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Q&A: Oman OQ’s fourth IPO draws firm investor interest

  • Market: Fertilizers, Petrochemicals
  • 06/12/24

Oman's state-owned OQ raised 188mn Omani riyals ($489mn) from its fourth initial public offering (IPO) this year with a "good mix of both international and local investors" flocking to the company's chemical and LPG subsidiary, OQ Base Industries (OQBI). OQBI's chief executive Khalid Al Asmi spoke to Argus at the Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association forum in Muscat about the company's expansion plans and its emission reduction targets. Shares in OQBI are expected to begin trading on the Muscat Stock Exchange on 15 December.

OQBI has seen strong interest from some of the largest investors in Oman. How would you evaluate the investor interest so far?

If we look into the overall average of the offering, the IPO price was 2.1 times oversubscribed by both retail and institutional investors, Looking at the trend of investors, it was a good mix of both international and local investors. The fact that the investors believed in our story by buying off our shares implies the trust that they have on our company and on our future plans.

Are there any capacity expansion plans or new any projects in the pipeline for next year?

We do not have any projects in line for next year. However, we have non-committed projects that are awaiting FID and other approvals from the shareholders. We are looking at a brownfield expansion project to increase our current methanol plant capacity by 50pc to 550,000 t/yr. In it, we are also exploring technologies for decarbonisation and carbon capture. Our aim is to get this project up and running by 2028. We have done an initial study and it was concluded that the project is valuable.

How would you view the long-term outlook for petrochemical markets?

The market segments that we are operating — methanol, ammonia and LPG— are all expected to grow in the future. Ammonia has already started penetrating into the marines [sector], same with methanol. LPG will grow to around 39mn t/yr by 2030. So the market is still hungry for our products. That will support the prices, which would either go up or go in line with the GDP. Looking forward, we are not worried about the markets, based on the available information that we have.

How does OQBI's strategy fit into Oman's clean energy transition plans?

We have both short-term and long-term targets for carbon emission reductions. For the near term, we expect to reduce our carbon footprint by 25pc by 2030 from our base target that was set in 2023. So far, we have reduced our energy intensity by 0.3mn Btu/t produced and now we are targeting 1.1mn Btu in 2025. By 2030, it would be a 25pc reduction.

There is growing interest in green ammonia and blue methanol, how is OQBI positioned to capitalise on the interest?

We are very well-positioned to capitalise on the shift. We have an ambitious growth target for both blue methanol and green ammonia for 2030 and beyond. That is in line with the net zero target that was set by the government of Oman. We currently have plans to start the transit but that will only happen when the right time comes. When the 365,000 t/yr ammonia plant was built, we took into consideration the need to achieve zero Scope 1 emissions. So the transition from ammonia to green is doable. When it comes to methanol, we will always rely on gas, so green methanol is not an option. But when the time comes, it can also be converted into blue methanol.

How is methanol demand looking in the markets you are targeting?

When we are referring to the market we are supplying to, we don't deal with the market directly. We are leveraging on the outreach of OQ Trading, which is considered one of the top five methanol traders globally. OQ Trading has a global reach from markets in Asia to Europe and even the Americas. The market is always dynamic and we will always target the market that gives us the highest netback. Currently, Asia is more profitable but tomorrow it could be somewhere else.


