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Marine fuel global weekly market update

  • Market: Biofuels, E-fuels, Emissions, Fertilizers, Hydrogen, Natural gas, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 09/06/23

A weekly Argus news digest of interest to the conventional and alternative marine fuel markets. To speak to our team about accessing the stories below and access to Argus Marine Fuels, please contact: marinefuels@argusmedia.com.

Alternative marine fuels

9 June Rotterdam LNG share of bunker demand to rise LNG as a share of the Rotterdam bunker market may surpass 3pc this summer as LNG prices dip below conventional marine fuels.

9 June Indonesia's palm waste exports down on month in April Indonesia's palm waste exports decreased in April on the back of International Sustainability and Carbon Certificate (ISCC) withdrawals because of alleged fraudulent practices, curtailing China's import volumes from the southeast Asian country.

9 June Demand needed to drive new fuel supply: Nor Shipping More demand is needed if zero-carbon shipping fuels are going to become the norm, shipping industry leaders told attendees at the Nor-Shipping conference in Oslo this week.

9 June Iberdrola to build green ammonia plant in Spain Spanish utility Iberdrola plans to build a green ammonia plant in the south of the country following an agreement with ammonia trader Trammo for the purchase and sale of up to 100,000 t/yr of green ammonia from 2026.

8 June Japan's Asahi Kasei buys bio-methanol from Mitsui Japanese petrochemical producer Asahi Kasei has started purchasing bio-methanol from Japanese trading house Mitsui to produce bio-engineering plastic, amid growing pressure to decarbonise.

8 June Price goal of $100/t CO2 is 'unrealistic' for DAC The much talked about goal of $100/t of CO2 for direct air capture (DAC) is "not at all realistic", and firms should be careful about "lowballing" costs, delegates heard at an industry event this week.

8 June Policy, costs make US key clean ammonia supplier The US is uniquely positioned to become a principal exporter of clean ammonia within the next decade despite price-related challenges that remain in play, delegates said Wednesday at the Argus Clean Ammonia North America Conference in Houston, Texas.

8 June Klapedia, Proman agree on methanol bunkering The Port of Klapedia in Lithuania is adding methanol bunkering capability to its operations.

8 June Japan's Mol to charter LNG-fuelled bulk carrier Japanese shipping firm Mitsui OSK Lines (Mol) has agreed to charter a new LNG-fuelled bulk carrier for utility Kansai Electric Power to deliver coal from Kansai's Maizuru power complex, targeting commissioning in 2026.

8 June Iran's methanol output dips on squeezed margins Production at methanol units in Iran is expected to dip in June, with some producers opting to cut operating rates because of weakening margins.

8 June IMO must boost emissions targets: Maritime group The head of a Norwegian maritime group said the UN's International Maritime Organization (IMO) must adopt a more ambitious emissions goal to meet a zero-emissions target by 2050.

8 June Titan LNG charters new bunkering vessel Dutch shipping firm Titan LNG has signed a long-term charter with Italian bunker supplier and shipowner Fratelli Cosulich for its 8,200m³ Alice Cosulich LNG bunkering vessel.

7 June Royal Caribbean to test biofuel on two ships US cruise ship operator Royal Caribbean will test a biofuel blend in two of its ships as part of its research on using alternative marine fuels.

7 June Monjasa's total CO2 emissions rose in 2022 Total direct CO2 equivalent emissions put out by Danish marine fuel and trading company Monjasa rose between 2021 and 2022, according to its 2022 responsibility report.

7 June VLGC owner Avance Gas enters MGC market Oslo-listed shipowner Avance Gas has purchased two newbuild LPG/ammonia vessels and entered the midsize gas carrier (MGC) market.

6 June Stena mulls sale of LNG assets Swedish shipping firm Stena is considering selling some or all of its LNG assets.

6 June X-Press Feeders orders six methanol-fuelled ships Singapore-based shipping company X-Press Feeders has ordered six 1,250TEU methanol dual-fuelled containerships.

6 June Ardmore orders 3 more CO2 capture units to MR tankers Ireland-based shipping company Ardmore Shipping will retrofit three of its Medium Range (MR) tankers with CO2 capture systems.

