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Double climate investment to meet EU 2030 goals: I4CE

  • Market: Electricity
  • 21/02/24

Meeting the EU's 2030 climate targets requires a doubling of real-economy investments across the energy, buildings and transport sectors, a study by think-tank the Institute for Climate Economics (I4CE) published today found.

Combined public and private investment of €813bn/yr is needed over 2024-30 to deliver the climate measures for energy, buildings and transport designed to meet the EU's 2030 target to cut its net greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 55pc compared with 1990 levels, the I4CE study found.

This will require €406bn/yr of additional investment, as investment stood at €407bn in 2022 according to I4CE calculations. The figure is a "strict minimum" given the exclusion of sectors such as industry because of data gaps, I4CE emphasised.

Of 22 sectors deemed "critical" to the transition by the think-tank, 20 fell short of required investment levels in 2022. The largest deficit was in passenger battery electric vehicle (EV) investment, which needs to increase by €79bn/yr, followed by electricity grids at €42bn/yr. Closely behind were onshore wind, which needs a €41bn/yr increase in investment, and "medium" — as opposed to "deep" — residential building renovation at €40bn/yr.

At the other end of the scale, marine energy requires only €0.6bn/yr of further investment and new non-residential buildings' energy performance €3bn/yr, while EV charging points, light commercial plug-in hybrid EVs, and new residential building' energy performance need €4bn/yr each.

The two sectors already surpassing annual investment needs in 2022 were hydropower and battery storage, I4CE found.

Overall, the seven transport categories studied required the largest total increase in investment at around €147bn, followed by €137bn across the eight building categories and €122bn for the seven energy sector areas examined.

Further EU funding will likely be needed as part of efforts to close these investment gaps, the study found, both for areas "by nature dependent on a degree of EU-level funding" such as trans-European infrastructure, and more generally given that the bloc's climate funding is falling with the winding down of the temporary NextGenerationEU instrument, set up to help the region recover from the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.


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11/06/25

EIA raises US 2026 renewables outlook

EIA raises US 2026 renewables outlook

Houston, 11 June (Argus) — The US renewable energy fleet remains on track to provide an increasing portion of the country's total electricity over the next two years, even with some changes in the US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) latest projections. Renewable energy is on track to supply almost 1.1bn MWh in 2025 and 1.2bn MWh in 2026, enough to account for roughly 25pc and 27pc of all US generation in those years, EIA said Tuesday in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report. The 2025 estimate is less than 1pc lower than the agency's forecast in May, while the 2026 outlook is about 2pc higher. Renewables in 2024 generated almost 948mn MWh, about 23pc of all US generation. EIA attributes the higher share from renewables to projects coming on line through the end of 2026. The agency expects developers to add about 32,500MW of utility-scale solar to the grid this year, which would surpass the record high of 30,000MW in 2024. EIA anticipates about 7,700MW of new capacity from the wind sector this year. Wind capacity in 2024 expanded by about 5,100MW, its lowest showing since 2014. The month-over-month change in the larger renewables outlook corresponds with higher expectations for wind and solar generation next year. Wind farms are now on track to provide about 506mn MWh in 2026, while utility-scale solar farms will generate around 350mn MWh, each about 2pc higher from May's outlook. If the solar projection bears out, it would surpass hydropower in 2025 as the second most prevalent form of renewable generation in the US. In the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) territory, EIA expects non-hydropower renewable generators are on pace to supply nearly 179mn MWh in 2025, down by less than 1pc from last month's outlook. But the 216mn MWh now anticipated from the sector in 2026 marks an almost 10pc increase from May's predictions for the Texas grid. EIA's lowered its predictions for non-hydropower renewables in the New York Independent System Operator's footprint by less than 1pc for 2025 and by 4pc for 2026, to 11.5mn MWh and just under 13mn MWh, respectively. Revisions to other regional forecasts were minimal. EIA increased its expectations for non-hydropower renewables in the areas managed by the PJM Interconnection, ISO-New England and Midcontinent Independent System Operator by less than 1pc for both 2025 and 2026. Renewable energy resources for EIA's purposes include conventional hydropower, wind, solar projects larger than 1MW, geothermal and certain forms of biomass. By Patrick Zemanek Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EQT signs 10-year gas deals with Duke, Southern


