US leads oil release with 50mn bl from SPR: Update 2

  • Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 23/11/21

Updates with changes throughout

President Joe Biden has ordered the US to draw down up to 50mn bl of crude from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), as part of a global push by oil-consuming countries to lower fuel prices that have surged to seven-year highs.

The US will offer long-term loans of up to 32mn bl of sour crude from its SPR for delivery by 30 April, while separately selling 18mn bl of sour SPR crude outright over the next "several months," it says. India intends to release 5mn bl of crude from its strategic stocks at an unspecified time, while the UK authorized companies to "voluntarily" release the equivalent of up to 1.5mn bl of oil held in reserves.

China, Japan and South Korea plan to join the global effort, but they have yet to release details on potential drawdowns. Biden has been working to negotiate the coordinated oil release, based on concerns that supply has not kept pace with a surge in demand as the world economy recovers from the Covid-19 pandemic.

"While our combined actions will not solve the problem of high gas prices overnight, it will make a difference," Biden said. "It will take time, but before long you should see the price of gas drop where you fill up your tank."

But markets appear to have expected a larger drawdown of crude from strategic reserves. Ice Brent front-month January crude futures at 19:32 GMT were trading at $82.03/bl, up by $2.33/bl from its last settlement.

The White House earlier in the day touted a 10pc decline in WTI crude prices since late October as the result of Biden's weeks of effort to coordinate the global crude release. But by the afternoon, the Nymex WTI front-month contract had risen by $1.62/bl to $78.37/bl.

Biden today separately reiterated his complaints that the recent drop in wholesale gasoline prices are not being passed along to consumers, which he has asked the US Federal Trade Commission to investigate.

"If the gap between wholesale and retail [gasoline] prices were in line with past averages, Americans would be paying at least 25¢/USG less right now," Biden said.

The Opec+ group is unlikely to change output policy as a result of the coordinated release, when it meets on 2 December to set January crude quotas, delegates told Argus today.

The White House has repeatedly said its preference would be for Opec+ to increase output, and a senior administration official said the "hope and expectation" is that Opec+ will stay on course to increase monthly production by 400,000 b/d.

The coordinated crude releases mark the emergence of an "anti-Opec+" that will create an artificially looser energy market, consulting firm Rystad Energy said. But those market dynamics are unlikely to last more than a couple of months and could shift if Opec+ responds to the release by slowing planned production increases.

"The million dollar question is how Opec+ may respond to this move," Rystad head of oil markets Bjornar Tonhaugen said.

US crude mostly on loan

The release of sour crude from the US SPR will occur in two tranches and start as soon as next month. Biden is prepared to take "additional action," the White House said. Biden has the authority to release a further 60mn bl of crude, by making an emergency drawdown from the SPR.

The US Energy Department in the first tranche of crude from the SPR intends to offer long-term loans, or "exchanges," of 32mn bl during the first four months of 2022, with the option for early deliveries in late December 2021. Successful bidders will return the crude from 1 July 2022-30 September 2024, along with an in-kind payment as compensation.

If companies choose to bid on the SPR exchange, they will need to return an in-kind premium of crude as low as 2.3pc of the borrowed volume, if crude is returned by 1 July-30 September 2022. The in-kind premium will reach as high as 9.1pc for crude that is returned by 1 August-30 September 2024. Bids are due by 6 December and contracts will be awarded no later than 14 December.

For the second tranche of crude from the SPR, the administration will accelerate the sale of 18mn bl that the US Congress already required to be sold in fiscal years 2022-2025. The US plans to release a notice of sale by 17 December at the earliest, but it did not provide a timeline for the likely drawdown.

India has not provided details on the timing of its 5mn bl release. The UK said its release of up to 1.5mn bl of oil would support the global economic recovery.

"This will be voluntary, not mandatory," the UK said. "If all companies chose to use this flexibility it would release the equivalent of 1.5mn barrels of oil."

US state gasoline tax holiday

The more than $1/USG rise in retail US gasoline prices this year has pressured states to consider giving drivers temporary relief, possibly by removing excise taxes on fuel.

Florida governor Ron DeSantis (R) on 22 November said when the state's legislature reconvenes in January, he will ask it to "basically zero out" the state's 26.5¢/USG taxes on gasoline on a temporary basis. The projected $1bn gas tax holiday will save the average driver $200, his office said.

