South Korean nuclear restarts to help meet peak demand

  • Market: Coal, Electricity
  • 19/07/21

Returning nuclear capacity in South Korea is expected to help the country cope with a spike in seasonal temperatures and peak power demand.

Three nuclear units are expected to resume operations in the near term, according to a notice published by energy and trade ministry Motie today.

These are the 1.4GW Shin Kori 4 reactor, which has been off line because of an unplanned outage since 29 May, and the 700MW Wolsong 3 and 1GW Shin Wolsong 1 units.

Shin Wolsong 1 was expected to return from maintenance on 27 July, but instead started up yesterday and will reach full capacity by 21 July, the government said. Wolsong 3 is due to return on 23 July, as scheduled.

The Shin Kori 4 reactor is awaiting approval to restart following its outage and the completion of an inspection on 15 July and could resume operations on 21 July, the ministry said.

If these units return as planned, nuclear availability would average 16.6GW this week, from 15.5GW last week. Average July availability would be 16.2GW, down from actual generation of 18.4GW in July 2020.

The boost to nuclear availability should help to balance peak demand, but is unlikely to drastically slow the expected rise in generation from fossil fuel compared with a year earlier as power demand surges.

Daily peak power demand has averaged 77.9GW so far this month, up from 67.6GW a year earlier. Daily mean Seoul temperatures are forecast to average 28.2°C this month, which would be only the second time in 10 years that July temperatures have surpassed 28°C and higher than the 26.3°C 10-year average for the month.

Argus analysis shows that combined coal and gas-fired generation may need to rise by 6.4GW on the year to 45.6GW this month.

South Korean nuclear generation GW

Seven-day avg peak South Korean power demand GW

Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
08/05/24

New Zealand’s Genesis Energy to resume coal imports

New Zealand’s Genesis Energy to resume coal imports

Sydney, 8 May (Argus) — New Zealand's upstream firm and utility Genesis Energy plans to resume thermal coal imports later this year to feed its dual gas- and coal-fired Huntly power plant. The resumption was because of lower domestic gas production and rapidly declining coal stockpiles, and will mark the firm's first coal imports since 2022. Coal inventories at the 953MW Huntly plant, — New Zealand's largest power station by capacity and the country's only coal-fired facility — recently slipped below 500,000t, down from 624,000t at the end of March, and will fall below 350,000t by the end of the winter. This will trigger a need to purchase more coal to maintain a target operational stockpile of around 350,000t ahead of winters in 2025 and 2026, the company said on 8 May. Imports are currently the most efficient option for the quantity the company will need, with a delivery time of around three months, chief executive Malcolm Johns said. Genesis typically imports from Indonesia, the company told Argus . Gas production in New Zealand has dropped at a faster rate than expected, with major field production in April down by 33pc on the year, Genesis said. Lower gas availability typically leads to more coal burn, because the Huntly plant runs on gas and coal. This is in addition to an extended period of low hydropower inflows in recent months, which required higher thermal generation to ensure supply security. A prolonged outage at Huntly's unit 5 gas turbine between June 2023 and January 2024 also led to an even greater need for coal-fired generation, Genesis said. Biomass transition The company — which is 51pc owned by the state — is the second-largest power retailer in New Zealand, behind domestic utility Mercury, according to data from the Electricity Authority. It has a NZ$1.1bn ($659mn) programme for renewable power generation and grid-scale battery storage , which includes a potential replacement of coal with biomass at Huntly. But the transition to biomass "will take some years," Johns said. Genesis has successfully completed a biomass burn trial at Huntly last year and has collaboration agreements with potential New Zealand pellet suppliers, but there is currently no local source for the type of pellets needed for the plant. Genesis is hoping to move to formal agreements "as soon as counterparties are able". The company will not consider importing pellets, it told Argus . "We will only use biomass if we can secure a local New Zealand supply chain that is sustainable and cost-effective," it said. Domestic gas production New Zealand's three-party coalition government said separately on 8 May that the "material decline" in local gas production threatens energy security, blaming the previous Labour party-led government for "policy decisions which have disincentivised investment in gas production." The decisions — which were part of the former government's pledge to achieve a carbon-neutral economy by 2050 — led to a reduction in exploration for new gas resources since 2021, while suppressed maintenance drilling reduced production from existing gas fields, according to a joint release from energy minister Simeon Brown and resources minister Shane Jones. "Due to this significant reduction in gas production, the government has also been advised that some large gas consumers are expressing concern about their ability to secure gas contracts," the government said. Major industrial users such as Canada-based methanol producer Methanex have been forced to reduce production as a result, it noted. "We are working with the sector to increase production, and I will be introducing changes to the Crown Minerals Act to parliament this year that will revitalise the sector and increase production," Jones added. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Brazil state faces power outages after record flood


