Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

Ukraine, US sign reconstruction deal

  • Market: Battery materials, Crude oil, Metals, Natural gas
  • 01/05/25

The government of Ukraine has agreed a "reconstruction" deal with the US that will establish a fund to be filled with proceeds from new mineral extraction licenses.

There are few firm details about how much money will be involved, or how any future extraction contracts will be structured. It appears to be the same agreement that came close to being signed in February, which collapsed after an awkward meeting in the White House between Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy and his US counterpart Donald Trump.

Washington had pitched the deal in advance as providing stakes in Ukraine's mineral rights, as a form of repayment for past US support and a deterrence against future military incursions by Russia. There is no firm indication from either side that this is the case.

Ukraine's economy minister Yulia Svyrydenko said today that 50pc of state budget revenues from new licences will flow into the fund, and the fund would then invest in projects in Ukraine itself.

US treasury secretary Scott Bessent said the deal "allows the US to invest alongside Ukraine, to unlock Ukraine's growth assets, mobilise American talent, capital and governance standards", suggesting US companies will be involved in the new licenses. He said the fund will be established with the assistance of the US International Development Finance Corporation.

Ukraine was eager to show the deal as a success. Svyrydenko said Kyiv will retain ownership of all resources, and "will decide where and what to extract." Neither does the agreement allow for privatisation of state-owned oil and gas company Ukrnafta or power company Energoatom, nor does it mention any debt obligation to the US, she said.

The depth of Ukraine's resources are unclear. The country's geological survey shows deposits of 24 of the EU's list of critical minerals, including titanium, zirconium, graphite, and manganese, along with proven reserves of metals such as lithium, beryllium, rare earth elements and nickel.

The IEA estimates Ukraine's oil reserves at more than 6.2bn bl and its gas reserves at 5.4 trillion m³, although it said Russia's annexation of Crimea means Kyiv no longer has access to "significant offshore gas resources".


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
23/05/25

EU defence spending to support PGM demand

EU defence spending to support PGM demand

London, 23 May (Argus) — Higher defence spending by Europe and its allies in response to changing US foreign policy will support platinum group metal (PGM) demand in the coming years. Increased defence spending is expected to boost demand across specialty metals as the EU attempts to meet the short-term needs of Ukraine's military and to strengthen Europe's defence in the longer term. The European Commission's ReArm Europe plan aims to drive €800bn in defence investment. Higher defence spending is unlikely to result in an immediate increase in demand for specialty metals — orders for the EU plan are expected to translate into increased demand no earlier than the second quarter of 2026. PGMs are key components in aircraft engines, with platinum and rhodium used for temperature sensing and platinum for protective plating on blades. Platinum and iridium are also present in missile nose cones. "In the case of PGMs, it is often the heat resistance that is very important. In some rocket systems, you need extremely high-performing metals to guarantee that they work," a senior market analyst said. PGMs also have crucial avionics and electronics applications. Ruthenium is used for chip resistors, while palladium is used for capacitors and other components. Rhodium and iridium are also utilised for reed switches. Lasers and optical systems, such as night-vision goggles, also use PGMs. Platinum-rhodium alloys are used in the production of technical glass, while iridium complexes are key for organic light-emitting diodes. And platinum is used in fuel cells for non-nuclear air-independent submarines and fuel cells for silent, long-duration field power and drones. Price no barrier for defence consumption Defence is market where the high price of certain PGMs compared with base metal substitutes does not weigh on demand. "PGMs are used because they provide certain characteristics and properties that lend themselves to defence applications. You would use PGMs rather than base metal alternatives because you are looking for that safety and longevity — price isn't an issue," Johnson Matthey market research director Rupen Riathatha told Argus in an interview. Raithatha cited electronics as a clear example of differing approaches to metal consumption. In the 1990s, producers of multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCCs) for consumer markets largely substituted nickel for palladium because of nickel's lower cost. But the defence sector has continued to use palladium metal electrode MLCCs because of their better performance and reliability. PGM supply to stay constrained But supply constraints might be a challenge for the defence sector. In December 2024, Nato included platinum on a list of 12 critical raw materials essential for advanced defence systems. "The availability and secure supply of these materials are vital to maintaining Nato's technological edge and operational readiness. Disruptions in their supply could impact the production of essential defence equipment," Nato said. Many countries have platinum on their critical mineral list because of the concentration of production in South Africa and Russia. In the near term, recognition of PGMs' importance to defence is unlikely to impact market dynamics, as low PGM prices continue to limit output. The platinum market is entering its third consecutive year of deficit, according to the World Platinum Investment Council. The deficit is expected to deepen to 966,000oz in 2025. Supply in 2025 is forecast at its lowest in five years, down by 4pc from 2024 to 6,999,000oz. South African mines, which supply much of the world's PGMs, have struggled in recent years with industrial action, high energy costs and low PGM basket prices. The challenging price landscape resulted in significant restructuring and production cuts in 2024. Platinum mine supply continues to face downside risks in 2025, WPIC said. But the PGM market has a large recycling circuit that is often not taken into account in critical mineral discussions, which often overemphasise primary mine supply. "There is a wide network of PGM flows that do not require panic stockpiling of metals," the senior analyst said, referring to the recycling circuit. "There is sufficient production capacity, it is just the economic side that needs to come up." By Maeve Flaherty Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

