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Mexican steel output, demand down in 2025

  • Market: Metals
  • 02/02/26

Mexican steel production, consumption, imports and exports fell in 2025 from the prior year as the market faced economic and trade policy pressures.

  • Mexico's steel market has been pressured since early 2024, when buyers largely stepped out of the market because of uncertainty driven by that June's general elections and subsequent inauguration of President Claudia Sheinbaum in October.
  • The sluggish demand was exacerbated by US President Donald Trump's election in November 2024 and his imposition of 25pc global steel import tariffs in March 2025. Those tariffs were then doubled to 50pc in June, effectively cutting out import tonnages that could not compete with domestic US pricing. As a result, Mexican steel inventories grew while demand waned, without the country's biggest export outlet.
  • Full-year production fell by 8.1pc to 16.84mn metric tonnes (t) in 2025 from 2024, according to the latest data from steel chamber Canacero.
  • The most-produced products in 2025 were rebar, hot-rolled coil (HRC) and hot-dipped galvanized (HDG).
  • Full-year consumption in 2025 fell by 10pc to 25mn t from the prior year. The most-consumed products were HDG, HRC and cold-rolled coil.
  • Total Mexican steel exports fell by 21pc to 2.4mn t in 2025 from the prior year. Exports to the US fell by 33pc to 1.56mn t — largely due to the tariffs — while Canadian and Guatemalan imports from Mexico grew by 61pc to 190,000t and by 38pc to 99,000t, respectively.
  • Total Mexican steel imports fell by 16pc to 10.5mn t in the same period and imports from the US fell by 4pc to 3.88mn t.

Mexican finished steel000s of metric tonnes, except ±%
20252024Difference±%
Production
Rebar3,7583,861-103-2.7%
Hot-rolled coil (HRC)3,3833,739-356-9.5%
Hot-dipped galvanized (HDG)3,0823,402-320-9.4%
Total*16,84018,333-1493-8.1%
Consumption
HDG4,4654,616-151-3.3%
HRC4,3955,122-727-14.2%
Cold-rolled coil (CRC)4,1324,877-745-15.3%
Total24,97327,781-2808-10.1%
Imports by country
US3,8844,064-180-4.4%
Japan1,6671,819-152-8.4%
South Korea1,6391,969-330-16.8%
Imports by product
Alloyed1,9381,912261.4%
HDG1,5421,693-151-8.9%
CRC1,2531,782-529-29.7%
Total10,53712,512-1975-15.8%
Exports by country
US1,5612,331-770-33%
Canada1901187261%
Guatemala99722737.5%
Exports by product
Seamless tube655713-58-8.1%
Wire294327-33-10.1%
Tube with seams ≤ 406.4 mm257337-80-23.7%
Total2,4043,065-661-21.6%

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