Mexico should leave IEA, eye OPEC: Pemex adviser
Mexico should end its recently acquired membership in the International Energy Agency (IEA) and instead look towards Opec, said a long-time Pemex adviser slated for a role in the state-owned company.
"We should explore the possibility of better cooperation with OPEC," Fluvio Ruiz said today at Rice University's Baker Institute.
The incoming administration of Mexico's President-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has not defined what Ruiz's role will be in Pemex, but the former Pemex board member has been outlining his proposals to "make Pemex great again" at forums in Mexico and abroad.
"I will be something in Pemex," Ruiz said. "I am not sure what yet."
Leftist Lopez Obrador and his transition team — of which Ruiz is not officially a part — have sent mixed messages about the degree of openness to private energy investment that will continue after they take office on 1 December. His predecessor Enrique Pena Nieto led a groundbreaking energy reform that ended state dominance of the energy sector. But in the five months between the general elections and inauguration, the announced policy intentions have overall moved away from Lopez Obrador's initial outright opposition to the energy reform.
The Paris-based IEA supports market-oriented policies as well as renewable energy goals. Mexico is currently participating as a non-partner in Opec's supply restraint agreement, although the Latin American country's crude output has been in decline for years.
The IEA only approved Mexico's membership in November 2017, which provides Mexico with some technical assistance from the organization and offers collaboration with other members in energy emergencies.
Mexico in 2017 reduced its carbon emission by 4pc from the prior year, the only other IEA member country to do so besides the US, Japan and the UK.
Ruiz said he supports Mexico determining more of its own energy goals without having to meet compliance with IEA membership.
He also said that he proposed Pemex marketing arm PMI being the only seller of state crude from fields operating under production-sharing agreements.
Swiss company Trafigura in December had beat out PMI in an auction to sell crude on the country's behalf for the next three years.
Ruiz said that private companies should continue to market their own share of any crude produced in Mexico as they are now, although independent crude production is still low.
Incoming energy minister Rocio Nahle is leading a review of 107 upstream contracts signed under Mexico's market opening, but Ruiz said there is another objective besides ensuring transparency.
"We want to learn from the contracts that have already been given to understand what is the best model for the type of geological complexity we might see in the future," he said. Licenses, production-sharing and joint ventures could all be appropriate, depending on the conditions and terms, he said.
But he reiterated that Pemex should be allowed to select its own farm-out partners and have greater managerial and budgetary freedom, including being excluded from the central budget.
Ruiz also maintains that three oil auctions initially set for September and October but postponed until 14 February at the request of Lopez Obrador could restart next year.
Yet Ruiz acknowledged that there are different currents within the new administration.
"My sister says I always take the minority position," Ruiz joked. "Even in the new government, I am a minority."
Related news posts
USCG updates ongoing lower Mississippi restrictions
USCG updates ongoing lower Mississippi restrictions
Houston, 17 September (Argus) — The US Coast Guard (USCG) will further limit northbound movement for barges transiting the lower Mississippi River despite slightly higher water levels following Hurricane Francine's landfall late last week. The USCG announced on 16 September that all northbound traffic traveling from Tunica, Mississippi, to Tiptonville, Tennessee, can only have five barges wide and only four of those can be loaded. Barges also cannot be loaded deeper than 9.5ft. Any southbound traffic from Vicksburg, Mississippi, to Tunica cannot move more than seven barges wide or be drafted deeper than 10.5ft. Southbound traffic from Tiptonville to Tunica can only be six barges wide or less and cannot have a draft greater than 10ft. The USCG has updated lower Mississippi river draft restrictions about four times since the end of August, but this is the third year in a row of notable low water for the fall on the lower Mississippi river which has triggered draft restrictions to arrive more quickly than previous years. Hurricane Francine brought significant rainfall to the lower Mississippi at the end of last week . But this has not eased the minds of mariners, who anticipate the water may leave as quickly as it arrived. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
California regulator floats future LCFS linkage
California regulator floats future LCFS linkage
Monterey, 17 September (Argus) — California would welcome bringing US low-carbon fuel standard (LCFS) programs together in a common market, one of the state's top regulators said on Tuesday. Such a linkage is unlikely to occur in the near future, but California Air Resources Board (CARB) deputy executive director Rajinder Sahota said it is something worth pursuing. "I totally think we should link our LCFS programs," she said at the Argus North American Biofuels, LCFS and Carbon Markets Summit in Monterey, California. Sahota said California and other LCFS states are working on a system that could allow the trading of compliance credits between companies covered by each program, but did not provide any other details. Her comments mark a change in tenor from CARB, which historically has said a linkage would be difficult given the differing starting points and carbon intensity targets of each program. Oregon's Clean Fuels Program (CFP) started five years after California's LCFS, while Washington launched its Clean Fuel Standard just last year. New Mexico is working on its own program that will begin by 2026. Oregon and Washington regulators at the conference said there have not been any formal discussions about a linkage, but did not completely dismiss the idea, highlighting the close informal coordination between the states. "All puzzles can be solved eventually," said Bill Peters, interim director of the CFP. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
