EV sales doubled in 2021 but growth must continue: IEA
Global sales of electric vehicles (EVs) — including fully electric and hybrid vehicles — doubled on the year in 2021 to a record 6.6mn and have remained strong this year thanks to sustained policy support, the IEA said today, 23 May.
Of global car sales in 2021, nearly 10pc were EVs, the Paris-based energy watchdog said in its Global Electric Vehicle Outlook. EVs globally now total around 16.5mn, triple the amount in 2018, it said. Sales of EVs in China reached 3.3mn in 2021, EV sales hit 2.3mn in Europe and 630,000 were sold in the US in 2021.
Despite the rapid increase, the IEA's Announced Pledges Scenario — based on existing policy commitments — projects the EV share will fall short of what is required globally to reach net zero CO2 emissions by 2050. EVs will reach 30pc of total vehicle sales worldwide, but should reach 60pc to meet climate targets, the IEA estimates.
Increased EV uptake will put pressure on global supply chains that have been disrupted by Covid-19 lockdowns and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and on mineral supplies, the IEA said. The cost of minerals crucial for EV production, such as nickel, lithium and cobalt, has increased significantly in the past year, the IEA said while noting oil and products prices have also risen. This could mean EVs remain relatively competitive over the lifetime of a vehicle.
Countries must ensure "reliable and sustainable supplies" of these critical minerals, IEA executive director Fatih Birol said in late March.
The IEA also recommended countries maintain and adapt support for EVs, ensure uptake in emerging and developing economies, place more focus on starting the heavy-duty EV market, and expand charging and grid infrastructure. The organisation projects the global market value of electricity for EV charging will reach around $190bn by 2030 and said although power distribution may become more complex as EV numbers grow, "EV loads in major car markets should not pose significant challenges."
But a charging infrastructure rollout will need to rapidly speed up to reach over 15mn units in 2030, the report said. Globally, publicly-available charging points were at 1.8mn in 2021, according to the IEA.
Heavy-duty vehicles are more of a challenge to decarbonise, with the industry often looking to biogas over an electric alternative. Sales of electric medium- and heavy-duty vehicles increased in 2021, but these registrations represented just under 0.3pc of the total for that vehicle sector globally. The majority of sales are in China. The UK pledged in November 2021 that all new heavy-duty vehicles in the country would be zero-emissions by 2040.
Car manufacturers recently welcomed proposals to phase out new cars with an internal combustion engine (ICE). In a letter to the European Commission last week, a group of companies including carmakers Ford and Volvo, as well as Swedish utility Vattenfall, said no ICE cars and vans, including hybrids, should be sold after 2035. The commission has proposed the 2035 phase-out date for new ICE vehicles under its 'Fit for 55' proposal, which aims to reduce emissions by a net 55pc by 2030, from 1990 levels.
In the US, a group of investors and the Corporate Electric Vehicle Alliance last week called on the country's Environmental Protection Agency to strengthen its heavy-duty engine and vehicle standards, calling zero-emissions vehicles "a major economic opportunity". Alliance members include Amazon, DHL and Uber.