06/05/24
News
06/05/24

Brazil state faces power outages after record flood

Sao Paulo, 6 May (Argus) — Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul state is facing power outages following record floods that killed more than 80 people and forced over 130,000 people out of their homes. The extreme weather took three substations, 25 transmission lines, five hydroelectric plants and 11 power transformers off line, according to grid operator ONS. In response, ONS started importing power from neighboring Uruguay and requested that the 250MW hybrid natural gas and diesel Canoas and 345MW coal-fired Pampa Sul power plants increase power generation. Earlier today, an estimated 435,000 consumers did not have electricity. The rains affected 341 of the 497 cities in the state, where the government declared a state of emergency in 336 municipalities. The government is working to re-establish power to the state as quickly as possible, the mines and energy ministry said in a social media post. The ministry also held an emergency meeting early yesterday and today to guarantee fuel supplies in the state . State capital Porto Alegre is expected to receive more rain later this week, according to Rio Grande do Sul-based weather forecaster MetSul. Metsul warned that parts of the Porto Alegre metropolitan area could remain uninhabitable for weeks or months. Brazil's airline association Abear said that the Salgado Filho international airport will remain closed indefinitely, after the airport's runway flooded. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Indonesia’s MBAP sets lower coal output target for 2024


06/05/24
News
06/05/24

Indonesia’s MBAP sets lower coal output target for 2024

Manila, 6 May (Argus) — Indonesian coal producer Mitrabara Adiperdana (MBAP) has set a lower output target of 2.01mn t for 2024, to focus on developing its mining infrastructure. MBAP plans to improve its mining infrastructure to prepare for higher output in the next two years. It has earmarked $57.8mn for its capital expenditure this year, 49pc of which will be used for infrastructure development. This investment will allow MBAP to increase its output to 2.45mn t/yr in 2025-26, in line with its approved RKAB work plans. The firm aims to produce 2.01mn t in 2024, down by nearly 4pc from its 2023 output. The Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) has approved MBAP's target. But MBAP hopes to sell 2.3mn t of coal in 2024, up from 2.13mn t a year earlier, with sales including deliveries by its coal trading arm. Exports accounted for 73pc of the firm's total sales in 2023 and is expected to remain steady at 72-75pc this year. South Korea is expected to remain MBAP's largest market, with the country accounting for 29pc of total sales in 2023. But sales to China, which were at 18pc last year, are expected to increase this year. By Antonio delos Reyes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