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13/01/25

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

Mexico City, 13 January (Argus) — Mexico's industrial production edged up 0.1pc in November, as gains in autos and other manufacturing offset weaker construction, national statistics agency Inegi said. Mexican bank Banorte described the monthly increase as "rather small," noting it followed a 1.1pc decline in October and was largely driven by base comparison effects. The bank added that the overall industrial outlook remained "fragile." Manufacturing, which represents 63pc of Inegi's seasonally adjusted industrial activity indicator (IMAI), increased by 0.7pc in November, though it failed to fully recover from a 1.7pc drop in October. Transportation manufacturing, a key subsector accounting for 12pc of the sector, rose by 3.8pc after a steep 4.3pc decline the prior month. Despite recent volatility, Mexico's auto sector achieved record annual light vehicle production in 2024, reaching 3.99mn units. Yet, automaker association AMIA warned of potential challenges in 2025 because of economic uncertainty, which could affect investment and demand. Mining, which makes up 12pc of the IMAI, increased by 0.1pc in November following a 1.1pc decline in October. Growth was driven by a 41.4pc jump in mining-related services, while oil and gas output fell by 2.4pc, marking a fifth consecutive monthly decline for hydrocarbons. Construction, representing 19pc of the IMAI, contracted by 1.8pc in November after modest gains of 0.2pc in October and 1.1pc in September. As industry eyes potential policy shifts under US president-elect Donald Trump, Banorte projected a weak start to 2025 for Mexico's industrial output. But it expects momentum to build as government spending on priority infrastructure projects "moves more decisively." By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Nutrient affordability remains weak into 2025


13/01/25
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13/01/25

Nutrient affordability remains weak into 2025

London, 13 January (Argus) — Global fertilizer affordability is still weak into 2025 as high fertilizer prices — mainly for urea — continue to weigh on farmer affordability. Nutrient affordability fell to 0.94 points in the first week of January, unable to recover from a declining trend that started in October 2024. An affordability index — comprised of a fertilizer and a crop index — above one indicates that fertilizers are more affordable, compared with the base year, which was set in 2004. An index below one indicates lower nutrient affordability. The fertilizer index — ⁠which includes global prices for urea, DAP and potash, adjusted by global usage — ⁠reached the highest value since October, driven by firmer urea prices, which weighs heavily on the fertilizer index owing to the relatively higher global usage when compared with DAP and potash fertilizers. Prices for urea climbed to levels last seen in late 2023, with activity ramping up across the globe. Prices appear well supported through the month with India entering the market over the weekend, seeking 1.5mn t of urea for loading by early March. A slight increase in the crop index owing to a rise in the first week of January for corn and soybeans was unable to offset higher fertilizer prices as the new year started. Crop prices for corn and soybeans, which represent 52pc of global consumption for key crops, also rose into early January following lower production estimates made by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) for the upcoming crop campaign in the US. The USDA revised earlier estimates made for the 2024-25 corn and soybeans crop by 1.8pc and 2pc, respectively. By Lili Minton and Harry Minihan Global fertilizer affordability Index Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US physical trade in ethane, propane, rose in 2024


09/01/25
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09/01/25

US physical trade in ethane, propane, rose in 2024

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Submissions in under EABC’s DAP buy-tender: Update


09/01/25
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09/01/25

Submissions in under EABC’s DAP buy-tender: Update

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Q&A: Germany's PtX Fund to ramp up in round 2