State-imposed taxes and fees averaged 30.6¢/USG for gasoline and 32.3¢/USG for diesel as of July, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Any state tax holidays will not affect the collection of federal excise taxes set at 18.4¢/USG for gasoline and 24.4¢/USG for diesel.

But temporarily suspending fuel taxes will also starve states of funding to maintain roads and highways. The US Congress weeks ago enacted a bipartisan $1 trillion bill that would substantially increase federal funding for road work, but states are still required to pay a portion of those costs.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
28/03/24

ACT to partner with LR, Wartsila, and UECC on CNSL

ACT to partner with LR, Wartsila, and UECC on CNSL

London, 28 March (Argus) — Dutch supplier ACT Group is collaborating with classification society Lloyd's Register, Finnish engine manufacturer Wartsila, and Norwegian shipping firm United European Car Carriers (UECC) on the development and evaluation of cashew nut shell liquid (CNSL) as a biofuel in marine biodiesel blends. ACT confirmed the launch of a CNSL-based biofuel called "FSI.100", which has gone through extensive engine testing with various blend combinations. The CNSL-based biofuel has now received approval from engine manufactures to be blended as a 30pc component with marine gasoil (MGO) to form a marine biodiesel blend for the purpose of further sea trials. ACT confirmed that the FSI.100 product will benefit from lower acidity, and there is potential for the product to be compatible for blending with fuel oil. CNSL is an advanced biodiesel feedstock, making it a more appealing and price competitive option to buyers compared with other biodiesel feedstocks. The development follows a report by Lloyd's Register fuel oil bunkering analysis and advisory service (FOBAS) that pointed to a correlation between engine fuel pump and injector-related damage in vessels and the presence of "unestablished" CNSL in the utilised marine fuels. By Hussein Al-Khalisy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Read more
News

Baltimore bridge collapse to raise retail fuel prices


27/03/24
News
27/03/24

Baltimore bridge collapse to raise retail fuel prices

Houston, 27 March (Argus) — The collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore, Maryland, is more likely to increase regional gasoline prices than diesel due to additional freight costs and certain route restrictions. Suppliers in the region have so far signaled that the effect on broader markets will be minimal, but regional prices will likely rise, especially as peak summer demand season begins with Memorial Day weekend in late May. The bridge closure could pose more problems for gasoline supply than diesel, since gasoline cannot be transported through the Fort McHenry (I-95) and Baltimore Harbor (I-895) tunnels — the two other major roads that cross the Patapsco River at Baltimore — while there are no restrictions on diesel, according to the Maryland Transportation Authority (MTA). Fuel wholesaler Global Partners said yesterday that it would like to see hours of service waivers for trucking in the region to minimize fuel supply disruption to customers, but the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) is yet to issue one. Elevated retail prices are likely to be limited to the immediate Baltimore area but could spill over into neighboring markets should trucking markets remain tight due to rerouting, market sources told Argus . Fuel markets in eastern Maryland can be supplied by PBF's 171,000 b/d Delaware City, Delaware, refinery and two further plants in Pennsylvania — Monroe Energy's 190,000 b/d Trainer refinery and PBF's 160,000 b/d Paulsboro refinery. To the north, United Refining runs a 65,000 b/d plant in Warren, Pennsylvania, and along the Atlantic coast Phillips 66 operates the 259,000 b/d Bayway refinery in Linden, New Jersey. PBF, Monroe and United did not immediately respond to a request for comment on whether the bridge collapse is affecting refinery operations. Phillips 66 declined to comment on commercial activities. Still, the five nearby refineries — representing all the Atlantic coast's 850,000 b/d of crude processing capacity — are unlikely to see their operations curtailed by limits in shipping products to Maryland. With no refinery in the state of Maryland, most fuels are delivered to Baltimore by Gulf coast refiners on the Colonial Pipeline. Global Partners, which operates a terminal just west of the collapsed bridge, said yesterday it is primarily supplied by the pipeline and expects product flows to continue. Several terminals in the Baltimore Harbor and the nearby Port Salisbury can also receive small vessels and barges of road fuels from Delaware and Pennsylvania, according to the Maryland Energy Administration (MEA). The Port of Baltimore — which remains closed since the collapse — took delivery of 24,000 b/d of gasoline and under 2,000 b/d of distillates from barges and small vessels in 2019, about three percent of the Atlantic coast's refining capacity. "A closure of the Port of Baltimore while the Colonial Pipeline is open would not significantly disrupt fuel supply," the MEA wrote in a 2022 analysis of liquid fuels supply in the state. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