6 June China biodiesel sector responds to EU policy proposals Chinese biodiesel stakeholders have responded to calls from European waste-based and advanced biofuels association (Ewaba) for policy measures to address stronger Chinese biodiesel exports to the EU.

6 June WinGD partners with Mitsubishi on ammonia engines Swiss marine power company Winterthur Gas and Diesel (WinGD) has partnered with Japanese shipbuilder Mitsubishi Shipbuilding to develop ammonia-fuelled vessels.

5 June Norway's Stena mulls sale of LNG assets Norwegian shipping firm Stena Power is considering selling some or all of its LNG assets.

5 June Biofuels use in shipping has limitations: DNV Biofuels have the potential to contribute significantly to reducing carbon emissions in shipping because of their flexibility as a "drop-in fuel", but they are "unlikely to be the only solution to shipping's goal of transitioning to zero [greenhouse gas] GHG emissions in the future", according to marine certification society DNV.

5 June Singapore, Australia seek shipping corridor Singapore and Australia have opened discussions to establish a green shipping corridor by 2025.

5 June EU investigates allegations of biofuels fraud The European Commission today said it is investigating allegations of "possible fraud" related to biofuel imports from China into the EU, having received reports from a member state.

5 June Industry earmarks €18bn in biomethane investments: EBA Industry stakeholders have set aside a first tranche of €18bn ($19.2bn) in investments to scale up biomethane production in Europe, according to the first investment outlook by industry association EBA.

Conventional marine fuels

9 June US increases European diesel market share The US has been providing more than 10pc of Europe's diesel imports since the start of May, up from around 5pc last year and 7-8pc in the opening months of this year. Cargoes have probably been freed up by Russian sellers taking around half of the US' previous market share in Brazil.

9 June Asian HSFO flips into contango on lack of summer demand Singapore 180cst high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) markets have flipped into contango mainly as typical South Asian summer utility demand has failed to materialise, market participants said.

9 June Chinese prices signal higher gasoline, diesel exports Chinese spot diesel prices have fallen to their lowest since last year's lockdown even as international prices rally — increasing the likelihood of higher exports.

9 June Slow demand weighs on Japan's April bonded bunker sales Japan's bonded marine fuel sales fell in April, pressured by weaker delivery demand from domestic shipowners and the spot market.

9 June Japan's Tokyo VLSFO supplies tighten on lower stocks Very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) deliveries in Japan's Tokyo bay area tightened, pressured by lower stocks because of refinery turnarounds.

8 June Low Turkish, Greek diesel exports tighten Europe supply Turkish and Greek diesel cargo offers have dwindled over recent weeks, according to market participants, further stoking diesel supply tightness in the Mediterranean market.

8 June Oman's Duqm refinery offers fuel oil, naphtha Oman's 230,000 b/d Duqm refinery has offered fuel oil and a naphtha cargo as it starts up, although residual fuel offers should taper off as downstream units come on line, said market participants.

8 June UAE, Saudi May fuel oil imports from Russia fall 35pc The UAE's and Saudi Arabia's imports of Russia-origin fuel oil fell by nearly 35pc in May from April, reflecting spring maintenance at Russian refineries.

7 June Brazil diesel imports fall further in May Brazil diesel imports fell for the second consecutive month in May amid a growing preference for domestic output after state-controlled Petrobras reduced its wholesale prices on 16 May.

7 June China raises oil product exports in May on huge quotas China's oil product exports jumped to 4.89mn t in May, sharply up on the month and year on year and higher than market expectations, after huge quotas were issued in the month.

7 June Peninsula to supply bunker fuels in Egypt Marine fuel supplier Peninsula Petroleum has been awarded a bunker supply licence for Mediterranean ports by the Egyptian government.

7 June World Bank lifts Russia outlook The World Bank has significantly upgraded its outlook for the Russian economy this year, largely because of continuing energy exports.

5 June Lake Charles refinery shut 1-2 months Calcasieu Refining's 135,000 b/d Lake Charles, Louisiana, refinery may be closed for up to two months after a 3 June lightning strike caused a naphtha tank fire.

