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Canadian rail workers vote to launch strike: Correction

  • Market: Agriculture, Chemicals, Coal, Coking coal, Crude oil, Fertilizers, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 02/05/24

Corrects movement of grain loadings from a year earlier in final paragraph.

Workers at the two major Canadian railroads could go on strike as soon as 22 May now that members of the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) have authorized a strike, potentially causing widespread disruption to shipments of commodities such as crude, coal and grain.

A strike could disrupt rail traffic not only in Canada but also in the US and Mexico because trains would not be able to leave, nor could shipments enter into Canada.

This labor action could be far more impactful than recent strikes because it would affect Canadian National (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) at the same time. Union members at Canadian railroads have gone on strike individually in the past, which has left one of the two carriers to continue operating and handle some of their competitor's freight.

But TCRC members completed a vote yesterday about whether to initiate a strike action at each carrier. The union represents about 9,300 workers employed at the two railroads.

Roughly 98pc of union members that participated voted in favor of a strike beginning as early as 22 May, the union said.

The union said talks are at an impasse.

"After six months of negotiations with both companies, we are no closer to reaching a settlement than when we first began, TCRC president Paul Boucher said.

Boucher warned that "a simultaneous work stoppage at both CN and CPKC would disrupt supply chains on a scale Canada has likely never experienced." He added that the union does not want to provoke a rail crisis and wants to avoid a work stoppage.

The union has argued that the railroads' proposals would harm safety practices. It has also sought an improved work-life balance.

But CN and CPKC said the union continues to reject their proposals.

CPKC "is committed to negotiating in good faith and responding to our employees' desire for higher pay and improved work-life balance, while respecting the best interests of all our railroaders, their families, our customers, and the North American economy."

CN said it wants a contract that addresses the work life balance and productivity, benefiting the company and employees. But even when CN "proposed a solution that would not touch duty-rest rules, the union has rejected it," the railroad said.

Canadian commodity volume has fallen this year with only rail shipments of chemicals, petroleum and petroleum products, and non-metallic minerals rising, Association of American Railroads (AAR) data show. Volume data includes cars loaded in the US by Canadian carriers.

Coal traffic dropped by 11pc during the 17 weeks ended on 27 April compared with a year earlier, AAR data show. Loadings of motor vehicles and parts have fallen by 5.2pc. CN and CPKC grain loadings fell by 4.3pc from a year earlier, while shipment of farm products and food fell by 9.3pc.


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23/04/25

US generators weigh delaying coal plant retirements

US generators weigh delaying coal plant retirements

New York, 23 April (Argus) — US utilities are considering additional extensions to coal plant retirements in response to recent policy changes, even though the benefit for the coal industry may be short-lived. US utilities are still mostly reviewing US president Donald Trump's executive orders issued earlier this month plus other actions initiated by his administration. One of the more concrete recent actions were the two-year exemptions from complying with updated Mercury and Air Toxics Standards granted to dozens of power plants on 15 April. But even though utilities had applied for these exemptions, the majority of those that spoke to Argus indicated they are still evaluating their options. "Granting a two-year compliance extension at Labadie and Sioux will enable Ameren Missouri to further refine its compliance strategy and optimize planned monitoring mechanisms to ensure accuracy," said Ameren Missouri director of environmental services Craig Giesmann. "We are committed to selecting cost-effective solutions that minimize the impact on customer rates." Ameren's 1,099MW Sioux plant is scheduled to be closed by 2028 and the 2,389MW Labadie plant has no concrete retirement date. Tennessee Valley Authority said it is "carefully reviewing" the mercury and air toxics exemptions "for how it might apply and benefit our efforts to support load growth across our seven-state region." The federal utility was granted exemptions for all of its coal facilities, including units of the Cumberland and Kingston plants that had been scheduled to close by the 1 July 2027 compliance deadline for the new mercury and air toxics standards. NRG Energy and Xcel Energy also said they are still considering how to proceed. "It will take our regulatory and environmental teams some time to evaluate and access the new guidelines, so we do not have any update to share at this time," NRG said. The utility was granted exemptions for four coal plants with a combined 7,092MW of capacity. None of these units currently has concrete retirement dates scheduled. Companies need to take into account other factors before committing to extending a coal unit's life, including natural gas price expectations and whether government regulations will stay in place. In addition, the planning process for retiring and adding generating assets takes time. These factors also are being taken into account by utilities that do not have coal units on the list of mercury rule exemptions but could be affected by other efforts the Trump administration is making to try to preserve coal generation. "Whatever impacts may arise from policy changes this year will be assessed in a future [Integrated Resource Plan], with the best analysis of information available at that time," utility PacifiCorp said. The utility just filed its latest integrated resource plan with state regulators on 31 March and does not expect to file another one until early 2027. Another utility that did not have coal units on the list of mercury rule exemptions but would be affected by other regulatory actions said it is considering extending coal unit operations by a few years. A US coal producer reported receiving increased inquiries from utilities about the feasibility of continuing to get coal supply beyond power plant units' planned retirement dates. Both buyers and sellers that talked to Argus agree that contract flexibility is gaining importance. But "even if you roll back some regulations and push deadlines on various retirements and certain requirements out into the future, you still can not justify taking more coal unless it is going to be competitive" with natural gas, one market participant said. While profit margins for dispatching coal in US electric grids were above natural gas spark spreads for a number of days this past winter, that was an anomaly when compared with recent years. Coal may bridge generating gap But recent policy changes could help utilities use coal generation to bridge any gaps in generating capacity caused by delays in bringing other energy sources online. These include possible delays in adding solar generation following increased tariffs the Trump administration has imposed on imports from China as well as legislation moving through some state governing bodies aimed at inhibiting renewable projects. On 15 April, the Texas Senate passed a bill that would impose restrictions on solar and wind projects, including new permits, fees, regulatory requirements, and taxes. Separately, North Carolina legislators are reviewing a bill that proposes reducing solar tax breaks from 80pc to 40pc and limiting locations for utility-scale projects. Other states are moving forward with efforts to encourage less carbon-intensive generation. Colorado governor Jared Polis (D) on 31 March signed legislation classifying nuclear energy as a "clean" power source. Increased renewable energy generating capacity still is expected to be the "main contributor" to growth in US electricity generation, according to the US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). But EIA's latest outlook did not take into account the coal-related executive orders Trump signed on 8 April. "We are currently evaluating these developments, and they will be reflected in the May STEO," EIA chief economist Jonathan Church said. Most market participants do not expect substantial long-term changes to come from recent coal-supporting efforts because of various other factors including the fundamental economics of coal-fired power plants. By Elena Vasilyeva Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US wants IMF, World Bank to drop climate focus