Related news posts
US economic growth slows to 1.6pc in 1Q
US economic growth slows to 1.6pc in 1Q
Houston, 25 April (Argus) — The US economy in the first quarter grew at a 1.6pc annual pace, slower than expected, while a key measure of inflation accelerated. Growth in gross domestic product (GDP) slowed from a 3.4pc annual rate in the fourth quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday. The first-quarter growth number, the first of three estimates for the period, compares with analyst forecasts of about a 2.5pc gain. Personal consumption slowed to a 2.5pc annual rate in the first quarter from a 3.3pc pace in the fourth quarter, partly reflecting lower spending on motor vehicles and gasoline and other energy goods. Gross private domestic investment rose by 3.2pc, with residential spending up 13.9pc after a 2.8pc expansion in the fourth quarter. Government spending growth slowed to 1.2pc from 4.6pc. Private inventories fell and imports rose, weighing on growth. The core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which the Federal Reserve closely follows, rose by 3.7pc following 2pc annual growth in the fourth quarter, although consultancy Pantheon Macroeconomics said revisions to the data should pull the index lower in coming months. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to begin cutting its target lending rate in September following sharp increases in 2022 and early 2023 to fight inflation that surged to a high of 9.1pc in June 2022. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Australia's MinRes posts higher 1Q spodumene output
Australia's MinRes posts higher 1Q spodumene output
Singapore, 25 April (Argus) — Perth-based major lithium and iron ore producer Mineral Resources (MinRes) has reported higher total spodumene concentrate output from its sites in January-March, and higher spodumene prices later in the quarter. Total attributable spodumene concentrate production of the firm across its assets rose to 170,000 dry metric tonnes (dmt) (see table for detailed breakdown), up by 3.7pc on the quarter and by 63pc on the year, according to the firm's latest quarterly activity report. Total attributable spodumene concentrate shipped volumes fell by 2.9pc on the quarter but rose by 50pc on the year to 166,000dmt. MinRes has an ambitious target of 1mn t/yr of lithium attributable within the next four years, said its managing director Chris Ellison last month during the firm's half-year results presentation. The firm has been aggressively expanding, several delegates told Argus at the Tribeca Future Facing Commodities conference held in Singapore on 26 March. The firm last month agreed to buy fellow developer Poseidon Nickel's concentrator plant in Western Australia as it seeks to retrofit it for lithium processing. MinRes' Mount Marion site saw higher output, driven by higher plant utilisation and improved ore recoveries as the firm continues to advance its plant improvement initiatives. The realised price for spodumene concentrate out of its Mount Marion site was at $718/dmt on a 4.2pc-grade basis, which was above the product's year-to-date fob costs of A$518/dmt ($338/dmt). The realised price translates to $1,048/dmt for 6pc-grade lithium concentrate (spodumene), said the firm. The firm did not process the spodumene concentrate produced from its Wodgina site during the quarter into lithium battery chemicals, citing "prevailing pricing dynamics", but instead resumed spodumene concentrate spot sales. The realised spodumene concentrate price at the site came in at $974/dmt on 5.6pc-grade basis, which translates to $1,028/dmt for 6pc-grade lithium concentrate (spodumene). The lithium battery chemical realised price, excluding value added tax, came in at $11,098/t. MinRes in November 2023 finalised the acquisition of the Bald Hill lithium mine from Alita Resources. January-March was the mine's first full production quarter, hence output was dragged down by limited availability of higher-grade feed, but this is expected to recover in April-June, said the firm. The realised spodumene concentrate price at the Bald Hill site was $878/dmt on 5.1pc-grade basis, which translates to $1,016/dmt for 6pc-grade spodumene concentrate. Argus -assessed prices for 6pc grade spodumene concentrate dipped to $1,080-1,180/t cif China on 23 April, from $1,100-1,200/t cif China a week earlier. Salts producers reduced spodumene bid prices because of a fall in salts prices two weeks earlier. By Joseph Ho MinRes lithium performance Jan-Mar '24 Oct-Dec '23 Jan-Mar '23 Spodumene concentrate production (k dmt) Mt Marion (50pc attributable basis) 91 83 60 Wodgina (50pc attributable basis) 49 55 44 Bald Hill (100pc attributable basis) 30 26 NA Total 170 164 104 Spodumene concentrate shipments (k dmt) Mt Marion (50pc attributable basis) 76 86 62 Wodgina (50pc attributable basis) 64 65 49 Bald Hill (100pc attributable basis) 26 20 NA Total 166 171 111 Lithium battery chemical (t) Wodgina production (50pc attributable basis) 6,793 6,798 3,246 Wodgina sales (50pc attributable basis) 6,954 6,474 1,504 Source: MinRes MinRes previously owned 40pc of the Wodgina project, which increased to 50pc starting from 18 October 2023. Figures for Wodgina before 18 October 2023 were on 40pc attributable basis. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Indonesia's Pertamina to complete gasoline unit in Aug
