ExxonMobil chief executive officer Darren Woods expects low-carbon hydrogen production incentives to survive a White House review, but he wants more sales commitments before making a final investment decision on a company project in Baytown, Texas.
"Our expectation is that things that we need to drive low-carbon hydrogen will probably stay in place," Woods said during the company's first-quarter earnings call Friday. "But we have to see that manifested."
Woods has said that the 45V hydrogen production tax credit is "critical" to establishing a market for the zero-emissions fuel that can stand on its own and compete against fossil fuels. The company is developing what it describes as the largest low-carbon hydrogen plant in the world in Baytown, designed to produce 1bn cf/d of hydrogen from natural gas with carbon capture. While the 45Q incentive is available for projects using carbon capture and sequestration to lower emissions, ExxonMobil has repeatedly indicated it is pursuing the more lucrative 45V for the massive hydrogen and ammonia production project planned on the Texas Gulf coast.
In addition to certainty about federal incentives, Woods said the company also needs to secure more offtake agreements in order to make a final investment decision.
"I'd say right now that's probably the long pole in the tent with respect to driving this," Woods said. "When those two things come together and we're confident that we have what we need to generate the returns that's going to be required to justify the investments, we'll move forward. Hopefully, that's later this year."
Most of the project's production would be used to decarbonize operations at Exxon's 564,500 b/d Baytown refinery, while the remainder is being targeted for exports in the form of ammonia. In January, the company signed an agreement to sell ammonia to European trading firm Trammo. Japanese power producer Jera has said it is considering 500,000 t/yr of ammonia offtake as part of its plans to take an equity stake in the project.