.

The transaction follows on the heels of ExxonMobil's $59.9bn takeover of Pioneer Natural Resources late last year, which was followed by Chevron's $53bn acquisition of Hess. As the shale sector matures, companies are seeking to bulk up through mergers and acquisitions to extend their inventory of future drilling locations.

"We've evaluated every deal in the Permian over the past decade and there has not been another opportunity that has come close to this scale and quality," said Diamondback's chief executive officer Travis Stice. Both companies are based across the street from one another in Midland, Texas, which should help with the transition, he said.

Endeavor, one of the largest private operators in the Permian, has been the subject of repeated takeover speculation in recent years. It is owned by billionaire founder Autry Stephens, who drilled his first in 1979. The company has almost 350,000 net acres in the Midland subsection of the Permian.

Both companies will run about 26 rigs between them this year. That will drop into the 20-22 range over the long term as drilling efficiencies pay off.

Endeavor was able to snap up some of the most valuable Permian acreage well in advance of the shale boom, boosting its appeal to would-be buyers, according to Andrew Dittmar, senior vice president at SVP Enverus Intelligence Research. The "significant overlap" with Diamondback's acreage also offers opportunities for the sort of cost savings investors are clamoring for, he said.

The deal is expected to result in annual savings of $550mn, representing more than $3bn in net value over the next decade, the companies said.

While public independents have exercised capital discipline and reined in growth in the years following the pandemic, private operators have shown little restraint. Overall US production reached a record last year, led by the Permian basin as companies drilled longer laterals and became more efficient. Growth is expected to stall this year and output is unlikely to scale new highs until early 2025, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

Shale oil producers have pressed the need for industry consolidation for years, given the highly-fragmented nature of ownership in the Permian. Recent deals have sent valuations spiraling, and sparked a frantic scramble to snap up what remains of the region's prized acreage.

An increase in private exits has reduced the number of such firms up for grabs. "While there are a handful of potential public company tie-ups, the next wave of Permian dealmaking will likely need to be driven by non-core asset sales from the big buyers," said Dittmar.

The latest deal comprises around 117.3mn shares of Diamondback common stock, and $8bn in cash.

The structure of the transaction will see Diamondback's existing shareholders owning about 60.5pc of the combined company and Endeavor's equity holders the rest. Diamondback's board has unanimously approved the deal, which is expected to close in the fourth quarter.


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15/07/25

Brazil attorney general asks court to convict Bolsonaro

Brazil attorney general asks court to convict Bolsonaro

Sao Paulo, 15 July (Argus) — Brazilian prosecutors said the country's supreme court (STF) should find former president Jair Bolsonaro and seven other defendants guilty of an attempted coup. In a 517-page briefing that is part of attorney general Paulo Gonet's closing arguments at trial, prosecutors argue that Bolsonaro and the other defendants should be convicted of the crimes of armed criminal organization, attempted violent abolition of the democratic rule of law, coup d'état, damage qualified by violence and serious threat, and damage to government assets. Bolsonaro was the "main orchestrator and biggest beneficiary" of a plot to make sure that he stayed in power despite losing the election to President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Gonet said during the trial. The plot included the 8 January 2023 storming of government buildings in the capital Brasilia and plans to kill his political opponents . Also as part of the plot, Bolsonaro used the power of the state and operated in a "persistent scheme" to attack public institutions and the succession process after the presidential election results, Gonet said. The seven other defendants include Bolsonaro's running mate Walter Braga Netto; former minister Augusto Heleno, who is also an army general; Bolsonaro's former justice minister Anderson Torres; former defense minister Paulo Sergio Nogueira; and Bolsonaro's top aide Mauro Cid. If convicted, Cid is expected to have his sentence suspended due to a plea bargain agreement signed with the federal police during investigations. Cid will now have 15 days to present his final defense. The other defendants will then have an additional 15 days to do the same. A date for the justices to begin deliberations will be set after STF receives all statements. That is expected for September this year, according to the government. If convicted, the defendants, including Bolsonaro, can face up to 43 years in prison. Bolsonaro, Trump push back Bolsonaro — who is barred from running for any public office until 2030 — used social media to call the trial a "shameful farce". Bolsonaro's trial gained a new spotlight after US president Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50pc tariff on imports from Brazil from 1 August, citing an alleged "witch hunt" against Bolsonaro. Lula said Brazil will reciprocate the US tariffs. "Any unilateral tariff increases will be addressed in accordance with Brazil's economic reciprocity law," he said on social media last week. He also added that the country "will not accept any form of tutelage." Lula signed the reciprocity law on Monday, according to the government. It authorizes Brazil to suspend trade, investment and obligation concessions to countries that impose unilateral barriers to Brazilian products in the global market. It also creates a committee — which will be comprised of the ministers of trade, finance, foreign relations and the chief of staff — that will be in charge of deciding trade responses to other countries' unilateral measures. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Opec sticks to strong oil demand growth forecast


