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Brazil’s January inflation lowest since 1994

  • Market: Agriculture, Biofuels, Electricity, Oil products
  • 11/02/25

Brazil's monthly inflation stood at 0.16pc in January, the lowest increase for the month since 1994 when the government enacted multiple measures to contain soaring inflation, according to government statistics agency IBGE.

The consumer price index (CPI) slowed annually to 4.56pc from 4.83pc in December, heavily influenced by a 14.2pc tumble in power costs in January, compared with a 3.19pc drop in December.

Power costs decelerated January's inflation by 0.55 percentage points — the major individual contributor to the annual drop, according to IBGE — thanks to a R1.3bn ($224mn) federal discount in power tariffs that month, CPI's manager Fernando Goncalves said.

Food and beverage costs rose by an annual 7.25pc, decelerating from 7.69pc in December.

Beef costs increased annually by almost 21.2pc following a 20.8pc gain in the month prior, while soybean oil costs decelerated to 24.55pc over the last 12 months from 29.2pc in December.

Motor fuels prices rose by 11.35pc in January. Ethanol was responsible for the group's largest annual increase of 21.59pc, up from 17.58pc in the month prior. Gasoline and diesel prices also registered annual rises of 10.71pc and 2.66pc from 9.71pc and 0.66pc, respectively.

Still, diesel prices remained at a 0.97pc monthly increase from December, while ethanol costs contracted by 1.82pc from 1.92pc and gasoline prices increased by 0.61pc from 0.54pc.

Fuel prices are likely to keep increasing in February, as states increased the VAT-like ICMS tax on fuels and state-controlled Petrobras increased wholesale diesel prices by 6.3pc, both effective as of 1 February.

Transportation costs rose by 1.3pc in January over the year, following a 0.67pc gain in December. Flight tickets were the most responsible for the increase, with a 10.42pc monthly gain from a 22.2pc contraction in December.

Brazil's central bank is targeting CPI of 3pc with a margin of 1.5 percentage point above or below.

The bank raised its target rate to 13.25pc in January after it failed to maintain Brazil's headline inflation under the ceiling of 4.5pc for 2024. Further increases are expected in the coming months, the bank said.

The central bank has recently changed the way it tracks the inflation goal. Instead of tracking inflation on a calendar year basis, it will now monitor the goal on a 12-month basis.

In 1994, Brazil enacted its Plano Real, a series of measures to stabilize the economy and detain soaring inflation, which had hit an annual 916pc by the end of that year. One of the measures was to change its currency to the real from the cruzeiro real.


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12/07/25

Trump threatens Mexico, EU with 30pc tariffs

Trump threatens Mexico, EU with 30pc tariffs

Washington, 12 July (Argus) — President Donald Trump on Saturday said the US will impose 30pc tariffs on goods imported from Mexico and the EU beginning on 1 August. In a move that could significantly disrupt crude, refined product and other commodity flows, Trump made public on his social media platform letters sent to Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum and European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen on Friday threatening the new tariffs. Trump also vowed to raise the tariffs even higher if Mexico or the EU were to retaliate with their own measures. The threats follow similar letters sent to leaders of other countries this past week, including a 35pc tariff on Canadian imports , likewise starting on 1 August, and a 50pc tariff on Brazilian imports . In his letter to Sheinbaum, Trump repeated previous justifications for higher tariffs by pointing to "Mexico's failure to stop the Cartels" smuggling fentanyl into the US. "Mexico has been helping me secure the border, BUT, what Mexico has done is not enough," Trump wrote. "If for any reason you decide to raise your Tariffs, then whatever the number you choose to raise them by, will be added onto the 30pc that we charge," Trump wrote to Sheinbaum. His letter to von der Leyen included similar language. Trump's previous executive orders regarding tariffs on Mexico and Canada carved out exemptions for goods compliant with the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement. A White House official on Friday, following Trump's 10 July Canadian tariff announcement, said the exemption will remain in place, with a caveat that Trump has yet to determine the final form of application. Regarding the EU, Trump argued the 30pc figure "is far less than what is needed to eliminate the Trade Deficit disparity we have with the EU". Mexico's ministries of the economy, foreign affairs, finance, security and energy said in a statement Saturday that they met with their US counterparts on Friday to begin negotiations to head off the new tariffs before 1 August. "We stated at the meeting that [the new tariff plan] was unfair treatment and that we disagreed." After receipt of the new tariff letter, von der Leyen said Trump's tariffs "would disrupt essential transatlantic supply chains, to the detriment of businesses, consumers and patients on both sides of the Atlantic". The US has clinched only one limited trade deal, which keeps in place a 10pc tariff on US imports from the UK while granting a lower-tariff import quota for UK-made cars. Trump has announced a deal with Vietnam, setting tariffs at 20pc. By David Ivanovich Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US to loan 1mn bls crude to Louisiana refinery: Update


11/07/25
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11/07/25

US to loan 1mn bls crude to Louisiana refinery: Update

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Congress resumes push to cut US shipping pollution


11/07/25
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11/07/25

Congress resumes push to cut US shipping pollution

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USDA boosts soy view on biofuel policy changes


11/07/25
News
11/07/25

USDA boosts soy view on biofuel policy changes

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Trump Brazil tariff threat concerns US beef importers


11/07/25
News
11/07/25

Trump Brazil tariff threat concerns US beef importers

Sao Paulo, 11 July (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's threat to apply a 50pc tariff on Brazilian imports was not welcomed by US beef importers, Brazilian beef exports association ABIEC's president Roberto Perosa said. Perosa said while meeting with around 50 US companies that import beef from Brazil this week he discussed the possible economic effects from the threatened tariffs , which could raise prices that he said used to be beneficial for American consumers. "It's a damaging decision with no technical basis in [the companies'] perspective," he said. Brazil beef imports into the US in April were nearly five times higher than imports from a year earlier, but they dropped in May and June due to other US tariffs . The US has been the second-largest buyer of Brazilian beef since 2022, with almost 230,000 metric tonnes (t) imported last year. The US accounted for 8pc of Brazil's beef exports in 2024, only behind China with 46pc, according to Netherlands-based investment bank Rabobank. Brazil, the world's largest meat exporter, shipped a record 2.9mn t of beef in 2024, a 26pc increase from a year before, according to ABIEC. Open gates The World Organisation for Animal Heath (WOAH)'s May decision to declare Brazil free from the highly contagious foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) affecting livestock without vaccinations may allow access to new markets and boost exports , according to the government. Brazil has opened its beef market to 19 countries so far, according to ministry of agriculture and cattle raising's trading and international affairs secretary Luis Rua. The last countries to open their markets to Brazilian beef were El Salvador and the Bahamas, according to the ministry. By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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