5 June Afipsky refinery resumes normal operations Independent refiner Forteinvest is resuming normal operations at its 120,000 b/d Afipsky plant ...

5 June NWE diesel price spreads point to tighter supply Northwest European diesel premiums to crude, jet fuel and intermediate feedstocks all hit their highest in more than a month last week, as did the backwardation structure in the forward curve, affirming indications from traders that supply is substantially tightening.


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20/09/24

Singapore’s GenZero, Rwanda tie up on carbon credits

Singapore’s GenZero, Rwanda tie up on carbon credits

Singapore, 20 September (Argus) — Singaporean investment platform GenZero has signed an agreement with Rwanda and carbon registry Gold Standard to develop Article 6-compliant carbon credit projects in Rwanda. GenZero, a subsidiary of state-owned investment firm Temasek, signed the agreement with Rwanda Green Fund, the country's financing vehicle for attracting and co-ordinating climate finance through investments, and the Rwanda Environment Management Authority, the country's national authority under Article 6, GenZero said on 19 September. The projects under the agreement will cover both carbon reduction and removal activities whitelisted by the Rwanda government for Article 6. Rwanda and GenZero will assess the potential for the Article 6 projects, which will "go through a robust due diligence and screening process," said GenZero, before undertaking certification by Gold Standard. Eligible projects must utilise Gold Standard's methodologies and comply with its requirements to achieve certification. These projects should first meet Rwanda's national carbon market framework, and will subsequently be able to issue credits that come with corresponding adjustments to ensure no double counting. GenZero will also assess proposals for commercial viability, based on the project's mitigation potential, project maturity and financial returns, it said. This "partnership between a government, a standard-setting body and an investor reflects the shared commitment of the partners to catalyse international investment in high-integrity Article 6 projects in countries such as Rwanda, while generating sustainable benefits for the local economy, environment and communities," said GenZero. Singapore and Rwanda signed an agreement in December last year to collaborate on creating carbon credit frameworks and Article 6-compliant credits. Singapore has also signed multiple agreements with other countries such as the Philippines , Ghana and Papua New Guinea , signalling the country's commitment to establishing cross-border trades of carbon credits as part of its decarbonisation efforts. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Consortium makes progress on US NH3 bunker vessel


20/09/24
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20/09/24

Consortium makes progress on US NH3 bunker vessel

Tokyo, 20 September (Argus) — A group of companies continue to make progress on developing a ship-to-ship ammonia bunkering vessel for the US east coast, targeting to begin commercial operations by 2030. The consortium received in principle approval in August for their ammonia bunker vessel from US classification society the American Bureau of Shipping (ABS). The seven companies comprise Japanese trading house Sumitomo, ABS, Hong Kong-based shipping firm Fleet Management, American ship management company TOTE Services, Danish shipping firm AP Moller Maresk, Maresk's decarbonisation research institute Maersk Mc-Kinney Moller Center for Zero Carbon Shipping (MMMCZCS) and the US' Georgia Ports Authority. US marine engineering firm Vard Marine US also took part in barge design and engineering. The bunker vessel is designed to be capable of supplying fuel ammonia to Norwegian shipping company Hoegh Autoliners' car carriers, as well as an ammonia-fuelled container vessels developed by MMMCZCS. This will be the first ammonia bunkering vessel in the US, Sumitomo said. The partners expect to operate the ship on the east coast of the US such as Jacksonville port in Florida and Brunswick and Savannah ports in Georgia. These ports are increasingly receiving container ships and car carriers, with Sumitomo expecting demand for fuel ammonia for such vessels to grow in the future. Sumitomo is in charge of building a supply chain of green or blue ammonia for bunkering. It now plans to buy blue ammonia from the US Gulf of Mexico region, without specifying volumes. The company aims to enhance its carbon neutral marine fuel and ammonia bunkering businesses with the US project. It has also participated in an ammonia bunkering project in Singapore , aiming to commercialise it by the mid-2020s. By Nanami Oki Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil hikes import tax on polymers, chemicals