India’s Adani Power raises imported coal use in Jan-Mar


06/05/24
News
06/05/24

India’s Adani Power raises imported coal use in Jan-Mar

Singapore, 6 May (Argus) — India's leading private sector utility Adani Power more than doubled its use of imported thermal coal during January-March and in the April 2023-March 2024 fiscal year to meet rising power demand. The Bombay Stock Exchange-listed firm used 5.19mn t of imported coal over January-March, more than twice that of 1.99mn t a year earlier. Domestic coal burn also rose by nearly 18pc on the year to 8.83mn t during January-March, following higher availability of local fuel and increased dispatches to utilities. Adani Power consumed 19.44mn t of imported coal over India's April 2023-March 2024 fiscal year. This was also more than double that of 7.66mn t in 2022-23. Its domestic coal burn increased by 10pc on the year to 31.72mn t in 2023-24. Higher imports came on the back of a sharp drop in seaborne prices. The Argus -assessed Indonesian GAR 4,200 kcal/kg coal averaged $57.88/t fob Kalimantan over April 2023-March 2024, down by over 31pc from an average of $84.45/t in the year earlier. The company's fuel cost stood at 3.33 rupees/kWh sold (0.04¢/kWh sold) in January-March, down from Rs5.30/kWh sold a year earlier because of lower blended fuel costs, following a decline in seaborne coal prices. Fuel cost for 2023-24 stood at Rs3.59/kWh compared with Rs4.78/kWh in the previous year. Lower imported coal prices also boosted power offtake under imported coal-based power purchase agreements. The company sold 22.13bn units of electricity in January-March, up significantly from 14.25bn units sold a year earlier. It sold 79.27bn units in 2023-24, up from 53.39bn units in the year earlier. Higher volumes during January-March and the fiscal year were driven by its Mundra, Udupi, Raipur, and Mahan plants — apart from the incremental contribution of the Godda unit — which were commissioned in April 2023. Domestic power sales volumes were driven by growing power demand across the country, the company said. Utility demand could continue to support imports by utilities and lift overall Indian demand for seaborne coal. India imported 14.27mn t of thermal coal in March, up by 8pc from 13.2mn t a year earlier, according to shipping broker Interocean data. Thermal power expansion plans Adani Power operates 15.25GW of thermal generation capacity in the Gujarat and Maharashtra states of west India, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in central India, Rajasthan in north India, Karnataka in south India and Jharkhand in eastern India. The firm is eyeing a capacity of more than 24GW by 2029. It is undertaking a brownfield thermal capacity expansion of 1.6GW at its 1.2GW Mahan power project in Madhya Pradesh. It has started developing a 1.6GW expansion at its existing 600MW unit in Chhattisgarh. Adani Power has also emerged as the frontrunner to acquire thermal generation capacity and an under-construction project from domestic debt-ridden Lanco Amarkantak Power. Lanco owned and operated a 600MW thermal power plant in central India's Chhattisgarh state and was planning 1.32GW of generating capacity under the second phase of the project. Adani is in the process of acquiring a 1.2GW debt-ridden thermal power project in south India's Tamil Nadu state. Plant operator Coastal Energen is also having a corporate resolution insolvency process. It is evaluating an organic expansion of 1.6GW, besides considering other inorganic acquisition opportunities, to meet strong demand for thermal power in the coming years, the company said. By Ajay Modi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Brazil hydroelectric dam bursts under record rains


03/05/24
News
03/05/24

Brazil hydroelectric dam bursts under record rains

Sao Paulo, 3 May (Argus) — Brazilian power generation company Companhia Energetica Rio das Antas (Ceran) found a partial rupture in its 100MW 14 de Julho hydroelectric plant following record precipitation in Rio Grande do Sul state. Flooding from the record rains has left 37 dead and forced more than 23,000 people out of their homes, causing widespread damage across the state, including washed out bridges and roads across several cities. Ceran reported that the dam of the hydroelectric plant on the Antas River suffered a rupture under the heavy rains and the company implemented an emergency evacuation plan on 1 May. Ceran's 130MW Monte Claro and 130MW Castro Alves plants are under intense monitoring, the company said in a statement. Rio Grande do Sul state governor Eduardo Leite declared a state of emergency and the federal government promised to release funding for emergency disaster relief. Leite said the flooding will likely go down as the worst environmental disaster in the state's history. Brazil's southernmost state along the border with Argentina has been punished by record precipitation over the past year owing to the effects of the strong El Nino weather phenomenon, according to Rio Grande do Sul-based weather forecaster MetSul Meteorologia. Brazilian power company CPFL Energia controls Ceran with a 65pc equity stake. Energy company CEEE-GT, which is owned by steel manufacturer CSN, owns another 30pc, and Norway's Statkraft owns the remaining 5pc. The state had declared a state of emergency as recently as September 2023 because of unusually heavy rains that resulted in the death of more than 30 people. Weather forecasters expect El Nino conditions to abate in the coming months over the eastern Pacific. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more