15/07/25
News
15/07/25

Opec sticks to strong oil demand growth forecast

London, 15 July (Argus) — Opec has kept its global oil demand growth projection for 2025 and 2026 broadly unchanged for the fourth consecutive month, maintaining a more bullish view than other major forecasters. The group expects demand to rise by 1.29mn b/d to 105.13mn b/d in 2025, and by a further 1.28mn b/d to 106.42mn b/d in 2026, according to its latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) published today. These projections remain significantly higher than those from the IEA and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). The IEA forecasts demand growth of 700,000 b/d in 2025 and 720,000 b/d in 2026, while the EIA sees increases of 800,000 b/d this year and 1.05mn b/d next year. Crude prices were volatile in the first half of 2025, driven by uncertainty over US trade policy and geopolitical tensions linked to the Israel-Iran conflict and the Russia-Ukraine war. Despite this, "physical market fundamentals remained robust, with global oil supply and demand broadly balanced", Opec said. The group also pointed to a year-on-year decline in OECD oil inventories in the first half of 2025, alongside strong crude intake by refiners ahead of the seasonal rise in summer demand. On the supply side, Opec left its forecast for non-Opec+ liquids output growth unchanged at 810,000 b/d in 2025 and 730,000 b/d in 2026. Opec+ crude production — including Mexico — rose by 349,000 b/d to 41.56mn b/d in June, based on an average of secondary sources including Argus . The group estimates the call on Opec+ crude at 42.5mn b/d in 2025 and 42.9mn b/d in 2026. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Trump amplifies attacks on renewable energy