19/09/24
News
19/09/24

Brazil hikes import tax on polymers, chemicals

Sao Paulo, 19 September (Argus) — Brazil's government increased import taxes of 30 polymers and chemicals to 20pc from 12.6pc this week, including polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC). Another 32 chemical products remain under evaluation by Gecex, the Brazilian committee for commercial trade management. With the 18 September decision, most rates will rise and will remain at this level for 12 months. Domestic manufacturers and chemical industries associations welcomed the decision, arguing that the measure will help level the playing field against foreign competitors who benefit from lower production costs. Brazil's chemical industry association Abiquim has been asking the government provide commercial protections for 62 products since May. Supporters of the tax hike, including Abiquim, say it will help create jobs and strengthen Brazil's domestic economy. They also said that the increased revenue from the higher taxes can be reinvested in infrastructure and public services, further benefiting the country. Brazilian petrochemical major Braskem said Thursday that it sees the tax increase as a positive step towards ensuring fair competition and fostering growth within the industry. Braskem produces basic chemicals, PE, PP and PVC. The most important aspect of the tax increase is not the number of products covered, but what it represents in value, said Abiquim's executive president Andre Passos Cordeiro. "These 30 products that were approved represent about 65pc of the import volume of this set of 62 products that we had proposed to the government," he said. "They also represent 75pc of the value of this same set of imports. The decision is welcome, well-founded technically, and brings relief to the chemical industry." The share of chemical imports in the Brazilian market soared in the last 20 years, according to Abiquim, reaching 47pc in 2023 from 21pc in 2000. In the first half of this year, the sector's trade deficit was close to $23bn, while the national industry's idle capacity reached its worst level ever. "We were losing strength with the closure of factories and loss of jobs," Cordeiro said. "I reiterate that the government's decision was essential for us, as an industry and as Brazilians. A strong industry presupposes a strong country." The Brazilian chemical industry is responsible for around 11pc of Brazil's GDP, according to Cordeiro Taxes could up consumer costs Critics of the tax hikes say they will increase costs for consumers and manufacturers who rely on imported polymers and chemicals. Brazil's plastic industry association Abiplast said it was concerned that the higher import taxes will increase production costs for plastic products, which could result in higher prices for end consumers. In a letter to associates, Abiplast said that the measure could hurt small- and medium-sized enterprises that do not have the same capacity as larger companies to absorb the increased costs. The tax hike could also negatively impact the competitiveness of Brazilian products in the global market, Abiplast said. By increasing the cost of raw materials, Brazilian plastic converters may find it more challenging to compete with foreign companies that have access to cheaper inputs. That could lead to a decrease in exports and a potential loss of market share internationally. Furthermore, opponents of the tax increase highlight that the measure could have unintended consequences on the broader economy. Higher production costs could lead to inflationary pressures, affecting the purchasing power of Brazilian consumers. They also point out that the tax increase may not necessarily lead to the desired boost in domestic production, as the domestic industry may not have the capacity to meet the increased demand for polymers and chemicals. The letter, signed by the chairman of the association's board Jose Ricardo Roriz Coelho, also said that despite exhaustive explanations to the government about the taxes' downsides, final approval [of the tax hike] still goes through Brazil's partners in trade bloc Mercosur — Argentina, Uruguay, and Paraguay. If validated, the measure is expected to go into effect in October and last for one year. Abiplast said it will continue battling to reverse the measure, which the association deems unreasonable. Higher domestic prices may follow The market is taking some notice of the new proposed measures. One US polymers exporter to Brazil told Argus that if the tax hike becomes effective, Brazilian polymers manufacturers are expected to immediately raise prices to recover their margins. "The timing for the tax hike announcement was fine-tuned to let local producers secure additional margins in a time that sales are expected to increase in Brazil due to Christmas and New Year celebrations," one market participant told Argus. But any drop in polymer imports into Brazil from the taxes should recover in he beginning of next year, the source said. "Brazil's polymers production is not enough to address local demand, so imports will always be needed," the source said. Brazil's January-August PE imports surged by 45pc from the same period in 2023, reaching almost 1.4mn metric tonnes. North America had a 79pc share, while South America had another 10pc. The country also buys from Asia and the Middle East. By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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LNG-burning vessels well positioned ahead of 2025


