Argus Polyethylene Outlook
Monthly polyethylene price forecasts and forward-looking supply, demand and trade flow analysis covering North America, Northwest Europe and Northeast Asia.
Overview
Argus Polyethylene Outlook is a monthly forecasting service for global polyethylene markets. It delivers a 24-month rolling price forecast, forward-looking analysis of supply, demand, trade flows and market dynamics, and an annual five-year forecast to support strategic planning and commercial decision-making.
At a glance
- 24-month rolling polyethylene price forecast.
- Annual five-year price outlook published each year.
- Monitor trade flows and market balances.
- Feedstock, production economics and energy assumptions included.
- Identify trade and arbitrage opportunities across regions.
- Manage risk with bull and bear market sensitivity analysis.
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Key features
24-month rolling forecast
A monthly polyethylene price forecast covering a 24-month rolling horizon, supported by forward-looking analysis of global supply, demand and market drivers across all covered regions.
Five-year price outlook
An annual five-year price forecast provides longer-term strategic context, enabling business planning and investment decisions beyond the short-term horizon across global polyethylene markets.
Feedstock and cost analysis
Covers energy price assumptions, feedstock costs, conversion economics and updates on turnaround schedules, capacity additions and supply disruptions across all covered regions.
Regional market analysis
Regional commentary covers supply and demand trends, trade flows, freight dynamics and import/export data across North America, Northwest Europe and Northeast Asia.
Sensitivities and risks
A dedicated review of bull and bear risks identifies the factors most likely to affect polyethylene price forecasts, supporting scenario planning and commercial risk assessment.
What's changed summary
A monthly summary highlights the major developments affecting price forecast updates versus the prior month, enabling subscribers to quickly identify shifts and revise their positions.
Who uses this service
Polyethylene producers
- Support strategic investment decisions with independent supply and demand analysis.
- Benchmark commercial strategies against 24-month price forecasts and market outlooks.
- Plan long-term budgets using annual five-year price projections.
Traders and distributors
- Identify arbitrage and trade opportunities using inter-regional price analysis.
- Monitor capacity changes and supply chain shifts across key global markets.
- Build trading positions on independent, expert-assessed price forecasts.
Converters and manufacturers
- Inform short and long-term procurement planning with forward price visibility.
- Assess feedstock cost trends using energy assumptions and production economics.
- Anticipate market direction and industry developments to support supply-chain planning and contract negotiations.
Investors and financial institutions
- Monitor capacity additions, plant shutdowns and joint ventures using independent analysis.
- Evaluate project economics against 24-month and five-year polyethylene price forecasts.
- Track market dynamics across global regions to support M&A and investment decisions.