Latest market news

EU Cop 29 negotiating mandate light on finance goals

  • Market: Emissions
  • 14/08/24

An EU draft negotiating mandate ahead of the UN Cop 29 climate summit reiterates calls for a global approach to carbon pricing and stronger climate plans, but remains light on climate finance commitments.

EU environment ministers are working on the EU's negotiating mandate for the Cop 29 climate talks in Baku in 11-22 November. Conclusions are expected to be adopted in October.

The current text calls on other jurisdictions to "introduce or improve" their own carbon pricing mechanisms, including carbon markets aligned with the Paris Agreement. The EU wants "action" to scale up global carbon pricing and promote harmonisation. Negotiations on outstanding elements of Article 6 of the Paris climate agreement, which includes two market-based carbon pricing mechanisms, will continue at Cop 29.

But the draft merely reconfirms the EU's commitment to existing climate finance goals, although finance is set to be the overarching theme of the Baku summit. In Baku, Cop parties will have to agree on a new climate finance goal — known as the new collective quantified goal (NCQG). This represents the next stage of the $100bn/yr of climate finance that developed countries agreed to deliver to developing countries over 2020-25.

The EU's draft recalls that the bloc and its member states are the world's largest climate finance contributors, providing "at least around" a third of the world's public climate finance. The EU also notes the "overachievement", by developed countries, of the collective $100bn/yr goal for climate finance. Although developed nations surpassed the goal by $15.9bn in 2022, it was missed in 2020 and 2021, according to the OECD. Some developing countries have called for at least $1 trillion-1.3 trillion/yr for the new goal, but developed countries have yet to come forward with an amount.

Barring future input from EU finance ministers, the current draft text vaguely "invites" other countries to scale up international climate finance. The text also emphasises that public finance alone cannot deliver the levels of funding needed to transition to a climate-neutral global economy. Mobilisation of "private, philanthropic, and innovative" climate finance is essential, the text states.

The draft also further urges nationally determined contributions (NDCs) — climate plans — to be aligned with the Paris agreement's 1.5°C global warming limit. The Cop 28 final text last year encouraged parties to have "ambitious, economy-wide emission reduction targets, covering all greenhouse gases, sectors and categories and aligned with limiting global warming to 1.5 °C" in their next NDCs. Countries are expected to hand in updated climate plans to the UN by February 2025.

The EU reiterates the importance of transitioning away from fossil fuels, tripling renewable energy capacity, and doubling annual energy efficiency gains by 2030, also agreed at Cop 28.

The draft climate conclusions further note that NDCs are "collectively" far from being on track towards limiting global warming to 1.5°C and achieving the Paris agreement's long-term goals. But the ministers' draft text makes no mention of any need to readjust the EU's targets, particularly the commitment to a 55pc reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2030. The European Commission's communication earlier this year, on a 90pc net GHG emissions reduction by 2040 for the bloc, compared with 1990 levels, only "represents a basis" for discussions on an EU NDC to be submitted ahead of Cop 30.

With a nod to Azerbaijan's political situation, the text adds that climate transition needs to be just and follow a "human-rights-based approach".


