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Iranian minister plays down JCPOA expectations

  • Market: Crude oil
  • 26/05/21

Iran's deputy foreign minister Abbas Araqchi has moved to temper expectations of a quick breakthrough in the Vienna talks about the 2015 nuclear deal, saying that he is "not confident" the sticking points that remain can be overcome in the round of discussions that began yesterday.

"We have made progress on [overcoming our differences], but we are still not in a position to say that we will reach a clear solution for the key issues that remain," Araqchi said in Vienna late yesterday.

A breakthrough would see Iran scale back its nuclear activities to levels allowed under the deal, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), in return for a lifting of US sanctions on oil and banking that have put tremendous strain on Iran's economy and government finances.

"I am confident that we will be able to make more progress this time… [but] while it is possible, I have to repeat that I am not confident we will manage to conclude the negotiations this round," he said.

Araqchi was speaking after a meeting of the joint commission of the JCPOA, which brings together all remaining parties to the deal — Iran, Russia, China and the E3 countries of Germany, France and the UK. US negotiators have been involved in the talks since they began early last month, but have only engaged with the Iranians indirectly via the EU and other participants.

Araqchi's comments came after bullish statements from Tehran late last week, when Iran's President Hassan Rohani said the US had already "agreed" to lift all major economic sanctions on Iran, and that only "small details" remained to be overcome.

"There are still some issues that we are discussing to reach the final agreement," Rohani said. "But the main issues — the oil sanctions, the sanctions on petrochemicals, on shipping, on insurance, on the central bank, on the banking sector etc… they have agreed to all these."

The toughest obstacle in the talks has been addressing those sanctions that the previous US government imposed on Iran between 2018 and 2020, which the current administration in Washington has described as "poison pills" designed to sabotage any return to the JCPOA. While Iran continues to insist that all these sanctions need to be lifted, Washington has so far said that it would only remove those that prevent the smooth functioning of Iran's economy, which would include removing the 'terrorism' labels imposed on Iran's central bank, state-owned NIOC and other oil sector entities.

But the US has serious reservations over lifting the same label from Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), a paramilitary force with extensive political and economy interests.


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Eni confident on 2024 output, but Libya project slips

Eni confident on 2024 output, but Libya project slips

London, 26 July (Argus) — Executives at Italy's Eni are confident it will achieve the upper end of its 1.69mn-1.71mn production guidance for this year, but start-up of a key Libyan project is set to slip from 2026 into 2027. In a presentation of second-quarter earnings today, A&E Structure was one of two Libyan projects on a list of Eni's upcoming start-ups through to 2028 that will deliver some 740,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) of net production to the company. A&E Structure is a 160,000 boe/d gas development that will include some 40,000 b/d of liquids production, mainly condensate. A&E Structure is central to Libya's ability to sustain gas exports to Italy, which have dropped in recent years on a combination of rising domestic consumption and falling production. Supplies through the 775mn ft³/d Greenstream pipeline hit their lowest since the 2011 revolution in 2023, averaging 250mn ft³/d. The slide has continued since, with year-to-date volumes of around 160mn ft³/d on track for a record low. Eni's other upcoming Libyan project — the Bouri Gas Utilisation Project development that aims to capture 85mn ft³/d of gas at the 25,000 b/d offshore Bouri oil field — had already been pushed back from 2025 to 2026. For 2024 Eni expects to be "at the upper boundary of its guidance", according to chief operating officer of Natural Resources Guido Brusco. The company had a strong first half, during which output was 1.73mn boe/d — 5pc up on the year — thanks to good performance at assets in Ivory Coast, Indonesia, Congo (Brazzaville) and Libya. Brusco said Eni is in the process of starting up its 30,000 boe/d Cassiopea gas project in Italy, with first production expected next month, and the 45,000 b/d second phase of the Baleine oil project in Ivory Coast is expected to start by the end of this year. At Baleine, Brusco confirmed the two vessels to be used at phase two "will be in country in September and, building on the experience of phase one, we expect a couple of months of final integrated commissioning" before first oil. Eni also said today it would raise its dividend for 2024 by 6pc over 2023 to €1/share, and confirmed share repurchases this year of €1.6bn. It said there is potential for an additional buyback of up to €500mn, which is being evaluated this quarter. Eni's debt gearing is scheduled to fall below 20pc by the end of the year. Chief financial officer Francesco Gattei said these accelerated share buybacks would be possible if divestment deals are confirmed. By Jon Mainwaring and Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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25/07/24

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Refining, LNG segments take Total’s profit lower in 2Q


25/07/24
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25/07/24

Refining, LNG segments take Total’s profit lower in 2Q

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Indian budget lifts spending for refining, crude SPR


24/07/24
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24/07/24

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Repsol 2Q profit doubles but cash flow turns negative


24/07/24
News
24/07/24

Repsol 2Q profit doubles but cash flow turns negative

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