US breaks $79/bl ceiling in latest SPR purchase


27/03/24
News
27/03/24

US breaks $79/bl ceiling in latest SPR purchase

Washington, 27 March (Argus) — President Joe Biden's administration has exceeded a price ceiling that has guided when the US government would buy crude to refill the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), with the latest crude purchase hitting a price of $81.32/bl. The US Department of Energy (DOE) six months ago adopted a new strategy for replenishing the SPR, with a plan to use consistent monthly purchases to replace some of the 180mn bl of crude that Biden sold from the reserve in 2022 after the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. For months, DOE has said it would continue to buy crude so long as it was a "good deal for taxpayers," which the agency defined as a purchase price not to exceed $79/bl. But the agency's latest crude purchase, for nearly 2.8mn bl of sour crude for delivery in September, came at a cost of $225.6mn, an average price of $81.34/bl, according to data DOE recently published on its website. The crude contracts went to Macquarie Commodities Trading, Sunoco Partners Marketing & Terminals and Total's Atlantic Trading & Marketing. DOE, asked for comment about why it purchased crude in excess of its price target, said there would "likely be news coming later today." Before this week, the administration had largely adhered to its $79/bl price target to buy 24.7mn bl of crude for delivery to the SPR from January through August, with the exception of a $79.10/bl purchase for January delivery. DOE reiterated the price ceiling on 14 March, when it announced a new solicitation to buy crude, and last year had called off multiple crude solicitations when prices came in too high. DOE has previously increased its price ceiling based on shifts in the oil market. DOE in 2022 had initially targeted a purchase price of $67-$72/bl, resulting in the purchase of 6.3mn bl of crude last summer at an average price of $72.67/bl. But after rising prices put that target out of reach, DOE raised its price ceiling to $79/bl. The SPR held 363mn bl of crude as of 22 March, according to federal data. By the end of this year, as a result of crude purchases, the reserve is expected to "be back to essentially where we would have been had we not sold during the invasion of Ukraine," US energy secretary Jennifer Granholm said on 20 March, after accounting for the cancellation of 140mn bl of congressional mandated crude sales that were scheduled through 2031. With the latest crude purchase, DOE will have signed contracts to buy 32.4mn bl of crude at an average price of nearly $77/bl, of which more than 19mn bl has yet to be delivered to the SPR. Another 20mn bl of crude that oil companies and traders borrowed from the SPR in 2022 is set to be returned by year-end, which would push inventories in the reserve to above 400mn bl. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

South Sudan crude output halves on pipeline blockage


27/03/24
News
27/03/24

South Sudan crude output halves on pipeline blockage

London, 27 March (Argus) — South Sudan's crude production has almost halved to around 80,000 b/d because of a blockage at a pipeline in war-torn Sudan, South Sudan's oil ministry undersecretary William Anyak Deng told Argus today. A blockage along the Chinese-led Petrodar Pipeline is currently preventing around 100,000 b/d of South Sudan's heavy sweet Dar Blend grade from reaching Sudan's Bashayer terminal on the Red Sea for export, Deng said. But production of South Sudan's medium sweet Nile Blend grade has not been impacted, as this is transported to Bashayer through the separate Greater Nile oil pipeline which remains online, he said. His comments come after Sudan earlier this month warned major oil exporting companies in South Sudan that his country could no longer carry out its obligation to transport their crude . Dar Petroleum Operating Company (DPOC) — a consortium including China's state-controlled CNPC and Sinopec and Malaysia's state-owned Petronas — produces Dar Blend but has had to all but cease output, Deng said. Nile Blend production is split between the South Sudan-based firms Sudd Petroleum Operating Company (SPOC) and Greater Pioneer Operating Company (GPOC) and currently running at around 80,000 b/d, he added. South Sudan's crude production stood at around 150,000 b/d in February, according to Argus estimates. The blockage is a result of gelling issues — solidifying crude — in the Petrodar Pipeline, which Sudanese and South Sudanese engineers are struggling to resolve. This is because of a lack of diesel that is used to heat the crude or dilute it to help it flow, Deng said. "We are working to resolve the problem right now. There is mechanical work that is ongoing, we are trying to flush out the oil," he added. But the pipeline has been suffering from leaks and pressure drops for months, with repairs complicated by the ongoing civil war in Sudan between the army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces. Deng said it was becoming increasingly difficult to get permission from the warring parties in Sudan to move workers, equipment and spare parts to maintain infrastructure. He also said South Sudan has been sending diesel to Sudan to help with repair work given the closure of Sudan's 100,000 b/d Khartoum refinery which has come under repeated fire since the civil war began last year. Sudan also typically produces around 50,000 b/d of mostly Nile Blend crude, but this is thought to have been impacted by the civil war. Crude exports from Sudan's Bashayer port averaged 130,000 b/d in 2023 and hit 168,000 b/d in January, according to Kpler. But exports have only averaged about 75,000 b/d since February. Landlocked South Sudan is entirely reliant on Sudan to export its crude and depends on oil sales for more than 90pc of government revenues. Any prolonged disruption to exports would put the country's economy in a precarious position. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

