EU HRC: Tightness impacting northern deliveries
Tightness in the northwest European hot-rolled coil (HRC) market means that deliveries are being delayed, and mills with more than one site are having to divert orders to different plants to ensure they are fulfilled.
One buyer that normally takes HRC from a particular site has had its orders re-routed to another plant. This disruption and extended lead times means some buyers are placing orders earlier than they had expected to ensure continuity of supply.
Other customers that moved to shorter contracts at the back end of last year have been caught out by the quick increase in prices this year, and are having to pay more than they had anticipated to secure second-quarter tonnages that they would have got at lower levels in the fourth quarter. The recent increase in apparent demand and the reduced production means that mill lead times have extended, with all major sellers now booked into April.
An automotive sub-supplier said inquiries and deliveries have increased, albeit from the very low level of last year. One service centre also alluded to brisker end-buying, but said it was unclear whether it was restocking or a genuine increase in end-use activity.
Argus' daily northwest Europe HRC index nudged up €1.75/t today to €468.75/t ($511.50/t) ex-works. One large steelmaker said €500/t ex-works was being achieved for back-to-back deals and end-users, but even €490/t ex-works was achievable for larger service centres.
While the market is tight, some are trying to withhold on purchases to ascertain the impact of the coronavirus on the market and critical end-use supply chains.
Turkish import offers have also fallen. One buyer was recently quoted €475/t cfr Antwerp from Turkey and lower levels are probably available. But Turkish sellers do not appear desperate to sell into Europe yet, with one largely off market.
Traders reported stable offers for smaller lots of HRC from Turkish mills at around $500/t fob today, but rumours about an unconfirmed deal concluded an Italian tube producer at $475/t fob for April-shipment material have shaken the market. A mill reported the alleged buyer had bid $460/t fob Turkey. Late last week, Turkish sellers were rejecting bids at $460-473/t fob, according to traders.
Market participants estimate the equivalent of the sale to be €450/t cif Italy, in line with expectations about the workable imported price considering Italian mill prices. Offers from Egypt were higher at €475-480/t cif, while India continues to be absent.
The Argus daily Italian HRC index edged down by €0.50/t to €441.25/t ex-works.
Mills in Italy are offering from their March-April delivery programmes, but prices have slipped and continue to face moderate pressure, as buyers postpone purchasing amid uncertainty. Although fundamental factors, such as reduced EU supply and stable demand, are present, the coronavirus outbreak is affecting sentiment in Europe. In addition, some expect less volatile supply from ArcelorMittal's Ilva assets to translate into buyers pushing for discounts.
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Japan's Tokyo Steel cuts sales prices on weak demand
Japan's Tokyo Steel cuts sales prices on weak demand
Shanghai, 18 September (Argus) — Japan's steel manufacturing firm Tokyo Steel said it will cut domestic steel product prices for October, marking the first full-scale price cut in over four years. The decision was driven by sluggish domestic demand and increased competition from cheaper imported steel products. Tokyo Steel will reduce prices across all product lines starting October, with steel coils and plates dropping by ¥15,000/t, shaped beams by ¥12,000/t, and tubes and deformed bars by ¥10,000/t. The company had maintained stable domestic steel prices for an extended period on the back of the steadier domestic demand and market conditions compared to the more volatile overseas market. The last price cut for deformed bars was in July 2023. Steel sales in Japan were weak during the third quarter, impacted by rising procurement costs for materials, a shortage of construction capacity, and an influx of cheaper steel products from China in the seaborne market, market participants said. A decline in profitability pushed Japanese mills to cut production costs. From 11 July to 14 September, domestic scrap prices at Tokyo Steel's Utsunomiya plant dropped by ¥12,500/t, or 23.8pc. Market sentiment in Japan remains bearish due to economic uncertainty and the strengthening of the Japanese yen. The upcoming adjustments in US monetary policy could add further volatility to exchange rates. "We may see more corrections in the Japanese domestic market," a trade source said. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
July EU HRC imports show 175,000t pullback
July EU HRC imports show 175,000t pullback
London, 17 September (Argus) — EU hot-rolled coil (HRC) imports surpassed 1.5mn t in July — a record high — as importers for the first time faced a cap to the ‘other countries' safeguard quota, which led some to purchase back-up material from other sources. More importantly, official figures show that around 175,000t were pulled back from customs clearing, likely all in Italy, after the initial quota numbers were made available in early July from Egypt, Vietnam, Japan and Taiwan. This leftover amount will likely all be custom-cleared in October, in addition to material that has arrived since July, as market participants expect importers to clear all of their HRC to avoid the risk of retroactive duties, potentially applicable from December. Imports from Taiwan, India, Turkey and Japan in July all surpassed the 200,000t mark each, with total imports from those four origins close to 900,000t, a sharp year-on-year increase. Vietnam saw volumes drop ( see table ), while South Korean imports fell by 75pc on the year to 40,379t and Serbian imports were down by 10pc to 37,437t. Hot-dipped galvanised (HDG) imports were at a record high, topping 750,000t in July, with nearly 30pc of the total from Vietnam. There has been concern in the market that the EU might start an investigation on Vietnamese HDG, as volumes have been on the increase, while suppliers are regularly the lowest-priced in the market. Plate imports were also at a record high, as EU producers are preparing to file for an investigation on some origins. Meanwhile, the increase in imports and the drop in EU demand has led producers to seek export outlets, with EU HRC exports rising on the year and on the month in July to nearly 230,000t, with the bulk going to the UK, US and Turkey. Downstream product exports also increased. By Lora Stoyanova and Colin Richardson July EU HRC imports t July y-o-y ±% Taiwan 227,892.8 8.2 India 225,558.6 134.8 Turkey 223,185.9 255.2 Japan 210,842.9 6.5 Egypt 158,625.7 31.9 Vietnam 144,202.0 -59.5 Ukraine 101,721.2 118.5 Australia 51,784.0 104.4 Saudi Arabia 40,594.8 -36.4 Total 1,565,744.2 9.1 — GTT Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US to impose 25pc tariffs on Chinese critical minerals