California still eyeing 2025 start to LCFS changes
California still eyeing 2025 start to LCFS changes
Monterey, 17 September (Argus) — California regulators plan to propose changes to the state's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) in coming days in hopes of ensuring updates to the program take effect in early 2025. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) will soon issue a new rulemaking package for a 15-day public comment period, Rajinder Sahota, the agency's deputy executive officer, said today at the Argus North American Biofuels, LCFS & Carbon Markets Summit in Monterey, California. "We will be working very hard to ensure we have the targets in place" by 1Q, she said. On a practical level, CARB will have to adopt any amendments to the LCFS by early January or will be forced to start over. California law requires the agency to wrap up a rulemaking within 12 months of the first proposal. Sahota declined to say what changes, if any, to the most recent language would be part of the next 15-day package. The previous language included a 9pc "step down" in the carbon intensity requirement in 2025 and also contemplated a 20pc/yr cap on a company's credit generation from soybean- and canola-oil-based biodiesel or renewable diesel to begin in 2028. That new language "is coming very shortly," she said. The agency's board is scheduled to hold a hearing on the proposed changes on 8 November and could adopt the new language at that session. The LCFS requires yearly reductions in the carbon intensity of on-road transportation fuels. Fuels with scores above the targets produce deficits, which must be offset with credits generated from distribution to the market of approved, lower-carbon alternatives. California currently requires a 20pc drop in carbon intensity by 2030. The ongoing rulemaking could bump that carbon intensity reduction up to 30pc. Surging use of renewable diesel and outsized credit generation from renewable natural gas have overwhelmed deficit generation to create a glut of credits available for future compliance. LCFS credits do not expire, and 26.1mn metric tonnes of credits — 16pc more than all the new deficits generated in 2023 — were available for future compliance by the end of March. Credits fell in May to trade at $40/t, the lowest level for current quarter credits since June 2015, but have since rebounded as the CARB process has played out. But credit prices are still well below their historical highs. Argus on Monday assessed spot LCFS credits at $58/t. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Indonesia issues regulation to build energy reserves
Indonesia issues regulation to build energy reserves
A strategic energy reserve comprising stocks of LPG, oil and gasoline could be ready by 2035 under a presidential decree, writes Prethika Nair Singapore, 17 September (Argus) — Indonesia's government has issued a presidential decree outlining plans to build strategic energy reserves, including LPG, by 2035. The decree sets out the goal of establishing stockpiles amounting to 9.64mn bl of gasoline, 10.17mn bl of oil and 525,800t of LPG within the next 11 years. "The government is aware of the importance of having sufficient energy reserves to handle risks such as global oil price fluctuations, natural disasters, or supply disruptions," Indonesian agency the National Energy Council's (NEC) secretary general, Djoko Siswanto, said on 6 September. "The provision of the [reserves] will be carried out in stages until 2035, according to the country's financial capabilities." Funds for establishing the reserves will come from the state budget and other legitimate resources, he said. The NEC will oversee the regulations while the energy ministry and companies with permits in the energy sector will manage the reserves, according to Djoko. Management includes procurement of supplies from domestic production or imports, as well as investment in infrastructure and maintenance, and the use and recovery of the reserves. The location of the reserves will be based on local geology, ease of distribution, spatial planning, supporting infrastructure and the potential for crises or emergencies, and where infrastructure is not sufficient, new facilities will be built, Djoko said. Indonesia aims to reach 1mn b/d of oil production and 12bn ft³/d (124bn m³/yr) of gas production by 2030. But its oil output fell to 606,000 b/d in 2023 from 612,000 b/d in 2022, energy ministry data show. The country's LPG imports amounted to about 6mn t in 2023, energy minister Bahlil Lahadalia says. This contrasts with imports of just over 7mn t, relatively unchanged from a year earlier, Kpler data show. The country imported around 369,000 b/d of gasoline and 29,000 b/d of crude. The energy ministry in August announced plans to boost oil and gas output by reactivating up to 1,500 idle wells, drilling more than 1,000 new wells a year and increasing recovery rates at existing wells to 50pc from 30pc. Indonesia gas production Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more