09/01/25
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09/01/25

Q&A: Germany's PtX Fund to ramp up in round 2

London, 9 January (Argus) — Germany's state-backed Power-to-X (PtX) Development Fund aims to help unlock investment decisions for a handful of mature renewable hydrogen and derivatives (power-to-X) projects in select countries, thereby advancing environmental and social development goals. Berlin picked Bavaria-based fund manager KGAL to control the €270mn ($279mn) purse, and it recently awarded its first €30mn to a €500mn Egyptian project that will produce 70,000 t/yr renewable ammonia. Argus spoke with the fund's managing director Thomas Engelmann about lessons learned from the first round and hopes for round two, which opens 8 January – 5 March 2025. Edited highlights follow: Which countries are eligible in round 2, how is that decided? It is the mostly the same as round one — South Africa, Brazil, Morocco, Kenya, India, Egypt — plus Colombia as a new addition. The German government selects the countries most suited for this instrument from more than 60 partner countries co-operating with the Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). Not all countries have the right ecological conditions. Participating countries ideally have a workforce that is prepared to support PtX, and some potential domestic offtakers in the country. Why was Colombia added for this round? Colombia has good conditions for renewables — its electricity mix is currently 65pc hydroelectric, 4pc solar, and 30pc fossil fuels. And it plans to add 3GW offshore wind in future via government-run auctions. So Colombia should have among the cheapest PtX production. Costs in northern Colombia may reach €3.3/kg ($3.4/kg) in 2030 and €2.7/kg ($2.8/kg) by 2040, according to German research institute Fraunhofer ISE. The strong government support from Colombia also helps our goal of social transformation. What size projects will the fund support? We haven't set a minimum size, but ideally the total capital costs should be in the range of €100mn–500mn. That means €5bn 'white elephant' projects are probably not for us. We have up to €30mn available, which is definitely not enough to change the investment decision for a €5bn project. What is the €30mn grant designed to do? We bridge the gap to financial close, so our €30mn grant agreement supports the banks, supports the sponsors, acting like an airbag for the project to mitigate any kind of risks or uncertainties in the project. For us, it's non-refundable — in return we expect to see ecological and social transformation that comes from financial close and commercial operation. What key ingredients do you look for in projects? We are bound by EU state aid law, so we check very early in the process if projects are eligible. Project feasibility and technical readiness are important. We check the source of the renewable power. We check it's a profitable and reasonable business model. Clearly, we are not seeking return on investment for the PtX Development Fund, but we need to check that the equity sponsors and debt partners see a project that is economically viable. We want projects that have secured land and will reach financial close in 6-12, maybe 15 months. If a project is further away, that doesn't mean it's a bad project, it's just not ready for the purposes of this instrument. Each project must do a very intensive environmental and social impact assessment based on the lending standards of the World Bank via its International Finance Corporation (IFC). That is the minimum for eligibility before we consider its level of positive impact. Regarding impact, we want greenhouse gas emission reduction or avoidance. We want replacement of fossil fuel resources, in particular coal. We want job creation in the country and a 'just transition'. It's interesting if a project is scalable, for example, if we help with a €200mn first phase that unlocks future phases for the partners even without us. Are those criteria typical for many financiers? Correct, so it's a huge plus for a project if our fund awards a grant, as it shows the overall concept of the project has been checked according to World Bank and IFC standards. Other banks coming later or in parallel to us know the project is sustainable, complies with renewable power additionality principles, does not conflict with local water uses, and its land is free from social or ecological conflicts. Does the fund have rules on who the offtaker should be? Ideally the project would have offtakers in the country to support our target of local value creation. But not all seven countries have the possibility to absorb 100pc of the product, and clearly, we need economically viable projects. In our first-round project, part of the ammonia stays in Egypt and part will go to Europe. What lessons can developers take from round one? We realised the name PtX Development Fund could be misinterpreted, as we often had to explain that we don't have development money available — our name just means we are supporting developing countries. Hopefully in round two, those projects will return with an extra year of maturity. Second, we must clarify that the environmental and social impact assessment is of utmost importance. We very often had discussions with developers that said, "my local government is not interested in doing impact assessments on ecological or social impacts," but we, as the PtX Development Fund, cannot accept that. On technology, the starting point must be electrolysis since this instrument aims to help bring it to market and lower its cost. Yes, e-fuels production needs some carbon molecules, but we don't want projects that are completely biomass with no electrolysis involved. And what did you learn about the wider PtX industry? We were positively surprised to get 98 expressions of interest totalling €150bn potential investment and 56GW electrolyser capacity across these countries. But most projects were still in feasibility studies. We followed up with around 10pc of interested parties, then after deeper due diligence, held negotiations with 2-3 projects. We see the technology for PtX is ready, but finding offtakers able to pay the premium for CO2-neutral products is hard. Mandates with penalties, like the EU's e-SAF quota, definitely stimulate the market, but it would be better if they started in 2025-26 rather than 2030. Green ammonia buying for now is mainly voluntary and it depends on fertilizer companies being able to attract a premium for it to work. A green steel market is emerging in Sweden, as carmakers can attract a premium for 'green' products. We hope the EU's Renewable Energy Directive III will set quotas for ammonia and steel, but the carbon border adjustment mechanism is of utmost necessity to ensure European industry is not disadvantaged. What are your expectations for round two? Round one gave us an overview of the countries, so we really know about the quality of the projects. Now in round two, we want to support possibly several projects. Projects may enter multiple rounds and increase their quality each time until they reach an attractive level. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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