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Drought risks southeast US organic corn planting
Drought risks southeast US organic corn planting
Minneapolis, 28 April (Argus) — Drought conditions are worsening across much of the US southeast as of the week ended 23 April, which threatens to delay organic corn planting in a tight market. The organic corn Argus Organic Drought Index (AODI) worsened by 44 points or more from a year earlier for Georgia, Florida, and Arkansas, which combined for over 73pc of US southeast organic corn acreage in 2025, Argus data show. The decline extended up the east coast, with the AODI for North Carolina reaching 69 in the latest week, up 51 points from a year earlier. The organic corn AODI weights drought data from the US Drought Monitor by organic corn operations in each county. It ranges from zero to 100, with 0 representing no drought and 100 representing catastrophic drought affecting all organic corn farms in the state. Conventional corn planting has already begun in the southeast and many organic farmers have prepared their corn fields for planting but are facing potential delays from the dry conditions in the soil. Delays in organic corn planting into late May or June could reduce yields and delay harvest in the fall. The southeast is not a significant producer of organic corn compared with the Corn Belt or High Plains, but the southeast's earlier harvest makes the region's harvest important for delivery in August through the first half of October. Despite the marketing year beginning in September, new crop supplies from the key production regions in and around the Corn Belt are normally not available until the second half of October because of the time needed to harvest and transport the grain to mills. Organic feed operations, especially poultry operations in the southeast, rely on the southeast harvest to bridge that gap. The US will carry over little, if any, organic corn into the 2026-27 marketing year, with few unsold stocks currently available east of the Mississippi river, market contacts said. Many end-users are still uncovered for the third quarter and a delayed or smaller harvest in the southeast will further increase organic corn demand in September. Few buyers have bought significant new crop organic corn supplies, market contacts said. Organic broiler production is continuing to grow on the east coast and southeast, driven by strong consumer demand for organic chicken, which could further increase feed demand in the region, market contacts said. There is still time for moisture to improve across the southeast ahead of planting, with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration expecting at or above average rain in Georgia and Florida in the coming week. Farmers will look for strong rain followed by a drier period for an opportunity to plant. Moisture conditions improved across much of the Corn Belt, with Missouri being the only Corn Belt state to get worse from the prior year. The solid moisture conditions in the Corn Belt are supportive of the overall fall harvest. Current East Coast and Corn Belt new crop organic corn bids are several dollars below current spot prices, but any risks to supply would support new crop values. By Alexander Schultz Mid-April organic corn Argus Organic Drought Index Index Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US winter wheat quality declines muted
US winter wheat quality declines muted
Houston, 27 April (Argus) — Declines in the quality of US winter wheat were limited during the week ended 26 April, though the nationwide crop remains in much worse shape than in past years. The US winter wheat crop rated at 30pc good to excellent in the latest week, according to US Department of Agriculture (USDA) data, unchanged from the week prior. Though the overall crop did not worsen from last week, it did fall further behind prior year's levels, sinking to 19 percentage points worse than 2025 and 10 points behind the five-year average. Market concerns over dryness and cold temperatures worsening conditions in the Southern Plains were not reflected in last week's data, with the good-to-excellent rate in Kansas and Texas sliding by just 1 and 2 points, respectively. Winter wheat in Oklahoma, meanwhile, climbed by 4 points to 14 points good-to-excellent. Colorado, South Dakota, Wyoming, and Montana were not as lucky, with the good-to-excellent rate falling by as much as 6 points in those states. Even with some muted week-over-week declines, hard red winter wheat quality in key-growing states remains considerably worse than in previous years. The country's largest producers are, on average, 17 points worse than their five-year average good-to-excellent rates. The rate of poor to very poor wheat also rose to 35pc from 33pc nationally, driven higher by a 20-point increase in Nebraska and an 8-point increase in Montana. Wheat in Texas and Oklahoma could also get more reprieve from ongoing drought conditions with multiple days of rain in the latest National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts for the coming week. Some of that precipitation may also range into Colorado and Kansas. Spring wheat planting, meanwhile, has been slow, with farmers seemingly prioritizing corn and soybeans. The US reached 19pc planted during the latest week, 11 points behind last year and 3 points behind the five-year average. Corn and soy planting blitz US corn and soybean planting continues to pace ahead of historical levels with farmers taking advantage of a largely dry week, according to NOAA rain-tracking data. Corn reached 25pc planted nationwide during the latest week, a 14-point increase from the week prior. Corn-belt farmers were particularly active, with planting increase of between 16 and 20 points in Iowa, Nebraska, Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana. Despite the active week, Missouri remains 2 points behind its five-year average for planting progress. Indiana, on the other hand, is 20 points ahead of its five-year average. Soybean farmers made similar progress, reaching 23pc completion on national planting, up from 12pc the week prior. Soybean planting is now 5 points ahead of 2025 levels and 11 points ahead of the five-year average. On the state level, the pace of Indiana planting was 27 points ahead of its five-year average at 35pc planted. Iowa, though, remained 2 points behind its five-year average, as was Michigan. By Joseph Crosby Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Argentina harvest spurs soy export registrations