European bio-bunker March prices firm on uncertainty


27/03/24
News
27/03/24

European bio-bunker March prices firm on uncertainty

London, 27 March (Argus) — Marine biodiesel prices firmed in the second half of March across Europe as higher levels in underlying markets combined with supply uncertainty to lend support to blend prices, despite limited demand. Very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) firmed by $16/t to $585.58/t on a dob Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) basis and $17.47/t to $628.17/t on a dob Gibraltar-Algeciras-Ceuta (GAC) basis during 14-26 March compared with the two weeks prior. Gains in the fossil market were mainly attributed to an increase in European refinery turnarounds as well as stronger crude values. The front-month Ice Brent crude futures 16:30 GMT marker averaged $86.07/bl on 14-16 March, an increase of $2.92/bl from 1-13 March. Rising fossil levels were accompanied by increases in the biodiesel spot barge market. Prices for advanced fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) 0°C cold-filter plugging point (CFPP) on a fob ARA barge basis averaged $1,407.15/t during the last two weeks of March, a $53.58/t rise from 1-13 March. Used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) barges firmed by $47.47/t to $1,316/t during the same timeframe. Biodiesel prices have firmed from long-term lows on the back of a reduction in European production and limited demand. Higher prices in underlying markets were accompanied by an emerging theme of biofuel supply uncertainty. Participants reported that European suppliers may look to steer away from Chinese-origin biodiesel as the EU's anti-dumping investigation continues, with a conclusion by early 2025 at the latest. This was compounded by chronic disruption in the Red Sea, historically the most utilised route on the east-west voyage, leading to traffic redirecting via the Cape of Good Hope and a subsequent increase in freight costs. The potential shift in supply routes can be supported by changes in product flows. Some 19,000t of Fame has been exported from China with a marked destination in Europe in March so far, an 80pc drop from February's 106,000t — according to Kpler data. This month's exports are just 10pc of the 184,000t exported from China to Europe in March last year, according to Kpler. Declining volumes from China were accompanied by an increase in Fame volumes exported from northwest Europe intra-continental to 409,000t in March from 364,000t a month prior. GTT data pointed to a 47pc decline in Chinese biodiesel exports in January-February, coinciding with an increase in Chinese exports of used cooking oil (UCO) with northwest Europe the main destination. Uncertainty in the supply import pool coincided with raised concerns around the presence of "unestablished" biodiesel feedstocks in bunker fuels. A report from Lloyd's Register fuel oil bunkering analysis and advisory service (FOBAS) highlighted a correlation between engine fuel pump and injector related damage in vessels and the presence of cashew nut shell liquid (CNSL) in marine fuels utilised by the vessels. CNSL is one of the cheaper advanced feedstocks and can be eligible for Dutch renewable tickets (HBE-G) — which can help make marine biodiesel blends more appealing and price competitive to buyers, as well as reduce production costs. But participants noted that during tests conducted by shipowners to assess the compatibility of CNSL with marine engines, technical and specification limitations emerged because of potentially high acidity and metal contents. This prompted shipowners and bunker suppliers to avoid fuels that contain CNSL, which may further constrict the pool of biodiesel supply that can be integrated into the maritime sector. Argus assessed the price of B30 Ucome dob ARA, a blend comprising 30pc Ucome and 70pc VLSFO, at $839.17/t during 14-26 March — an increase of just under $22/t from the 1-13 March average. B30 Advanced Fame 0°C CFPP dob ARA range averaged just over $785/t during 14-26 March, higher by $16.19/t from the two weeks prior. B100 Advanced Fame 0 levels rose by $16.62/t to $1,159.79/t in the second half of March. B24 dob Algeciras-Gibraltar firmed to $812.61/t in 14-26 March, an increase of $19.50/t from prices on 1-13 March. By Hussein Al-Khalisy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more