Nightview ammonia plant

ARGUS Ammonia Analytics

Clean and conventional ammonia market intelligence

The Argus Ammonia Analytics quarterly service connects you with industry-leading clean and conventional ammonia market intelligence - offering essential medium to long-term analysis and outlooks. The service includes quarterly reports and data with 15-year forecasts, and one longer-term annual report with forecasts to 2050 (based on Long Run Marginal Cost analysis).

Bringing together unique benefits and features in a compelling new format:

  • Quarterly reports

    Narrative and graphical analysis of what is driving the ammonia market and how it is likely to evolve, ensuring you will be more confident in making critical decisions. Includes key insight on supply, demand, costs, trade and projects, with 15-year forecasts for supply, demand and prices.

  • Annual long-term report

    Understand the connections between underlying market drivers and use these insights to develop more robust strategies. Includes 25-year price forecast based on Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) analysis.

  • Cost curves

    Updated quarterly for processing plants, and annually for mines.

  • Interactive online cost curve service

    Use our unique tool to analyse and interrogate cost curve data.

  • Analytics Dashboard: Data visualisation tool

    We’re taking our analysis even further with an interactive dashboard enabling you to visualise and analyse the dynamics that shape markets. Includes capacity, production, consumption, trade and price data.

  • Underlying excel datasets

    Explore and integrate Argus proprietary data into your models, saving you time for more in-depth analysis.

Our key methodologies include:

A demand forecasting model based on calorie and crop forecasts providing a view of future fertilizer consumption, and our LRMC multi-factor model that assesses the level of prices beyond the current investment cycle.

  • Short-term forecasts by month and quarter linked to energy and raw material prices, crop prices, currency exchange rate fluctuations and the merchant supply-demand balance
  • Short-Run Marginal Cost forecast and supply-demand balance, with project gateway assessment for the current investment cycle (5-7 years ahead)
  • Our longer-term forecast is based on LRMC analysis, which is updated annually, taking you beyond the current investment cycle
  • Our medium and long-term forecasts are connected using a mean-reversion model

Key members of our ammonia team

Request more information

We would be happy to offer you more information about our paid services. Argus produces information and services for global markets, which requires Argus to share your personal information with Argus group companies and service providers that are based both within and outside of the European Economic Area (EEA). Argus Media may use the details submitted to send you information about related Argus products and services which may be of interest to your business. You can unsubscribe from these updates at any time. We manage your personal data in accordance with our privacy policy.

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