Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

US tariff ruling could revive biofuel feedstock trade

  • Market: Agriculture, Biofuels, Chemicals, Emissions, Oil products
  • 29/05/25

A sweeping court ruling Wednesday against President Donald Trump's emergency tariffs could make foreign biofuel feedstock imports, which have wavered this year, more attractive.

A three-judge panel on the US Court of International Trade struck down tariffs Trump set under a little-used economic emergency law, including bilateral tariffs on China, "reciprocal" tariffs on nearly every country, and levies on some Canadian and Mexican products to combat drug trafficking. The tariffs upended global trade flows, including by making recently fast-rising inputs for renewable diesel production like Chinese used cooking oil and Brazilian beef tallow more expensive.

The trade court gave the government ten days to comply, though the Trump administration has asked for a pause on the ruling and pledged to appeal. Tariffs enacted under other laws, including sectoral tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, would remain intact. Trump could also still eye different authorities to revive his broader tariffs, which he sees as a crucial negotiating tool to counter what he has called unfair trade practices abroad.

But the court's decision, if it holds, would still be a significant barrier to Trump's efforts to rewire global trade. The US could even be required to offer refunds of emergency tariffs that have already been paid. US levies on Chinese products imposed under the emergency law at one point reached 145pc, raising fears of a protracted trade war and global economic slowdown.

Fewer options for foreign biofuel feedstocks because of tariffs also helped increase the price of domestic alternatives like US soybean oil, where futures were down 2pc in early trading Thursday, and compounded the pain for refiners struggling with major changes to biofuel tax credits. Biomass-based diesel production in the US has been down sharply this year because of all the policy shifts.

Formerly fast-rising flow

Before this year, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel producers along the US Gulf and west coasts were expanding capacity and increasingly looking abroad for inputs. Waste feedstocks like used cooking oil and beef tallow are considered lower-carbon feedstocks than crops and thus generally fetch larger government subsidies — even if sourced from abroad. The US imported nearly 5.4bn lbs of used cooking oil in 2024, a record-high and with more than half that total coming from China.

But Trump's tariffs sharply reduced the incentive to import foreign feedstocks. Duties on Chinese products have varied significantly but were last at 30pc before the court ruling, adding to existing 15.5pc charges on Chinese used cooking oil. Reciprocal tariffs of 10pc on nearly every country added new costs to Australian and Brazilian tallow too.

US import data is only available through March, before Trump imposed his most far-reaching tariffs as part of an April "Liberation Day" announcement. But global feedstock traders more recently have said that the tariffs — and the unpredictability of future policy — have made global inputs riskier. While some tariffs are eligible for duty drawbacks, creating options for biofuel producers targeting foreign markets, US imports of Chinese used cooking oil were down 27pc in the first quarter compared to the same period last year.

Other barriers remain

Even if the court ruling holds, other policies could deter US biorefineries from relying too heavily on foreign feedstocks. For one, current government guidance around a new US clean fuel tax credit prevents refiners from claiming any subsidy for road fuels derived from foreign used cooking oil. Those rules also pin the carbon intensity of canola-based fuels as too high to claim any subsidy, choking off interest in Canadian canola oil imports that had been rising significantly before this year.

And farm groups, worried that foreign feedstocks are hurting demand for US crops, are lobbying regulators and lawmakers for more severe limits. A party-line budget bill that passed the House this month would restrict clean fuel tax credit eligibility to fuels derived from North American feedstocks, a win for US oilseed crushers but a major blow to refiners reliant on foreign tallow.

While that bill still needs Senate approval and changes would only kick in next year, the proposal is a clear signal from Republicans that refiners should start looking closer to home for renewable diesel inputs.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
23/06/25