US to impose 25pc tariffs on Chinese critical minerals
Houston, 13 September (Argus) — The US plans to impose 25pc tariffs on Chinese minerals including indium, tantalum, chromium, cobalt and tungsten, citing China's efforts to dominate global supply chains, according to the office of the US Trade Representative (USTR). The USTR determined not to exclude any critical minerals from the proposed Section 301 tariffs. The USTR said the concentration of mining and refining capacity of these minerals in China, as well as China's effort to dominate the global supply chains for these minerals, endangers US national security and clean energy goals. The Section 301 tariffs on indium, tantalum, chromium, cobalt, and tungsten will go into effect on 27 September. Tariffs on natural graphite and permanent magnets will go into effect on 1 January 2026. China is the leading producer and exporter of indium, producing an estimated 650t in 2023, about 66pc of the global total, according to the US Geological Survey (USGS). The US imported 219 metric tonnes (t) of unwrought indium in 2023, including 10t from China. So far in 2024 the country has imported 148t, of which 45t originated in China, according to data from the US Commerce Department. Indium is primarily used globally for its electric conductivity in a variety of screens including liquid crystal displays (LCDs) as well as fiber-optic cables and other technical components. US consumption is more focused around solders and specialty alloys. The US imports more tantalum powders, alloys, and metals from China than any other country. The US imported 321t of unwrought tantalum in 2023, including 132t from China and has imported 269t between January and July 2024, including 178t from China. Tantalum is primarily used in high-temperature alloys and capacitors. Although China accounted for only 3.3pc — 79t — of global 2023 mine production, the USGS estimated the country had a world-leading 240,000t of tantalum reserves. Chromium is primarily used in stainless and heat-resistant steels. China is the world's largest producer of ferrochromium and stainless steel. The US imported 103,034t of chromium ores and concentrates in 2023, including just 10t from China. Still, the US did import 9,302t of unwrought chrome metal from China so far in 2024, which accounted for 74pc of total volumes, and US reliance on China for the metal has increased since sanctions forced Russian supplies off the table. Although China does not mine a significant amount of cobalt, it is the world's leading cobalt refiner and consumer. The US imported 18t of cobalt ores and concentrates in 2023, including 11t from China, and imported 11t between January and July 2024, including 6t from China. The US imported 1.6mn contained kilograms (ckg) of tungsten carbides in 2023, including 906,000ckg from China and imported 1mn ckg between January and July 2024, including 491,000ckg from China. Tungsten is primarily used in carbide parts for construction, metalworking, mining, and drilling applications. Tungsten is also used in specialty steel fabrication as well as in electrodes, filaments, and wires for various electrical and electronic products. By Cole Sullivan Critical Mineral Tariffs metric tonnes, t HTS Code Resource Name Imports from China, 2023 Imports from China, 2024 through July 2605.00.00 Cobalt ores and concentrates 11 6 2610.00.00 Chromium ores and concentrates 10 52 2611.00.60 Tungsten concentrates 139 46 2825.90.30 Tungsten oxides 212 19 2841.80.00 Tungstates (wolframates) 0 0 2849.90.30 Tungsten Carbide* 906,375 491,371 8101.10.00 Tungsten, powders 0 0 8103.20.00 Tantalum, unwrought 132 178 8112.92.30 Indium, unwrought; powders 10 45 Source: US Commerce Department *unit of measure is kilograms contained Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
British Steel Scunthorpe rolling may stop if BF closes
British Steel Scunthorpe rolling may stop if BF closes
London, 13 September (Argus) — British Steel's Scunthorpe rolling mills may not be able to continue operating if the last blast furnace (BF) closes. The rolling lines are powered by gas captured from the BF process. Recent furnace stability problems and the subsequent lack of gas mean the company has been intermittently operating some lines. It is currently running one BF, which it has fed with stocked raw materials. "If they shut the last blast furnace and import semis they would have to put some liquid gas solution in place and modify the reheat furnaces to be able to run on this different gas supply," a source said. The move to one furnace and reduction in gas supply has already affected availability of some products, and service centres expect tight universal channel supply in the coming months as the company opts for heavier, less lossmaking products. Production at Skinningrove and Teesside could continue, as both sites already have gas supply. But rail production at Scunthorpe would cease without any investment in gas supply. Rail is one of the more profitable businesses in the group, and also important for the wider UK as it is a major supplier to Network Rail. Some market participants are gearing up for Jingye, the Chinese owner of British Steel, to walk away. Executives from British Steel, and local politicians, are visiting China for discussions with Jingye, sources suggest. A spokesperson for British Steel refused to comment on "hypotheticals". "We are in ongoing discussions with the government about our decarbonisation plans and the future operations of our UK business. While progress continues, no final decisions have been made," the spokesperson said. A decision on the BFs could be made in the next few weeks, with them both potentially closing before Christmas, sources suggest. Speaking in Parliament earlier this week, business secretary Jonathan Reynolds said he was "heavily constrained" in his options for British Steel and operating on a shorter time window than the previous administration. The Chinese market has weakened considerably in recent months, which will have affected Jingye financially, along with all other mills, sources said. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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