A core group of eight Opec+ members are likely to agree to further accelerate a plan to return production when they meet later on Saturday, according to delegate sources.
The group is considering expediting the process further with a 550,000 b/d increase to its collective crude production target in August, compared to the previous hikes of 411,000 b/d agreed for May, June and July, delegates told Argus.
This pace is four times faster than the eight members' – Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan – original plan to unwind 2.2mn b/d of voluntary crude production cuts at a rate of 137,000 b/d each month between April 2025 and September 2026.
One delegate said it is very likely that the group agrees on this course of action.
If the group goes ahead with the 550,000 b/d increase, it means they will have restored almost 80pc of a scheduled 2.46mn b/d increase — which includes a 300,000 b/d capacity-related adjustment for the UAE — in just 5 months.
Expectations ahead of today's policy meeting were that the group would agree to another 411,000 b/d for the month of August.
The eight raised their collective target by 137,000 b/d in April, and subsequently by 411,000 b/d in the months of May, June and July.