News
08/10/26
Philippines eyes 1pc SAF mandate by 2030
Singapore, 8 October (Argus) — The Philippines is considering implementing a 1pc
sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) mandate by 2030, although discussions on the
proposal are ongoing, government officials said. "The recommendation is to have
a 1pc SAF mix or mandate by 2030. This allows enough time before the mandate
takes effect to develop local supply over the next three to four years,"
Philippines Department of Energy (DoE) undersecretary Alessandro Sales told
reporters on the sidelines of the ASEAN Energy Business Forum (AEBF) in Manila
this week. "If I set up a facility and cannot sell [SAF] because of high prices,
why would I do it? The workaround is setting a 1pc or 2pc mandate to guarantee a
market. The facility can then be established, and costs will eventually decline
to more competitive levels," Sales added. The country currently has no SAF
production onstream yet, although project developer SAFAsia will likely reach a
financial investment decision on its 20,000 t/yr Fischer-Tropsch plant by
year-end, with all four 5,000 t/yr plant modules slated to be online by 2031.
Alcom Carbon Markets Philippines is also planning to develop an alcohol-to-jet
plant, which is now in the front-end engineering design (FEED) stage and is
projected to produce 100,000 t/yr of SAF when operational. The Philippines'
potential SAF mandate is currently under discussion with the DoE-chaired
National Biofuels Board (NBB), looking at the maturity of local production,
readiness of infrastructure and entire SAF ecosystem, NBB's SAF committee chair
and strategic planning division chief Sofia Fulmaran told Argus . "We don't want
to announce a mandate without preparation. We're also benchmarking best
practices from other Asean member states [which have adopted SAF] and seeing how
they've coped with certain challenges we might also be experiencing. We want to
ensure our partners in the entire SAF supply chain will each have their own
piece of the pie," Fulmaran said at the inaugural ASEAN SAF Convergence Forum,
held as part of the AEBF. The DoE provides policy leadership, technical
direction, and a long-term vision, while the Philippines' Board of Investments
(BOI) works with the DoE to translate that vision into investments, industries,
jobs, and economic opportunities, said Ceferino Rodolfo, Philippines' department
of trade and industry's undersecretary and BOI managing head. The Philippines
became a participating member state in the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction
Scheme for International Aviation (Corsia) in 2018. It also has developed a
brief framework for its upcoming SAF mandate, which lays out six areas of
action: policy and a regulatory frameworks; ensuring feedstock availability and
sustainability; technology, infrastructure and production; human and technical
capabilities; market demand and airlines engagement; and investment and funding
opportunities. Airline challenges Philippine Airlines (PAL) vice president for
corporate affairs Salvador Britanico acknowledged SAF remains the largest lever
in enabling PAL to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 — contributing to 65pc of
reductions, while offsets and carbon capture are expected to contribute 19pc,
and new aircraft technologies are expected to account for 13pc. But he also said
that airlines in the region are "starting at a deficit" when it comes to
economics, and there are challenges in ensuring their business is sustainable
and profitable. Britanico noted the need to map out near-term decarbonisation
targets — over the next five, 10, and 20 years, for instance, adding: "Every
stakeholder will have their own agenda, but they'll have to work together for
the public to have trust in the systems at play." SAF is not simply an energy
issue, but ultimately an opportunity for social development, Ceferino said.
"While SAF still carries a premium over conventional jet fuel which affects
airlines, producers, investors and governments alike, history teaches us
something very important — transformative industries almost always begin this
way," he added. "Commercial aviation, semiconductors, solar power were once
expensive. Electric vehicles were once considered impractical. They became
competitive because people invested in, improved, and scaled them. "The same
will be true for SAF. The SAF premium is not a reason to wait; it is a reason to
build. And if there is any region positioned to bring that premium down, it is
Asean. We have the resources, market, and industrial capabilities. And unlike
many regions, we have the opportunity to move forward together." By Sarah Giam
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