Argentina harvest spurs soy export registrations
Sao Paulo, 27 April (Argus) — Argentina's registrations of soybean exports showed their first signs of seasonal recovery in the week ending 24 April, pushing above the prior year's value for the week for the first time since September last year. Soybean export registrations more than doubled from a year earlier to 137,000 metric tonnes (t) during the week, according to data from the Secretariat of Livestock and Fisheries (SAGyP), boosted by expectations that harvest of the oilseed will begin to pick up speed . The amount was more than the total volume that had been registered for export during the 28 weeks since a September tax holiday last year boosted soybean sales ahead of harvest, reducing the supply of soybeans available for export and for crushing since. Argentina's soybean harvest began in April, but the flow of soybeans to ports and crushers has been slowed this year by unusually rainy weather . But farmers are expected to take advantage of this week's cool, sunny weather to pick up the pace of harvesting. Soybean meal and soybean oil export registrations also rose in the week, helped by increased crushing in March that boosted exporters' supplies. Soymeal registrations increased by 31pc to 284,000t and soybean oil registrations climbed by just over 31pc to 76,100t. Corn registrations drop A sharp drop in corn registrations in the week outweighed the higher soy volumes, dragging total registrations lower. Corn registrations plunged more than 93pc from the same week last year to 65,000t, the smallest amount in any week so far this year. Argentina's exporters had already registered large amounts of the country's expected record corn crop prior to last week, including nearly seven million tons for loading in April and another 3.7mn t for loading in May. Total export registrations fell by more than 48pc from a year earlier to 770,000t, with wheat registrations down by nearly 41pc to 39,300t and barley registrations practically disappearing at 2,500t during the week, compared with 19,200t last year. Export registrations for other oilseeds skyrocketed to 32,900t from 1,500t a year earlier, boosted by the record crop of sunflower seeds currently being harvested. Other meals registrations rose by 90pc to 72,900t and other oils registrations fell by 14pc to 62,300t. May continued to dominate loading, with exporters scheduling by far the most loading for the month for all products except soybeans and sunflower meal. For soybeans, 71,000t are scheduled for May loading, with another 66,000t scheduled for July, while 43,000t of sunflower meal are scheduled for May loading and 30,000t for June. By Jeffrey T. Lewis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Mexico trade balance swings to $6bn surplus in March
Mexico trade balance swings to $6bn surplus in March
Mexico City, 27 April (Argus) — Mexico's trade balance in goods swung to a hefty $5.93bn surplus in March, amid a strong pick-up in manufacturing exports. The balance, reported by statistics agency Inegi, swung from the $463mn deficit in February after narrowing from a $6.48bn deficit in January. The March surplus also far surpassed the $1.03bn surplus forecast by Mexican bank Banorte. The swing to a surplus in March was led by widening of the non-oil trade surplus to US$8.32bn in March from US$1.55bn the previous month. Meanwhile, Mexico's oil-trade deficit expanded only slightly to $2.39bn in March from $2.01bn the previous month despite volatility in global oil prices hitting markets caused by the conflict in the Middle East. Total exports rose to $70.7bn in March from $56.9bn in February, with oil-related exports up at $1.71bn from $1.47bn. Crude exports increased to 495,000 b/d in March from 585,000 b/d in February, well below the 827,000 b/d recorded in March 2025. Non-oil exports rose to $69bn in March from $55.36bn the prior month. Manufacturing shipments increased to $64.7bn in March from $51.8bn in February, with automotive up to $17.4bn from $13.6bn in February. Imports totaled $64.8bn in March compared with $57.3bn in the prior month, with oil imports at $4.1bn in March compared with $3.5bn the prior month and non-oil imports at $60.7bn, up from $53.8bn the prior month. Mexican bank Banco Base suggests the outlook has worsened due to comments by economy minister Marcelo Ebrard during meetings with Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum and US trade representative Jamieson Greer. Ebrard indicated the review's goal is to reduce tariffs, not eliminate them, noting "a world without tariffs is unlikely to return." Banco Base considers this bad news for several reasons: Mexico enters the renegotiation with a weak stance, more willing to concede to the Trump administration than to secure favorable terms; and continued tariffs could be a bargaining chip to avoid addressing other US demands related to the rule of law and the opening of strategic sectors. In addition, said Banco Base, "Continued tariffs could lead to a sustained decline in affected sectors like steel and automotive, whose exports have fallen due to sectoral tariffs." Banco Base also mentions stricter rules of origin, which would further harm the automotive and steel industries. These measures would remove incentives for foreign companies in Mexico, slowing foreign direct investment growth. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.