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
10/10/24

Cop 29 president calls for progress on finance

Cop 29 president calls for progress on finance

Edinburgh, 10 October (Argus) — The president-designate of the upcoming UN Cop 29 climate summit, Mukhtar Babayev, has urged parties to progress on a timeframe and an amount for the new climate finance goal to be decided at the conference in Baku next month. At a pre-Cop meeting today, Babayev stressed the need to "take seriously the responsibility for identifying a number over a timeframe and come forward with solutions". "We cannot afford to leave too much to be decided at the summit," he added. Cop parties must agree in November on the new collective quantified goal (NCQG) — building on the current $100bn/yr target that developed countries agreed to deliver to developing countries over 2020-25. But there remains a huge divide to bridge between developed and developing nations ahead of Cop 29 . Developed countries have yet to commit to a number for climate finance, while developing nations have for some time called for a floor of at least $1 trillion/yr. The Cop 29 presidency is seeking to build on "possible convergence on certain elements" to provide a solid foundation to discussions on other parts of the goal, Babayev said. Elements for the formulation of the goal include an amount for the NCGQ, timeframes, scope, sources, as well as accessibility and transparency. Babayev did not provide details on potential convergence, but some common ground was found during technical discussions on elements such as access and transparency. "Qualitative elements of the goal such as transparency and accessibility are also essential to ensuring that the goal is both fair and ambitious," he said. "The substantive framework for the draft negotiation text" on the NCGQ will be released in the next few days, according to Babayev. The NCQG is Cop 29's "top negotiating priority", Babayev said, but he also urged parties to turn pledges made last year for the loss and damage fund — which will support vulnerable countries with the irreversible and unavoidable effects of climate change — into contributions. He said that countries need to "respond to the goal of the UAE consensus [Cop 28 agreement] to transition away from fossil fuels in a just and orderly manner taking into account different national circumstances". There is "no time for us to allow for anyone to try and backpedal on what we have collectively committed to in Dubai," Cop 28 president Sultan al-Jaber said at the meeting today. Cop 28 last year ended with an agreement that included transitioning away from fossil fuels and tripling renewable energy capacity globally by 2030. Al-Jaber said that the next NDCs must be aligned with the Paris agreement and the Cop 28 deal to keep 1.5°C — the Paris accord's most ambitious temperature limit — within reach. NDCs "must be economy-wide, cover all greenhouse gases and seize the opportunity of climate action as a driver for sustainable growth", he said. He recognised the efforts of G7 countries in including references to the Cop 28 agreement in their final communique and that he "was very hopeful that the same would happen at G20" later this year. G7 countries in May committed to phasing out "unabated coal power generation" by 2035 — putting a timeframe on a coal phase-out for the first time. They also pledged "to transition away from fossil fuels" in energy systems in a just, orderly and equitable manner, accelerating actions in this critical decade, to achieve net-zero by 2050 in keeping with the best available science", which is the language used in the Cop 28 text. Heads of states and governments in September adopted a pact that also included this wording ahead of the UN general assembly . By Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Russia to present climate strategy at Cop 29


09/10/24
News
09/10/24

Russia to present climate strategy at Cop 29

Edinburgh, 9 October (Argus) — Russia is preparing to present its climate strategy at the UN Cop 29 climate conference in Baku, Azerbaijan, in November, deputy prime minister Alexander Novak said. Novak convened a meeting with Russian ministries on climate issues on 7 October, in which a forecast for Russia's emissions rates, in line with the country's 'low emissions economic development strategy to 2050', was discussed. The strategy was approved in 2021. It is unclear whether the strategy is linked to Russia's new Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) — a climate plan to be submitted to the UN. Cop parties are expected to publish their next NDCs to the Paris climate agreement — this time for 2035 — in November-February, as part of a cycle that requires countries to "ratchet up" their commitments every five years. Russia's president Vladimir Putin announced Russia's 2060 net zero ambitions in October 2021, but the country has not updated its NDC since 2020. The Cop 28 agreement signed in the UAE last year included an energy section calling for "transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems", a tripling of renewable capacity by 2030 and for "accelerating action in this critical decade", giving the direction countries need to take in the energy transition. The country's main focus is on doubling the absorptive capacity of Russia's forests and producing and exporting more gas, to replace demand for more carbon-intensive oil and coal. Russia has no plans to reduce coal and oil output. Russia's climate envoy Ruslan Edelgeriyev said in November 2022 that Moscow could achieve net zero a decade earlier than in 2060 if its access to international debt markets and technology was not blocked because of the sanctions imposed over Ukraine. While reiterating net zero ambitions last year despite the sanctions, Putin repeatedly called accelerated decarbonisation irresponsible, claiming that it contributed to Europe's energy crisis in 2021. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

African petroleum body seeks EU CO2 tax moratorium


09/10/24
News
09/10/24

African petroleum body seeks EU CO2 tax moratorium

Cape Town, 9 October (Argus) — African states must push for a moratorium on the EU's impending carbon tax when they attend the UN Cop 29 climate talks in Baku, Azerbaijan, next month, said the African Petroleum Producers Organisation (APPO). APPO's secretary-general Omar Farouk Ibrahim made the call at Africa Oil Week currently underway in Cape Town, South AFrica. "As we prepare to go to Baku for Cop 29, I invite those who represent the interests of our continent in the negotiations to sound the alarm on the implications for Africa of the planned implementation of the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism," Ibrahim said. The mess called climate change was not created by Africans, APPO's secretary-general said. Today's industrialised countries are responsible for most of the greenhouse (GHG) emissions of the past 120 years, he said. This is the time to sound the alarm and ask for a moratorium on CBAM so that Africa can benefit, he added. "That is what an energy transition is in our opinion. If we don't, we're in for trouble [as] it will stifle our industrial and economic development," according to Ibrahim. Africa deserves better — it cannot develop without fossil fuels, he concluded. By Elaine Mills Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Japan’s power sector cuts CO2 emissions in 2023-24