US refiners boost jet production despite clouds

US refiners boost jet production despite clouds

Houston, 23 June (Argus) — Some US refiners are boosting jet fuel production despite tariff-related economic uncertainties that could affect travel demand. Marathon Petroleum, one of the largest US independent refiners, is spending millions to increase jet fuel capacity at its 253,000 b/d Robinson refinery in Illinois. The project will increase the refinery's flexibility to optimise jet output to meet growing demand, chief executive Maryann Mannen says. The company plans to spend $150mn on the project this year and another $50mn in 2026. Marathon would not disclose the planned jet capacity at the refinery but says the project will be ready by the end of 2026. Another independent refiner, CVR Energy, is increasing jet capacity at its Coffeyville, Kansas, refinery. The company is installing piping and revamping storage tanks at the 132,000 b/d facility to enable 9,000 b/d of jet output by the end of the third quarter, chief executive David Lamp says. Jet production is not subject to a Renewable Volume Obligation, which means that CVR would not need to blend biofuels into it or purchase renewable identification number (RIN) credits as it would if producing diesel. Shifting production from diesel to jet will reduce CVR's annual RINs requirements, Lamp says. At the same time, the opportunity to sell products to markets further west, where two major refineries are set to close, will continue to grow over the next few years, with jet being an important part of the mix, he says. Phillips 66 plans to shut its 139,000 b/d Los Angeles refinery by October, while independent Valero aims to close or repurpose its 145,000 b/d Benicia, California, refinery by April 2026. CVR has the capability to move products from the midcontinent to California but would need to weigh the potential benefits against the political, regulatory and cost environment in the state and, as a result, may favour other locations, it tells Argus . CVR at present produces jet at its 74,500 b/d Wynnewood, Oklahoma, refinery, shipping it primarily by truck or pipeline to midcontinent locations, but it can also move jet by rail. Another independent, Delek, has upgraded its 83,000 b/d El Dorado, Arkansas, refinery to produce jet as part of a plan to boost profitability. The company did not disclose how much jet the refinery can produce. The investments come after US refineries produced a record share of jet in 2024, reflecting higher demand relative to other transport fuels, according to the EIA. The EIA in its most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts that US jet demand will average 1.71mn b/d in 2025 and 1.73mn b/d in 2026, up from 1.7mn b/d last year. But US airlines are signalling an uncertain outlook for jet demand, with most withdrawing full-year 2025 financial guidance when reporting first-quarter earnings, as President Donald Trump's evolving tariff plans have made it difficult to predict how travel activity will develop. SAF conduct Refiners nevertheless appear bullish on aviation fuels, including renewables. Specialty refiner Calumet will expand sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) output at its Montana plant sooner than expected — reaching 120mn-150mn USG/yr by the second quarter of 2026, with plans to boost capacity to 300mn USG/yr by 2028. SAF margins have remained "stable and attractive", as the introduction of national mandates around the world compliment an already growing base of voluntary demand, chief executive Todd Borgmann says. US independent Par Pacific's planned $90mn renewable fuels facility at its 94,000 b/d Kapolei, Hawaii, refinery, is near completion. The project will produce SAF and other products, and is expected to start up in the second half of 2025. By Eunice Bridges US jet fuel demand Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Russia condemns US strikes, offers Iran support


23/06/25
News
23/06/25

Russia condemns US strikes, offers Iran support

London, 23 June (Argus) — Russia has condemned US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities but said they will not affect Moscow's dialogue with Washington. "This is an absolutely unprovoked aggression against Iran. It has no basis or justification," state news agency Tass quoted President Vladimir Putin as saying during a meeting in Moscow with Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araqchi. Earlier today, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov also criticised the strikes and expressed "deep regret" over the escalating conflict in the Middle East. "There has been an increase in the number of participants in this conflict, a new round of escalation of tensions in the region. And of course, we condemn this and express deep regret in this regard," Peskov said, according to Tass. Despite the tensions, Peskov said the US strikes would not affect Russia's bilateral dialogue with Washington, describing the two processes as "independent". He also raised concerns about potential radiation risks from the attacks. "We need to find out what happened to these nuclear facilities and whether there is a radiation hazard," he said, while noting that the UN nuclear watchdog, the IAEA, had reported no signs of contamination so far. Peskov said Russia is ready to support Iran, depending on Tehran's needs. "We have offered our mediation efforts. This is specific," he said. "Everything depends on what Iran needs." Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Iran raises Hormuz closure threat after US strikes


23/06/25
News
23/06/25

Iran raises Hormuz closure threat after US strikes

Dubai, 23 June (Argus) — A senior Iranian lawmaker says parliament has concluded that the strait of Hormuz "should be closed" in response to US airstrikes on three nuclear sites early Sunday — a move that would severely disrupt global oil flows. Esmaeil Kowsari — a member of the national security and foreign policy commission, and a former high-ranking commander in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) — told state-owned Press TV that lawmakers had reached a consensus that closure would be the appropriate response. Argus understands that while members of parliament were all in agreement, the issue was not formally put to a vote. Kowsari said the final decision lies with the Supreme National Security Council, Iran's top security body. His comments have drawn global attention as markets await Iran's response to the strikes, which US president Donald Trump ordered against nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The Fordow site is heavily fortified and located underground. The Natanz facility had already been targeted by Israeli strikes, prompting a series of retaliatory missile and drone exchanges between Iran and Israel. Iranian officials, including supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had repeatedly warned Washington that any direct military action would trigger a response causing "irreparable" harm to the US. . Variety of options The strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil transit route, with around 17mn b/d of crude and refined products — roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil trade — passing through it. Iran has repeatedly threatened to close the strait in past confrontations but has never followed through. It has, however, previously targeted or seized vessels transiting the waterway, prompting some shipowners to consider alternative routes. Closure of the strait is one of several retaliatory options regularly floated by Iranian political and military leaders. Others include military strikes on US bases across the Mideast Gulf. The US maintains installations in Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Iraq. Asked whether closing the strait was under consideration, Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araqchi declined to confirm, saying only that "there are a variety of options available to us". Araqchi travelled to Moscow late on Sunday and is expected to meet Russian president Vladimir Putin on Monday. Moscow has condemned the US strikes. Ali Akbar Velayati, a long-time adviser to Khamenei, also issued a veiled threat to Washington, saying: "West Asia is not Greenland, and the strait of Hormuz is fundamentally different from the Panama Canal." The comment referenced earlier threats by Trump to assert US control over Greenland and the Panama Canal during the early days of his second term. US secretary of state Marco Rubio warned that any attempt by Iran to close the strait would be "a terrible mistake." "It's economic suicide for them if they do it, and we retain options to deal with that," he said. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Cattle placements into US feedlots fall in May