14/07/25
News
14/07/25

Trump amplifies attacks on renewable energy

Washington, 14 July (Argus) — President Donald Trump is ratcheting up criticism of wind and solar projects he says are a "blight", adding uncertainty for investors deciding which projects can still move forward despite the coming end to most of the industry's clean energy tax credits. Trump mounted one of his most expansive attacks yet on the renewable sector last week. For years, Trump has detailed his disgust for wind farms he sees as unsightly and too expensive, whereas he said he was a "big fan of solar" in last year's presidential debate. But Trump's perspective appears to have shifted. He now believes large solar projects are hated by farmers, "very, very inefficient and very ugly too", and should no longer be built. "We don't want wind, and we don't want solar, because they're a blight on our country," Trump said during a cabinet meeting on 8 July. "They hurt our country very badly." That stance offers another troubling sign for investors in wind and solar projects hoping to qualify for the 45Y and 48E clean energy tax credits before they are terminated under Trump's recently signed tax and energy law . Trump already signed an executive order last week seeking a "strict" interpretation of the end of those tax credits, such that fewer projects will meet a safe harbor deadline that will arrive as soon as 31 December. The administration has other potential tools to undermine wind and solar projects, many of which are depending on new electric transmission lines to connect to load centers. Last week, US senator Josh Hawley (R-Arkansas) said he had received assurances from US energy secretary Chris Wright that the administration would be "putting a stop" to the 800-mile Grain Belt Express transmission line, which would connect wind farms in Kansas to the eastern US. Last month, Wright said he sees intermittent power sources as a "parasite on the grid". The Energy Department did not respond to a request for comment. The Energy Department, in a document released this month, indicated it did not plan to spend $383mn that had already been appropriated for wind and solar projects this fiscal year under a bipartisan funding law Trump signed, a unilateral spending reduction that US senator Patty Murray (D-Washington) and US representative Marcy Kaptur (D-Ohio) said was "outrageous" and unlawful. The Trump administration also temporarily halted construction of the fully permitted Empire Wind project off the coast of New York, before allowing work to continue in May. US interior secretary Doug Burgum last month said in congressional testimony that the administration was reviewing "all offshore wind projects" and said there was "no appetite" for adding more "intermittent, unreliable [power] to the grid." Threat to dominance Democrats say attempts to undermine wind and solar will be counterproductive to Trump's own priorities of "energy dominance" because they are among the limited types of projects that can be brought on line quickly. US utility executives and data center developers have said they are facing wait times of three years or more for delivery of turbines for gas-fired turbine, given a surge of global demand for electricity needed for artificial intelligence. "There's a backlog of gas turbines, and geothermal and nuclear takes many years. Nothing else is ready," US senator Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) said in a social media post last week. "Republican energy policy is to create shortages because they think solar is liberal." Clean energy groups are hoping that Republican lawmakers will pay a political price for voting to cut clean energy tax credits through Trump's recently signed tax and energy law. The industry group Clean Energy for America last week said it launched a billboard advertising campaign that it said was targeted against seven House Republicans who voted for the law. "We're making it clear who is responsible when constituents lose their jobs and find that their monthly electricity bill is higher than they can afford," Clean Energy for America president Andrew Reagan said. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Mexico to negotiate Trump’s tariffs: Sheinbaum


14/07/25
News
14/07/25

Mexico to negotiate Trump’s tariffs: Sheinbaum

Mexico City, 14 July (Argus) — Mexico believes it can reach a deal with US president Donald Trump after he said he would impose 30pc tariffs on goods imported from Mexico beginning on 1 August. Over the weekend Trump made public on his social media platform a letter sent to Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum on Friday, threatening the new tariffs. The move could significantly disrupt crude flows from Mexico to the US, and refined product flows from the US to Mexico. Mexico's ministries of the economy, foreign affairs, finance, security and energy said in a statement Saturday that they met with their US counterparts on Friday to begin negotiations to head off the new tariffs before 1 August. The Mexican ministries called the new tariff plan "unfair treatment." With the working group— created by the US State Department — leading the talks, Sheinbaum said today she trusts a deal can be made before 1 August. It is not clear if the 30pc tariff threat applies to trade currently covered by the US-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (USMCA). A White House official said previously that a 35pc tariff against Canada would not include USMCA-covered trade, but that those terms could change. Mexico also has a plan should no deal be reached, Sheinbaum said, without specifying details. When previously threatened with tariffs, Sheinbaum discussed plans to bolster Mexico's economy to become more resilient in the face of disrupted trade with its top trade partner, as well as unspecified retaliatory tariffs. But Trump vowed to raise the tariffs even higher if Mexico was to retaliate with its own measures. In his initial letter to Sheinbaum, Trump repeated previous justifications for higher tariffs by pointing to Mexico's "failure" to stop criminal groups from smuggling fentanyl into the US. Trump recognized that Mexico is working on the issue but does not consider these efforts fruitful: "Mexico has been helping me secure the border, BUT, what Mexico has done is not enough," Trump wrote. Trump sent a similar letter threatening tariffs on Friday to European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen. The US has clinched only one limited trade deal, which keeps in place a 10pc tariff on US imports from the UK while granting a lower-tariff import quota for UK-made cars. Trump has announced a deal with Vietnam, setting tariffs at 20pc. By Cas Biekmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Rotterdam biomarine fuel sales rebound in 2Q