09/10/24
News
09/10/24

Japan’s power sector cuts CO2 emissions in 2023-24

Osaka, 9 October (Argus) — Japanese power suppliers reduced CO2 emissions in the April 2023-March 2024 fiscal year, because of increased use of nuclear and renewable power sources as well as higher thermal generation efficiency. CO2 emissions by the country's power firms totalled 311mn t in 2023-24, equivalent to 0.421 kg/kWh, based on 738.2TWh of electricity sales which accounted for 91.4pc of the country's total power sales, according to preliminary data released by the electric power council for a low carbon society (ELCS) — a group of 61 Japanese power firms. The 2023-24 emissions were lower by nearly 5pc from 327mn t, or 0.437 kg/kWh, in 2022-23. The ELCS is aiming to cut CO2 emissions to 0.25 kg/kWh by 2030-31, in line with the government's goal for all the country's power sources in the same fiscal year. Japan's renewable power output — including hydropower generation — totalled 148TWh in 2023-24, up by 3.1pc from a year earlier, according to the country's trade and industry ministry Meti. Nuclear generation also rose by 50pc to 80TWh during the period. Renewable and nuclear accounted for 18pc and 10pc respectively of the country's total power generation. Thermal output fell by 6.5pc from a year earlier to 594TWh in 2023-24, but still accounted for 72pc in the power mix. Japan's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2022-23 fell by 2.5pc from a year earlier to 1.135bn t of CO2, because of higher renewable power output and lower energy consumption, according to the environment ministry. This marked the lowest level in 33 years or since 1990-91, when Japan started recording its emissions data. Japan's nationally determined contribution (NDC) targets for a 46pc reduction in its GHG emissions by 2030-31 against the 2013-14 levels. Tokyo is set to update and submit its new NDC with an emission reduction goal for 2035 in 2025. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

IEA raises Australian renewable power capacity forecast


09/10/24
News
09/10/24

IEA raises Australian renewable power capacity forecast

Sydney, 9 October (Argus) — Australia is expected to add more than 52GW of renewable power capacity over 2024-30, with 57pc of the country's electricity generation coming from renewable sources in 2030, Paris-based energy watchdog the IEA announced today. The forecast revision in the IEA's Renewables 2024 report released on 9 October is 2pc higher than the 2023 estimate, it said, although the previous annual report included forecasts up to 2028, with a 49pc renewable share expected for that year. The country's share of renewables in 2023 was around 34pc, according to the IEA. Australia is expected to add around 52.2GW of new capacity between 2024-30 under the IEA's main case scenario, led by utility-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) at 18.6GW, onshore wind at 15.3GW and distributed solar PV at 13.8GW. Hydropower capacity additions are forecast to reach 2.3GW over that period, while renewables dedicated to hydrogen production total 2.2GW. The IEA expects additions to gradually rise in the coming years, from 5.4GW in 2024 and 5.5GW in 2025 to 6GW in 2026, 6.9GW in 2027 and 8GW in 2028. Additions would peak in 2029 at 11.5GW and fall back to 9GW in 2030. Australia is targeting an 82pc share of renewable sources in nationwide electricity generation by 2030, with the federal government expanding its Capacity Investment Scheme (CIS) and launching the first major 6GW tender in May . Tenders will run every six months until 2026-27 for a total of 32GW, consisting of 23GW of renewables — solar, wind and hydro — and 9GW of dispatchable capacity such as pumped hydro and grid-scale batteries, all to be in operation by 2030. Apart from the CIS scheme, corporate demand for renewable energy — mostly through power purchase agreements — and continued growth in distributed solar PV will contribute to the increase in renewable capacity in Australia, stated the IEA. Challenges for utility-scale additions include curtailment, which remains high because of grid constraints, and lengthy connection wait times, the IEA said, although new rules could ease these delays. "Should some or all of these issues be addressed, our accelerated case indicates that growth could be nearly 20pc higher," it said, noting that new renewable capacity could reach nearly 63GW over 2024-30 in that instance. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more