23/04/25
News
23/04/25

US wants IMF, World Bank to drop climate focus

Washington, 23 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's administration today called on the IMF and the World Bank to focus resources away from climate action and energy transition and to make lending available to fossil fuels programs. The IMF "devotes disproportionate time and resources to work on climate change, gender, and social issues," US treasury secretary Scott Bessent said in remarks today timed to coincide with the two international lending institutions' annual meeting in Washington. "Like the IMF, the World Bank must be made fit for purpose again," he said, during an event hosted by trade group Institute of International Finance. The IMF and the World Bank in recent years have followed the preferences of their largest shareholders — the US and European countries — in incorporating the effects of climate change in their analysis and to facilitate energy transition in the emerging economies. The World Bank, together with other multilateral development banks globally, announced at the UN Cop-29 climate conference last year that they could increase climate financing to $170bn/yr by 2030, up from $125bn in 2023. "I know 'sustainability' is a popular term around here," Bessent said. "But I'm not talking about climate change or carbon footprints. I'm talking about economic and financial sustainability." Bessent urged the World Bank to "be tech neutral and prioritize affordability and energy investment," adding that "in most cases, this means investing in gas and other fossil fuel based energy production." "In other cases, this may mean investing in renewable energy coupled with systems to help manage the intermittency of wind and solar," Bessent said. The US is the largest shareholder at both the IMF and the World Bank, with a 16pc stake in both institutions. The Trump administration, which has slashed climate programs at US government institutions and withdrew the US from climate-focused international efforts, has so far refrained from interfering in the operations of the IMF and the World Bank. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Bio-bunker sales in Rotterdam down in 1Q


23/04/25
News
23/04/25

Bio-bunker sales in Rotterdam down in 1Q

London, 23 April (Argus) — Sales of marine biodiesel blends in Rotterdam fell for the third consecutive quarter in January-March as demand shifted east of Suez. Port data for the first quarter of 2025 show marine biodiesel blend sales declined by 12pc compared with the previous three months and by 60pc compared with the same period last year. The decline was underpinned by lower prices in Singapore. B24 dob Singapore — a blend comprising very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) — averaged a $36/t discount against B30 advanced fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) 0 dob ARA in the first quarter, and a $129.74/t discount against B30 Ucome dob ARA. This price dynamic made Singapore an attractive bunker hub for those shipowners opting to use biodiesel blends to help their customers meet sustainability goals. It also attracted demand from shipowners bound by the FuelEU maritime regulations introduced in January this year. The regulations require a reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from ships travelling into, out of and within EU waters, but energy consumed from blends bunkered in Singapore can be mass balanced to be fully accounted for under the scope of the rules. A pooling mechanism within the regulations also allows vessels operating on the east-west route to utilise compliance generated from marine biodiesel blends bunkered in Singapore across other ships that operate solely in Europe. While biodiesel bunker sales in Rotterdam fell, biomethanol sales at the port soared almost sixfold in January-March compared with a year earlier. The sharp rise in demand reflects the rollout of FuelEU Maritime , higher mandates in Europe for the use of renewables in transport this year and changes to regulations on the carryover of renewable fuels tickets in Germany and the Netherlands . Sales of conventional bunker fuels in Rotterdam edged up by a more modest 1pc on the quarter and by 7pc on the year. Sales of high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) overtook those of very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO), reversing the trend of the previous quarter despite the imminent addition of the Mediterranean Sea as an Emission Control Area (ECA). Ships without scrubbers that sail through ECA zones must use fuels with a maximum sulphur content of 0.1pc, such as marine gasoil (MGO) and ultra low sulphur fuiel oil (ULSFO). LNG bunker sales in Rotterdam fell by the 13pc on the quarter in January-March, reflecting a price rally at the Dutch TTF gas hub in late January and early February. The Argus northwest Europe LNG bunker price stood at a two-year high of €64.35/MWh on 6 February. LNG bunker sales were still higher than in the first quarter last year, which likely stems from the introduction of the FuelEU Maritime regulations. By Hussein Al-Khalisy, Natália Coelho, Gabriel Tassi Lara, Evelina Lungu and Cerys Edwards. Rotterdam bunker sales t Fuel 1Q25 4Q24 1Q24 q-o-q % y-o-y % VLSFO 789,218 810,831 680,782 -2.7 15.9 ULSFO 187,031 193,567 176,797 -3.4 5.8 HSFO 829,197 780,437 818,028 6.2 1.4 MGO & MDO 393,071 395,903 383,409 -0.7 2.5 Conventional total 2,198,517 2,180,738 2,059,016 0.8 7 Biofuel blends 104,037 118,201 262,634 -12 -60.4 LNG (m³) 230,129 263,068 215,247 -12.5 6.9 biomethanol 5,490 930 0 490.3 na Port of Rotterdam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Tariffs will cut profits $100mn-$200mn: Baker Hughes


