• 14 June 2024
  • Market: Agriculture

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18/06/26

Argus lifts Ukraine wheat output forecast for 2026-27

Argus lifts Ukraine wheat output forecast for 2026-27

Kyiv, 18 June (Argus) — Argus has revised up its 2026-27 Ukrainian wheat production forecast to 24.1mn t after a virtual crop tour showed stronger yield potential in southern and eastern regions. The new estimate is 3.4pc up from 2025-26 production and up from the 23.2mn t forecast in April. The nationwide yield is expected to be 4.73 t/ha, up by 6.3pc from the five-year average and 3.7pc higher on the year. The harvest area forecast is unchanged at 5.1mn ha. Projected output is also above the 22mn t average of the past four seasons. The yield outlook is brighter than for last year, which was dimmed by drought in southern and eastern Ukraine. Better crop establishment and ample spring rain supported gains in regions including Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk. Yield prospects in central and western Ukraine remain robust and near record levels, reflecting stable conditions throughout the growing cycle. Lower-than-average spring temperatures and recent rainfall slowed development in central and western areas. The bulk of the harvest there is expected to start on 10 July — about a week later than usual. Harvesting in southern Ukraine is likely to stay on schedule for a late-June start. The Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Centre forecasts unstable weather, with thunderstorms and heavy showers, across northern, western and central regions on 20-30 June. Humid conditions will maintain soil moisture for crops such as corn, but excessive rain during the grain-filling stage raises the risk of lodging and fungal disease. With reports of lower nitrogen use in some areas, high humidity could increase the share of feed-grade wheat at harvest. By Alexey Yeromin Historical wheat production and yield in Ukraine mn t, t/ha Historical wheat harvested area in Ukraine mn ha Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil’s central bank cuts target rate to 14.25pc


17/06/26
News
17/06/26

Brazil’s central bank cuts target rate to 14.25pc

Sao Paulo, 17 June (Argus) — Brazil's central bank lowered its target rate by a quarter point to 14.25pc today in its fourth meeting of 2026, while ongoing uncertainty over the Mideast Gulf war continues to weigh on the outlook. The decision to lower the rate, announced on Wednesday, followed similar 0.25pc cuts in March and April . Domestically, economic activity appears to be recovering from the previous quarter, and the labor market shows signs of resilience, the central bank's monetary committee Copom said. Despite inflation risks continuing to be higher than usual, the committee decided to maintain its cutting trajectory, it said. In the US, Federal Reserve policymakers kept the target rate unchanged Wednesday for a fourth meeting this year while penciling in a possible rate hike by the end of the year. Brazil's headline inflation accelerated to an annual 4.72pc in May . Inflation expectations, as calculated by the bank's Focus survey, remain above target at 5.3pc for 2026 and 4.1pc for 2027. Economic growth slowed to an annual 1.8pc in the first quarter, according to official statistics agency data. For full-year 2025, GDP growth slowed to 2.3pc from 3.4pc in 2024 By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Asia, Europe drive Brazil's ethanol demand: Panel


16/06/26
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16/06/26

Asia, Europe drive Brazil's ethanol demand: Panel

Sao Paulo, 16 June (Argus) — Asian and European markets have been driving increasing demand for Brazilian ethanol, including for new market opportunities beyond road fuels, panelists said at the Argus Biofuels and Feedstocks Latin America conference in Sao Paulo on Tuesday. Global demand for ethanol from top biofuel producers Brazil and the US has grown on rising blend mandates in Asian countries such as Vietnam and India and higher fuel supply risks because of the war in the Middle East, Brazilian corn ethanol producer FS' commercial director Paulo da Cunha said. While US ethanol mostly heads to Asia and UK, there is a growing demand for Latin American — especially Brazilian — ethanol in Europe that could rise even more thanks to the recently adopted Mercosur-EU free trade agreement , Paraguayan corn ethanol firm Inpasa's trading director Renato Zicardi said. Brazil's domestic market isinvesting to supply sectors other than road transport, including the alcohol-to-jet route for sustainable aviation fuel and ethanol-fueled vessels, Cunha said. The International Maritime Organization has approved a corn-ethanol route for maritime transport, Zicardi said. Corn- and sugarcane-based ethanol complement each other and are not competitors, further supporting demand, Cunha said. The maturity and diversity of financing sources in Brazil for ethanol projects should help the sector develop in coming years without major hurdles, Spain-based bank Santander's project finance director Marcelo Sahatdjian said. By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil corn: Export market mulls


15/06/26
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15/06/26

Brazil corn: Export market mulls

Sao Paulo, 15 June (Argus) — Brazil's export market continues to receive few price indications, as demand remains scarce and uncertainty weighs further on negotiations. The end-day levels for most offers and bids received for the Brazilian Santos/Tubarao and Barcarena/Itaqui cargo markets remained flat from Friday's closing levels, reflecting the lack of active sellers and buyers. The few price variations on Monday account for returns of previously absent market participants. Demand for the Brazilian grain is at a halt, with importers prioritizing the cheaper Argentinian product. In the meantime, sellers maintain prices at higher levels on elevated operational costs. Activity has quietened further following the announcement of a peace deal between the US and Iran. Market participants worry about how prices and demand will behave afterwards and prefer to keep the market at bay until there is more definition. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Algeria seeks milling wheat for loading in August


15/06/26
News
15/06/26

Algeria seeks milling wheat for loading in August

London, 15 June (Argus) — Algerian state grains buyer OAIC is looking to buy 50,000t of milling wheat for loading in August, in a tender closing this week. The buyer requested offers for wheat loading in August if from European and North American origins and one month earlier if loading from South America, India or Australia. This is OAIC's first large ports milling wheat tender since 8 May , when it booked at least 390,000t of wheat for shipment in July. Traders successful in this tender will likely look to the Black Sea's incoming new crop of wheat to ship to Algeria. By Erik Metaliaj Grains, oilseeds and veg oils tenders Buyer Issued Closes Status Cargo Shipment/delivery Price Seller Notes Algeria's OAIC 15-Jun Open 50,000t milling wheat August cfr Jordan's MIT 11-Jun 17-Jun Open 100,000-120,000t feed barley September-October cfr Aqaba Jordan's MIT 10-Jun 15-Jun Closed 100,000-120,000t milling wheat September-October cfr Aqaba Bangladesh's DGF 9-Jun 24-Jun Open 50,000t milling wheat 25 days after contract award cif liner out Jordan's MIT 4-Jun 10-Jun Cancelled 100,000-120,000t feed barley August-September cfr Aqaba Jordan's MIT 3-Jun 9-Jun Closed 60,000t milling wheat 2h August $275.20/t CHS cfr Aqaba Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.