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ExxonMobil signals return to Iraq with Majnoon pact

  • Market: Crude oil
  • 08/10/25

ExxonMobil has signed a preliminary agreement with Iraq's oil ministry to help develop upstream assets, including the 240,000 b/d Majnoon field in the south. The deal aligns with Iraq's goal of raising its crude production capacity to 6mn b/d by 2029, up from around 5mn b/d today.

The Heads of Agreement was signed in Baghdad following a meeting between Iraq's prime minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and ExxonMobil senior vice-president Peter Larden.

"During the meeting… the prime minister said the agreement represents an important step for the future of Iraq's oil sector, and for the strengthening of economic relations with the US," al-Sudani's office said in a statement on social media platform X.

The agreement covers not only Majnoon's development, but also efforts to boost recovery rates at Iraqi fields and plans to modernise oil export infrastructure.

It paves the way for ExxonMobil's return to Iraq's upstream sector, after its exit in late 2023 following a protracted process to sell its stake in the 470,000 b/d West Qurna-1 project.

ExxonMobil entered into an agreement with third parties to sell its 32.7pc stake in the project back in January 2021. But Iraq blocked the sale, prompting the company to file an arbitration case with the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC).

The firm eventually managed to sell 10pc to Indonesia's Pertamina in February 2023 and the remaining 22.7pc to Iraq's state-owned Basrah Oil in November of that year.

Baghdad seeks upstream revival

Today's agreement reflects Baghdad's renewed efforts to draw international oil firms back to its upstream sector, following the departure of several big players in the 2010s, including US independent Occidental and Shell.

BP also considered exiting the 1.5mn b/d Rumaila project, Iraq's largest producing oil field, but stayed after Baghdad approved a 2021 plan to spin off its Rumaila business into a separate entity.

Al-Sudani reiterated Baghdad's "keen interest in co-operating with major companies, particularly American ones, to operate and develop key fields, like Majnoon," his office said today.

TotalEnergies was the first mover of the new era, signing a long-delayed $27bn deal with Iraq in July 2023 to develop a multi-energy project that includes oil redevelopment, gas capture to reduce flaring, a seawater treatment facility, and a solar power plant to support Iraq's energy transition.

In February this year, BP agreed a deal with Iraq to redevelop several fields in the country's Kirkuk region in the north. And in August, Chevron signed a preliminary agreement to develop four oil and gas exploration blocks in Nasiriya in the south, and the Balad oil field, among others.


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10/11/25

Blending raises WTI quality concerns

Blending raises WTI quality concerns

Houston, 10 November (Argus) — Rising levels of natural gas liquids (NGLs) and corrosive additives are being blended into Permian light sweet WTI crude, prompting concerns about inconsistent quality in the absence of an agreed market standard. NGLs and other additives are being blended into WTI early in the production process as part of efforts to maintain profitability in the face of lower crude prices and rising production costs. But the higher NGL levels being blended upstream are increasingly causing problems downstream. One key problem is the lack of an acknowledged market standard for the amount of butane allowed in Permian WTI, participants heard at a Crude Oil Quality Association (COQA) meeting in San Antonio, Texas, in early October. Since NGLs occur naturally, it is also difficult to determine where the additional volumes are being introduced along the delivery line, conference participants heard. COQA efforts in the past led to industry adoption of light-end limits for Nymex-deliverable domestic crude and light sweet grade LLS. Elevated butane levels lighten a crude, but some refineries are not equipped to handle grades with a higher level of light-end yields, and this can lead to capacity bottlenecks at their processing units. Crude blended with NGLs can also take up more pipeline space relative to standard crude. Mercaptans — naturally occurring sulphur compounds — have also become a quality concern, although there is a lack of consensus on how the problem is arising. Mercaptans are harder to treat and remove than other impurities, pose corrosion risks and damage refinery catalysts. High mercaptan levels can make it harder to produce lighter products that meet quality specifications. The jet fuel produced can exceed the regulated maximum amount of sulphur. WTI volumes accepted in the North Sea Dated benchmark-setting process have a mercaptans limit of 75ppm. A US-wide standard has yet to be adopted, although some US pipelines from the Permian use the 75ppm limit to better align standards, including Plains' 600,000 b/d Epic and Phillips 66's 900,000 b/d Gray Oak to Corpus Christi lines. Plains recently informed shippers that it will charge a 50¢/bl premium if WTI mercaptans exceed the 75ppm limit on its lines. WTI intended for export also has to meet stricter quality specifications in relation to several metals and has an upper limit for Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP), which can be affected by increased NGLs blending. Variability in gravity, sulphur, mercaptans, metals and RVP levels can undermine export demand for WTI. Zinc contamination Quality issues are not limited to WTI. Elevated zinc levels in offshore US Gulf medium sour Mars led to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve having to provide a crude loan to ExxonMobil. The problem also contributed to the widest discounts for Mars against Nymex-quality WTI since December. Chevron found that the quality problem was connected to the start-up of a new offshore well, but not before the contamination had disrupted trade. The Shell-operated Mars pipeline system comingles crude from a variety of deepwater US Gulf oil fields, which it carries into the Mars stream. Reports of unexpected wax content in onshore US crude also suggest that Uinta Basin crude is sometimes entering the onshore mix. Uinta Basin crude contains high levels of paraffin and is mostly transported by rail because otherwise it needs to be moved in heated pipelines. As crude prices soften, Permian wells mature and drilling shifts to less optimal rock formations, some quality variability seems likely and blending may increase, which could present more problems for refiners in the future. By Amanda Smith and Mykah Briscoe Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Petrobras increases spending by 24pc in 3Q: Update