China’s Sinopec invests in CATL for EV battery growth


23/05/25
News
23/05/25

China’s Sinopec invests in CATL for EV battery growth

Beijing, 23 May (Argus) — Chinese state-controlled oil refiner Sinopec has invested in country's largest battery producer CATL, to help reach its target of building 10,000 electric vehicle (EV) battery exchange stations. Sinopec was the largest cornerstone investor in CATL's initial public offering (IPO) this week, it said on 23 May. CATL raised $4.6bn from the sale of 135.6mn of its shares on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on 20 May, in what was likely the world's largest IPO this year. The two firms reached an initial agreement in April to build more than 500 EV battery exchange stations nationwide this year. They have set a target of building 10,000 stations in the long term. Sinopec and CATL on 21 May also reached final agreement to co-operate on the Qiji Exchange Station project for heavy trucks in southeast China's Fujian province. The project will serve road freight transportation on the coastal route between the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta using CATL's latest battery exchange system. Sinopec has so far built 30,000 integrated energy charging stations in China to serve 300mn users, including around 10,000 EV charging and battery exchange stations. An increasing number of conventional energy companies in China have accelerated investments in the new energy market in recent years, particularly given rapid growth in the country's EV sales. State-run energy firm and refiner PetroChina launched a "supercharger satiation" in the Yili road area of Shanghai in March. PetroChina, domestic automaker SAIC, Sinopec and CATL established the Shanghai JieNeng Zhidui New Energy Technology joint venture in September 2022, to lease EV battery packs and develop EV battery exchange technology. CATL is building a 40 GWh/yr factory in Dongying, which is the largest oil refining city in China. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

US car tariffs cut Japan's auto industry sales orders


23/05/25
News
23/05/25

US car tariffs cut Japan's auto industry sales orders

Tokyo, 23 May (Argus) — The Japanese auto industry, especially component producers, are receiving lower-than-usual sales orders from clients likely because of the US' blanket 25pc tariff on car imports, the country's trade and industry ministry (Meti) said today. The impact of the US levy on domestic industries is emerging, according to a survey conducted by Meti. Concerns about the future sales outlook and business climate are also growing, it added. Meti has been conducting the survey on the US measure since early April, and released the preliminary results based on around 3,100 responses . An unnamed auto part producer received slightly lower than usual sales orders for April-June. But the tariff could cut its July orders by 20pc from usual levels, according to the survey. The actual sales order volume was not disclosed. Meanwhile, a manufacturer of car air conditioners was asked to delay its delivery for three months from June to September, likely because of the tariff measure, Meti said. An auto interior material producer said its business is reaching its breakeven cost, adding that it received 15pc fewer orders. The firm also said it may have to consider seeking new clients in non-car industries to secure profits, according to Meti. Another component producer said its US subsidiary is bearing the 25pc tariff on its raw material imports from Japan, adding that it is concerned about to what extent the situation would deteriorate. It remains unclear if or how much Japanese car producers will reduce their deliveries to the US, as Tokyo and Washington continues negotiations regarding the measure. Japan's passenger vehicle exports to the US increased by 12pc in April from a year earlier to 124,428 units, despite the tariff. By Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Japan’s Japex buys stake in Indonesian Gebang gas block


23/05/25
News
23/05/25

Japan’s Japex buys stake in Indonesian Gebang gas block

Osaka, 23 May (Argus) — Japanese upstream firm Japex has secured a 50pc stake in the Gebang gas block in Indonesia's North Sumatra, to strengthen its upstream asset in the southeast Asian country, where gas demand is expected to continue growing. Japex has agreed to acquire a 50pc share in Indonesian firm EMP's subsidiary EMP Gebang (EMPG) for an undisclosed sum. EMPG holds 100pc of the working interest in the Gebang block, which is located along the coast of the Malacca Strait. The area encompasses promising undeveloped gas fields with substantial exploration upside, and the possibility of an additional gas field, Japex said. The company is set to lead the development and early production of the discovered but undeveloped Secanggang gas field in the block. At the same time, Japex transferred its entire 25pc share in EMPI to its parent firm EMP. EMPI currently mainly produces natural gas in the Kangean block offshore East Java in Indonesia. The decision comes after the completion of exploration and development, which Japex had undertaken since 2007. The Kangean block is now in the mature production phase after development, a spokesperson at Japex told Argus. The divestment of the Kangean block means Japex will not have any upstream assets in Indonesia. This prompted the company to look for another project in the country, the spokesperson added. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Australia’s Origin lowers LNG price in Sinopec contract


23/05/25
News
23/05/25

Australia’s Origin lowers LNG price in Sinopec contract

Sydney, 23 May (Argus) — Australian utility Origin Energy has cut the contracted sales price of gas from its Australia Pacific LNG (APLNG) project to China's state-owned energy firm Sinopec, pushing down its earnings guidance for the 2024-25 financial year by A$55mn ($35.4mn). Australian producer APLNG — in which Origin holds a 27.5pc stake — adjusted the pricing terms of its long-term supply contract with Sinopec following a pricing review, the company said on 23 May. The new pricing terms are backdated to 1 January 2025. Origin has not disclosed the new pricing terms of APLNG's contract with Sinopec, but said that the price review resulted in a "reduction in the JCC-linked contract slope", referring to the Japan Crude Cocktail (JCC) reference price against which it sells APLNG cargoes. APLNG supplies Sinopec with 7.6mn t/yr of LNG from its 9mn t/yr Curtis Island terminal. APLNG's deal with the Chinese refiner is priced on a fob basis. APLNG and Sinopec began their price review in October 2024 under the terms of their supply agreement. The contract's pricing structure can be reviewed again in 2030 at APLNG's discretion, Origin said on 23 May. Origin's average realised LNG price reached $12.20/mn Btu in October-December 2024, up from $11.88/mn Btu a year earlier, the company said in late January. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more