23/04/25
News
23/04/25

Tariffs will cut profits $100mn-$200mn: Baker Hughes

New York, 23 April (Argus) — Oilfield services giant Baker Hughes expects a cut in its annual profit of as much as $200mn from tariffs, if current levels applied under President Donald Trump's 90-day pause stay in place for the rest of the year. That hit to profits does not include secondary effects, such as the impact of Trump's trade wars on slower global economic growth, as well as a renewed bout of weakness in oil prices. While the company is taking steps to mitigate tariff impacts, its "strong weighting" to international markets helps reduce its overall financial exposure, according to chief executive officer Lorenzo Simonelli. Increased oil price volatility due to tariffs , as well as the return of Opec+ barrels to the market, have resulted in a softening outlook for the market. As such, Baker Hughes now expects global upstream spending will be "down by high single digits" this year. The company forecasts a low-double digit decline in North America spending by its clients, and a mid-to-high single digit drop internationally. "A sustained move lower in oil prices or worsening tariffs would introduce further downside risk to this outlook," said Simonelli. "The prospects of an oversupplied oil market, rising tariffs, uncertainty in Mexico and activity weakness in Saudi Arabia are collectively constraining international upstream spending levels." The company has identified three areas of tariff exposure within its industrial and energy technology division, including volumes exported to China, critical equipment supplies from its facilities in Italy, and an expected modest impact from steel and aluminum tariffs as well as US-China trade activity. Mitigation efforts include exploring domestic procurement alternatives to reduce input costs and improving its global manufacturing footprint. In relation to its oilfield services and equipment segment, Baker Hughes has been working to boost domestic sourcing and is working with customers to recover some costs. Elsewhere, the repeal of an US LNG permitting moratorium under the Trump administration has resulted in higher orders. Baker Hughes has booked about $1.7bn in LNG orders in the US over the past two quarters, and several LNG customers in the Gulf Coast have signaled plans to expand capacity beyond 2030. Profit of $402mn in the first quarter was down from $455mn in the year-earlier period. Revenue held steady at about $6.4bn. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil's Rifertil files for bankruptcy protection


23/04/25
News
23/04/25

Brazil's Rifertil files for bankruptcy protection

Sao Paulo, 23 April (Argus) — Brazilian fertilizer producer Rifertil filed for bankruptcy protection from creditors, citing a debt load inflated by currency impacts, falling prices and tough sector conditions caused by drought last year. Rifertil's debts total R647.9mn ($112.7mn), according to a document seen by Argus , which was filed with the civil court of Rio Verde, in central-western Goias state. The request, also confirmed by the office of the company's attorney, was filed on 22 April and is now awaiting analysis by the Goias court. The bankruptcy protection filing highlights that the fertilizer sector has been facing difficulties since 2022, when nutrient prices were high because of the Covid-19 pandemic and, later, because of the beginning of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. At that time, predictions such as a shortage in the global fertilizer market contributed to an increase in fertilizer prices. But the forecasts did not materialize and prices fell in the following months, causing losses that have hit the company's cash flow since then. The document also highlights problems faced by producers in Goias, the company's main market and headquarters. Between the last quarter of 2023 and the beginning of 2024, many cities in Goias declared states of emergency because of drier than usual weather conditions. This contributed to a lack of liquidity for producers, hurting Brazil's agribusiness, especially from an increase in defaults from customers. Rifertil's attorney also said that the US dollar's strengthening to the Brazilian real throughout the second half of 2024 inflated the company's debt, since many products and services in the fertilizer sector are traded in US dollars. The company was founded in 2000 and its headquarters is in Rio Verde city, in Goias. It also has factories in Catalao city, Goias, and Maruim city, in northern Sergipe state. The three units' combined capacity is of 750,000 metric tonnes/yr. By João Petrini Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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