07/11/25
News
07/11/25

Petrobras increases spending by 24pc in 3Q: Update

Updates with investment plans in paras 3-4 and explorations plans in paras 8-9 Rio de Janeiro, 7 November (Argus) — Brazilian state-controlled Petrobras' investments increased by 24pc in the third quarter from a year earlier, as the firm continues to focus on production in the offshore pre-salt. Petrobras spent $5.5bn in capital expenditure (capex) in July-September, of which $4.7bn was for exploration and production. Of this investment in exploration and production, $2.7bn went to developing production of the pre-salt cluster in the Santos basin, particularly the construction of seven new floating production, storage and offloading units that will serve the Buzios, Atapu and Sepia fields. A further $900mn went to developing production in the Campos basin's pre- and post-salt, and $500mn went to exploration. Total investments over the first nine months of the year were $14bn, a 29pc increase on the same period last year. The company has speeded up investment execution due to projects being brought forward, rather than higher costs, and is on track to meet guidance by year's end, directors said. Capex guidance for 2025 as outlined in Petrobras' 2025-2029 business plan is $18.5bn. The firm is due to present an updated plan at the end of November. There are no plans to cut investments next year, said the director for engineering, technology and innovation, Renata Baruzzi. Petrobras posted a profit of R32.7bn ($6bn) in the third quarter, a 0.5pc increase on the same quarter last year and 23pc more than in the previous quarter. Higher crude production as well as stronger crude exports and domestic sales of diesel drove the third quarter result, Petrobras said. It also cited a small rallying of oil prices, with the price of Brent growing by 2pc compared with the second quarter, and lower operational costs, as contributing factors. The company's board approved a payout of R12.16bn ($2.3bn) to shareholders, or R0.9432/share, down from R1.3282/share a year earlier. Dividends will be paid in two installments, in February and March. Exploration going forward Petrobras celebrated receiving regulatory approval last month to drill an exploratory well in the Foz do Amazonas basin off Brazil's northern coast. This is the most coveted area in the equatorial margin, a new oil frontier which could contain reserves similar to those found off Guyana. The company hopes to find oil in this first well, named Morpho, but if not it will continue exploration, director for exploration and production Sylvia Anjos said. "We are already planning for eight wells in the region," she said. By Constance Malleret Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Opec+ eight apply brakes to output rises