11/06/25
News
11/06/25

EQT signs 10-year gas deals with Duke, Southern

New York, 11 June (Argus) — US natural gas producer EQT has signed 10-year firm supply deals with US utilities Duke Energy and Southern Company for a combined 1.2 Bcf/d of gas beginning in 2027. EQT previously disclosed it struck deals to sell 800mn cf/d and 400mn cf/d of gas to "investment-grade utilities" in the southeastern US, but it has not disclosed the buyers. Those previously unnamed utilities are North Carolina-based Duke, which has contracted for 800mn cf/d from EQT, and Georgia-based Southern, which has contracted for 400mn cf/d, according to people with knowledge of the matter. EQT declined to comment for this story. Duke and Southern did not immediately respond to requests for comment. The deals represent about 20pc of EQT's production and allow EQT to take advantage of contracted capacity it holds on Mountain Valley Pipeline, which ferries gas from West Virginia to Virginia. EQT, the second-largest US gas producer by volume, has been the owner of Mountain Valley Pipeline since acquiring its previous owner Equitrans Midstream in July 2024. The gas supply deals are "two of the largest long-term physical supply deals ever executed in the North American natural gas market," EQT chief executive Toby Rice said in October 2023. The deals also underpin EQT's broader strategy of trying to sell more gas directly to large end users, including utilities, LNG export terminals and data centers, instead of selling into the volatile US spot gas market with the use of financial hedges. The deals also give EQT more exposure to pricing hubs in the southeastern US, where gas trades at a premium to gas sold within the Appalachian production region, where EQT operates. For Duke and Southern, the long-term agreements guarantee available gas supply as the utilities convert coal-fired power generation facilities to gas-fired generators while scrambling to meet surging power demand from planned data centers running artificial intelligence software. Those drivers of gas demand are also behind US pipeline companies Williams, Kinder Morgan and Boardwalk Pipeline Partners trying to build out more gas transportation capacity into the southeast, FactSet manager of natural gas research Connor McLean told Argus . Duke Energy plans to add 5GW of new gas-fired power generation through 2029 across its territory, the company said earlier this month. Duke Energy Carolinas and Southern Company hold most of the contracted capacity on Williams' planned 1.6 Bcf/d Southeast Supply Enhancement expansion of its Transcontinental (Transco) pipeline, which is expected to enter service in the fourth quarter of 2027, US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission filings show. That expansion project will make available new gas transportation capacity from the terminus of the Mountain Valley Pipeline in Virginia to end markets in Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and Alabama. Duke Energy Carolinas, whose service territory includes North Carolina and South Carolina, holds 1 Bcf/d of contracted capacity on Southeast Supply Enhancement. Southern Company, whose service territory includes Georgia and Alabama, holds 400mn cf/d. By selling into those regions, EQT will be taking 1.2 Bcf/d of gas it was previously selling into the comparatively low-priced Tetco M-2 market and selling it instead into the higher priced Transco zone 4 and 5 South markets. The spot price for gas in the Transco zone 5 South region — which covers gas downstream from compressor station 165 near the terminus of Mountain Valley Pipeline in Virginia to the Georgia-South Carolina border — in 2024 averaged $2.69/mmBtu, and the Transco zone 4 index — spanning Georgia, Alabama and Mississippi — averaged $2.41/mmBtu. The Tetco M-2 receipts index over the period averaged $1.67/mmBtu. The supply deals with Duke and Southern are "the main driver" behind EQT's anticipated corporate gas price differential — or the average price at which it sells its gas relative to the US benchmark price — tightening to around 30¢/mmBtu in 2028 from an anticipated 60¢/mmBtu this year, EQT's Rice said in April. EQT is also in talks with a dozen proposed power projects in the Appalachian production region, he said. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Possible French nuclear reactor defects found: Update


11/06/25
News
11/06/25

Possible French nuclear reactor defects found: Update

Adds comments from market participants London, 11 June (Argus) — France's EdF has detected possible defects in piping at the 1.5GW Civaux 2 reactor, according to nuclear safety authority ASNR. Tests revealed two "signs" — typically echoes from ultrasound testing — that could indicate a defect, ASNR said. The tests — part of its strategy to treat stress corrosion — are continuing. ASNR said there is no confirmation at this point that the potential faults are evidence of stress corrosion. Stress corrosion is a process by which mechanical stress in the presence of certain chemicals leads to fissures in pipework. The French reactor fleet was heavily affected by this condition in 2021-23, with around a third of the fleet taken off line for inspections and repairs. Civaux 2 is an N4 reactor — there are two at Civaux and another two at Chooz. They were the last reactors built before Flamanville 3, entering service in 2000-02, and the most powerful built in France up to that time. Civaux 2 has been off line for maintenance since 5 April and is scheduled to return on 31 July. It was being defuelled for maintenance and inspection and tests, before having a third of the fuel switched out. The 1.5GW Civaux 1 was the first reactor where stress corrosion faults were discovered, in August 2021. Tests at the other three N4 models in the following months confirmed stress corrosion at all of them. The N4 models — along with a dozen 1.3GW P4 reactors — are particularly vulnerable to stress corrosion, EdF's nuclear and thermic director, Cedric Lewandowski, told a parliamentary commission in 2022. The French power curve rose sharply on Wednesday morning following reports of the possible defects on Tuesday evening. The front-year contract jumped from an assessment of €62.30/MWh yesterday to over €68/MWh in the morning, before falling to around €66/MWh by mid-afternoon. Market participants were divided in their assessment of the actual impact of the news. One suggested that with only minimal information officially confirmed, the price movement may turn out to have been an overreaction. But another suggested the spectre of a return of stress corrosion heightened risk, justifying the premium that French contracts have gained. And a third said that the size of the potential consequences meant the price changes could prove long-lasting. Civaux 2 is still scheduled as of Wednesday evening to return to service on 30 July. Availability from the four N4 reactors is scheduled at 3GW throughout most of this month, rising to 4.5GW from the beginning of July and then to 6GW for the first three weeks of August, before falling again to 3GW from mid-September ( see graph ). Chooz 2 has been unavailable since mid-April for economic reasons, having halted output on 18 April to save fuel for higher demand periods, EdF said. By Rhys Talbot Past and scheduled availability from N4 reactors GW Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Possible defects found in French nuclear reactor: ASNR


