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Iran downplays latest US overture

  • Market: Crude oil, Fertilizers, Freight, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 29/10/26

Iran has confirmed receiving a diplomatic missive from US vice president JD Vance but is restating its conditions for allowing free navigation through the strait of Hormuz.

Neither Tehran nor Washington disclosed the content of Vance's letter or explained its timing. President Donald Trump on Wednesday presented the message as Vance's initiative, which, Trump said, had to do with providing "help with medical supplies and various things".

Vance addressed his letter to Iran's supreme national security council secretary Mohsen Rezaei, according to Iranian news agency Tasnim. Rezaei has yet to respond to the letter, but Tehran would insist on the US' consent to the conditions set for allowing free navigation through Hormuz, said Tasnim, which is affiliated with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Iran's conditions effectively restate, and demand implementation, of the concessions Trump agreed to in June under a briefly-lived Memorandum of Understanding with Iran. Tehran is eyeing repatriation of frozen Iranian assets in foreign banks, the lifting of the US naval blockade and broad sanctions relief.

The Trump administration appears to believe that those concessions are no longer plausible. The US naval blockade has chocked off Iran's crude exports since mid-July. A US military-assisted campaign has increased the flow of oil through Hormuz.

But the US-sponsored maritime oil transporting operation has significantly increased freight and insurance costs for the tankers that do make it to the Gulf of Oman without being hit by Iran.

The US military on Wednesday warned commercial vessels to plan for additional transit times near the strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman as military forces step up the blockade of Iranian ports and coastlines.

Tehran says it has reasons to be wary of any diplomatic overtures from the US. Both in June 2025 and February 2026, US diplomatic outreach to Tehran set the scene for US military strikes against Iran.

The White House may feel less constrained over resuming large-scale hostilities with Iran after the midterms elections, as Trump has indicated. Israel held a parliamentary election on 27 October, with interim results signaling that prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu could to remain in office in the near term, at least in a caretaker capacity.

But "I don't see any possibility of what President Trump is looking for, which is a knockout punch that will essentially force the Iranians into a compromise or capitulation", Washington-based Carnegie Endowment senior fellow Karim Sadjadpour said last week.


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