07/11/25
News
07/11/25

Opec+ eight apply brakes to output rises

London, 7 November (Argus) — Eight core Opec+ members have put the brakes on their monthly production increases, giving them time to assess the impact of new US sanctions on Russia. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Russia, the UAE, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan will make one last production target increase worth 137,000 b/d in December before pausing the hikes in January-March. The pause ends nine consecutive months of production target increases, during which the eight have fully unwound a 2.2mn b/d set of cuts and in October started to unwind another set of cuts worth 1.65mn b/d. The group has agreed to three monthly increases worth a combined 411,000 b/d up to December, leaving 1.24mn b/d to unwind. The eight officially attributed the pause to "seasonality", referring to expectations of lower oil demand in the first quarter of 2026. But more importantly, the pause will allow them to gauge the impact of recent US sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil. Whether Russia can maintain its crude output and exports under the new restrictions remains uncertain. If Rosneft and Lukoil cannot find workarounds to the sanctions and buyers for their crude, they may have to start reducing production. In such an event, Opec+ may feel the need to step in to replace lost Russian output. "I think everyone is monitoring the Russia sanctions and it's difficult for them to actually predict how those sanctions will go," trading firm Mercuria's chief executive Marco Dunand says. "I think they are pausing because there is a lot of oil on the water... I think it's about 60mn bl, but I'm not sure." The eight countries said their decision reflects a "cautious approach", but they reiterated their "full flexibility" to accelerate, pause or reverse the monthly output hikes, depending on market conditions. "The group wants to adopt a more cautious approach, exactly like it did at the beginning of 2025, when it decided to delay the unwinding process of the initial 2.2mn b/d voluntary cut until April," one delegate told Argus. No consensus But views on the oil market remain sharply divided. The IEA forecasts a significant supply surplus in the fourth quarter and in 2026, while Opec expects a more balanced market, underpinned by strong demand this year and next. Speaking at the Adipec conference in Abu Dhabi, UAE energy minister Suhail al-Mazrouei said he "can't see or justify" an oversupply scenario. "All of what we are seeing is more demand," he said. European oil majors are also divided on market fundamentals. While Shell chief executive Wael Sawan sees a "highly credible scenario" for oversupply in 2026, BP and TotalEnergies have pushed back against a near-term oil glut , arguing that demand remains resilient and non-Opec+ supply growth is likely to taper off next year. "The determination of what happens really sits around three factors — Opec+ choices, China's stockpiling behaviour and the sanctions environment," BP chief executive Murray Auchincloss says. Oil prices rebounded from multi-month lows of around $60/bl after the US unveiled its sanctions on 22 October, with Ice front-month Brent now around $65/bl. But this is still below where many Opec+ members would prefer. Production by the eight members had increased by 2.1mn b/d in October from when they started unwinding their cuts in April, according to Argus estimates. Production by the 18 members of the alliance that adhere to output targets rose by 30,000 b/d on the month to 36.2mn b/d in October — the group's highest production since April 2023 (see table). By Aydin Calik, Nader Itayim and Bachar Halabi Opec+ crude production mn b/d Oct Sep* Oct target† ± target Opec 9 23.05 22.95 23.19 -0.14 Non-Opec 9 13.15 13.22 13.27 -0.12 Total Opec+ 18 36.20 36.17 36.46 -0.26 *revised †includes extra cuts agreed in Apr 23 and Nov 23 Opec wellhead production mn b/d Oct Sep* Oct target† ± target Saudi Arabia 10.01 9.98 10.02 -0.01 Iraq 4.11 4.08 4.24 -0.13 Kuwait 2.57 2.52 2.56 +0.01 UAE 3.36 3.38 3.39 -0.03 Algeria 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.01 Nigeria 1.52 1.51 1.50 +0.02 Congo (Brazzaville) 0.26 0.25 0.28 -0.02 Gabon 0.21 0.21 0.18 +0.03 Equatorial Guinea 0.04 0.05 0.07 -0.03 Opec 9 23.05 22.95 23.19 -0.14 Iran 3.39 3.45 na na Libya 1.32 1.37 na na Venezuela 1.00 1.05 na na Total Opec 12^ 28.76 28.82 na na *revised †includes extra cuts agreed in Apr 23 and Nov 23 ^Iran, Libya and Venezuela are exempt from production targets Non-Opec crude production mn b/d Oct Sep* Oct target† ± target Russia 9.41 9.37 9.49 -0.08 Oman 0.80 0.79 0.80 -0.00 Azerbaijan 0.45 0.44 0.55 -0.10 Kazakhstan 1.68 1.83 1.56 +0.12 Malaysia 0.36 0.36 0.40 -0.04 Bahrain 0.18 0.18 0.20 -0.02 Brunei 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.02 Sudan 0.01 0.02 0.06 -0.05 South Sudan 0.16 0.15 0.12 +0.04 Total non-Opec 13.15 13.22 13.27 -0.12 *revised †includes extra cuts agreed in Apr 23 and Nov 23 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Petrobras increases spending by 24pc in 3Q