11/06/25
News
11/06/25

Possible defects found in French nuclear reactor: ASNR

London, 11 June (Argus) — France's EdF has detected possible defects in piping at the 1.5GW Civaux 2 reactor, according to nuclear safety authority ASNR. Tests revealed two "signs" — typically echoes from ultrasound testing — that could indicate a defect, ASNR said. The tests — part of its strategy to treat stress corrosion — are continuing. ASNR said there is no confirmation at this point that the potential faults are evidence of stress corrosion. Stress corrosion is a process by which mechanical stress in the presence of certain chemicals leads to fissures in pipework. The French reactor fleet was heavily affected by this condition in 2021-23, with around a third of the fleet taken off line for inspections and repairs. Civaux 2 is an N4 reactor — there are two at Civaux and another two at Chooz. They were the last reactors built before Flamanville 3, entering service in 2000-02, and the most powerful built in France up to that time. Civaux 2 has been off line for maintenance since 5 April and is scheduled to return on 31 July. It was being defuelled for maintenance and inspection and tests, before having a third of the fuel switched out. The 1.5GW Civaux 1 was the first reactor where stress corrosion faults were discovered, in August 2021. Tests at the other three N4 models in the following months confirmed stress corrosion at all of them. The N4 models — along with a dozen 1.3GW P4 reactors — are particularly vulnerable to stress corrosion, EdF's nuclear and thermic director, Cedric Lewandowski, told a parliamentary commission in 2022. The French power curve rose sharply on Wednesday morning following reports of the possible defects on Tuesday evening. The front-year contract jumped from an assessment of €62.30/MWh yesterday to over €68/MWh in the morning, before falling to around €66/MWh by mid-afternoon. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Climate Group publishes guidance on granular EACs


11/06/25
News
11/06/25

Climate Group publishes guidance on granular EACs

London, 11 June (Argus) — The 24/7 Carbon-Free Coalition — part of international non-profit Climate Group — has released its first technical criteria for companies claiming to use carbon-free electricity (CFE), including temporally and geographically matched energy attribute certificate (EACs). Biomass-based claims are subject to stringent criteria. Under the criteria, cancelling EACs to claim CFE consumption is mandatory "in markets where EACs are in common use", unless the electricity is self-generated or delivered via a direct line through a physical power purchase agreement (PPA). Examples include Latin American countries using international renewable energy certificates (I-RECs), European countries using AIB guarantees of origin (GOOs), and Australia, New Zealand and North American countries using RECs, although buyers in those and other areas are not required to choose a specific tracking system. Claims based on certificates must observe geographic market boundaries and temporal alignment. A market boundary is "an area which is internally well-connected by a synchronous electric grid", with a consistent regulatory framework and where "utilities and suppliers recognise each other's energy attributes". Among the listed examples are European network Entso-e, Australia's national electricity market and grid regions defined by the US federal government. From a temporal point of view, EACs must be matched to consumption on an hourly basis, but the guidance provides for situations in which such granularity is not available. In this case, buyers must pair certificates with hourly metering data coming from the same generator and verified through an ID, and the generator has to transfer exclusive rights to those claims, in order to avoid double counting. France has currently the most granular GOO disclosure system in the AIB hub, requiring monthly matching. Other countries such as Denmark have tested the use of hourly-matched certificates . The legal framework for granular GOOs in the EU is established under the revised renewable energy directive (RED III), which encourages greater time-stamping of certificates and allows for GOOs of less than 1MWh . But there are still discrepancies across the AIB hub, even on the more common annual matching system, with some countries — such as Italy, Ireland and Portugal — allowing cancellations for up to 18 months from energy production and the use of previous-year GOOs for compliance the following year. Caveats for biomass The 24/7 CFE Coalition recognises electricity from wind, solar, zero-emissions geothermal, marine, sustainable hydropower and nuclear as carbon-free. Crucially, biomass-fired output is classified as carbon-free only when it comes from waste and residue, and corporate buyers must submit in this case a project-specific lifecycle GHG assessment. If emissions exceed zero, companies can claim biomass-based CFE for only up to 10pc of their global electricity consumption. RE100 — a coalition also led by Climate Group — published new technical guidance in April, banning biomass co-fired with coal and setting stricter rules on the use of EACs . By Giulio Bajona Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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