23/06/25
News
23/06/25

Cattle placements into US feedlots fall in May

Sydney, 23 June (Argus) — Placements of cattle into US feedlots during May were almost 8pc below levels a year earlier, according to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA). Fed cattle marketings fell further, contributing to a growing drop in cattle slaughtered this year. The number of cattle placed into feedlots with a capacity of thousand head or more fell to 1.89mn head, about 8pc below May last year. Total cattle and calves on feed were at 11.44mn as of 1 June, roughly the same as inventory in June 2024. Placements could continue to shrink because US feedlots face record high prices cattle prices and a ban on cattle imports from Mexico from mid-May because of the New World Screwworm outbreak. Mexico accounted for over 60pc of all cattle imports into the US last year, despite the southern border being closed from late November, USDA data show. Fed cattle marketings — or cattle leaving feedlots for processing — for May are down by 10pc on the year to 1.76mn head. Fewer cattle exiting feedlots and a smaller national herd is slowing national slaughter rates. USDA data shows commercial cattle slaughter totalled 12.54mn head in January–May, about 6pc below numbers processed in the same period last year. But the loss to beef production, which is down by only 2pc on the year over the same period, is being moderated by heavier cattle being slaughtered. Average live weights are almost 40lbs heavier over the period because cattle are being held and fed for longer. Overall beef output is forecast to fall by 2pc this year to 26,358mn lbs (11.96mn t), with the USDA revising its import estimate higher last week to 5,187mn lbs (2.35mn t) carcass weight equivalent, due in part to demand for lean trimmings. Total cow slaughter is down by 14pc on the year in January-May with cows and bulls representing a smaller share of the slaughter mix, USDA data shows. By Edward Dunlop Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Brazil's carbon market rulemaking could pick up


20/06/25
News
20/06/25

Brazil's carbon market rulemaking could pick up

Sao Paulo, 20 June (Argus) — Regulations required to put Brazil's regulated carbon emissions market into force have advanced slowly since congress passed legislation in late 2024, but this year may speed several key pieces. The government plans to gradually implement the market by 2030, even as it prepares to host the Cop 30 climate summit in Belem, Para state in the heart of the Brazilian Amazon in November. So far this year, the working group responsible for issuing the regulations that will govern the new market has met 20 times. Participants in the working group include representatives from 10 government ministries, but the finance ministry is spearheading regulations. A first round should be ready by July, the ministry said this week. The working group could define several elements in coming weeks, including clarity regarding the creation of the new agency that will oversee this market. The law stipulates that this new entity have its own technical staff and be independent from the government. "We urgently need to know who is going to be in charge of this market," Guilherme Lefevre, the director of the Getulio Vargas Foundation's sustainability center said, adding that the market needs to have a strong regulator to have credibility. For the market to move forward, Brazil also needs to create a national system for monitoring, reporting, and verification of greenhouse gas emissions. "Brazil still does not have this system, which is fundamental for the development of the regulated carbon market," Lefevre said. This system will underpin the national emissions allocation plan, which will grant companies emission quotas, which can be traded. The law requires companies that emit over 10,000 metric tonnes (t) of CO2 equivalent (tCO2e/yr) to report their emissions and companies with over 25,0000 tCO2e/yr in emissions to participate in the cap-and-trade system that will go into effect when the new carbon market begins operating completely in 2030. "So far, roughly 600 companies have reported their emissions and a total of around 5,000 companies will need to do so to comply with the market requirements," Laura Albuquerque, chief climate officer at Future Climate consultancy said. She added that that while companies in some sectors, such as steel and pulp and paper are already more prepared for the market, others are behind and are working to understand the extent to which the new market represents a risk or an opportunity. The government is also in a race against time to show progress towards creating the new market ahead of the November Cop 30 meeting, when it plans to launch an initiative that will integrate the Brazilian carbon market with markets in the EU, China and California. The goal is to use this coalition of carbons markets as a test case for a future, global carbon market. Not a silver bullet While the creation of a regulated carbon market is an important element of Brazil's decarbonization efforts, it is only part of the plan to meet its emissions-reduction targets. Compared with other countries, industry represents a small share of total emissions. In 2023 — the most recent year with available data — non-agricultural industry only accounted for just 4pc of Brazil's total emissions. Still, because the law permits companies on the regulated market to purchase a share of their credits from the voluntary market, tropical forest protection and restoration projects will also benefit. With Cop 30 leadership pushing for the next gathering to put into effect what has been agreed at previous summits, Brazil will likely feel pressure to advance more quickly on his own initiatives. Brazil's CO2 equivalent emissions by sector, 2023 mn t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more