19/09/24
News
19/09/24

LNG-burning vessels well positioned ahead of 2025

New York, 19 September (Argus) — Vessels outfitted with dual-fuel LNG-burning engines are poised to have the lowest marine fuel expense heading into 2025 when the EU will tighten its marine EU emissions trading system (ETS) regulations and add a new regulation, " FuelEU", from 1 January 2025. Considering both regulations, at current price levels, fossil LNG (also known as grey LNG) will be priced the cheapest compared with conventional marine fuels and other commonly considered alternative fuels such as biodiesel and methanol. The EU's FuelEU maritime regulation will require ship operators traveling in, out and within EU territorial waters to gradually reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity on a lifecycle basis, starting with a 2pc reduction in 2025, 6pc in 2030 and so on until getting to an 80pc drop, compared with 2020 base year levels. The FuelEU GHG intensity maximum is set at 85.69 grams of CO2-equivalent per MJ (gCO2e/MJ) from 2030 to 2034, dropping to 77.94 gCO2e/MJ in 2035. Vessel pools exceeding the FuelEU's limits will be fined €2,400/t ($2,675/t) of very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLFSO) energy equivalent. GHG emissions from grey LNG vary depending on the type of marine engine used to burn the LNG, but ranges from about 76.3-92.3 gCO2e/MJ, according to non-governmental environmental lobby group Transport & Environment. This makes a number of LNG-burning, ocean-going vessels compliant with FuelEU regulation through 2034. The EU's ETS for marine shipping commenced this year and requires that ship operators pay for 40pc of their GHG generated on voyages within, in and out of the EU. Next year, the EU ETS emissions limit will increase to 70pc. Even with the added 70pc CO2 emissions cost, US Gulf coast grey LNG was assessed at $639/t VLSFOe, compared with the second cheapest VLSFO at $689/t, B30 biodiesel at $922/t and grey methanol at $931/t VLSFOe average from 1-18 September (see chart). "In 2025, we expect [US natural gas] prices to rise as [US] LNG exports increase while domestic consumption and production remain relatively flat for much of the year," says the US Energy Information Administration. "We forecast the Henry Hub price to average around $2.20/million British thermal units (mmBtu) in 2024 and $3.10/mmBtu in 2025." Provided that prices of biodiesel and methanol remain relatively flat, the projected EIA US 2025 LNG price gains would not affect LNG's price ranking, keeping it the cheapest alternative marine fuel option for ship owners traveling between the US Gulf coast and Europe. LNG for bunkering global consumption from vessels 5,000 gross tonnes and over reached 12.9mn t in 2023, according to the International Maritime Organization (IMO), up from 11mn t in 2022 and 12.6mn t in 2021. The maritime port authority of Singapore reported 111,000t of LNG bunker sales and the port authorities of Rotterdam and Antwerp reported 319,000t in 2023 from all size vessels. Among vessels 5,000 gross tonnes and over, LNG carriers accounted for 89pc of LNG bunker demand globally, followed by container ships at 3.6pc, according to the IMO. The large gap between LNG global and LNG Singapore, Rotterdam, and Antwerp bunker demand, is likely the result of most of the demand taking place at the biggest LNG export locations where LNG carriers call, such as the US Gulf coast, Qatar, Australia, Russia and Malaysia. By Stefka Wechsler USGC bunkers and bunker alternatives $/t VLSFOe Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US court asked for third Citgo auction extension


19/09/24
News
19/09/24

US court asked for third Citgo auction extension

Houston, 19 September (Argus) — The court-appointed special master overseeing the auction of US refiner Citgo has asked the court to delay the announcement of a successful bidder to 26 September and a sale hearing to December. Special master Robert Pincus planned to make an announcement of the proposed buyer on or about 16 September followed by a November sale hearing, but last minute legal challenges derailed what have otherwise been "robust negotiations with a bidder," according to a court filing today. "The special master is continuing to negotiate sale documentation with a bidder," today's motion said. Pincus previously requested a second extension in August and a first extension in late July . By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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