Indonesia's Pertamina to complete gasoline unit in Aug
Singapore, 25 April (Argus) — Indonesian state-controlled refiner Pertamina aims to finish building its new 90,000 b/d residual fluid catalytic cracker (RFCC) in the Balikpapan refinery in August, the firm said. The RFCC is a gasoline production unit, which typically uses residual fuel as a feedstock. The unit will be able to produce propylene, LPG and 92R gasoline that will meet the Euro V specifications, said Pertamina last week, without disclosing further details such as the start-up date. The newly built RFCC unit will be the largest in Indonesia, with the second-largest being the 83,000 b/d RFCC in Balongan and the third-largest the 54,000 b/d RFCC in Cilacap. The new RFCC will also help reduce Indonesia's reliance on gasoline imports. Indonesia currently imports around 9mn-11mn bl/month of gasoline, making it the largest gasoline buyer in the Asia-Pacific. The new RFCC will increase Pertamina's gasoline production by a conservative estimate of 45,000 b/d or 1.3mn bl, or around 10pc of Pertamina's current import demand, according to estimates from an oil analyst. The installation of the new RFCC is part of Pertamina's Refinery Development Master Plan (RDMP), which will take place in two phases. The first phase includes revamping existing units at the Balikpapan refinery, such as the crude distillation unit, vacuum distillation unit, and hydrocracking unit. It also involves building new units, such as the aforementioned RFCC, a gasoline hydrotreater, diesel hydrotreater, and naphtha hydrotreater. The second phase includes building a new residue desulphurisation unit. The RDMP also includes expanding the capacity of the Balikpapan refinery from 260,000 b/d to 350,000 b/d, said Pertamina's chief executive officer Nicke Widyawati. The Balikpapan expansion is expected to be completed in May. By Aldric Chew Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
EV demand slowdown cuts S Korea’s LGES' profit in 1Q
EV demand slowdown cuts S Korea’s LGES' profit in 1Q
Singapore, 25 April (Argus) — South Korea's top battery manufacturer LG Energy Solution (LGES) reported significant lower revenue and profit in January-March, because of lower battery metal prices and slower electric vehicle (EV) demand. LGES' revenue in January-March fell by 23pc on the quarter and 30pc on the year to 6.13 trillion won ($4.46bn), owing to lower demand for EV pouch cells and energy storage system (ESS), with "prolonged metal price impact" affecting its average selling price. The firm reported W157bn of operating profit in January-March, but would have reported an operating loss of W32bn if it did not receive almost W189bn in US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) tax credits. But this was still a sharp drop from W633bn of operating profit for January-March 2023. The lower revenue and a demand slowdown in the EV market led to utilisation rate adjustments that weighed on its financial performance. The firm reaped a net profit of W212bn during the quarter, which was up by 12pc on the quarter but down by around 62pc on the year, likely significantly propped up by the US' IRA tax credits. LGES said it will continue to invest despite the difficult market environment, but will "adjust" the size of its capital expenditure and execution speed "as per priority". Battery project updates LGES and automaker General Motors in early April completed the first battery shipment out of their second Ultium battery cell factory in US' Tennessee. The plant's capacity is expected to gradually expand to 50 GWh/yr, said LGES. Construction progress at the firm's battery manufacturing complex in US' Arizona is also on track, said the firm. Ramped up capacity is expected to be 53 GWh/yr, which will comprise 36 GWh/yr of 46-series cylindrical battery for EVs and 17 GWh/yr of lithium-iron-phosphate battery for ESS. LGES' 10 GWh/yr Indonesian battery production joint venture with South Korean conglomerate Hyundai Motor has also started mass production. Its battery module production joint venture with automaker Stellantis in US' Ontario, which encountered a halt in construction in May last year, will start operations in the second half of 2024. The factory has a planned capacity of 45GWh/yr and was supposed to begin operations early this year. LGES earlier this year inked a second agreement with Australian firm Wesfarmers Chemicals, Energy and Fertilisers for lithium concentrate supply. The firm will continue building a raw materials supply chain within regions that have a free trade agreement with US, it said. By Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more