07/11/25
News
07/11/25

Petrobras increases spending by 24pc in 3Q

Rio de Janeiro, 7 November (Argus) — Brazilian state-controlled Petrobras' investments increased by 24pc in the third quarter from a year earlier, as the firm continues to focus on production in the offshore pre-salt. Petrobras spent $5.5bn in capital expenditure (capex) in July-September, of which $4.7bn was for exploration and production. Of this investment in exploration and production, $2.7bn went to developing production of the pre-salt cluster in the Santos basin, particularly the construction of seven new floating production, storage and offloading units that will serve the Buzios, Atapu and Sepia fields. A further $900mn went to developing production in the Campos basin's pre- and post-salt, and $500mn went to exploration. Total investments over the first nine months of the year were $14bn, a 29pc increase on the same period last year. Capex guidance for 2025 as outlined in Petrobras' 2025-2029 business plan is $18.5bn. Petrobras posted a profit of R32.7bn ($6bn) in the third quarter, a 0.5pc increase on the same quarter last year and 23pc more than in the previous quarter. Higher crude production as well as stronger crude exports and domestic sales of diesel drove the third quarter result, Petrobras said. It also cited a small rallying of oil prices, with the price of Brent growing by 2pc compared with the second quarter, and lower operational costs, as contributing factors. The company's board approved a payout of R12.16bn ($2.3bn) to shareholders, or R0.9432/share, down from R1.3282/share a year earlier. Dividends will be paid in two installments, in February and March. By Constance Malleret Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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MEG shareholders approve Cenovus deal


06/11/25
News
06/11/25

MEG shareholders approve Cenovus deal

Calgary, 6 November (Argus) — MEG Energy shareholders today approved selling the Canadian oil sands producer to larger rival Cenovus Energy, clearing the way for the merger to close by year-end. The vote in favor of the cash-and-stock deal that values MEG at about C$8.6bn ($6.2bn) brings an end to a lengthy pursuit of the oil sands company by Cenovus and Strathcona Resources. All three companies are based in Calgary, Alberta. The deal was approved by "more than 86pc of the votes," MEG board chair James McFarland said during Thursday's shareholders meeting. Two-thirds support was required for the transaction to go through. Cenovus is among the largest oil sands producers and will grow to 750,000 b/d of output in the region after acquiring MEG's 110,000 b/d Christina Lake asset. Cenovus' neighbouring Christina Lake project to the southwest is one of the biggest oil sands projects in the industry at about almost 250,000 b/d. Cenovus's overall third quarter production came in at 833,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d), including production outside of the oil sands region. Cenovus executives plan to increase output at MEG's Christina Lake asset to 150,000 b/d by the end of 2028 , more than the 135,000 b/d targeted by MEG's management. Cenovus would do this by utilizing unused oil treating capacity along with adding a sixth steam generator that it has in inventory. Cenovus said it expects C$150mn in annual cost savings from the deal in the near-term, rising to C$400mn/yr in 2028 and beyond. MEG's second-largest shareholder, Strathcona Resources, put the company in play with a hostile takeover bid earlier this year before Cenovus swooped in to strike a deal. Strathcona with its 14.2pc share of MEG vowed to vote against the Cenovus-MEG deal and those votes were key with Cenovus admitting on 21 October it had come up short of the two-thirds support required. Since then, Strathcona dropped its bid and made a side deal with Cenovus to throw its support behind the proposed transaction. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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