14/07/25
News
14/07/25

Rotterdam biomarine fuel sales rebound in 2Q

London, 14 July (Argus) — Sales of marine biodiesel blends in Rotterdam rose by 59pc in April–June from the previous quarter, and bio-LNG sales hit a record quarterly high, driven primarily by demand linked to the EU's FuelEU Maritime regulation. But marine biodiesel sales were still 29pc lower than in the same quarter last year, reflecting weaker voluntary demand and a shift in container-liner volumes to east of Suez, where prices have been more competitive. Spot demand for marine biodiesel was mixed during the quarter. Most activity in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub was linked to the start of FuelEU Maritime rules, which require ships entering, leaving or operating within EU waters to cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Under the regulation, biofuels bunkered in Singapore can be mass balanced and counted towards compliance if consumed on voyages starting or ending at an EU port. Market participants also reported stronger demand for marine gasoil (MGO)-based blends, with sales doubling to 31,663t from 15,640t in the first quarter of the year. This was partly due to the launch of a new emission control area (ECA) in the Mediterranean Sea on 1 May, which limits sulphur content in marine fuels to 0.1pc. The expansion of ECAs to cover most EU waters could also support demand for MGO and ultra-low sulphur fuel oil (ULSFO) in ARA. ULSFO–biodiesel blend sales nearly tripled to 24,573t in the second quarter from 8,490t in the first. Bio-LNG volumes hit a quarterly record but remained well below conventional LNG. FuelEU Maritime's 2025 GHG reduction target of 2pc can still be met using fossil LNG, which may limit immediate bio-LNG uptake. But bio-LNG's lower carbon intensity could support overcompliance, which can be traded under the FuelEU pooling mechanism. Sales of conventional bunker fuels in Rotterdam also rose on the quarter and were up 5.5pc on the year. ULSFO sales increased by 33pc on the year and nearly 21pc on the quarter, reaching the highest since the second quarter of 2021. High-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) sales hit the highest on records going back to October-December 2019, rising by more than 10pc on the year and the month. Combined MGO and marine diesel oil (MDO) sales rose by 11pc on the year and by 3.8pc on the quarter, with MGO also at the highest since the second quarter of 2020. In contrast, very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) sales fell by 9pc on the year and 14pc from the previous quarter, the lowest level on record. The divergence in fuel demand is likely linked to the expansion of the Mediterranean Sea emission control area, which came into effect on 1 May and limits sulphur content in marine fuels to 0.1pc. MGO availability in Rotterdam was tighter in the second quarter, as some supply previously destined for the northwest European hub was redirected to the Mediterranean following the region's ECA designation. A similar trend was seen for ULSFO, with some Mediterranean suppliers importing the grade from ARA. LNG bunker sales fell by 24pc from the first quarter and by 17pc on the year. Market participants said the decline may reflect cheaper LNG bunker supply in Asia, where LNG is typically priced using a blend of oil-linked and spot contracts. The Singapore LNG dob price has consistently traded at a discount to northwest European levels in recent months. By Hussein Al-Khalisy, Martin Senior, Natália Coelho, and Gabriel Tassi Lara Rotterdam bunker sales t Fuel 2Q25 1Q25 2Q24 q-o-q % y-o-y % ULSFO 225,992 187,031 169,953 20.8 33 VLSFO 679,442 789,218 747,300 -13.9 -9.1 HSFO 914,672 829,197 825,125 10.3 10.9 MGO/MDO 407,877 393,071 369,267 3.8 10.5 Conventional total 2,227,983 2,198,517 2,111,645 1.3 5.5 Biofuel blends 165,220 104,037 234,093 58.8 -29.4 LNG (m³) 200,662 265,043 242,931 -24.3 -17.4 bio-LNG (m³) 4,752 0 2,200 na 116 biomethanol 3,958 5,490 950 -27.9 316.6 Port of Rotterdam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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